Alfredton
Rapid west Ballarat growth defines Alfredton: population lifted 101.7% over 10 years, while separate houses still make up 90.5% of dwellings. The suburb is younger than the national benchmark, with a median age of 35, and household income sits in the 70.3rd percentile. Compared with denser Ballarat Central or nearby Newington, Alfredton reads more as a family housing market, because 58.4% of homes have 4 or more bedrooms and average household size is 2.8.
Population
11,822
Median Age
35.0
Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)
$1,883/wk
DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year
13
Median House
$630K
Apr-Jun 2024
Homebuyers are mainly buying detached family stock, with 90.5% separate houses and only 5.5% apartments. The median house price was $630,000 in Apr-Jun 2024, sitting 5.8% below the Apr-Jun 2023 peak of $668,500 after a 74.3% lift from 2013. Affordability pressure is lower than many mortgage-belt markets because mortgage costs are 19.7% of income and the median monthly mortgage is $1,608, while 58.4% of homes have 4 or more bedrooms.
For Buyers
Homebuyers are mainly buying detached family stock, with 90.5% separate houses and only 5.5% apartments. The median house price was $630,000 in Apr-Jun 2024, sitting 5.8% below the Apr-Jun 2023 peak of $668,500 after a 74.3% lift from 2013. Affordability pressure is lower than many mortgage-belt markets because mortgage costs are 19.7% of income and the median monthly mortgage is $1,608, while 58.4% of homes have 4 or more bedrooms.
For Investors
Alfredton has a meaningful rental base, with 30.3% of households renting and a median rent of $365 per week. Vacancy is 5.1%, higher than a tight rental setting, so investors need to price for competition rather than assume scarcity. Demand is supported by growth, because the forecast trend adds 795 people a year and rent growth has been 48.0% in the shift period. New supply is present but not excessive, with 9 development applications over 12 months.
Development Activity
Total DAs
21
Last 12 Months
13
YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements
+333.3%
Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year
N/A
Monthly DA Lodgements
DA Categories
Schools in Alfredton iICSEA: school advantage index. 1000 = national avg, higher = more advantaged
St Thomas More School
Prep-6 · 431 students
Alfredton Primary School
Prep-6 · 527 students
Demographics
Alfredton skews younger and more educated than national benchmarks: the median age of 35 is 5.0 years below national, while university attainment of 38.8% is 8.7 percentage points above national. Overseas-born residents are 16.0%, 5.6 points below national, so the ancestry profile remains English, Irish and Scottish leaning, alongside 538 residents with Indian ancestry. Household size is 2.8, which is 0.3 above national, because family households are a major part of the suburb.
Age Distribution
Bedrooms
Dwelling Structure
90.5%
Houses
3.9%
Townhouse
5.5%
Apartment
Tenure
The housing market has moved from a $361,500 median in 2013 to $630,000 in Apr-Jun 2024, a 74.3% rise over 14 years and a 4.0% CAGR. The latest price remains below the $668,500 peak from Apr-Jun 2023, while the trough was $340,500 in 2015. Ownership is broad based, with 31.6% owned outright, 38.1% mortgaged and 30.3% renting. Compared with apartment-heavy inner Ballarat pockets, Alfredton is dominated by 4 plus bedroom detached homes, which supports family demand.
Median House Price Trend
Source: State Valuer-General
Mortgage / mo
$1,608
Rent / wk
$365
HH Size
2.8
Personal Income / wk
$841
Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)
5.1%
Unoccupied
221
Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress
19.4%
Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress
19.7%
Community Profile
Languages Spoken at Home
Ancestry
Household Composition
22.0%
Couples, no children
9,800
Total families
Economy & Employment
Alfredton's workforce is anchored by public and service sectors: Healthcare employs 1,070 residents or 26.8%, followed by Education at 547 and Construction at 345. Professionals are the largest occupation group at 1,507, higher than Clerical/Admin at 777 and Community/Personal at 749. Unemployment is 4.2% and participation is 63.9%, pointing to a stable working population. SEIFA is above the midpoint on disadvantage, with IRSD decile 7, while IRSAD decile 6 and IEO decile 6 show solid but not elite advantage.
Unemployment
2.2%
Labour Force
11,165
Unemployed
248
Quarterly Trend
Source: SALM Dec-25
Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)
Full-time
60.7%
Part-time
35.1%
Participation
63.9%
Employed
5,579
Occupations
Top Industries
University
38.8%
Postgraduate
10.2%
Born Overseas
16.0%
Dwellings
4,118
Transport to Work
Daily life is car based, with 89.2% driving to work compared with only 0.9% using public transport and 2.0% walking or cycling. School access is a plus for families: 2 local primary schools span Catholic and Government sectors, with ICSEA ranging from 1009 at Alfredton Primary School to 1087 at St Thomas More School. Safety is mixed rather than uniformly low risk, with 712 recorded offences and a crime rate of 60.2 per 1,000 people. IRSAD decile 6 sits above the middle, supporting general amenity.
Drive
89.2%
Public Transport
0.9%
Walk / Cycle
2.0%
Work from Home
N/A
Population Forecast
+3.82%/yr
(+795 people/yr)
EstablishedGrowth is the defining forward signal. The trend forecast is 3.82% a year, equal to 795 additional people annually, with the medium path rising from 20,928 in 2026 to 24,904 in 2031. Migration is led by internal movement, averaging 712 net internal arrivals a year compared with 110 net overseas arrivals, which fits Alfredton's Ballarat family expansion role. The gentrification score is 0 and stage is New development, so change is more about new housing supply than premium inner-suburb renewal.
Historical + Forecast
Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025
Age Cohort Forecast
Primary Driver
Internal Migration
Net Overseas / yr
+110
Net Internal / yr
+712
Gentrification Signal
New development
Safety & Crime
Total Offences
712
Year ending June 2024
Rate per 1,000 People
60.2
Offence Categories
Source: Crime Statistics Agency Victoria / SA Police
National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs
How Alfredton compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs
Frequently Asked Questions
Is Alfredton a good suburb to live in?
Alfredton suits buyers wanting newer family housing in west Ballarat, with 90.5% separate houses and 58.4% of homes having 4 or more bedrooms. It is more car dependent than inner areas, with 89.2% driving to work.
What is the median house price in Alfredton?
The median house price in Alfredton was $630,000 in Apr-Jun 2024. That is below the Apr-Jun 2023 peak of $668,500, but still 74.3% higher than the 2013 median of $361,500.
What schools are in Alfredton?
Alfredton has 2 local primary schools: St Thomas More School, a Catholic school with ICSEA 1087 and 431 students, and Alfredton Primary School, a Government school with ICSEA 1009 and 527 students.
Is Alfredton safe?
Alfredton recorded 712 offences, equal to 60.2 offences per 1,000 people. The largest category was property and deception offences with 397 incidents, followed by 139 crimes against the person.
Is Alfredton good for property investment?
Alfredton has investor appeal through growth, with forecast population increasing by 795 people a year and 30.3% of households renting. The 5.1% vacancy rate is higher than a very tight market, so yield and tenant demand should be assessed carefully.
How is Alfredton's population changing?
Alfredton is growing quickly, with a 101.7% population increase over 10 years and a forecast trend of 3.82% annual growth. Internal migration is the main driver, averaging 712 net arrivals a year.
How to read these comparisons
Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.
Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.
Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.
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