VIC 3153 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Bayswater North

Nearly 90% of commuters drive to work in Bayswater North, one of the highest car-dependency rates in Melbourne's east, yet the suburb sits in SEIFA decile 6, placing it squarely at the national midpoint for socioeconomic advantage. House prices have risen 89% since 2013, reaching $887,500, while mortgage repayments consume just 25.3% of household income, well below the 30% stress threshold. Healthcare employs 19.4% of the local workforce, roughly double the national average, reflecting the suburb's role as a residential base for Knox and Maroondah hospital staff.

Bayswater North urban fabric map

Population

9,014

Median Age

38.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$1,675/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

8

Median House

$888K

Apr-Jun 2024

6.57 km²· 1,371.6 people/km²· Family income $2,113/wk

At $887,500, Bayswater North sits below Melbourne's overall median, making it accessible for families seeking detached housing, which comprises 79.8% of stock. Three-bedroom homes dominate at 47.1%, with another 25.8% offering 4+ bedrooms. Mortgage-to-income ratio of 25.3% is lower than the state average, meaning buyers face less financial strain than in comparable eastern suburbs. Prices dipped just 1.0% from the 2023 peak of $896,500, suggesting the market has held steady rather than correcting sharply. The 18.4% semi-detached share provides townhouse alternatives for smaller budgets.

For Buyers

At $887,500, Bayswater North sits below Melbourne's overall median, making it accessible for families seeking detached housing, which comprises 79.8% of stock. Three-bedroom homes dominate at 47.1%, with another 25.8% offering 4+ bedrooms. Mortgage-to-income ratio of 25.3% is lower than the state average, meaning buyers face less financial strain than in comparable eastern suburbs. Prices dipped just 1.0% from the 2023 peak of $896,500, suggesting the market has held steady rather than correcting sharply. The 18.4% semi-detached share provides townhouse alternatives for smaller budgets.

For Investors

Rental yield faces headwinds: 25.1% of dwellings are tenanted at $360/week, but vacancy sits at 4.5%, above the metro equilibrium of around 2-3%. Only 7 development applications were lodged in the past 12 months, signalling limited new supply pressure. Rents grew 34.3% over the decade, outpacing national CPI, though the suburb loses a net 82 residents annually to internal migration. Overseas arrivals (+203/year) partially offset this outflow. For long-hold investors, the 4.7% compound annual growth rate over 14 years tracks close to the broader Melbourne house price index.

Development Activity

Total DAs

19

Last 12 Months

8

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

+14.3%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

Other
14
Subdivision
1

Schools in Bayswater North iICSEA: school advantage index. 1000 = national avg, higher = more advantaged

Bayswater North Primary School

ICSEA 1015 Primary Government

Prep-6 · 211 students

Demographics

Median age of 38 sits 2 years below the national figure, with working-age residents accounting for the bulk of the population. University-educated residents make up 32.2%, roughly 2 percentage points above the national rate. English ancestry leads at 3,109 residents, followed by Irish (866) and Scottish (789), with Chinese heritage (606) the largest non-European group. Mandarin (129 speakers) and Cantonese (86) are the top non-English languages. Household size averages 2.5, matching the national median, and the 82.1% residential stability rate suggests low population churn compared to inner-city benchmarks.

Age Distribution

0-14
18.7%
15-24
10.0%
25-44
31.1%
45-64
24.1%
65+
16.0%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
1.4%
2 bed
25.7%
3 bed
47.1%
4+ bed
25.8%

Dwelling Structure

79.8%

Houses

18.4%

Townhouse

1.7%

Apartment

Tenure

Own 28.6% Mortgage 46.3% Rent 25.1%

Owner-occupiers control 74.9% of dwellings, split between outright owners (28.6%) and mortgage holders (46.3%), a ratio that skews higher than the national mortgage share of around 35%. Separate houses at 79.8% dominate, with apartments making up only 1.7%. Prices grew from $468,500 in 2013 to $887,500, a compound annual rate of 4.7% over 14 years. The price-to-income ratio remains moderate because household weekly income ($1,675) sits in the 58th percentile nationally. Rent-to-income at 21.5% is comfortably below the stress line, making the suburb affordable for both owners and tenants.

Median House Price Trend

Source: State Valuer-General

Mortgage / mo

$1,835

Rent / wk

$360

HH Size

2.5

Personal Income / wk

$839

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

4.5%

Unoccupied

161

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

21.5%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

25.3%

Community Profile

Languages Spoken at Home

Mandarin
129
Canton
86
Punjabi
49
Sinhal
41
Hindi
37
Persian ED
27

Ancestry

English
3,109
Other
1,097
Irish
866
Scottish
789
Chinese
606
Ancestry NS
488

Household Composition

23.4%

Couples, no children

7,173

Total families

Economy & Employment

Healthcare is the top employer at 19.4%, followed by construction (12.6%) and education (10.4%). Manufacturing still holds 8.9%, higher than most comparable suburban areas. Professionals lead occupations at 957 workers, but clerical/admin (669) and community/personal service (519) roles are also strongly represented. Unemployment at 4.1% matches the national rate, while full-time employment at 65.9% sits above the national average. SEIFA scores cluster around decile 6, with the economic resources index slightly higher at decile 7, indicating moderate wealth that ranks above the national median but below premium eastern suburbs like Balwyn.

Unemployment

5.3%

Labour Force

7,556

Unemployed

397

Quarterly Trend

Mar-24 Dec-25

Source: SALM Dec-25

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Overall advantage
6
Disadvantage
6
Economic resources
7
Education & occupation
6

Full-time

65.9%

Part-time

30.0%

Participation

61.0%

Employed

4,282

Occupations

Professionals 957
Clerical/Admin 669
Community/Personal 519
Managers 480
Labourers 426
Sales 396
Machinery/Drivers 295

Top Industries

Healthcare 19.4%
Construction 12.6%
Education 10.4%
Manufacturing 8.9%
Professional/Tech 8.7%

University

32.2%

Postgraduate

7.9%

Born Overseas

25.3%

Dwellings

3,396

Transport to Work

Bayswater North Primary School (ICSEA 1015, 211 students) is the sole local school, scoring above the national benchmark of 1000 but limiting choice for families. Public transport usage is extremely low at 2.8%, reflecting poor bus frequency and distance from train stations. Crime rate of 93.5 per 1,000 residents is notably higher than the Victorian average of around 65, with property offences (431 incidents) making up over half of reported crimes. SEIFA IRSAD decile 6 places the suburb in the middle band nationally, consistent with its moderate income and housing profile.

Drive

89.9%

Public Transport

2.8%

Walk / Cycle

2.3%

Work from Home

N/A

Population Forecast

+0.81%/yr

(+109 people/yr)

Established

Population is growing at 0.81% annually, adding roughly 109 people per year, driven primarily by overseas migration (+203/year). Internal migration runs negative at -82/year, meaning domestic movers are leaving faster than arriving. The medium forecast projects 13,992 residents by 2031, up from the current 13,388. Gentrification score is 15 out of 100, classified as 'not gentrifying,' which aligns with the stable affordability trend (mortgage burden barely shifted from 48.9% to 47.8% of median income over 10 years). Senior share grew by 2.0 percentage points, tracking the broader ageing pattern nationally.

Historical + Forecast

Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025

Age Cohort Forecast

Primary Driver

Overseas Migration

Net Overseas / yr

+203

Net Internal / yr

-82

15

Gentrification Signal

Not gentrifying

Population +15% since 2011, Strong overseas inflow +203/yr

Safety & Crime

Total Offences

843

Year ending June 2024

Rate per 1,000 People

93.5

Offence Categories

Property and deception offences
431
Justice procedures offences
158
Crimes against the person
154
Public order and security offences
50

Source: Crime Statistics Agency Victoria / SA Police

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Bayswater North compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 6%
Household Income
Top 42%
Rent Level
Top 24%
Apartments
Bottom 32%
Renters
Top 37%
Uni Educated
Top 30%
Public Transport
Bottom 45%
Born Overseas
Top 20%
Density
Top 12%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Bayswater North a good suburb to live in?

Bayswater North suits families wanting detached houses below Melbourne's median price. Mortgage stress is low at 25.3% of income, and household stability is high at 82.1%. The main drawback is limited public transport (only 2.8% commute by bus/train) and a crime rate of 93.5 per 1,000 that runs above the state average.

What is the median house price in Bayswater North?

The median house price is $887,500 as of the April-June 2024 quarter. That represents a 89.4% increase from the 2013 baseline of $468,500, translating to a compound annual growth rate of 4.7% over 14 years. Prices are about 1.0% below the mid-2023 peak of $896,500.

What schools are in Bayswater North?

The suburb has one school: Bayswater North Primary School, a government primary with 211 students and an ICSEA score of 1015, which is slightly above the national benchmark of 1000. Families needing secondary schooling typically look to adjacent suburbs like Bayswater and Boronia.

Is Bayswater North safe?

The recorded crime rate is 93.5 offences per 1,000 residents, which is higher than the Victorian state average of roughly 65 per 1,000. Property and deception offences account for 431 of 843 total incidents. Crimes against the person total 154, so the elevated rate is driven more by property crime than violent offences.

Is Bayswater North good for property investment?

Long-term capital growth has been solid at 4.7% CAGR over 14 years, though the 4.5% vacancy rate is above the metro norm of 2-3%. Weekly rent of $360 and mortgage-to-income at 25.3% suggest stable tenant demand, but only 7 development applications in the past year indicate limited redevelopment potential compared to more active growth corridors.

How is Bayswater North's population changing?

Population grows at 0.81% per year, adding about 109 people annually. Overseas migration (+203/year) is the primary driver, while internal migration is negative at -82/year. The medium projection forecasts 13,992 residents by 2031. The senior share has increased by 2.0 percentage points over the decade, while the young adult share dropped by 0.6 points.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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