VIC 3160 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Belgrave

Household income at the 83.7th percentile nationally, yet the suburb sits 34km from Melbourne CBD in the Dandenong Ranges foothills, where 99.2% of dwellings are separate houses on 4.08 km2. The population of 3,894 has an aging trajectory: the senior share grew 6.4 points over the decade while working-age residents declined 1.9 points. University qualifications reach 41.4%, which is 11.3 points above the national average, and only 7.2% of residents rent, placing it firmly in ownership-dominated, higher-income outer-suburban territory. Rent has climbed 42.9% over the measured period despite this low rental share, reflecting Hills-corridor demand.

Belgrave urban fabric map

Population

3,894

Median Age

38.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$2,202/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

0

Median House

$861K

Apr-Jun 2024

4.08 km²· 955.2 people/km²· Family income $2,496/wk

The median house price reached $861,000 in April-June 2024, recovering from $790,000 in January-March 2024. Over 14 years since 2013, prices have doubled from $410,000, a compound annual growth rate of 5.4%. The stock is almost entirely separate houses at 99.2%, with 4-plus bedroom homes accounting for 40.2% and 3-bedroom dwellings at 46.2%, so families dominate the buyer pool. Monthly mortgage repayments average $1,863, producing a mortgage-to-income ratio of 19.5%, comfortably below the 30% stress threshold despite median house prices above $800K. Outright owners make up 32.4% and mortgage holders 60.3%, higher than typical established suburbs, indicating a market still absorbing buyers rather than long-held wealth.

For Buyers

The median house price reached $861,000 in April-June 2024, recovering from $790,000 in January-March 2024. Over 14 years since 2013, prices have doubled from $410,000, a compound annual growth rate of 5.4%. The stock is almost entirely separate houses at 99.2%, with 4-plus bedroom homes accounting for 40.2% and 3-bedroom dwellings at 46.2%, so families dominate the buyer pool. Monthly mortgage repayments average $1,863, producing a mortgage-to-income ratio of 19.5%, comfortably below the 30% stress threshold despite median house prices above $800K. Outright owners make up 32.4% and mortgage holders 60.3%, higher than typical established suburbs, indicating a market still absorbing buyers rather than long-held wealth.

For Investors

Rental demand is thin: only 7.2% of residents rent, and the vacancy rate sits at 5.0%, which is elevated relative to tighter urban markets. Weekly rent averages $401, giving a gross yield of roughly 2.4% against the $861,000 median, low for the risk profile. Development activity in the past 12 months is effectively zero, so supply-side pressure is absent. The population trend is a mild annual decline of 0.4% (around 40 persons per year), and net internal migration runs at negative 158 per year, offset only partially by overseas arrivals of 61. For investors, the 42.9% rent growth over the period signals pricing resilience even as the owner-occupier base dominates, but the 5.0% vacancy and demographic outflow argue for caution on rental returns.

Schools in Belgrave iICSEA: school advantage index. 1000 = national avg, higher = more advantaged

Mater Christi College

ICSEA 1093 Secondary Catholic

7-12 · 688 students

St Thomas More's School

ICSEA 1089 Primary Catholic

Prep-6 · 101 students

Demographics

The median age of 38 is 2 years below the national figure, though the trajectory is aging with the senior share up 6.4 points and working-age share down 1.9 points over the decade. University qualifications at 41.4% run 11.3 points above the national average, consistent with professional households relocating to the Hills corridor. Overseas-born residents reach 19.1%, which is 2.5 points below national. Ancestry is strongly Anglo-Celtic: English (1,771), Irish (566), Scottish (523) and German (244) lead the list. Average household size of 2.7 is 0.2 above national, reflecting the family-oriented profile, with couples with children (1,497 families) outnumbering couples without children (784). Volunteering at 19.4% is notably high, indicating active community engagement.

Age Distribution

0-14
20.1%
15-24
10.5%
25-44
29.2%
45-64
27.3%
65+
13.0%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
2.1%
2 bed
11.6%
3 bed
46.2%
4+ bed
40.2%

Dwelling Structure

99.2%

Houses

0.6%

Townhouse

0.2%

Apartment

Tenure

Own 32.4% Mortgage 60.3% Rent 7.2%

Tenure is dominated by mortgage holders at 60.3% and outright owners at 32.4%, with only 7.2% renting, well below typical suburban norms. The stock is almost entirely separate houses at 99.2%, with apartments at just 0.2% and semi-detached at 0.6%. Four-plus bedroom homes make up 40.2% and three-bedroom 46.2%, so the suburb is unambiguously family housing. The price record shows $410,000 in 2013 growing to $861,000 in April-June 2024 at a CAGR of 5.4% over 14 years. The mortgage-to-income ratio at 19.5% and rent-to-income at 18.2% both sit below stress thresholds, meaning housing costs are proportionate to the 83.7th-percentile household income despite prices above $800,000.

Median House Price Trend

Source: State Valuer-General (Apr-Jun 2024)

Mortgage / mo

$1,863

Rent / wkiABS Census 2021 median across all dwelling types. Current market rents are typically higher.

$401

Census 2021

HH Size

2.7

Personal Income / wk

$959

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

5.0%

Unoccupied

75

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

18.2%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

19.5%

Community Profile

Languages Spoken at Home

German
16
Italian
12

Ancestry

English
1,771
Irish
566
Scottish
523
Other
389
German
244
Dutch
180

Household Composition

23.8%

Couples, no children

3,293

Total families

Economy & Employment

Healthcare leads local employment at 18.4% (292 workers), followed closely by Education at 17.9% (285 workers), which together account for more than a third of all jobs and explain the high university qualification rate of 41.4%. Professional/Tech employs 9.4% and Construction 9.1%, the latter reflecting building activity in the surrounding Hills growth corridor. By occupation, Professionals (651) and Managers (312) are the two largest groups. The unemployment rate is 5.1% against a participation rate of 66.7%, with 1,200 full-time and 774 part-time workers. SEIFA scores are high across all four indexes: IRSD and IEO both at decile 9, IRSAD and IEO at decile 8, placing Belgrave well above the national median on economic resources and educational advantage.

Unemployment

4.0%

Labour Force

5,913

Unemployed

239

Quarterly Trend

Mar-24 Dec-25

Source: SALM Dec-25

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Overall advantage
8
Disadvantage
9
Economic resources
9
Education & occupation
8

Full-time

60.8%

Part-time

34.1%

Participation

66.7%

Employed

1,974

Occupations

Professionals 651
Managers 312
Community/Personal 243
Clerical/Admin 239
Sales 134
Labourers 124
Machinery/Drivers 83

Top Industries

Healthcare 18.4%
Education 17.9%
Professional/Tech 9.4%
Construction 9.1%
Public Admin 7.6%

University

41.4%

Postgraduate

12.0%

Born Overseas

19.1%

Dwellings

1,415

Transport to Work

Car dependence is high at 89.1% of commuters driving, compared to just 4.4% using public transport and 2.2% walking or cycling, reflecting the semi-rural Hills setting where train access to the city exists but frequency limits its appeal. The suburb scores decile 9 on IRSD, placing it in the top 10% nationally for low disadvantage. Only 4.5% of residents (170 people) need daily assistance, low for a community with an aging trajectory. Rent-to-income at 18.2% and mortgage-to-income at 19.5% both sit below the 30% stress threshold, confirming housing affordability relative to local incomes. No schools are recorded within Belgrave's boundary in this dataset, so families rely on nearby Hills corridor schools.

Drive

89.1%

Public Transport

4.4%

Walk / Cycle

2.2%

Work from Home

N/A

Population Forecast

-0.4%/yr

(-40 people/yr)

Established

The SA2 containing Belgrave holds 9,964 residents as of 2025, down from a pre-COVID peak of 10,378, with recovery at negative 1.3% relative to that level. Annual population change is negative 0.4%, losing roughly 40 persons per year. Medium forecasts project a continued decline to around 9,730 by 2031. Net internal migration runs at negative 158 per year, the primary drag, partly offset by overseas arrivals of 61 annually. The gentrification score is low at 24 out of 100 with early signs but no active gentrification, consistent with the established, owner-dominated profile. The 10-year population change is a slight negative 0.6%, classifying Belgrave as a slow-growth, aging suburb rather than a high-demand growth corridor.

Historical + Forecast

Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025

Age Cohort Forecast

Primary Driver

Overseas Migration

Net Overseas / yr

+61

Net Internal / yr

-158

0

Gentrification Signal

Not gentrifying

Net internal outflow -158/yr

Safety & Crime

Total Offences

271

Year ending June 2024

Rate per 1,000 People

69.6

Offence Categories

Property and deception offences
135
Crimes against the person
54
Justice procedures offences
41
Drug offences
18

Source: Crime Statistics Agency Victoria / SA Police

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Belgrave compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 14%
Household Income
Top 16%
Rent Level
Top 15%
Apartments
Bottom 1%
Renters
Bottom 7%
Uni Educated
Top 17%
Public Transport
Top 39%
Born Overseas
Top 32%
Density
Top 16%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Belgrave a good suburb to live in?

Belgrave scores decile 9 on both IRSD and IEO, placing it in the top 10% nationally for low disadvantage and high education-occupation advantage. Household income sits at the 83.7th percentile nationally. The trade-off is high car dependence (89.1% drive to work) and mild population decline of 0.4% per year.

What is the median house price in Belgrave?

The median house price is $861,000 as of April-June 2024. Prices have doubled from $410,000 in 2013, a CAGR of 5.4% over 14 years. Monthly mortgage repayments average $1,863, giving a mortgage-to-income ratio of 19.5%, below the standard 30% stress threshold.

What schools are in Belgrave?

No schools are recorded inside the Belgrave boundary in this dataset. Families rely on schools in neighbouring Hills corridor suburbs. The local population is highly educated, with 41.4% holding university qualifications, which is 11.3 points above the national average.

Is Belgrave safe?

Belgrave recorded 271 crimes in the measured period, giving a rate of 69.6 per 1,000 residents. Property and deception offences account for the largest share at 135 incidents, followed by crimes against the person at 54. The suburb scores decile 9 on IRSD, indicating very low overall disadvantage.

Is Belgrave good for property investment?

The 5.0% vacancy rate and 7.2% renter share indicate thin rental demand, and the gross yield is roughly 2.4% against the $861,000 median. However, 14-year price growth of 110% (CAGR 5.4%) and 42.9% rent growth over the period show solid capital appreciation. Population is declining 0.4% annually, so near-term rental demand growth is limited.

How is Belgrave's population changing?

The SA2 population sits at 9,964 in 2025, down from a pre-COVID peak of 10,378. Annual decline is around 40 persons or 0.4%. Net internal migration is negative 158 per year and the medium forecast projects further decline to about 9,730 by 2031. The age profile is shifting: the senior share rose 6.4 points over the decade.

What is the demographic profile of Belgrave?

Belgrave has 3,894 residents with a median age of 38, 2 years below national. Ancestry is strongly Anglo-Celtic led by English (1,771) and Irish (566). University qualifications at 41.4% are 11.3 points above national. Average household size is 2.7, slightly above national, consistent with a family-oriented, owner-occupier community.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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