VIC 3128 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Box Hill South

With 41.4% of residents born overseas and 58.6% holding university qualifications, Box Hill South has a more internationally connected and highly educated profile than the national average. Its 8,491 residents occupy just 3.49 square kilometres, creating a density of 2,432.7 people per square kilometre. Household income sits at the 72.1 percentile, while the median age of 39 is 1 year below the national comparison. Compared with nearby Box Hill, the suburb has a quieter, more detached-home orientation, while Burwood provides a useful family-housing comparison.

Box Hill South urban fabric map

Population

8,491

Median Age

39.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$1,928/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

35

Median House

$1.6M

October to December 2025

3.49 km²· 2,432.7 people/km²· Family income $2,424/wk

The housing mix supports established households, with 66.0% separate houses, 22.6% semi-detached dwellings and 32.6% of homes containing 4 or more bedrooms. A typical mortgage is listed at $2,400 per month, equal to 28.7% of household income, while weekly rent is $425 or 22.0% of income. Compared with apartment-led locations, the suburb gives buyers more access to family-sized homes, but the median price makes deposit capacity the central hurdle. Nearby Box Hill may provide more intensive housing choices, whereas Box Hill South suits buyers prioritising space and a settled streetscape.

For Buyers

The housing mix supports established households, with 66.0% separate houses, 22.6% semi-detached dwellings and 32.6% of homes containing 4 or more bedrooms. A typical mortgage is listed at $2,400 per month, equal to 28.7% of household income, while weekly rent is $425 or 22.0% of income. Compared with apartment-led locations, the suburb gives buyers more access to family-sized homes, but the median price makes deposit capacity the central hurdle. Nearby Box Hill may provide more intensive housing choices, whereas Box Hill South suits buyers prioritising space and a settled streetscape.

For Investors

The investment case combines a $425 weekly median rent with a 27.6% renter share, although the 9.3% vacancy rate is an important holding-cost and leasing risk. Renter households remain lower than the combined outright and mortgaged ownership share of 68.6%, so tenant demand is balanced by a substantial owner-occupier base. Rent growth of 26.1% supports recent income momentum, while 31 development applications in 12 months point to ongoing change that could increase competition for tenants or add local amenity. Overseas migration is the primary growth driver, and the gentrification score of 41 is classified as Active. Compared with a lower-turnover ownership market, the mix can suit investors who accept vacancy variability for premium location exposure.

Development Activity

Total DAs

43

Last 12 Months

35

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

+400.0%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

Subdivision
20
Other
6
Renovation / Extension
6
New Dwelling
3
Tree Removal
3
Swimming Pool / Spa
2
Multi-Dwelling / Townhouse
1
Driveway / Crossover
1

Schools in Box Hill South

Open-register school locations for education access. This is not a school-quality ranking.

Roberts McCubbin Primary School

Primary Government

Demographics

A median age of 39 is 1 year below the national comparison, but the age profile is not especially young: the trajectory is labelled Declining young and the young share has fallen 2.6 percentage points. Overseas-born residents account for 41.4%, which is 19.8 percentage points above the national comparison, while university attainment reaches 58.6%, or 28.5 points above national levels. Chinese ancestry is reported for 2,223 people and English ancestry for 2,214; Mandarin is spoken by 653 residents and Cantonese by 197. The average household contains 2.6 people, slightly above the national comparison, and 76.4% stayed at the same address over the relevant period. These patterns support demand for family housing, education and culturally connected services.

Age Distribution

0-14
17.0%
15-24
14.1%
25-44
27.2%
45-64
26.3%
65+
15.3%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
3.6%
2 bed
21.2%
3 bed
42.6%
4+ bed
32.6%

Dwelling Structure

66.0%

Houses

22.6%

Townhouse

11.1%

Apartment

Tenure

Own 32.5% Mortgage 36.1% Rent 27.6% Other 3.7%

Tenure is weighted toward ownership, with 32.5% owned outright and 36.1% mortgaged, compared with 27.6% rented. The dwelling stock is more family-oriented than apartment-heavy: 42.6% have 3 bedrooms and 32.6% have 4 or more, versus 11.1% apartments. Compared with nearby Box Hill's denser profile, Box Hill South is more strongly associated with separate homes and long-term ownership.

Mortgage / mo

$2,400

Rent / wkiABS Census 2021 median across all dwelling types. Current market rents are typically higher.

$425

Census 2021

HH Size

2.6

Personal Income / wk

$788

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

9.3%

Unoccupied

321

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

22.0%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

28.7%

Community Profile

Languages Spoken at Home

Mandarin
653
Canton
197
Greek
70
Hindi
64
Guj
33
Sinhal
33

Ancestry

Chinese
2,223
English
2,214
Other
945
Irish
792
Scottish
691
Indian
360

Household Composition

51.5%

Couples with children

31.4%

Couples, no children

15.0%

Single parent

2,225

Total families

Economy & Employment

Healthcare is the largest industry at 17.0% or 563 workers, followed by Education at 14.0% or 463, Professional and Technical services at 13.2% or 436, Retail at 7.7% or 254, and Construction at 6.8% or 226. Professionals number 1,459 and managers 705, helping explain the suburb's high education and occupation score of decile 9. Labour-force participation is 65.1%, unemployment is 5.7%, and the full-time rate is 57.2%. Household income is at the 72.1 percentile. The contrast between IEO decile 9, IER decile 2, IRSD decile 4 and IRSAD decile 7 suggests strong skills and professional employment alongside uneven access to economic resources. That gap is important because premium housing costs can sit above the financial capacity of some households.

Unemployment

5.7%

Labour Force

4,589

Unemployed

263

Source: ABS Census 2021

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Overall advantage
7
Disadvantage
4
Economic resources
2
Education & occupation
9

Full-time

57.2%

Part-time

37.0%

Participation

65.1%

Employed

4,326

Full-time and part-time are shares of the employed. Source: ABS Census 2021

Occupations

Professionals 1,459
Managers 705
Clerical/Admin 536
Community/Personal 421
Trades 399
Sales 379
Labourers 250
Machinery/Drivers 117

Top Industries

Healthcare 17.0%
Education 14.0%
Professional/Tech 13.2%
Retail 7.7%
Construction 6.8%

University

58.6%

Postgraduate

20.2%

Born Overseas

41.4%

Dwellings

3,133

Transport to Work

Daily travel is car-oriented: 48.0% drive as car passengers or drivers, compared with 3.9% using public transport and 2.3% walking or cycling, while 42.0% work from home. That pattern suits households seeking space but makes proximity to frequent transport more important than in higher-transit suburbs. One local government primary school, Roberts McCubbin Primary School, is listed; families should check enrolment zones against the exact address and investigate nearby options across the wider area. Recorded crime totals 456 incidents, including 376 property and deception offences, for a rate of 53.7 per 1,000 residents. The IRSAD score is decile 7, above the midpoint, indicating generally favourable social and economic conditions despite the crime profile. Compared with more apartment-focused areas, the lower public-transport share reinforces the value of a car or flexible work arrangements.

Drive

48.0%

Public Transport

3.9%

Walk / Cycle

2.3%

Work from Home

42.0%

Population Forecast

+2.06%/yr

(+560 people/yr)

Established

Growth across the wider area is forecast at 2.06% annually, below Box Hill South's long-run house-price CAGR of 3.8%, indicating that population momentum may be steadier than past price escalation. Overseas migration is the primary driver, while the trajectory is labelled Declining young, with the young share down 2.6 percentage points and the working share up 4.1 points. Population change across the wider area runs at 31.5% over 10 years. Gentrification is classified as Active with a score of 41, following an earlier Early signs score of 38. These signals point to continued upgrading and demand, because migration and professional employment can support services and housing turnover, while the declining young profile may gradually increase demand for established family and downsizer stock.

Historical + Forecast

Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025

Age Cohort Forecast

Primary Driver

Overseas Migration

Net Overseas / yr

+1,242

Net Internal / yr

-252

41

Gentrification Signal

Active

Population +49% since 2011, Net internal outflow -252/yr, Strong overseas inflow +1242/yr, Accelerating: 14% → 31%

Safety & Crime

Total Offences

456

Year ending June 2024

Rate per 1,000 People

53.7

Offence Categories

Property and deception offences
376
Justice procedures offences
36
Crimes against the person
29
Drug offences
8

Source: Crime Statistics Agency Victoria / SA Police

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Box Hill South compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 6%
Household Income
Top 28%
Rent Level
Top 12%
Apartments
Top 7%
Renters
Top 24%
Uni Educated
Top 5%
Public Transport
Top 34%
Born Overseas
Top 5%
Density
Top 6%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Box Hill South a good suburb to live in?

Box Hill South can suit households seeking premium family housing, professional employment and a quieter setting near Box Hill. It has 8,491 residents, a 39 median age and an IRSAD decile of 7, but public transport use is only 3.9%, so car access remains important.

What schools are in Box Hill South?

There is 1 listed local school: Roberts McCubbin Primary School, a government primary school. School zones can cross practical boundaries, so families should confirm the enrolment area for the exact address and check nearby schools before committing to a property.

Is Box Hill South safe?

Recorded crime totalled 456 incidents, equal to 53.7 offences per 1,000 residents. Property and deception offences accounted for 376 incidents, while crimes against the person accounted for 29. Review the exact street and recent local trends before making a decision.

Is Box Hill South good for property investment?

It may suit investors seeking premium housing exposure, with a $425 weekly median rent and 26.1% rent growth. However, the 9.3% vacancy rate is a watchpoint, while 31 development applications in 12 months could change local supply and tenant competition.

How is Box Hill South's population changing?

The suburb has 8,491 residents today, while population change across the wider area is forecast at 31.5% over 10 years and annual growth at 2.06%. Overseas migration is the primary driver, although the young share has declined by 2.6 percentage points.

What languages are spoken in Box Hill South?

Mandarin is spoken by 653 residents and Cantonese by 197. The overseas-born share is 41.4%, which is 19.8 percentage points above the national comparison. Greek, Hindi and Gujarati are also recorded among the main non-English languages.

What development is occurring in Box Hill South?

There were 31 development applications in the past 12 months, primarily recorded as planning permits. The volume indicates ongoing change, but individual dwelling totals and project details should be confirmed with the relevant council before relying on a specific proposal.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), Valuer-General Victoria (house prices), state education open registers (school locations), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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