VIC 3995 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Cape Paterson

A median age of 55 and a 58% vacancy rate tell the same story: Cape Paterson is overwhelmingly a holiday and retirement destination rather than a primary-residence suburb. The permanent population of 1,111 lives in a coastal township 15.8 km2 in area, and 57.3% of households own their home outright, well above the national norm, reflecting a settled, mortgage-free older cohort. Despite household incomes sitting at only the 29.8th percentile nationally, the median house price reached $1,085,000 in the April-June 2024 quarter, because most buyers are acquiring holiday or retirement properties, not everyday homes. The stock is 97.4% separate houses, and development is minimal at just 3 applications in the past 12 months.

Cape Paterson urban fabric map

Population

1,111

Median Age

55.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$1,285/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

4

Median House

$1.1M

Apr-Jun 2024

15.8 km²· 70.3 people/km²· Family income $1,632/wk

The median house price of $1,085,000 in April-June 2024 reflects strong long-run capital growth: prices have risen 222% from $337,000 in 2013, a CAGR of 8.7% over 14 years that outpaces many comparable coastal VIC markets. Three-bedroom homes dominate at 54.3% of dwellings, with 4-plus bedroom properties at 31.7%. Monthly mortgage repayments average $1,517, and the mortgage-to-income ratio sits at 27.3%, below the 30% stress threshold, because buyers typically bring significant equity. Outright owners at 57.3% far outnumber mortgage holders at 25.3%, signalling that the suburb is held by established, wealth-accumulators rather than first-home buyers. The stock is 97.4% detached houses, so apartment alternatives are essentially absent.

For Buyers

The median house price of $1,085,000 in April-June 2024 reflects strong long-run capital growth: prices have risen 222% from $337,000 in 2013, a CAGR of 8.7% over 14 years that outpaces many comparable coastal VIC markets. Three-bedroom homes dominate at 54.3% of dwellings, with 4-plus bedroom properties at 31.7%. Monthly mortgage repayments average $1,517, and the mortgage-to-income ratio sits at 27.3%, below the 30% stress threshold, because buyers typically bring significant equity. Outright owners at 57.3% far outnumber mortgage holders at 25.3%, signalling that the suburb is held by established, wealth-accumulators rather than first-home buyers. The stock is 97.4% detached houses, so apartment alternatives are essentially absent.

For Investors

The 58% vacancy rate is the dominant investment fact here: more than half of all dwellings are unoccupied at any given Census point, consistent with a holiday-home market where properties sit empty between visits. Weekly rent averages $300, low compared to the $1,085,000 median, implying a gross yield below 1.5% even at full occupancy. Permanent renters account for only 17.4% of dwellings, a thin tenant base. Development activity is negligible at 3 applications in 12 months, limiting supply pressure but also signalling limited growth in demand. The investment case rests entirely on capital appreciation, which at an 8.7% CAGR over 14 years has been strong, rather than on rental income.

Development Activity

Total DAs

7

Last 12 Months

4

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

+300.0%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

Other
3
Subdivision
2

Demographics

The median age of 55 is 15 years above the national figure, one of the most pronounced aging profiles in coastal Victoria. Couples without children account for 41.6% of families, consistent with the post-family retirement lifestyle the suburb attracts. The overseas-born share of 14.3% is 7.3 points below the national average, and ancestry is strongly Anglo-Celtic: English (494), Scottish (183), and Irish (181) account for the top three groups. University qualifications reach 34.4% of residents, which is 4.3 points above national, reflecting the professional backgrounds common among sea-change retirees. Average household size of 2.2 is 0.3 below national, matching the predominance of couples and single retirees over families with children.

Age Distribution

0-14
12.2%
15-24
7.6%
25-44
17.4%
45-64
32.0%
65+
30.7%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
1.1%
2 bed
12.9%
3 bed
54.3%
4+ bed
31.7%

Dwelling Structure

97.4%

Houses

1.9%

Townhouse

0.6%

Apartment

Tenure

Own 57.3% Mortgage 25.3% Rent 17.4%

Cape Paterson's housing stock is almost entirely detached houses at 97.4%, higher than the national average where apartments and semi-detached dwellings form a much larger share. The tenure split is skewed toward outright ownership at 57.3%, with mortgage holders at 25.3% and renters at just 17.4%. Prices climbed from $337,000 in 2013 to $1,085,000 by April-June 2024, a 222% total gain. The recent price trajectory shows acceleration: from $745,000 in October-December 2023 to $830,000 in January-March 2024 and $1,085,000 by June 2024. Three-bedroom homes at 54.3% form the core stock, with 4-plus bedroom properties at 31.7%.

Median House Price Trend

Source: State Valuer-General

Mortgage / mo

$1,517

Rent / wk

$300

HH Size

2.2

Personal Income / wk

$656

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

58.0%

Unoccupied

652

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

23.3%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

27.3%

Community Profile

Languages Spoken at Home

Italian
11

Ancestry

English
494
Scottish
183
Irish
181
Italian
68
German
55
Other
47

Household Composition

41.6%

Couples, no children

822

Total families

Economy & Employment

The local workforce is small relative to population because 448 residents are not in the labour force, consistent with a suburb where retirees form a significant share. Healthcare leads industries at 22.4% of workers (79 people), followed by Construction at 15.6% (55 people) and Education at 13.0% (46 people). Professional/Tech accounts for 9.6%. By occupation, Professionals are the largest group at 113 workers, followed by Managers at 74. The unemployment rate of 3.1% is low, but the participation rate of only 47.2% is well below the national level because of the retired population base. Full-time employment accounts for 52.8% of those employed. Household income at the 29.8th percentile nationally is below average, partly because much of the wealth is held in property rather than wages.

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Full-time

52.8%

Part-time

44.1%

Participation

47.2%

Employed

445

Occupations

Professionals 113
Managers 74
Community/Personal 63
Clerical/Admin 59
Sales 44
Labourers 37
Machinery/Drivers 10

Top Industries

Healthcare 22.4%
Construction 15.6%
Education 13.0%
Professional/Tech 9.6%
Public Admin 8.5%

University

34.4%

Postgraduate

9.3%

Born Overseas

14.3%

Dwellings

464

Transport to Work

Cape Paterson is car-dependent: 91.1% of residents drive to work, and public transport figures are not recorded, consistent with a rural coastal location with limited transit infrastructure. Walking and cycling account for 3.0% of commutes, reflecting flat coastal terrain. Crime totals 89 incidents per year at a rate of 80.1 per 1,000 residents; property and deception offences lead at 36 incidents, followed by justice procedures at 30. The 80.1 per 1,000 rate is elevated compared to low-crime suburban benchmarks, though the small permanent population of 1,111 amplifies the rate mathematically. No schools are recorded within the suburb boundary, so families rely on services in nearby Bass and Wonthaggi. Volunteering is notably high at 24.0%, above typical national levels, consistent with an engaged, time-rich retiree community. Only 4.7% of residents need daily assistance.

Drive

91.1%

Public Transport

N/A

Walk / Cycle

3.0%

Work from Home

N/A

Safety & Crime

Total Offences

89

Year ending June 2024

Rate per 1,000 People

80.1

Offence Categories

Property and deception offences
36
Justice procedures offences
30
Crimes against the person
18
Public order and security offences
4

Source: Crime Statistics Agency Victoria / SA Police

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Cape Paterson compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 27%
Household Income
Bottom 30%
Rent Level
Top 41%
Apartments
Bottom 13%
Renters
Bottom 41%
Uni Educated
Top 26%
Born Overseas
Top 50%
Density
Top 28%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Cape Paterson a good suburb to live in?

Cape Paterson suits retirees and lifestyle buyers well. A median age of 55, 57.3% outright ownership, and 24% volunteering rate reflect an engaged, settled community. Trade-offs include car dependency (91.1% drive to work), no recorded schools, and a 58% vacancy rate that indicates most properties are holiday homes rather than full-time residences.

What is the median house price in Cape Paterson?

The median house price reached $1,085,000 in the April-June 2024 quarter, up from $337,000 in 2013, a 222% gain at an 8.7% annual compound rate over 14 years. Weekly rent averages $300 and monthly mortgage repayments are around $1,517.

What schools are in Cape Paterson?

No schools are recorded within the Cape Paterson suburb boundary in this dataset. Families rely on schools in neighbouring towns such as Bass and Wonthaggi. The suburb's median age of 55 and dominance of couples without children means school access is a lower priority for most permanent residents than in family-oriented suburbs.

Is Cape Paterson safe?

Recorded crime totals 89 incidents per year, a rate of 80.1 per 1,000 residents. Property and deception offences account for 36 of those incidents, followed by justice procedures at 30 and crimes against the person at 18. The rate is elevated in per-capita terms partly because the permanent population of 1,111 is small while holiday visitors add unrecorded exposure.

Is Cape Paterson good for property investment?

The capital growth case is strong: prices grew 222% over 14 years at an 8.7% CAGR. However, weekly rent of $300 against a $1,085,000 median implies a gross yield below 1.5%, and the 58% vacancy rate means most dwellings are not available for long-term rental. Returns depend on capital appreciation rather than rental income.

How is Cape Paterson's population changing?

The permanent population is 1,111, a small and stable base reflective of a coastal holiday community rather than a growing suburb. The median age of 55 is 15 years above the national figure, and 41.6% of families are couples without children, suggesting the resident base will continue aging rather than expanding through family formation.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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