VIC 3464 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Carisbrook

A median house price of $665,000 in a town of 1,192 people spread across 116 square kilometres tells the Carisbrook story clearly: low density, high owner-occupancy, and property values that have risen 70.5% from $390,000 since mid-2023. The median age of 45 is 5 years above the national figure, and 85.2% of residents stayed in the same address over the period, pointing to a stable, established community rather than one in flux. Household income sits at the 25th percentile nationally, yet mortgage-to-income at 20.9% remains below the stress threshold, because prices here are still moderate compared to metro markets.

Carisbrook urban fabric map

Population

1,192

Median Age

45.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$1,205/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

2

Median House

$665K

Apr-Jun 2024

116.27 km²· 10.3 people/km²· Family income $1,542/wk

The $665,000 median house price as of April to June 2024 is the peak in a run that started at $390,000 in mid-2023, a 70.5% move over roughly four years at a compound annual growth rate of 14.3%. Stock is overwhelmingly detached houses at 94.9%, so buyers are not competing across property types. Three-bedroom homes dominate at 53.2%, followed by four-plus bedrooms at 30.1%, giving families genuine room. Monthly mortgage repayments average $1,092, which produces a mortgage-to-income ratio of 20.9%, well below the 30% stress threshold and lower than most comparable regional Victorian towns. Outright owners at 45.8% outnumber those with a mortgage at 41.1%, a sign that much of the housing stock is held by long-term, debt-free residents rather than recent entrants.

For Buyers

The $665,000 median house price as of April to June 2024 is the peak in a run that started at $390,000 in mid-2023, a 70.5% move over roughly four years at a compound annual growth rate of 14.3%. Stock is overwhelmingly detached houses at 94.9%, so buyers are not competing across property types. Three-bedroom homes dominate at 53.2%, followed by four-plus bedrooms at 30.1%, giving families genuine room. Monthly mortgage repayments average $1,092, which produces a mortgage-to-income ratio of 20.9%, well below the 30% stress threshold and lower than most comparable regional Victorian towns. Outright owners at 45.8% outnumber those with a mortgage at 41.1%, a sign that much of the housing stock is held by long-term, debt-free residents rather than recent entrants.

For Investors

The rental market in Carisbrook is thin: only 13.1% of dwellings are rented, compared to the national renter share of around 30%, and weekly rent sits at $223. Against the $665,000 median that implies a gross yield near 1.7%, which is low by regional Victorian standards. The vacancy rate of 8.6% is elevated and signals weak rental demand, so investors relying on occupancy should note the risk. Development activity is minimal with just 2 applications in the past 12 months, both subdivision permits rather than new dwellings, so no supply pipeline will dilute values. The 70.5% price growth from trough to latest peak is compelling, though with household incomes in the 25th percentile nationally, further rapid appreciation depends on sustained buyer interest from outside the local wage base.

Development Activity

Total DAs

7

Last 12 Months

2

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

0.0%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

Subdivision
4

Schools in Carisbrook iICSEA: school advantage index. 1000 = national avg, higher = more advantaged

Carisbrook Primary School

ICSEA 949 Primary Government

Prep-6 · 228 students

Demographics

The median age of 45 is 5 years above the national figure, which explains the low participation rate of 51.2% and the 372 residents not in the labour force. Overseas-born residents make up 7.4% of the population, which is 14.2 percentage points below the national rate, consistent with the Anglo-Celtic ancestry profile led by English (578), Irish (148) and Scottish (128). University qualifications reach only 16.7% of residents, which is 13.4 points below the national average, reflecting the regional and working-class character of local employment. Average household size is 2.5, matching the national figure. Volunteering stands at 22.4%, which is above typical metro benchmarks, suggesting strong civic participation despite the relatively small population of 1,192.

Age Distribution

0-14
19.5%
15-24
10.2%
25-44
20.3%
45-64
27.9%
65+
23.3%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
4.6%
2 bed
12.0%
3 bed
53.2%
4+ bed
30.1%

Dwelling Structure

94.9%

Houses

4.0%

Townhouse

N/A

Apartment

Tenure

Own 45.8% Mortgage 41.1% Rent 13.1%

Owner-occupancy is the defining tenure feature: 45.8% own outright and 41.1% carry a mortgage, leaving only 13.1% renting. This ownership concentration is notably higher than the national average and reflects a long-settled population with a turnover rate of just 14.8%. The stock is 94.9% separate houses with 4.0% semi-detached and no significant apartment component, making it one of the most detached-dominant housing markets in regional Victoria. Prices moved from $390,000 in mid-2023 to $665,000 by mid-2024, a 70.5% rise over the period. Rent stress is absent with rent-to-income at 18.5% and mortgage stress is also absent at 20.9%, meaning housing costs remain affordable relative to incomes at both ends of the tenure spectrum.

Median House Price Trend

Source: State Valuer-General

Mortgage / mo

$1,092

Rent / wk

$223

HH Size

2.5

Personal Income / wk

$603

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

8.6%

Unoccupied

42

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

18.5%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

20.9%

Community Profile

Ancestry

English
578
Irish
148
Scottish
128
Ancestry NS
70
Italian
52
German
35

Household Composition

29.9%

Couples, no children

939

Total families

Economy & Employment

Healthcare dominates local employment at 25.3% of workers (71 people), followed by Agriculture and Education tied at 10.7% each (30 workers apiece), then Public Administration at 10.0% and Construction at 8.9%. By occupation, Community and Personal Service roles lead at 82 workers, followed by Managers (69) and Labourers (67), a mix consistent with a regional service-and-farming economy. The unemployment rate is 4.3%, broadly in line with national figures, and the full-time employment rate among those working is 55.2%. Household income sits at the 25th percentile nationally, which is low, but housing costs track income, keeping mortgage and rent stress below threshold. SEIFA decile data is not available for this suburb.

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Full-time

55.2%

Part-time

40.5%

Participation

51.2%

Employed

473

Occupations

Community/Personal 82
Managers 69
Labourers 67
Sales 55
Clerical/Admin 53
Professionals 46
Machinery/Drivers 41

Top Industries

Healthcare 25.3%
Agriculture 10.7%
Education 10.7%
Public Admin 10.0%
Construction 8.9%

University

16.7%

Postgraduate

2.7%

Born Overseas

7.4%

Dwellings

447

Transport to Work

Car dependence is near-total: 89.4% of residents drive to work and public transport accounts for just 1.0%, which is typical for a regional town 116 kilometres from Melbourne. Walking and cycling together account for 2.5%. Crime data shows 105 total incidents at a rate of 88.1 per 1,000 residents, led by property and deception offences (51 incidents) and justice procedures offences (22). The 7.0% rate of residents needing daily assistance (79 people) is above the national average, consistent with the older median age of 45. No schools are recorded within the Carisbrook boundary in the dataset, so families draw on facilities in neighbouring towns. The housing stress indicators are positive: rent-to-income at 18.5% and mortgage-to-income at 20.9% both sit comfortably below the 30% threshold.

Drive

89.4%

Public Transport

1.0%

Walk / Cycle

2.5%

Work from Home

N/A

Safety & Crime

Total Offences

105

Year ending June 2024

Rate per 1,000 People

88.1

Offence Categories

Property and deception offences
51
Justice procedures offences
22
Crimes against the person
16
Drug offences
9

Source: Crime Statistics Agency Victoria / SA Police

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Carisbrook compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 26%
Household Income
Bottom 25%
Rent Level
Bottom 39%
Renters
Bottom 27%
Uni Educated
Bottom 25%
Public Transport
Bottom 15%
Born Overseas
Bottom 16%
Density
Top 43%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Carisbrook a good suburb to live in?

Carisbrook suits buyers seeking space, low housing costs and stability. With 94.9% detached houses, a mortgage-to-income ratio of 20.9% and 85.2% of residents staying in place, it is a settled community. The median age of 45 is 5 years above the national figure and public transport is limited at 1.0%, so car ownership is essential.

What is the median house price in Carisbrook?

The median house price is $665,000 as of April to June 2024, up 70.5% from $390,000 in mid-2023. Monthly mortgage repayments average $1,092, and the mortgage-to-income ratio of 20.9% sits well below the 30% stress threshold.

What schools are in Carisbrook?

No schools are recorded within the Carisbrook suburb boundary in this dataset. Families in the area rely on schools in nearby towns. Locally, 16.7% of residents hold university qualifications, which is 13.4 percentage points below the national average.

Is Carisbrook safe?

Carisbrook recorded 105 total crime incidents at a rate of 88.1 per 1,000 residents. Property and deception offences account for the largest share at 51 incidents, followed by justice procedures offences at 22. Context matters: the suburb has a population of only 1,192, so individual incidents weigh more heavily on the per-1,000 rate than in larger towns.

Is Carisbrook good for property investment?

The 70.5% price growth from $390,000 to $665,000 since mid-2023 is strong, but rental fundamentals are weak. Only 13.1% of dwellings are rented versus the national average of around 30%, weekly rent is $223, and the vacancy rate is 8.6%. With household incomes at the 25th percentile nationally, yield and capital growth both carry risk.

How is Carisbrook's population changing?

The population stands at 1,192 across a 116 square kilometre area at a density of 10.3 people per square kilometre. Residential stability is high at 85.2% staying in place. No population forecast data is available for this suburb, and development activity is minimal with only 2 applications in the past 12 months.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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