VIC 3054 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Carlton North

Inner-north Carlton North combines a population of 6,177 with a compact 1.87 square kilometre footprint and density of 3,301.6 people per square kilometre. Its median age of 33 is 7 years below the national figure, while 71.4% of residents hold a university qualification, 41.3 percentage points above the national level. Household income sits at the 90.7th percentile, yet 50.5% of households rent and vacancy is 13.4%, creating a distinctive premium renter market.

Carlton North urban fabric map

Population

6,177

Median Age

33.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$2,400/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

62

Median House

$1.8M

October to December 2025

1.87 km²· 3,301.6 people/km²· Family income $3,123/wk

Carlton North suits buyers prioritising inner-city access, established housing and smaller households, but the entry cost is substantial. Housing is dominated by semi-detached dwellings at 71.4%, with 45.1% of stock containing 2 bedrooms and 33.2% containing 3 bedrooms. Compared with a detached-house search in broader Melbourne, buyers should expect a more attached format and tighter floorplans. The 24.1% mortgage-to-income ratio and 23.0% rent-to-income ratio indicate that affordability depends heavily on income, despite both stress flags being false.

For Buyers

Carlton North suits buyers prioritising inner-city access, established housing and smaller households, but the entry cost is substantial. Housing is dominated by semi-detached dwellings at 71.4%, with 45.1% of stock containing 2 bedrooms and 33.2% containing 3 bedrooms. Compared with a detached-house search in broader Melbourne, buyers should expect a more attached format and tighter floorplans. The 24.1% mortgage-to-income ratio and 23.0% rent-to-income ratio indicate that affordability depends heavily on income, despite both stress flags being false.

For Investors

Carlton North presents a renter-led investment profile, with 50.5% of households renting and weekly rent of $552. The 13.4% vacancy rate is high for a tightly settled inner suburb, which can give tenants more choice and make leasing speed more variable than in lower-vacancy markets. Planning activity reached 58 applications over 12 months, including dwelling demolitions and a swimming pool permit. Growth is supported by overseas migration, while forecast rent growth is 7.4%.

Development Activity

Total DAs

68

Last 12 Months

62

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

+1140.0%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

$323K

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

Renovation / Extension
43
Demolition
7
Other
4
Subdivision
3
Garage / Carport / Shed
2
Fencing
2
Roofing
2
Swimming Pool / Spa
2

Schools in Carlton North

Open-register school locations for education access. This is not a school-quality ranking.

Carlton North Primary School

Primary Government

Demographics

Carlton North is younger and more university-educated than the national profile: the median age is 33, or 7 years below national, and university attainment is 71.4%, 41.3 percentage points above national. The overseas-born share is 23.6%, only 2.0 points above the national figure, while average household size is 2.3, or 0.2 below national. English ancestry leads at 2,284 people, followed by Irish at 1,150, Scottish at 818 and Italian at 691. No religion is recorded for 3,952 residents compared with 1,576 identifying with Christianity. A 41.9% turnover rate, alongside a 50.5% renting share, helps explain the suburb's mobile population compared with more settled family districts.

Age Distribution

0-14
10.3%
15-24
13.6%
25-44
42.3%
45-64
19.9%
65+
14.0%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
8.9%
2 bed
45.1%
3 bed
33.2%
4+ bed
12.8%

Dwelling Structure

6.1%

Houses

71.4%

Townhouse

21.0%

Apartment

Tenure

Own 28.4% Mortgage 19.4% Rent 50.5% Other 1.7%

Across 20 quarters, the compound annual growth rate was 3.8%. The tenure mix is renter-heavy at 50.5%, with 28.4% owning outright and 19.4% paying a mortgage. Compared with owner-dominated suburbs, this creates greater turnover and less predictable household stability. Semi-detached dwellings account for 71.4%, apartments 21.0% and separate houses only 6.1%, while 2-bedroom homes represent 45.1% of stock.

Mortgage / mo

$2,500

Rent / wkiMedian weekly rent for new bonds (year ending Sep 2025), Homes Victoria bond data (year-ending median). Census 2021 median: $552.

$760

Bond data year ending Sep 2025 · houses $950 · units $600

HH Size

2.3

Personal Income / wk

$1,208

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

13.4%

Unoccupied

404

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

23.0%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

24.1%

Community Profile

Languages Spoken at Home

Italian
101
Greek
26
French
19
Mandarin
17
German
15
Arabic
14

Ancestry

English
2,284
Irish
1,150
Scottish
818
Other
813
Italian
691
German
280

Household Composition

31.7%

Couples with children

53.8%

Couples, no children

11.1%

Single parent

1,462

Total families

Economy & Employment

Carlton North has a high-income, professional employment base. Household income is $2,400 per week, placing it at the 90.7th percentile, while professionals number 1,968 and managers 616. The largest industries are Professional/Tech at 22.6%, Healthcare at 14.2%, Education at 13.0%, Public Administration at 8.4% and Retail at 6.6%, supporting demand from knowledge workers and public-sector employees. Labour-force participation is 75.6%, unemployment is 3.6% and 60.5% of workers are employed full-time. Compared with the national middle, education and occupational indicators are strongly above average: IEO and IRSD both sit in decile 10. However, IER is only decile 4, showing that measured economic resources are less uniform than the suburb's income and qualification profile suggests.

Unemployment

3.6%

Labour Force

4,193

Unemployed

152

Source: ABS Census 2021

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Overall advantage
10
Disadvantage
10
Economic resources
4
Education & occupation
10

Full-time

60.5%

Part-time

32.8%

Participation

75.6%

Employed

4,041

Full-time and part-time are shares of the employed. Source: ABS Census 2021

Occupations

Professionals 1,968
Managers 616
Clerical/Admin 399
Community/Personal 369
Trades 253
Sales 229
Labourers 85
Machinery/Drivers 46

Top Industries

Professional/Tech 22.6%
Healthcare 14.2%
Education 13.0%
Public Admin 8.4%
Retail 6.6%

University

71.4%

Postgraduate

24.8%

Born Overseas

23.6%

Dwellings

2,612

Transport to Work

Carlton North supports a walkable, work-from-home-oriented lifestyle, with 54.8% of residents working from home, 13.9% walking or cycling to work and 7.0% using public transport. Car driving accounts for 22.9%, while the suburb's 1.87 square kilometre area and density of 3,301.6 people per square kilometre keep daily services relatively concentrated. Carlton North Primary School provides a local government primary option; families should check enrolment zones against the exact address. Safety requires practical awareness: the recorded crime rate is 79.0 per 1,000 people across 488 offences, including 390 property and deception offences versus 46 crimes against the person. Socioeconomic advantage is above the midpoint of the decile scale, with IRSAD in decile 10.

Drive

22.9%

Public Transport

7.0%

Walk / Cycle

13.9%

Work from Home

54.8%

Population Forecast

+2.21%/yr

(+559 people/yr)

Established

Carlton North is classified as an established market, with an annual growth trend of 2.21% and overseas migration identified as the primary driver. Population change across the wider area is 18.1% over 10 years, while the social trajectory is Mixed because the young share has fallen 1.9 percentage points even as the working share rose 9.4 points and the senior share increased 2.8 points. Gentrification is rated Early signs with a score of 20, although another shift measure records a score of 45 and an Active stage. Growth is therefore likely to reflect renewed demand and changing household composition rather than a greenfield expansion. The area also recovered from a COVID-era dip of 18.9%, with recovery measured at 39.2%.

Historical + Forecast

Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025

Age Cohort Forecast

Primary Driver

Overseas Migration

Net Overseas / yr

+2,515

Net Internal / yr

-468

20

Gentrification Signal

Early signs

Net internal outflow -468/yr, Strong overseas inflow +2515/yr, COVID recovered (-19% dip → full recovery)

Safety & Crime

Total Offences

488

Year ending June 2024

Rate per 1,000 People

79.0

Offence Categories

Property and deception offences
390
Crimes against the person
46
Justice procedures offences
23
Drug offences
18

Source: Crime Statistics Agency Victoria / SA Police

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Carlton North compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 9%
Household Income
Top 9%
Rent Level
Top 3%
Apartments
Top 5%
Renters
Top 6%
Uni Educated
Top 1%
Public Transport
Top 15%
Born Overseas
Top 22%
Density
Top 3%

Frequently Asked Questions

What schools are in Carlton North?

Carlton North Primary School is the local government primary school. The local count is 1 school, so families should check the enrolment zone for the exact property before making a decision. Secondary options and other school sectors may require travel beyond the suburb boundary, making address-level planning important.

Is Carlton North safe?

Carlton North recorded 488 offences and a crime rate of 79.0 per 1,000 people. Property and deception offences accounted for 390 cases, substantially higher than the 46 crimes against the person. Residents should use normal inner-city precautions, particularly around property security, while assessing the exact street and surrounding activity.

How is Carlton North's population changing?

The suburb has 6,177 residents today, while population change across the wider area is 18.1% over 10 years. The annual growth trend is 2.21% and overseas migration is the primary driver. The trajectory is Mixed: the young share fell 1.9 percentage points, the senior share rose 2.8 points and the working share increased 9.4 points.

What development is happening in Carlton North?

There were 58 development applications over the past 12 months, indicating active planning activity in an established suburb. Recent examples include demolition of existing dwellings and outbuildings, plus a swimming pool and safety barrier application. Because dwelling counts were not specified for these applications, buyers should review the permit details for each address.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), Valuer-General Victoria (house prices), state education open registers (school locations), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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