QLD 4034 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Carseldine

Household income at the 76.7 percentile nationally, SEIFA IRSAD decile 8, and a 43.4% university rate 13.3 percentage points above the national baseline make Carseldine one of Brisbane's most advantaged northern suburbs. Healthcare employment at 22.6% is the highest single-industry share in this batch, consistent with proximity to Prince Charles Hospital. Professionals (1,429) outnumber the second-largest occupational group, Clerical/Admin (721), by two to one. The 4.2% unemployment rate is below the national average, and mortgage-to-income ratio of 22.6% is comfortably below stress thresholds. Population growth of 26.7% over the past decade has not come at the cost of affordability, which improved from 58.4% in 2011 to 51.5% in 2021. Both internal and overseas migration are positive, a rare balance.

Carseldine urban fabric map

Population

10,093

Median Age

41.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$2,048/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

29

Median House

$552K

Estimated from rent (2025)

4.82 km²· 2,092.4 people/km²· Family income $2,358/wk

Detached houses at 71.4% dominate, but semi-detached at 27.5% provides meaningful density alternatives, reflecting infill subdivision in a suburb close to the Carseldine train station. Four-plus bedroom homes at 59.7% are the dominant format, well above the national average. Without a median house price in the brief, the $2,000 monthly mortgage and 22.6% mortgage-to-income ratio provide the affordability signal, sitting well below the 30% stress threshold and lower than most comparable Brisbane northside suburbs. The 4.4% vacancy rate is moderate. Three-bedroom homes at 29.9% offer a secondary stock band. Public transport use at 8.9% is above average for Brisbane's north, supported by the Carseldine station on the Caboolture line. Walking/cycling at just 1.2% is low, reflecting a car-oriented layout.

For Buyers

Detached houses at 71.4% dominate, but semi-detached at 27.5% provides meaningful density alternatives, reflecting infill subdivision in a suburb close to the Carseldine train station. Four-plus bedroom homes at 59.7% are the dominant format, well above the national average. Without a median house price in the brief, the $2,000 monthly mortgage and 22.6% mortgage-to-income ratio provide the affordability signal, sitting well below the 30% stress threshold and lower than most comparable Brisbane northside suburbs. The 4.4% vacancy rate is moderate. Three-bedroom homes at 29.9% offer a secondary stock band. Public transport use at 8.9% is above average for Brisbane's north, supported by the Carseldine station on the Caboolture line. Walking/cycling at just 1.2% is low, reflecting a car-oriented layout.

For Investors

Renters at 28.5% are close to the national average, with median weekly rent of $435 and a vacancy rate of 4.4%. Without a median house price, precise yield calculations are unavailable, but the rent-to-income ratio of 21.2% confirms tenants are comfortably positioned. Fourteen development applications in 12 months include plan sealings and design referrals, suggesting steady but not aggressive densification. Population growth at 1.58% per year, adding 165 persons, is driven by a balanced mix of internal migration (93 per year) and overseas migration (102 per year), a more sustainable growth pattern than suburbs reliant solely on overseas arrivals. The gentrification score of 21 with early signs, driven by 30% population growth since 2011 and positive internal migration, suggests demographic upgrading.

Development Activity

Total DAs

67

Last 12 Months

29

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

+141.7%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

Change of Use
14
Other
12
Subdivision
10
Renovation / Extension
2
Driveway / Crossover
1
Signage / Advertising
1
Tree Removal
1

Demographics

English (3,264) is the largest ancestry group, followed by Irish (1,044), Scottish (934) and Indian (848). The 33.8% overseas-born share is 12.2 percentage points above the national baseline. Malayalam (113 speakers), Punjabi (105), Hindi (86), Cantonese (85) and Mandarin (76) lead the non-English languages, reflecting a growing South Asian community. Christianity at 5,298 is the dominant religion, with Hinduism (582) a distant second. The university rate of 43.4% is 13.3 percentage points above the national baseline, and the IEO decile 8 confirms above-average education and occupation outcomes. Average household size of 2.6 is close to national, and 26.3% of families are couples without children. The median age of 41 sits 1 year above the national figure.

Age Distribution

0-14
17.5%
15-24
11.3%
25-44
26.0%
45-64
22.3%
65+
22.7%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
2.1%
2 bed
8.4%
3 bed
29.9%
4+ bed
59.7%

Dwelling Structure

71.4%

Houses

27.5%

Townhouse

1.0%

Apartment

Tenure

Own 35.8% Mortgage 35.7% Rent 28.5%

The tenure split shows 35.8% outright owners and 35.7% mortgage holders, almost perfectly balanced, with renters at 28.5%. This near-equal owner split suggests a suburb at the transition point where long-established residents coexist with newer purchasers. Detached houses at 71.4% dominate, but the 27.5% semi-detached share is notable and higher than most outer suburbs, reflecting subdivision of larger lots. Four-plus bedroom homes at 59.7% dominate the bedroom distribution, followed by three-bedroom at 29.9%. Without price history, the $2,000 monthly mortgage and 22.6% mortgage-to-income ratio indicate manageable debt service. SEIFA IER decile 8 and IEO decile 8 are well-aligned, unusual compared to suburbs where education and income diverge, confirming that Carseldine residents have both credentials and financial resources.

Mortgage / mo

$2,000

Rent / wk

$435

HH Size

2.6

Personal Income / wk

$856

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

4.4%

Unoccupied

168

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

21.2%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

22.6%

Community Profile

Languages Spoken at Home

Malayalam
113
Punjabi
105
Hindi
86
Canton
85
Mandarin
76
Italian
58

Ancestry

English
3,264
Other
1,560
Irish
1,044
Scottish
934
Indian
848
Chinese
542

Household Composition

26.3%

Couples, no children

8,209

Total families

Economy & Employment

Healthcare dominates at 22.6% (792 workers), the highest single-industry concentration in this batch, driven by proximity to Prince Charles Hospital and allied health services. Professional/Tech at 11.7%, Education at 10.7%, Public Administration at 9.3% and Construction at 7.2% complete the top five. Professionals (1,429) lead occupations by a wide margin, with Managers (587) and Clerical/Admin (721) forming a professional-administrative core. The 4.2% unemployment rate is below the national average, and the participation rate of 56.0% is moderate. SEIFA readings are consistently strong: IEO decile 8, IER decile 8, IRSD decile 9 and IRSAD decile 8. Real income grew 9.6% over the decade, positive but below the inflation rate, suggesting real wages have been roughly flat rather than genuinely increasing.

Unemployment

3.0%

Labour Force

6,030

Unemployed

181

Quarterly Trend

Mar-24 Dec-25

Source: SALM Dec-25

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Overall advantage
8
Disadvantage
9
Economic resources
8
Education & occupation
8

Full-time

66.4%

Part-time

29.4%

Participation

56.0%

Employed

4,463

Occupations

Professionals 1,429
Clerical/Admin 721
Managers 587
Community/Personal 577
Sales 411
Labourers 322
Machinery/Drivers 239

Top Industries

Healthcare 22.6%
Professional/Tech 11.7%
Education 10.7%
Public Admin 9.3%
Construction 7.2%

University

43.4%

Postgraduate

11.0%

Born Overseas

33.8%

Dwellings

3,627

Transport to Work

Public transport at 8.9% is above Brisbane's northern corridor average, supported by Carseldine station on the Caboolture line. Car driving at 84.2% remains the primary commute mode, and walking/cycling at 1.2% is low. No schools are listed within the suburb boundary, which may indicate residents rely on schools in adjacent suburbs such as Aspley or Bridgeman Downs. The SEIFA IRSAD decile 8 and IRSD decile 9 place Carseldine in the top quartile for overall advantage and low disadvantage. The 8.7% need-for-assistance rate is above the national average, possibly reflecting an ageing long-term owner cohort. The 14.6% volunteering rate is near the national average, and the 22.6% mortgage-to-income ratio confirms low financial stress.

Drive

84.2%

Public Transport

8.9%

Walk / Cycle

1.2%

Work from Home

N/A

Population Forecast

+1.58%/yr

(+165 people/yr)

Established

Population grew 26.7% over the past decade, with a trend rate of 1.58% per year adding 165 persons annually. Medium projections reach 11,580 by 2031 from 10,472 in 2025. Uniquely in this batch, both internal migration (+93 per year) and overseas migration (+102 per year) are positive, producing a balanced growth pattern that is more sustainable than single-source dependency. The young share has increased 2.1 percentage points over the decade while senior share has risen only 0.4 points, a mixed trajectory that keeps the age profile relatively stable. The gentrification score of 21 with early signs, driven by 30% population growth and positive internal migration, suggests families are actively choosing to move into the suburb.

Historical + Forecast

Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025

Age Cohort Forecast

Primary Driver

Balanced

Net Overseas / yr

+102

Net Internal / yr

+93

21

Gentrification Signal

Early signs

Population +30% since 2011, Net internal migration +93/yr

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Carseldine compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 4%
Household Income
Top 23%
Rent Level
Top 11%
Apartments
Bottom 21%
Renters
Top 31%
Uni Educated
Top 14%
Public Transport
Top 15%
Born Overseas
Top 10%
Density
Top 8%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Carseldine a good suburb to live in?

Carseldine ranks IRSAD decile 8, in the top quartile nationally. Household income is at the 76.7 percentile, mortgage stress at just 22.6% is well below the 30% threshold, and 8.9% public transport use is above Brisbane average via Carseldine station. The 4.2% unemployment rate is below national average. Trade-off: no schools are recorded within the suburb boundary.

What is the median house price in Carseldine?

Specific median house price data is not available for Carseldine in the current dataset. The median monthly mortgage is $2,000, producing a mortgage-to-income ratio of 22.6%, well below the 30% stress threshold. Median weekly rent is $435 with a vacancy rate of 4.4%. The SEIFA IER decile 8 confirms strong economic resources among households.

What schools are in Carseldine?

No schools are listed within the Carseldine suburb boundary in the current dataset. Residents typically access schools in adjacent suburbs. The IEO decile 8 reading confirms above-average education and occupation outcomes among adult residents, with a 43.4% university rate sitting 13.3 percentage points above the national baseline.

Is Carseldine safe?

Crime-specific data is not available for Carseldine in the current dataset. However, the IRSD decile 9 (second-highest decile for low disadvantage) and IRSAD decile 8 readings are among the strongest in this batch. The 4.2% unemployment rate is below the national average. These socioeconomic indicators typically correlate with lower crime rates.

Is Carseldine good for property investment?

Carseldine's 28.5% renter share and 4.4% vacancy rate suggest steady tenant demand. The rent-to-income ratio of 21.2% means tenants are comfortable. Both internal (+93/yr) and overseas (+102/yr) migration are positive, a rare balanced growth pattern. Population grew 26.7% over the decade. The gentrification score of 21 with early signs indicates demographic upgrading is underway.

How is Carseldine's population changing?

Population grew from 10,175 in 2023 to 10,472 in 2025, a 1.58% annual rate adding 165 persons per year. Medium projections reach 11,580 by 2031. Uniquely, both internal (+93/yr) and overseas (+102/yr) migration are positive. Population grew 26.7% over the decade with a gentrification score of 21 showing early signs. Young share increased 2.1 percentage points.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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