VIC 3450 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Castlemaine

The median age of 52 is 12 years above national, the oldest in this batch by a wide margin. Yet university qualifications at 40.2% are 10.1 points above the national average, creating a profile that is simultaneously older and more educated than typical regional towns. Outright ownership at 50.4% is the highest in this batch, confirming an asset-rich, income-poor population (household income percentile of 17.8, the lowest in this group). Rents grew 55.6% over the decade while prices doubled from $372,500 to $750,000, a CAGR of 5.1%. Castlemaine is a tree-change destination where cultural capital runs higher than financial capital.

Castlemaine urban fabric map

Population

7,506

Median Age

52.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$1,106/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

23

Median House

$750K

Apr-Jun 2024

19.81 km²· 378.9 people/km²· Family income $1,633/wk

The $750,000 median (Apr-Jun 2024) sits just 1.3% below the $760,000 peak (Jan-Mar 2024), a minor correction. Over 14 years from $372,500, the CAGR of 5.1% matches the long-term national average. Mortgage repayments of $1,362/month produce a 28.4% mortgage-to-income ratio, near stress levels. Houses at 92.5% dominate with 48.4% being 3-bedroom and 28.8% two-bedroom. Five schools serve the suburb: Castlemaine North Primary (ICSEA 1,117, 278), Winters Flat Primary (1,078, 115), Castlemaine Primary (1,054, 178), Castlemaine Secondary College (1,040, 695) and St Mary's (Catholic, 1,033, 64). All above benchmark.

For Buyers

The $750,000 median (Apr-Jun 2024) sits just 1.3% below the $760,000 peak (Jan-Mar 2024), a minor correction. Over 14 years from $372,500, the CAGR of 5.1% matches the long-term national average. Mortgage repayments of $1,362/month produce a 28.4% mortgage-to-income ratio, near stress levels. Houses at 92.5% dominate with 48.4% being 3-bedroom and 28.8% two-bedroom. Five schools serve the suburb: Castlemaine North Primary (ICSEA 1,117, 278), Winters Flat Primary (1,078, 115), Castlemaine Primary (1,054, 178), Castlemaine Secondary College (1,040, 695) and St Mary's (Catholic, 1,033, 64). All above benchmark.

For Investors

Only 24.1% of residents rent, limiting the tenant pool. Weekly rent of $300 against $750,000 gives a gross yield of 2.1%, very low. The 9.8% vacancy rate is the second highest in this batch, a significant concern. Development activity at 24 DAs in 12 months is moderate. Net internal migration at +109/year is positive, rare for a regional town, meaning Castlemaine attracts domestic movers. Overseas migration is minimal at +26/year. The gentrification score of 34 (early signs) indicates the tree-change wave is still building. Population grew 12.8% over 10 years, above the regional average. Rents grew 55.6% over the decade.

Development Activity

Total DAs

56

Last 12 Months

23

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

+76.9%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

Subdivision
21
Other
14
Commercial / Industrial
1

Schools in Castlemaine iICSEA: school advantage index. 1000 = national avg, higher = more advantaged

Castlemaine North Primary School

ICSEA 1117 Primary Government

Prep-6 · 278 students

Winters Flat Primary School

ICSEA 1078 Primary Government

Prep-6 · 115 students

Castlemaine Primary School

ICSEA 1054 Primary Government

Prep-6 · 178 students

Castlemaine Secondary College

ICSEA 1040 Secondary Government

7-12 · 695 students

St Mary's School

ICSEA 1033 Primary Catholic

Prep-6 · 64 students

Demographics

At 52, the median age is 12 years above national, the oldest in this batch. The senior share grew 8.6 points, the steepest aging trajectory. Overseas-born at 15.5% is 6.1 points below national: English (3,093), Irish (1,277) and Scottish (1,078) form a heavily Anglo-Celtic base. German (19) and French (12) are the only notable non-English languages. University qualifications at 40.2% are 10.1 points above national, high for a regional town. The 28.5% volunteering rate is the highest in this batch, consistent with a culturally engaged community. Average household size of 2.0 is 0.5 below national.

Age Distribution

0-14
12.6%
15-24
6.8%
25-44
21.5%
45-64
26.9%
65+
32.2%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
5.6%
2 bed
28.8%
3 bed
48.4%
4+ bed
17.2%

Dwelling Structure

92.5%

Houses

6.7%

Townhouse

0.3%

Apartment

Tenure

Own 50.4% Mortgage 25.4% Rent 24.1%

Outright owners at 50.4% dominate, the highest share in this batch, reflecting the older, asset-rich population. Mortgage holders at 25.4% and renters at 24.1% follow. Houses at 92.5% are near total, with no meaningful apartment stock (0.3%). Three-bedroom (48.4%) and 2-bedroom (28.8%) account for 77.2%. Prices grew from $372,500 to $750,000 (CAGR 5.1%) over 14 years, peaking at $760,000 before a 1.3% correction. Mortgage stress at 28.4% is near the threshold. Rent stress at 27.1% is elevated. The 80.9% residential stability is above the national average. The high outright ownership means most residents have no mortgage exposure to rate rises.

Median House Price Trend

Source: State Valuer-General

Mortgage / mo

$1,362

Rent / wk

$300

HH Size

2.0

Personal Income / wk

$668

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

9.8%

Unoccupied

345

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

27.1%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

28.4%

Community Profile

Languages Spoken at Home

German
19
French
12

Ancestry

English
3,093
Irish
1,277
Ancestry NS
1,121
Scottish
1,078
Other
462
German
374

Household Composition

38.0%

Couples, no children

4,670

Total families

Economy & Employment

Healthcare leads at 21.1% (437 workers), Education at 15.7% (325), Public Admin at 10.4% (215), Professional/Tech at 10.2% (210) and Manufacturing at 7.4% (152). Professionals (938) strongly dominate occupations, 2.7 times the next group (Managers at 346). The full-time employment rate of 48.8% is the lowest in this batch, reflecting high part-time and self-employment in creative and service roles. Unemployment at 4.1% is low. Participation at 41.6% is very low, driven by the older demographic. The 3,081 not in the labour force represent 41% of the population. IRSAD decile 5 places the suburb at the national midpoint.

Unemployment

3.5%

Labour Force

5,084

Unemployed

179

Quarterly Trend

Mar-24 Dec-25

Source: SALM Dec-25

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Overall advantage
5
Disadvantage
5
Economic resources
4
Education & occupation
7

Full-time

48.8%

Part-time

47.1%

Participation

41.6%

Employed

2,615

Occupations

Professionals 938
Managers 346
Community/Personal 326
Labourers 277
Clerical/Admin 270
Sales 192
Machinery/Drivers 91

Top Industries

Healthcare 21.1%
Education 15.7%
Public Admin 10.4%
Professional/Tech 10.2%
Manufacturing 7.4%

University

40.2%

Postgraduate

13.3%

Born Overseas

15.5%

Dwellings

3,165

Transport to Work

Walking/cycling at 14.4% is the highest in this batch, reflecting the compact township form. Car driving at 77.2% is below average. Public transport at 2.6% is low, though V/Line rail provides Melbourne access. Five schools all above the 1,000 ICSEA benchmark: Castlemaine North Primary (1,117, 278), Winters Flat Primary (1,078, 115), Castlemaine Primary (1,054, 178), Castlemaine Secondary College (1,040, 695) and St Mary's (1,033, 64). The crime rate of 89.0 per 1,000 is elevated, the highest in this batch, with property offences (417) accounting for 62.4%. IRSAD decile 5 is at the midpoint.

Drive

77.2%

Public Transport

2.6%

Walk / Cycle

14.4%

Work from Home

N/A

Population Forecast

+0.97%/yr

(+94 people/yr)

Established

Population growth at 0.97% per year (94 persons) is moderate for regional Victoria. The ERP reached 9,675 in 2025, with medium forecasts projecting 10,124 by 2031. Unusually, internal migration at +109/year is positive (most regional towns lose residents domestically), making Castlemaine a genuine tree-change attractor. Overseas migration is minimal at +26/year. The 12.8% 10-year population change is above the regional average. The aging trajectory is the most extreme in this batch: senior share grew 8.6 points, working share fell 4.5 points. Affordability remained stable (42.0% in 2021 vs 40.2% in 2011). Real income grew 20.9%.

Historical + Forecast

Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025

Age Cohort Forecast

Primary Driver

Internal Migration

Net Overseas / yr

+26

Net Internal / yr

+109

34

Gentrification Signal

Early signs

Population +17% since 2011, Net internal migration +109/yr, Accelerating: 4% → 12%

Safety & Crime

Total Offences

668

Year ending June 2024

Rate per 1,000 People

89.0

Offence Categories

Property and deception offences
417
Justice procedures offences
106
Crimes against the person
78
Drug offences
35

Source: Crime Statistics Agency Victoria / SA Police

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Castlemaine compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 7%
Household Income
Bottom 18%
Rent Level
Top 41%
Apartments
Bottom 4%
Renters
Top 40%
Uni Educated
Top 18%
Public Transport
Bottom 42%
Born Overseas
Top 44%
Density
Top 21%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Castlemaine a good suburb to live in?

Castlemaine suits tree-changers valuing walkability (14.4% walk/cycle, highest in this batch) and cultural engagement (28.5% volunteering rate). Five schools all score above the ICSEA 1,000 benchmark. However, the crime rate of 89.0 per 1,000 is the highest in this batch, and IRSAD decile 5 is at the national midpoint.

What is the median house price in Castlemaine?

The median is $750,000 (Apr-Jun 2024), down 1.3% from the $760,000 peak. Over 14 years from $372,500, the CAGR is 5.1%. Monthly mortgage repayments average $1,362 and weekly rent is $300. Rents grew 55.6% over the decade. Mortgage stress at 28.4% is near the 30% threshold.

What schools are in Castlemaine?

Five schools serve the suburb: Castlemaine North Primary (Government, ICSEA 1,117, 278 students), Winters Flat Primary (Government, 1,078, 115), Castlemaine Primary (Government, 1,054, 178), Castlemaine Secondary College (Government, 1,040, 695) and St Mary's School (Catholic, 1,033, 64). All 5 score above the national 1,000 benchmark.

Is Castlemaine safe?

The crime rate of 89.0 per 1,000 residents is the highest in this batch, with 668 total offences. Property and deception offences (417) account for 62.4%, justice procedures (106) at 15.9% and crimes against the person (78) at 11.7%. Drug offences (35) are also notable. IRSAD decile 5 suggests mixed socioeconomic factors.

Is Castlemaine good for property investment?

Gross yield is 2.1% ($300/week on $750,000), very low. Only 24.1% rent and vacancy at 9.8% is the 2nd highest in this batch. However, rents grew 55.6% over the decade, and net internal migration of +109/year (positive, unusual for regional towns) sustains demand. The 5.1% CAGR over 14 years matches the national long-term average.

How is Castlemaine's population changing?

Growth at 0.97% per year (94 persons) is moderate. Net internal migration of +109/year is positive, confirming genuine tree-change attraction. Medium projections are 10,124 by 2031. The aging trajectory is extreme: senior share grew 8.6 points, the most in this batch. The median age of 52 is 12 years above national.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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