Cranbourne North
Ten years and a quadrupling of residents tell most of the Cranbourne North story. Population sat near 6,000 a decade ago and now houses 24,683, a 310% expansion driven by estate releases between Berwick and the original Cranbourne township. Median age is 32, eight years below the national figure, and 53.7% of homes carry four or more bedrooms. Forty-six percent of residents were born overseas, 24.7 percentage points above the Australian average, with Indian and Sri Lankan communities anchoring the shift. House values at $720,000 sit roughly $80,000 lower than Berwick and $190,000 above Hampton Park.
Population
24,683
Median Age
32.0
Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)
$1,941/wk
DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year
15
Median House
$720K
Apr-Jun 2024
Median house price of $720,000 puts Cranbourne North 3% below its January 2024 peak of $742,500 but 94.6% higher than the $370,000 it commanded in 2013, a compound rate near 4.9% per year. The buyer pool is overwhelmingly family-focused: 95.1% of dwellings are separate houses, 53.7% have four or more bedrooms, and apartments register just 0.4% of stock. Mortgage repayments average $1,900 monthly against household income of $1,941 weekly, producing a mortgage-to-income ratio of 22.6%, below Victoria's 30% stress threshold. Versus Berwick's older established stock, Cranbourne North offers comparable four-bedroom homes at roughly $80,000 less.
For Buyers
Median house price of $720,000 puts Cranbourne North 3% below its January 2024 peak of $742,500 but 94.6% higher than the $370,000 it commanded in 2013, a compound rate near 4.9% per year. The buyer pool is overwhelmingly family-focused: 95.1% of dwellings are separate houses, 53.7% have four or more bedrooms, and apartments register just 0.4% of stock. Mortgage repayments average $1,900 monthly against household income of $1,941 weekly, producing a mortgage-to-income ratio of 22.6%, below Victoria's 30% stress threshold. Versus Berwick's older established stock, Cranbourne North offers comparable four-bedroom homes at roughly $80,000 less.
For Investors
Rental yields work out to about 2.8% gross at $385 weekly rent against $720,000 medians, with a 3.7% vacancy rate sitting moderately above Melbourne's 1.5% metropolitan average. Tenants occupy 26.4% of homes, lower than Frankston's 35% but consistent with the family-detached ownership pattern. Rent growth ran 8.4% over the past forecast window and 13 development applications lodged in 12 months suggest measured supply. The investor case rests on demographic tailwinds rather than yield: overseas migration adds 228 net residents annually and population is forecast to grow 5.05% per year through 2031, the strongest household formation rate in the SE Casey corridor outside Clyde North.
Development Activity
Total DAs
22
Last 12 Months
15
YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements
+400.0%
Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year
N/A
Monthly DA Lodgements
DA Categories
Schools in Cranbourne North iICSEA: school advantage index. 1000 = national avg, higher = more advantaged
Tulliallan Primary School
Prep-6 · 1449 students
Courtenay Gardens Primary School
Prep-6 · 750 students
Alkira Secondary College
7-12 · 2011 students
Demographics
Median age 32 runs eight years below the national 40, signalling early-career families rather than retirees. University attainment of 35.1% sits 5 percentage points above the Australian average, lower than Berwick's tertiary base but higher than Hampton Park's 22%. The migrant share dominates the cultural mix: 46.3% of residents were born overseas, with 2,778 reporting Indian ancestry and 686 speaking Punjabi at home, alongside 608 Sinhalese and 331 Malayalam speakers. Religious affiliation skews Christian at 8,700 followers, Muslim at 3,267 and Hindu at 2,022. Average household size of 3.3 exceeds the national 2.5 by 0.8 people, consistent with South Asian multigenerational households.
Age Distribution
Bedrooms
Dwelling Structure
95.1%
Houses
4.5%
Townhouse
0.4%
Apartment
Tenure
Cranbourne North's stock tells an estate-builder story: 95.1% separate dwellings, 0.4% apartments, and bedroom counts heavily weighted to four-plus at 53.7% versus three-bedroom at 42.4%. The 15-quarter price history shows a $370,000 trough in 2013 climbing to a $742,500 peak in early 2024 before cooling 3% to today's $720,000 median, a 94.6% lifetime appreciation. Ownership tenure splits 57.5% mortgaged, 26.4% renting and 16.1% owned outright, heavier on mortgaged owners than Victoria's 35.6% state average. Price-to-income ratio of 7.1 sits below Berwick's 8.2 and matches Pakenham's comparable growth-corridor metric.
Median House Price Trend
Source: State Valuer-General
Mortgage / mo
$1,900
Rent / wk
$385
HH Size
3.3
Personal Income / wk
$789
Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)
3.7%
Unoccupied
279
Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress
19.8%
Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress
22.6%
Community Profile
Languages Spoken at Home
Ancestry
Household Composition
13.5%
Couples, no children
21,831
Total families
Economy & Employment
Healthcare employs 20.7% of working residents at 1,539 jobs, above Manufacturing's 11.5% and Construction's 10.0%, reflecting Casey Hospital's pull and Monash Health's regional footprint. Professionals lead occupations at 1,950 workers, followed by Clerical/Admin (1,455) and Community/Personal Service (1,433). Unemployment runs 6.5% versus Victoria's 4.2% state average, with 65.7% of employed working full-time. SEIFA scores sit mid-range: IRSAD decile 4, IER decile 7, IEO decile 5, IRSD decile 4, an unusual pattern where economic resources rank above education outcomes. Personal income of $789 weekly trails the Australian $805, though household income reaches the 73rd national percentile through dual-earner structures.
Unemployment
8.9%
Labour Force
12,473
Unemployed
1,109
Quarterly Trend
Source: SALM Dec-25
Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)
Full-time
65.7%
Part-time
27.8%
Participation
63.7%
Employed
10,840
Occupations
Top Industries
University
35.1%
Postgraduate
9.6%
Born Overseas
46.3%
Dwellings
7,272
Transport to Work
Three schools service the suburb: Tulliallan Primary (ICSEA 1048, 1,449 enrolment), Courtenay Gardens Primary (ICSEA 998, 750), and Alkira Secondary College (ICSEA 986, 2,011), with primary ICSEA scores tracking above the national 1,000 average but secondary running 14 points below. Crime sits at 54.0 incidents per 1,000 residents, with 664 property and deception offences leading 317 crimes against the person. Transport is car-dependent: 89.8% drive, just 2.6% use public transport despite Cranbourne line station access, and 1.0% walk or cycle. IRSAD decile 4 ranks the suburb in the 40th percentile of Australian socio-economic advantage, below Berwick's decile 8 but above Hampton Park's decile 2.
Drive
89.8%
Public Transport
2.6%
Walk / Cycle
1.0%
Work from Home
N/A
Population Forecast
+5.05%/yr
(+691 people/yr)
High GrowthForecast growth runs 5.05% annually, adding 691 residents per year through 2031 to lift population from 15,447 to 18,904 on the medium projection, though current count already exceeds 24,683 indicating acceleration beyond model assumptions. Overseas migration drives the trajectory at 228 net annual arrivals while internal migration runs negative at -208 per year, mirroring Pakenham and Clyde North patterns where migrants settle into affordable stock and existing residents trade up. Real income growth has run -12.2% over the past decade despite the 310.1% population expansion, signalling affordability pressure on incoming households. Gentrification score reads 0, classifying the suburb as new development rather than displacement turnover.
Historical + Forecast
Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025
Age Cohort Forecast
Primary Driver
Overseas Migration
Net Overseas / yr
+228
Net Internal / yr
-208
Gentrification Signal
New development
Safety & Crime
Total Offences
1,332
Year ending June 2024
Rate per 1,000 People
54.0
Offence Categories
Source: Crime Statistics Agency Victoria / SA Police
National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs
How Cranbourne North compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs
Frequently Asked Questions
Is Cranbourne North a good suburb to live in?
Cranbourne North suits families wanting newer four-bedroom homes at $720,000 within a 60-minute commute to Melbourne CBD via the Cranbourne train line. The suburb ranks IRSAD decile 4 (40th percentile) for socio-economic advantage and houses 24,683 residents with median age 32, eight years below the national 40. Trade-offs include car dependency at 89.8% and crime of 54 per 1,000 residents, moderate for outer Melbourne.
What is the median house price in Cranbourne North?
The median house price is $720,000 as of Apr-Jun 2024, sitting 3% below the $742,500 peak from Jan-Mar 2024 and 94.6% above the 2013 trough of $370,000. Compound annual growth has averaged 4.9% over 14 years. Cranbourne North runs roughly $80,000 below Berwick and $190,000 above Hampton Park in the Casey LGA price ladder.
What schools are in Cranbourne North?
Three government schools operate in Cranbourne North: Tulliallan Primary School (ICSEA 1048, 1,449 students), Courtenay Gardens Primary School (ICSEA 998, 750 students), and Alkira Secondary College (ICSEA 986, 2,011 students). Primary schools score above the 1,000 national ICSEA benchmark while the secondary college sits 14 points below. No non-government schools are recorded within suburb boundaries.
Is Cranbourne North safe?
Cranbourne North recorded 1,332 criminal incidents over the latest 12 months, working out to 54 incidents per 1,000 residents. Property and deception offences dominated at 664 cases (50% of total), followed by 317 crimes against the person and 231 justice procedures matters. Drug offences sat at 69 incidents. The rate is moderate for outer Melbourne growth corridors, lower than Frankston's 86 per 1,000.
Is Cranbourne North good for property investment?
Gross rental yield works out to about 2.8% at $385 weekly rent against the $720,000 median, with vacancy at 3.7% and rent growth running 8.4% recently. Population is forecast to grow 5.05% annually through 2031, adding 691 residents per year, primarily driven by overseas migration at 228 net annual arrivals. Capital growth potential outweighs yield, with 13 development applications lodged over 12 months suggesting controlled supply.
How is Cranbourne North's population changing?
Population reached 24,683 in 2025, up from approximately 6,000 a decade ago, a 310.1% expansion over ten years. Forecasts project 5.05% annual growth through 2031, adding 691 residents per year. Overseas migration contributes 228 net arrivals annually while internal migration runs negative at -208, signalling existing residents trading up to Berwick or Clyde North as new migrant families absorb estate stock.
What languages are spoken in Cranbourne North?
Forty-six percent of Cranbourne North residents were born overseas, 24.7 percentage points above the national average. Punjabi leads home languages at 686 speakers, followed by Sinhalese (608), Malayalam (331), Hindi (252) and Arabic (157). Indian ancestry registers 2,778 residents, the third-largest ancestry group after Other (8,397) and English (4,862), reflecting strong South Asian migration into the suburb's family estate stock.
How to read these comparisons
Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.
Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.
Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.
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