VIC 3977 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Cranbourne South

The suburb has 3,241 residents, a median age of 35 that is 5 years below the national comparison, and household income at the 87.5th percentile. Compared with nearby Cranbourne, its housing profile is more uniformly low-density, while 21.7% work from home and 73.3% drive to work. The 2.9-person average household is 0.4 above the national figure, helping explain demand for four-bedroom homes, which account for 66.2% of stock.

Cranbourne South urban fabric map

Population

3,241

Median Age

35.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$2,278/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

11

Median House

$932K

October to December 2025

20.0 km²· 162.1 people/km²· Family income $2,361/wk

Mortgage repayments equal 22.0% of household income, while household income sits at the 87.5th percentile, making the payment profile more manageable than in lower-income markets. Mortgage holders make up 62.1% of households, while 25.9% own outright and only 10.7% rent, pointing to a settled ownership base. Space is the main product: 66.2% of homes have 4 or more bedrooms, 29.8% have 3, and 99.7% are separate houses. Compared with nearby Cranbourne, detached family stock is the clearer proposition here.

For Buyers

Mortgage repayments equal 22.0% of household income, while household income sits at the 87.5th percentile, making the payment profile more manageable than in lower-income markets. Mortgage holders make up 62.1% of households, while 25.9% own outright and only 10.7% rent, pointing to a settled ownership base. Space is the main product: 66.2% of homes have 4 or more bedrooms, 29.8% have 3, and 99.7% are separate houses. Compared with nearby Cranbourne, detached family stock is the clearer proposition here.

For Investors

Rental property fundamentals are mixed but investable: weekly rent is $470, vacancy is 3.2%, and just 10.7% of households rent, below the combined ownership categories of 25.9% outright and 62.1% mortgage. That low rental proportion can limit tenant depth, while vacancy above 3% suggests more choice than a tightly constrained market. Nine development applications in 12 months indicate an active supply pipeline, which may moderate competition for established homes as new stock arrives. Investors should also weigh the 4.67% annual growth trend and internal migration against the suburb's car-dependent form.

Development Activity

Total DAs

16

Last 12 Months

11

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

+266.7%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

Subdivision
6
Renovation / Extension
3
New Dwelling
2
Commercial
1
Multi-Dwelling / Townhouse
1
Garage / Carport / Shed
1

Schools in Cranbourne South

Open-register school locations for education access. This is not a school-quality ranking.

Cranbourne South Primary School

Primary Government

Demographics

With a median age of 35, Cranbourne South is 5 years below the national comparison, and its 2.9-person average household is 0.4 above it. Families are central: couples with children represent 50.5% of families, compared with 37.9% couples without children, while one-parent families account for 9.8%. English ancestry is the largest reported group at 1,143 people, followed by Scottish at 284 and Irish at 215. No religion is recorded for 1,423 people versus 1,295 identifying with Christianity. Overseas-born residents account for 24.3%, which is 2.7 percentage points above the national comparison, while the university-educated share is 29.1%, 1 point below national. Compared with nearby Cranbourne, the suburb reads as more family-household oriented.

Age Distribution

0-14
20.0%
15-24
11.1%
25-44
32.6%
45-64
23.0%
65+
12.9%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
0.9%
2 bed
3.1%
3 bed
29.8%
4+ bed
66.2%

Dwelling Structure

99.7%

Houses

0.0%

Townhouse

0.3%

Apartment

Tenure

Own 25.9% Mortgage 62.1% Rent 10.7% Other 1.3%

Housing is unusually consistent: 99.7% of dwellings are separate houses and 66.2% contain 4 or more bedrooms, compared with just 0.3% apartments and 3.1% two-bedroom homes. Tenure is mortgage-heavy, with 62.1% paying a mortgage, 25.9% owning outright and 10.7% renting. Mortgage repayments equal 22.0% of household income and rent equals 20.6%; both stress flags are false. Compared with nearby Cranbourne, the housing offer is more concentrated in large detached dwellings, which supports family demand but leaves less variety for apartment or compact-home buyers.

Mortgage / mo

$2,167

Rent / wkiABS Census 2021 median across all dwelling types. Current market rents are typically higher.

$470

Census 2021

HH Size

2.9

Personal Income / wk

$979

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

3.2%

Unoccupied

35

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

20.6%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

22.0%

Community Profile

Languages Spoken at Home

Punjabi
44
Malayalam
28
Sinhal
20
Hindi
19

Ancestry

English
1,143
Other
452
Scottish
284
Irish
215
Ancestry NS
171
Italian
147

Household Composition

50.5%

Couples with children

37.9%

Couples, no children

9.8%

Single parent

941

Total families

Economy & Employment

Household income is a notable strength: the weekly household figure is $2,278, placing Cranbourne South at the 87.5th percentile, higher than the midpoint, while the personal median is $979. Employment is also solid, with a 71.0% participation rate, 2.8% unemployment and 1,127 full-time workers compared with 532 part-time workers. Healthcare leads the industry mix at 19.6% and 235 workers, followed by construction at 17.5% and 210, education at 11.0% and 132, manufacturing at 9.4% and 113, and retail at 6.5% and 78. Occupations reinforce this spread: professionals number 341, trades 303, clerical and admin 235, and managers 219. This combination helps explain why mortgage repayments sit at 22.0% of household income rather than indicating broad financial stress.

Unemployment

2.8%

Labour Force

1,838

Unemployed

52

Source: ABS Census 2021

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Overall advantage
7
Disadvantage
8
Economic resources
10
Education & occupation
5

Full-time

63.1%

Part-time

29.8%

Participation

71.0%

Employed

1,786

Full-time and part-time are shares of the employed. Source: ABS Census 2021

Occupations

Professionals 341
Trades 303
Clerical/Admin 235
Managers 219
Community/Personal 199
Labourers 177
Sales 149
Machinery/Drivers 126

Top Industries

Healthcare 19.6%
Construction 17.5%
Education 11.0%
Manufacturing 9.4%
Retail 6.5%

University

29.1%

Postgraduate

5.8%

Born Overseas

24.3%

Dwellings

1,049

Transport to Work

Daily life is car-oriented: 73.3% drive to work, compared with 0.9% using public transport and 0.5% walking or cycling, although 21.7% work from home. Cranbourne South Primary School is the named local school, giving the suburb 1 identified government primary option; families should check enrolment zones and nearby secondary choices against the exact address. The crime rate is 57.1 offences per 1,000 people, with 185 total offences, including 129 property and deception offences and 28 crimes against the person, so property security deserves attention. Socioeconomic measures are comparatively strong: the IRSAD is in decile 7 and the IRSD in decile 8, above the midpoint, while the IER is in decile 10. The mixed profile matters because the IEO is in decile 5, around the middle, despite higher income and disadvantage rankings. Compared with a more transit-oriented suburb, local routines depend more on driving.

Drive

73.3%

Public Transport

0.9%

Walk / Cycle

0.5%

Work from Home

21.7%

Population Forecast

+4.67%/yr

(+1,277 people/yr)

High Growth

Growth is classified as high growth, with an annual trend of 4.67% and internal migration identified as the primary driver. Population change across the wider area is 159.1% over 10 years, while the shift trajectory is labelled Rejuvenating, supported by a 5.2 percentage-point increase in the young share and a 4.7-point fall in the senior share. Rent growth reached 40.7%, and real income growth was 27.6%, helping explain why new households can keep arriving even as affordability moved from 47.8% in 2011 to 42.8% in 2021. Gentrification is not the main mechanism: the score is 0 and the stage is New development, while the separate shift label is Not gentrifying. Compared with slower established markets, this points to expansion led by incoming households and new housing.

Historical + Forecast

Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025

Age Cohort Forecast

Primary Driver

Internal Migration

Net Overseas / yr

+110

Net Internal / yr

+1,920

0

Gentrification Signal

New development

Safety & Crime

Total Offences

185

Year ending June 2024

Rate per 1,000 People

57.1

Offence Categories

Property and deception offences
129
Crimes against the person
28
Justice procedures offences
20
Public order and security offences
6

Source: Crime Statistics Agency Victoria / SA Police

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Cranbourne South compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 16%
Household Income
Top 12%
Rent Level
Top 7%
Apartments
Top 25%
Renters
Bottom 37%
Uni Educated
Top 36%
Public Transport
Bottom 17%
Born Overseas
Top 21%
Density
Top 24%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Cranbourne South a good suburb to live in?

Yes, for households seeking detached space and a family setting. About 99.7% of dwellings are separate houses, 66.2% have 4 or more bedrooms and the median age is 35, which is 5 years below the national comparison. Car dependence is high at 73.3%, so transport needs should shape the decision.

What schools are in Cranbourne South?

Cranbourne South Primary School is the identified local school, and it is a government primary school. Families should check the exact enrolment zone and compare nearby secondary options before buying, because school access can differ across the 20.0 square kilometre suburb and surrounding growth areas.

Is Cranbourne South safe?

Recorded crime was 185 offences, equal to 57.1 per 1,000 people. Property and deception offences made up 129 cases, compared with 28 crimes against the person. That mix makes home security and exact-street checks sensible, especially for buyers comparing nearby areas.

How is Cranbourne South's population changing?

Population change across the wider area is forecast at 159.1% over 10 years, with an annual trend of 4.67% driven by internal migration. The shift trajectory is Rejuvenating, with the young share up 5.2 points and the senior share down 4.7 points. Cranbourne South currently has 3,241 residents.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), Valuer-General Victoria (house prices), state education open registers (school locations), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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