VIC 3977 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Cranbourne

Rapid growth defines Cranbourne: the forecast trend adds 929 people a year, or 5.96%, while the suburb still reads as a mortgage-belt family market with 80.1% separate houses. The median house price is $673,000 and the median age is 35, which is 5 years below the national figure. Compared with nearby Cranbourne East and Cranbourne West, the established Cranbourne core combines rail-era housing, retail access and a more visible safety challenge, with crime at 156.9 offences per 1,000 residents.

Cranbourne urban fabric map

Population

21,281

Median Age

35.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$1,477/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

24

Median House

$673K

Apr-Jun 2024

16.51 km²· 1,288.8 people/km²· Family income $1,685/wk

Homebuyers get a mostly detached market at a lower entry point than many inner Melbourne alternatives, with a $673,000 median house price and 80.1% separate houses compared with just 3.7% apartments. The stock suits families because 51.7% of homes have 3 bedrooms and 32.3% have 4 or more. Monthly mortgage payments of $1,627 absorb 25.4% of income, so affordability looks workable for dual-income buyers, although household income sits at only the 45.8 percentile.

For Buyers

Homebuyers get a mostly detached market at a lower entry point than many inner Melbourne alternatives, with a $673,000 median house price and 80.1% separate houses compared with just 3.7% apartments. The stock suits families because 51.7% of homes have 3 bedrooms and 32.3% have 4 or more. Monthly mortgage payments of $1,627 absorb 25.4% of income, so affordability looks workable for dual-income buyers, although household income sits at only the 45.8 percentile.

For Investors

Investor appeal is mixed rather than automatic. Renting covers 34.7% of households, below the 41.5% with mortgages, and weekly rent is $342. Demand is helped by high growth and migration, with internal migration averaging 430 people a year versus 136 from overseas, but the 5.0% vacancy rate is a caution because it points to more available stock. The 22 development applications in 12 months also signal extra supply, especially subdivisions, which can cap rent pressure.

Development Activity

Total DAs

46

Last 12 Months

24

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

+200.0%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

Other
20
Subdivision
6
Granny Flat / Secondary Dwelling
2
Renovation / Extension
1
Commercial
1
Tree Removal
1
New Dwelling
1

Schools in Cranbourne iICSEA: school advantage index. 1000 = national avg, higher = more advantaged

Lighthouse Christian College Cranbourne

ICSEA 1093 Combined Independent

Prep-12 · 1034 students

St Agatha's School

ICSEA 1047 Primary Catholic

Prep-6 · 512 students

St Peter's College

ICSEA 1045 Secondary Catholic

7-12 · 2089 students

St Therese's School

ICSEA 1023 Primary Catholic

Prep-6 · 239 students

Cranbourne Primary School

ICSEA 967 Primary Government

Prep-6 · 235 students

Demographics

Cranbourne is younger and more migrant-influenced than the national profile. The median age is 35, or 5 years below national, while 36.2% of residents were born overseas, 14.6 percentage points above national. University attainment is 22.8%, which is 7.3 points below national, matching a workforce tilted to trades, care and logistics. English ancestry leads at 5,904 people, with Indian ancestry at 1,394, and Punjabi is the largest listed non-English language at 492 speakers.

Age Distribution

0-14
20.2%
15-24
13.2%
25-44
30.6%
45-64
23.6%
65+
12.4%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
1.2%
2 bed
14.9%
3 bed
51.7%
4+ bed
32.3%

Dwelling Structure

80.1%

Houses

16.1%

Townhouse

3.7%

Apartment

Tenure

Own 23.7% Mortgage 41.5% Rent 34.7%

Housing is dominated by family dwellings and leveraged ownership. The median house price rose from $315,000 in 2013 to $673,000 in Apr-Jun 2024, a 113.7% gain and 5.6% compound annual growth over 14 years. Prices are only 1.0% below the $680,000 peak from Jul-Sep 2023, so the market has held up. Tenure shows 23.7% owned outright, 41.5% mortgaged and 34.7% renting, with mortgage commitments of $1,627 monthly against $1,477 weekly household income.

Median House Price Trend

Source: State Valuer-General

Mortgage / mo

$1,627

Rent / wk

$342

HH Size

2.7

Personal Income / wk

$707

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

5.0%

Unoccupied

380

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

23.2%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

25.4%

Community Profile

Languages Spoken at Home

Punjabi
492
Hindi
171
Khmer
124
Samoan
117
Sinhal
110
Mandarin
101

Ancestry

English
5,904
Other
5,044
Ancestry NS
1,797
Indian
1,394
Irish
1,368
Scottish
1,302

Household Composition

20.3%

Couples, no children

16,675

Total families

Economy & Employment

Cranbourne's economy is practical and service-led. Healthcare employs 1,154 workers, or 20.8%, followed by manufacturing at 650, construction at 611, retail at 459 and education at 404. The occupation mix is more blue-collar than professional, led by 1,395 labourers and 1,228 machinery or driver roles, with 1,039 professionals. SEIFA ranks are low: IEO decile 2, IER decile 3, IRSD decile 2 and IRSAD decile 2, reflecting 7.1% unemployment and a 56.2% participation rate.

Unemployment

8.9%

Labour Force

12,473

Unemployed

1,109

Quarterly Trend

Mar-24 Dec-25

Source: SALM Dec-25

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Overall advantage
2
Disadvantage
2
Economic resources
3
Education & occupation
2

Full-time

64.6%

Part-time

28.3%

Participation

56.2%

Employed

8,865

Occupations

Labourers 1,395
Machinery/Drivers 1,228
Community/Personal 1,208
Clerical/Admin 1,180
Professionals 1,039
Sales 803
Managers 797

Top Industries

Healthcare 20.8%
Manufacturing 11.7%
Construction 11.0%
Retail 8.3%
Education 7.3%

University

22.8%

Postgraduate

6.0%

Born Overseas

36.2%

Dwellings

7,191

Transport to Work

Daily life is car-oriented: 88.0% of commuters drive, far higher than the 3.3% using public transport and 1.5% walking or cycling. School choice is a strength, with 10 local schools across Government, Catholic and Independent sectors and an ICSEA range of 941 to 1093. Lighthouse Christian College Cranbourne, St Agatha's School and St Peter's College sit at the top by ICSEA. Safety is the trade-off, with 3,339 recorded offences and a crime rate of 156.9 per 1,000, while IRSAD sits in decile 2.

Drive

88.0%

Public Transport

3.3%

Walk / Cycle

1.5%

Work from Home

N/A

Population Forecast

+5.96%/yr

(+929 people/yr)

High Growth

Cranbourne sits in the high-growth category, with a trend of 5.96% a year, equal to 929 extra people annually. Migration is led by internal moves, averaging 430 net residents a year, compared with 136 from overseas, so growth is driven more by Melbourne household relocation than international arrivals. The medium projection series rises from 16,348 in 2026 to 20,992 in 2031. The shift label is Rejuvenating, while the gentrification score is 0 and the stage is Not gentrifying.

Historical + Forecast

Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025

Age Cohort Forecast

Primary Driver

Internal Migration

Net Overseas / yr

+136

Net Internal / yr

+430

Safety & Crime

Total Offences

3,339

Year ending June 2024

Rate per 1,000 People

156.9

Offence Categories

Property and deception offences
1,754
Crimes against the person
611
Justice procedures offences
610
Drug offences
235

Source: Crime Statistics Agency Victoria / SA Police

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Cranbourne compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 1%
Household Income
Bottom 46%
Rent Level
Top 29%
Apartments
Bottom 49%
Renters
Top 21%
Uni Educated
Bottom 47%
Public Transport
Top 50%
Born Overseas
Top 8%
Density
Top 13%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Cranbourne a good suburb to live in?

Cranbourne can suit buyers wanting detached homes, schools and family space at a $673,000 median house price. The trade-offs are car dependence, with 88.0% driving to work, and a high crime rate of 156.9 offences per 1,000 residents.

What is the median house price in Cranbourne?

The median house price in Cranbourne is $673,000 for Apr-Jun 2024. That is 1.0% below the recent $680,000 peak from Jul-Sep 2023, but still 113.7% above the $315,000 level recorded in 2013.

What schools are in Cranbourne?

Cranbourne has 10 listed schools across Government, Catholic and Independent sectors. The highest ICSEA entries are Lighthouse Christian College Cranbourne at 1093, St Agatha's School at 1047 and St Peter's College at 1045.

Is Cranbourne safe?

Safety is a key issue to check street by street. Cranbourne recorded 3,339 offences, equal to 156.9 per 1,000 residents, with property and deception offences the largest category at 1,754 incidents.

Is Cranbourne good for property investment?

Cranbourne has rental depth, with 34.7% of households renting and rent at $342 a week. Investors should balance that against a 5.0% vacancy rate and 22 development applications in 12 months, which can add competing supply.

How is Cranbourne's population changing?

Cranbourne is growing quickly, with the forecast trend at 5.96% a year, or 929 extra people annually. Internal migration is the main driver, averaging 430 net residents a year compared with 136 from overseas.

What languages are spoken in Cranbourne?

Cranbourne is linguistically mixed, with 36.2% of residents born overseas. The largest listed non-English languages are Punjabi with 492 speakers, Hindi with 171, Khmer with 124, Samoan with 117 and Sinhal with 110.

Is there much development in Cranbourne?

Yes. Cranbourne recorded 22 development applications in 12 months, including subdivision proposals such as 4 lot and 6 lot applications. That level of activity fits a high-growth suburb but can also increase local housing supply.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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