VIC 3802 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Endeavour Hills

Sitting between Dandenong and Berwick in Casey LGA, Endeavour Hills holds 24,455 residents on 15.4 sq km of 1980s-90s detached housing, with 87.6% separate houses and only 0.1% apartments. The defining feature is migrant depth: 51.5% born overseas (29.9pp above national), but with an older settlement pattern than neighbouring Hampton Park, the top non-English languages are Sinhala, Arabic, Serbian and Greek rather than newer arrivals. Median house price is $821,000, household income sits at the 61st percentile nationally, and the SEIFA IRSAD decile of 5 places the suburb mid-pack despite an education decile of 6 driven by 36.4% university qualifications, higher than the state average.

Endeavour Hills urban fabric map

Population

24,455

Median Age

39.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$1,740/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

10

Median House

$821K

Apr-Jun 2024

15.42 km²· 1,585.6 people/km²· Family income $1,906/wk

Endeavour Hills functions as a settled detached-house market priced at $821,000 median, with monthly mortgage repayments averaging $1,848 against a household income at the 61st percentile nationally. The stock is uniform: 87.6% separate houses, only 0.1% apartments, and 12.4% semi-detached, with 95.4% of dwellings holding 3 or more bedrooms (51.0% three-bed, 44.4% four-plus). Mortgage-to-income at 24.5% stays below the 30% stress threshold, and the suburb sits at the latest price peak after 105.2% growth from $400,000 in 2013, a 5.3% CAGR. Buyers get an established 1980s-90s subdivision with mature gardens rather than new-build estates further east in Berwick or Officer.

For Buyers

Endeavour Hills functions as a settled detached-house market priced at $821,000 median, with monthly mortgage repayments averaging $1,848 against a household income at the 61st percentile nationally. The stock is uniform: 87.6% separate houses, only 0.1% apartments, and 12.4% semi-detached, with 95.4% of dwellings holding 3 or more bedrooms (51.0% three-bed, 44.4% four-plus). Mortgage-to-income at 24.5% stays below the 30% stress threshold, and the suburb sits at the latest price peak after 105.2% growth from $400,000 in 2013, a 5.3% CAGR. Buyers get an established 1980s-90s subdivision with mature gardens rather than new-build estates further east in Berwick or Officer.

For Investors

Rental yields run thin at $375/week against $821,000 medians, giving a gross yield near 2.4%, lower than the Casey LGA average. Only 19.0% of dwellings are rented (well below the 30.6% national renter share), and vacancy sits at 3.9%, looser than the 2.5% Melbourne metro benchmark. Development pipeline is anaemic at 7 applications in 12 months, dominated by VicSmart dual-occupancy infills rather than new estate releases. The investor case rests on overseas migration averaging +142/year offsetting -189/year internal outflow, and rent has grown 27.2% over the decade. This is a yield-poor, capital-stable hold, not a growth play compared to Narre Warren or Officer further east.

Development Activity

Total DAs

25

Last 12 Months

10

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

+42.9%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

Other
11
Subdivision
3
Granny Flat / Secondary Dwelling
1
Tree Removal
1
Multi-Dwelling / Townhouse
1

Schools in Endeavour Hills iICSEA: school advantage index. 1000 = national avg, higher = more advantaged

Maranatha Christian School

ICSEA 1101 Combined Independent

Prep-12 · 1045 students

St Paul Apostle South School

ICSEA 1057 Primary Catholic

Prep-6 · 273 students

St Paul Apostle North School

ICSEA 1056 Primary Catholic

Prep-6 · 237 students

Thomas Mitchell Primary School

ICSEA 1050 Primary Government

Prep-6 · 629 students

Chalcot Lodge Primary School

ICSEA 1012 Primary Government

Prep-6 · 257 students

Demographics

Median age 39 sits 1 year below the national figure, but the trajectory is aging: the senior share has risen 7.2 percentage points over a decade while the young share fell 2.2pp. The migrant story differs from neighbouring Hampton Park: 51.5% born overseas (29.9pp above national), but the dominant ancestries are Chinese (2,162), Indian (1,445) and English (3,630), with top languages Mandarin, Sinhala, Arabic, Serbian and Greek, reflecting a 1980s-2000s settlement wave rather than recent South Asian arrivals. University qualifications run at 36.4%, 6.3pp above national, and Christianity (11,666) coexists with Islam (3,027) and Buddhism (1,376) in a layered religious mix.

Age Distribution

0-14
17.6%
15-24
11.9%
25-44
27.5%
45-64
26.1%
65+
17.0%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
0.4%
2 bed
4.2%
3 bed
51.0%
4+ bed
44.4%

Dwelling Structure

87.6%

Houses

12.4%

Townhouse

0.1%

Apartment

Tenure

Own 37.9% Mortgage 43.1% Rent 19.0%

Housing stock is dominated by 1980s-90s detached homes: 87.6% separate houses, 12.4% semi-detached, and 0.1% apartments, with no recent unit construction. Bedroom distribution skews family-sized at 51.0% three-bed and 44.4% four-bed-plus, with only 4.6% at two beds or fewer. Tenure splits 37.9% owned outright, 43.1% mortgaged and 19.0% rented, with the outright-ownership share above the 32% national average, reflecting the mature 30-40 year settlement. Median price of $821,000 against household income of $90,480/year gives a price-to-income ratio of 9.1, higher than national but lower than Berwick next door. Prices grew 105.2% from $400,000 in 2013, a 5.3% CAGR over 14 years.

Median House Price Trend

Source: State Valuer-General

Mortgage / mo

$1,848

Rent / wk

$375

HH Size

2.9

Personal Income / wk

$677

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

3.9%

Unoccupied

322

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

21.6%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

24.5%

Community Profile

Languages Spoken at Home

Mandarin
476
Sinhal
456
Arabic
388
Serbian
309
Greek
308
Canton
204

Ancestry

Other
7,876
English
3,630
Chinese
2,162
Indian
1,445
Ancestry NS
1,381
Italian
1,145

Household Composition

21.3%

Couples, no children

21,101

Total families

Economy & Employment

Employment is heavily service and trade weighted: Healthcare leads at 18.3% (1,338 workers), followed by Education at 10.3%, Manufacturing at 10.2% and Construction at 10.1%, with Professional/Tech only 8.6%. Occupations split between Professionals (2,216) and a thick Clerical/Admin layer (1,602), with Community/Personal Service (1,170) and Labourers (1,101) reflecting the south-east Melbourne industrial corridor. Unemployment sits at 6.8%, higher than the 4.5% Victorian average, and participation at 55.7% lags the 65% state benchmark. SEIFA tells the contradiction: education decile 6 (above average) but economic resources decile 7 against disadvantage decile 5, signalling educated workers in lower-paid health and admin roles.

Unemployment

5.9%

Labour Force

6,794

Unemployed

400

Quarterly Trend

Mar-24 Dec-25

Source: SALM Dec-25

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Overall advantage
5
Disadvantage
5
Economic resources
7
Education & occupation
6

Full-time

64.2%

Part-time

29.0%

Participation

55.7%

Employed

10,459

Occupations

Professionals 2,216
Clerical/Admin 1,602
Community/Personal 1,170
Managers 1,163
Labourers 1,101
Sales 1,020
Machinery/Drivers 933

Top Industries

Healthcare 18.3%
Education 10.3%
Manufacturing 10.2%
Construction 10.1%
Professional/Tech 8.6%

University

36.4%

Postgraduate

9.8%

Born Overseas

51.5%

Dwellings

8,012

Transport to Work

Crime rate sits at 56.6 per 1,000 residents (1,385 total offences), higher than the Casey LGA average of 45 and concentrated in property and deception offences (707, or 51% of total), reflecting the Endeavour Hills Shopping Centre catchment. School options span both sectors: Maranatha Christian School (independent, ICSEA 1,101, 1,045 enrolment) leads, with Catholic St Paul Apostle South (1,057) and Thomas Mitchell Primary (government, 1,050, 629 students) as strong public options; Gleneagles Secondary College (ICSEA 967, 1,267 students) is the main public high school but ranks below state median. Public transport use is just 1.9% versus 90.6% car driver mode share, since the suburb sits 4km from Hallam station with bus connections only. SEIFA IRSAD decile 5 confirms middle-of-the-road livability.

Drive

90.6%

Public Transport

1.9%

Walk / Cycle

0.8%

Work from Home

N/A

Population Forecast

-0.2%/yr

(-24 people/yr)

Established

Forecast trajectory is mildly negative at -0.2% annual or -24 persons/year, taking population from 12,131 in 2026 to 12,013 by 2031 on the medium scenario. The driver split is clear: overseas migration adds +142/year, but internal migration drains -189/year as established families move to newer estates further east. Gentrification score of 13/100 confirms no upgrading is underway, and the suburb sits in the Not gentrifying stage. Population has grown just 1.5% over the past decade despite the broader Casey LGA expanding 18%, since the subdivision is fully built out at 1,585.6 residents/sq km. Real income growth of 11.2% over the period trails state average.

Historical + Forecast

Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025

Age Cohort Forecast

Primary Driver

Overseas Migration

Net Overseas / yr

+142

Net Internal / yr

-189

0

Gentrification Signal

Not gentrifying

Net internal outflow -189/yr

Safety & Crime

Total Offences

1,385

Year ending June 2024

Rate per 1,000 People

56.6

Offence Categories

Property and deception offences
707
Justice procedures offences
284
Crimes against the person
253
Drug offences
74

Source: Crime Statistics Agency Victoria / SA Police

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Endeavour Hills compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 1%
Household Income
Top 39%
Rent Level
Top 21%
Apartments
Bottom 0%
Renters
Bottom 46%
Uni Educated
Top 23%
Public Transport
Bottom 32%
Born Overseas
Top 2%
Density
Top 11%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Endeavour Hills a good suburb to live in?

It works for families wanting an established 1980s-90s detached home: 87.6% separate houses, median $821,000, household income at the 61st percentile, and 36.4% university-qualified residents 6.3pp above national. Less attractive for renters (vacancy 3.9%) or anyone reliant on rail (1.9% public transport use).

What is the median house price in Endeavour Hills?

The median house price is $821,000 as of Apr-Jun 2024, up from $400,000 in 2013, a 105.2% rise or 5.3% CAGR over 14 years. Prices currently sit at the all-time peak, with no decline from the 2024 high.

What schools are in Endeavour Hills?

9 schools serve the suburb. Maranatha Christian School (independent, ICSEA 1,101, 1,045 enrolment) leads, followed by St Paul Apostle South (Catholic, 1,057) and Thomas Mitchell Primary (government, ICSEA 1,050, 629 students). Gleneagles Secondary College (ICSEA 967, 1,267 students) is the main public high school.

Is Endeavour Hills safe?

Crime rate is 56.6 per 1,000 residents (1,385 incidents), higher than the Casey LGA average of 45 and the Victorian average of 51. Property and deception offences dominate at 707 incidents (51% of the total), concentrated around Endeavour Hills Shopping Centre rather than residential streets.

Is Endeavour Hills good for property investment?

Rental yield is thin at around 2.4% gross ($375/week against $821,000 median), with only 19.0% of dwellings rented versus 30.6% national. Vacancy of 3.9% loosens the rental market, and development is minimal at 7 applications in 12 months. Better suited for capital-stable owner-occupier buyers than yield-driven investors.

How is Endeavour Hills's population changing?

The suburb is forecast to lose around 24 residents per year through 2031, a -0.2% annual decline. Overseas migration adds +142/year but internal migration drains -189/year as established families relocate to newer estates. The senior population share has grown 7.2pp over the decade while the young share fell 2.2pp.

What languages are spoken in Endeavour Hills?

51.5% of residents were born overseas (29.9pp above the national 21.6%). After English, the top languages are Mandarin (476 speakers), Sinhala (456), Arabic (388), Serbian (309) and Greek (308), reflecting a 1980s-2000s settlement wave rather than recent migration.

How does Endeavour Hills compare to Hampton Park or Berwick?

Versus Hampton Park ($705,000 median), Endeavour Hills is $116,000 dearer with older 1980s-90s stock and an established migrant mix (Sinhalese, Serbian, Greek) versus Hampton Park's newer South Asian arrivals. Compared to Berwick ($930,000+), Endeavour Hills is around 12% cheaper but rates 1-2 deciles lower on SEIFA IRSAD.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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