VIC 3040 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Essendon

Premium pricing and unusually high vacancy define Essendon: 21,240 residents live at 3,448.6 people per sq km, with a median house price of $1,787,500 and vacancy at 12.1%. Household income sits in the 81.4th percentile nationally, supporting a market above the Melbourne middle. Compared with nearby Moonee Ponds and Strathmore, Essendon leans more school-and-house prestige than high-street apartment intensity, because schools, station access and period housing all compete for the same buyers.

Essendon urban fabric map

Population

21,240

Median Age

39.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$2,132/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

58

Median House

$1.8M

Apr-Jun 2024

6.16 km²· 3,448.6 people/km²· Family income $2,946/wk

For homebuyers, Essendon is a premium trade-off: the Apr-Jun 2024 house median is $1,787,500, only 2.9% below the 2022 peak, so discounts are modest rather than distressed. Separate houses make up 47.2% of stock, apartments 33.0% and semi-detached homes 19.6%, giving more choice than lower-density suburbs. Mortgage costs take 24.6% of income, below stress settings, because household earnings are high even though entry prices are higher than average.

For Buyers

For homebuyers, Essendon is a premium trade-off: the Apr-Jun 2024 house median is $1,787,500, only 2.9% below the 2022 peak, so discounts are modest rather than distressed. Separate houses make up 47.2% of stock, apartments 33.0% and semi-detached homes 19.6%, giving more choice than lower-density suburbs. Mortgage costs take 24.6% of income, below stress settings, because household earnings are high even though entry prices are higher than average.

For Investors

Investors should separate rent demand from vacancy risk. Renter demand is visible at 36.5% of households and $380 weekly rent, but the 12.1% vacancy rate is higher than a tight market, so leasing strategy matters. There were 31 development lodgements in 12 months, mainly subdivisions, adding competition. Overseas migration averages +95 people a year, above internal migration of -16, which supports demand but may favour well-located, renovated stock.

Development Activity

Total DAs

75

Last 12 Months

58

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

+383.3%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

Subdivision
22
Other
21
New Dwelling
11
Renovation / Extension
5
Tree Removal
4
Demolition
2
Deck / Pergola / Patio
2
Commercial / Industrial
1

Schools in Essendon iICSEA: school advantage index. 1000 = national avg, higher = more advantaged

Lowther Hall Anglican Grammar School

ICSEA 1161 Combined Independent

Prep-12 · 859 students

Essendon Primary School

ICSEA 1137 Primary Government

Prep-6 · 387 students

St Therese's School

ICSEA 1116 Primary Catholic

Prep-6 · 529 students

Aberfeldie Primary School

ICSEA 1108 Primary Government

Prep-6 · 374 students

St Columba's College

ICSEA 1107 Secondary Catholic

7-12 · 1047 students

Demographics

Essendon's demographics are affluent and educated rather than especially young: median age 39 is 1.0 year below the national benchmark, while university attainment is 53.5%, 23.4 percentage points above national. Overseas-born residents are 25.5%, 3.9 points above national, led by English ancestry at 5,649 and Italian ancestry at 3,464. Compared with nearby Aberfeldie and Niddrie, the suburb feels more professional because managers and professionals dominate its workforce.

Age Distribution

0-14
15.0%
15-24
13.2%
25-44
29.4%
45-64
26.6%
65+
15.8%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
11.0%
2 bed
31.9%
3 bed
31.7%
4+ bed
25.4%

Dwelling Structure

47.2%

Houses

19.6%

Townhouse

33.0%

Apartment

Tenure

Own 33.2% Mortgage 30.4% Rent 36.5%

Housing in Essendon has doubled from $870,000 in 2013 to $1,787,500 in Apr-Jun 2024, a 105.5% rise at 5.3% CAGR over 14 years. The latest median is 2.9% below the 2022 peak of $1,841,000, so pricing is high but not at its top. Tenure is balanced: 33.2% own outright, 30.4% have a mortgage and 36.5% rent. Demand is broad because 31.9% of homes have 2 bedrooms, 31.7% have 3 and 25.4% have 4 or more, compared with a smaller 11.0% at 0 to 1 bedroom.

Median House Price Trend

Source: State Valuer-General

Mortgage / mo

$2,275

Rent / wk

$380

HH Size

2.4

Personal Income / wk

$1,067

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

12.1%

Unoccupied

1,172

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

17.8%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

24.6%

Community Profile

Languages Spoken at Home

Italian
408
Greek
230
Mandarin
162
Nepali
140
Arabic
130
Hindi
104

Ancestry

English
5,649
Italian
3,464
Other
2,942
Irish
2,894
Scottish
1,751
Greek
1,061

Household Composition

25.5%

Couples, no children

16,176

Total families

Economy & Employment

Essendon's economy is white-collar and service-heavy: healthcare employs 1,407 people or 15.9%, professional/tech 1,178 or 13.3%, and education 1,042 or 11.8%. Professionals number 3,912, above managers at 2,025, which helps explain household income in the 81.4th percentile. Unemployment is 4.4% with 64.8% participation. SEIFA shows advantage but some debt pressure: IEO decile 8, IER 6, IRSD 9 and IRSAD 9, so resources rank lower than education and overall advantage.

Unemployment

3.6%

Labour Force

10,697

Unemployed

382

Quarterly Trend

Jun-24 Dec-25

Source: SALM Dec-25

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Overall advantage
9
Disadvantage
9
Economic resources
6
Education & occupation
8

Full-time

65.7%

Part-time

29.9%

Participation

64.8%

Employed

11,192

Occupations

Professionals 3,912
Managers 2,025
Clerical/Admin 1,767
Community/Personal 1,062
Sales 968
Labourers 630
Machinery/Drivers 306

Top Industries

Healthcare 15.9%
Professional/Tech 13.3%
Education 11.8%
Construction 8.3%
Public Admin 8.3%

University

53.5%

Postgraduate

14.5%

Born Overseas

25.5%

Dwellings

8,518

Transport to Work

Livability is strongest for schooling and local amenity, but car use remains high at 82.4% compared with 7.2% public transport and 4.9% walking or cycling. Seven schools span Government, Catholic and Independent sectors, with ICSEA from 1088 to 1161; Lowther Hall at 1161, Essendon Primary at 1137 and St Therese's at 1116 anchor the academic offer. Crime is 58.2 per 1,000, with 775 property and deception offences, so security matters. IRSAD decile 9 indicates above average advantage.

Drive

82.4%

Public Transport

7.2%

Walk / Cycle

4.9%

Work from Home

N/A

Population Forecast

+1.18%/yr

(+95 people/yr)

Established

Growth is steady rather than explosive, with a forecast trend of 1.18% a year or 95 people annually. The medium path moves from 8,095 in 2026 to 8,569 in 2031, higher than 2025's 8,048 but not a boom. Migration explains the direction: overseas migration averages +95 a year compared with internal migration of -16, making international arrivals the primary driver. The gentrification score is 8 and stage is Not gentrifying, because Essendon is already expensive and established despite a 19.0% 10-year population shift.

Historical + Forecast

Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025

Age Cohort Forecast

Primary Driver

Overseas Migration

Net Overseas / yr

+95

Net Internal / yr

-16

8

Gentrification Signal

Not gentrifying

Population +24% since 2011

Safety & Crime

Total Offences

1,237

Year ending June 2024

Rate per 1,000 People

58.2

Offence Categories

Property and deception offences
775
Crimes against the person
203
Justice procedures offences
133
Public order and security offences
64

Source: Crime Statistics Agency Victoria / SA Police

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Essendon compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 1%
Household Income
Top 19%
Rent Level
Top 21%
Apartments
Top 11%
Renters
Top 19%
Uni Educated
Top 7%
Public Transport
Top 21%
Born Overseas
Top 19%
Density
Top 2%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Essendon a good suburb to live in?

Yes for households prioritising schools, prestige housing and inner north-west access. Essendon has 7 local schools, IRSAD decile 9 and median age 39, with household income in the 81.4th percentile nationally. The trade-off is price and car reliance, with 82.4% driving to work.

What is the median house price in Essendon?

The median house price in Essendon is $1,787,500 for Apr-Jun 2024. That is 2.9% below the 2022 peak of $1,841,000, but still 105.5% higher than the $870,000 median recorded in 2013.

What schools are in Essendon?

Essendon has 7 local schools across Independent, Government and Catholic sectors. They include Lowther Hall Anglican Grammar School, Essendon Primary School, St Therese's School, Aberfeldie Primary School, St Columba's College, St Bernard's College and Buckley Park College, with ICSEA scores from 1088 to 1161.

Is Essendon safe?

Essendon recorded 1,237 offences, equal to 58.2 offences per 1,000 residents. Property and deception offences were the largest category at 775 incidents, followed by 203 crimes against the person, so buyers should assess street-level exposure and home security.

Is Essendon good for property investment?

Essendon has investor appeal but also risk. Renting households make up 36.5% and weekly rent is $380, while rent growth in the shift indicators is 31.8%. The caution is vacancy at 12.1% and 31 development lodgements in 12 months, which can increase leasing competition.

How is Essendon's population changing?

Essendon's forecast trend is 1.18% annual growth, or about 95 people a year. The medium projection rises from 8,095 in 2026 to 8,569 in 2031, with overseas migration averaging +95 a year compared with internal migration of -16.

How much development is happening in Essendon?

There were 31 development lodgements in the past 12 months, with recent examples focused on 2-lot and 4-lot subdivision. That points to incremental infill rather than wholesale redevelopment, which fits an established suburb with high land values.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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