VIC 3031 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Flemington

At 178.4 offences per 1,000 residents, Flemington records one of the higher crime rates in inner Melbourne, yet its $985,000 median house price and IEO decile 8 mark it as an educated, well-connected pocket 6km from the CBD. The tension resolves in the numbers: property and deception offences make up 741 of 1,253 total crimes, concentrated in a dense 2.87 km2 footprint at 2,448 people per km2. A 62.1% renter share and 14.5% vacancy rate point to high-churn, apartment-led living, while university qualifications at 55.0% sit 24.9 points above the national figure. Population has slipped 1.0% over the decade, and the COVID dip of 12.2% is only 11.3% recovered.

Flemington urban fabric map

Population

7,025

Median Age

34.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$1,525/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

21

Median House

$985K

Apr-Jun 2024

2.87 km²· 2,448.3 people/km²· Family income $2,191/wk

The $985,000 median sits 21.2% below the 2021 peak of $1,250,000, one of the steeper inner-Melbourne corrections, which hands buyers a wider entry window than recent history suggests. Over 14 years prices rose from $735,500 at a modest 2.1% CAGR, slower than most knowledge-economy suburbs. Apartments at 54.4% dominate stock, with semi-detached at 23.1% and separate houses just 21.6%, so a freestanding house here is genuinely scarce. Two-bedroom dwellings make up 44.5% and one-bed-or-studio 22.0%. Monthly mortgage repayments average $2,074, but the mortgage-to-income ratio of 31.4% trips the stress threshold because household income sits only at the 47.8th percentile, below the national midpoint. That gap between high prices and median incomes is the core affordability strain for owner-occupiers.

For Buyers

The $985,000 median sits 21.2% below the 2021 peak of $1,250,000, one of the steeper inner-Melbourne corrections, which hands buyers a wider entry window than recent history suggests. Over 14 years prices rose from $735,500 at a modest 2.1% CAGR, slower than most knowledge-economy suburbs. Apartments at 54.4% dominate stock, with semi-detached at 23.1% and separate houses just 21.6%, so a freestanding house here is genuinely scarce. Two-bedroom dwellings make up 44.5% and one-bed-or-studio 22.0%. Monthly mortgage repayments average $2,074, but the mortgage-to-income ratio of 31.4% trips the stress threshold because household income sits only at the 47.8th percentile, below the national midpoint. That gap between high prices and median incomes is the core affordability strain for owner-occupiers.

For Investors

A 62.1% renter share gives Flemington a deep tenant pool, but the yield maths are unforgiving. Weekly rent of $300 against a $985,000 median produces a gross yield near 1.6%, low even by inner-Melbourne standards, and the 14.5% vacancy rate signals real oversupply in the apartment segment. Net overseas migration of 439 per year is the main demand driver, yet internal migration runs at -316, so domestic residents are leaving faster than they arrive. Development activity is modest at 19 planning applications in 12 months, many of them heritage-overlay alterations rather than new dwellings, which limits future supply pressure but also signals a constrained, low-turnover build pipeline. Capital growth of 2.1% CAGR over 14 years is below the inner-city average, and the 21.2% slide from peak suggests the correction may not be complete.

Development Activity

Total DAs

28

Last 12 Months

21

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

+600.0%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

$137K

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

Renovation / Extension
9
Other
5
Signage / Advertising
4
Commercial / Industrial
3
Fencing
1
Garage / Carport / Shed
1
Demolition
1

Schools in Flemington iICSEA: school advantage index. 1000 = national avg, higher = more advantaged

Flemington Primary School

ICSEA 1140 Primary Government

Prep-6 · 328 students

Mount Alexander 7-12 College

ICSEA 1069 Secondary Government

7-12 · 827 students

St Brendan's School

ICSEA 993 Primary Catholic

Prep-6 · 82 students

Debney Meadows Primary School

ICSEA 903 Primary Government

Prep-6 · 109 students

Demographics

The median age of 34 runs 6 years below the national figure, and overseas-born residents at 37.9% sit 16.3 points above national, a clear migrant-and-young-professional skew. English ancestry leads at 1,777, followed by Irish (832) and Scottish (588), while Cantonese (96), Arabic (80) and Mandarin (60) top the non-English languages, reflecting a layered Anglo-Celtic, East Asian and Middle Eastern mix. Religion splits across Christianity (1,912), Islam (891) and Buddhism (299), broader than most inner suburbs. University qualifications at 55.0% are 24.9 points above national. Couples with children (1,529) slightly outnumber couples without (1,330), and the average household of 2.0 is 0.5 below national, consistent with small, young, career-stage households rather than large families.

Age Distribution

0-14
14.2%
15-24
11.1%
25-44
40.7%
45-64
21.8%
65+
12.0%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
22.0%
2 bed
44.5%
3 bed
26.9%
4+ bed
6.6%

Dwelling Structure

21.6%

Houses

23.1%

Townhouse

54.4%

Apartment

Tenure

Own 15.2% Mortgage 22.7% Rent 62.1%

Tenure leans heavily to renting at 62.1%, with mortgage holders at 22.7% and outright owners just 15.2%, well below the levels seen in family-owned suburbs. Stock is 54.4% apartments, 23.1% semi-detached and 21.6% separate houses, and two-bedroom dwellings (44.5%) plus studios and one-beds (22.0%) cover two-thirds of supply. The 14-year price series climbed from $735,500 to $985,000 at a 2.1% CAGR, peaking at $1,250,000 in 2021 before a 21.2% decline. The IER decile of 1, the lowest national band, looks jarring against IEO decile 8, but it tracks the renter-heavy tenure: economic-resource indices weigh property ownership, so a suburb where most residents rent registers low aggregate wealth despite educated, working households. Rent-to-income at 19.7% stays below stress, while mortgage-to-income at 31.4% does not.

Median House Price Trend

Source: State Valuer-General

Mortgage / mo

$2,074

Rent / wk

$300

HH Size

2.0

Personal Income / wk

$890

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

14.5%

Unoccupied

527

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

19.7%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

31.4% stressed

Community Profile

Languages Spoken at Home

Canton
96
Arabic
80
Mandarin
60
Italian
28
Oth
26
Greek
23

Ancestry

Other
1,794
English
1,777
Irish
832
Scottish
588
Ancestry NS
585
Chinese
552

Household Composition

30.7%

Couples, no children

4,335

Total families

Economy & Employment

Healthcare leads employment at 18.4% (518 workers), followed by Professional/Tech at 16.9% (475), Education at 13.3% (375), Public Admin at 8.4% (238) and Retail at 5.3% (148), a service-and-knowledge mix that aligns with the IEO decile of 8. Professionals dominate occupations at 1,409, with Managers a distant 524, then Clerical/Admin at 413. The labour picture is softer than the education profile implies: full-time employment runs at 63.8%, participation at 60.6% sits below the national rate, and unemployment of 7.4% is elevated. Real income grew 28.4% over the decade, but household income at the 47.8th percentile remains below the national median, which is the gap behind the mortgage stress reading. The split between high IEO and low IER captures this: skills are strong, accumulated wealth is not.

Unemployment

12.4%

Labour Force

6,718

Unemployed

836

Quarterly Trend

Mar-24 Dec-25

Source: SALM Dec-25

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Overall advantage
6
Disadvantage
2
Economic resources
1
Education & occupation
8

Full-time

63.8%

Part-time

28.8%

Participation

60.6%

Employed

3,380

Occupations

Professionals 1,409
Managers 524
Clerical/Admin 413
Community/Personal 361
Labourers 264
Sales 229
Machinery/Drivers 103

Top Industries

Healthcare 18.4%
Professional/Tech 16.9%
Education 13.3%
Public Admin 8.4%
Retail 5.3%

University

55.0%

Postgraduate

19.0%

Born Overseas

37.9%

Dwellings

3,117

Transport to Work

Public transport carries 11.9% of commuters and walking or cycling 16.6%, both above typical outer-suburban levels and reflecting the suburb's 6km proximity to the CBD, though car driving still leads at 66.8%. The headline livability concern is safety: the crime rate of 178.4 per 1,000 residents is high, driven by 741 property and deception offences out of 1,253 total, with crimes against the person at 182. The high density of 2,448 per km2 and transit-corridor location concentrate reported crime. IRSAD decile 6 places the area mid-table on combined advantage, lifted by education (IEO decile 8) but pulled down by economic resources (IER decile 1). No schools are recorded within the suburb boundary in this dataset, so families typically rely on neighbouring catchments. Rent-to-income at 19.7% keeps day-to-day housing costs manageable for tenants.

Drive

66.8%

Public Transport

11.9%

Walk / Cycle

16.6%

Work from Home

N/A

Population Forecast

+0.29%/yr

(+29 people/yr)

Established

Population growth is slow at 0.29% per year (about 29 persons), and the 10-year change is actually negative at -1.0%, marking Flemington as a mature, established suburb rather than a growth front. The ERP stood at 9,935 in 2025 after a 12.2% COVID dip from 10,460 that is only 11.3% recovered, so the suburb has not regained its pre-pandemic peak. Medium forecasts project a gentle climb to 10,228 by 2031. Overseas migration at 439 per year is the sole growth engine, offset by net internal outflow of -316, and the gentrification score of 10 reads as not gentrifying despite a 29.6% rent rise. The young-resident share contracted 3.6 points while the working-age share grew 5.3 points, and affordability improved from 42.6% in 2011 to 35.0% in 2021.

Historical + Forecast

Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025

Age Cohort Forecast

Primary Driver

Overseas Migration

Net Overseas / yr

+439

Net Internal / yr

-316

10

Gentrification Signal

Not gentrifying

Net internal outflow -316/yr, Strong overseas inflow +439/yr

Safety & Crime

Total Offences

1,253

Year ending June 2024

Rate per 1,000 People

178.4

Offence Categories

Property and deception offences
741
Crimes against the person
182
Justice procedures offences
155
Drug offences
134

Source: Crime Statistics Agency Victoria / SA Police

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Flemington compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 8%
Household Income
Bottom 48%
Rent Level
Top 41%
Apartments
Top 6%
Renters
Top 5%
Uni Educated
Top 6%
Public Transport
Top 8%
Born Overseas
Top 7%
Density
Top 6%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Flemington a good suburb to live in?

Flemington suits young professionals and renters who value being 6km from the CBD, with 11.9% using public transport and 16.6% walking or cycling. University qualifications at 55.0% are 24.9 points above national. The trade-offs are a crime rate of 178.4 per 1,000 and a 14.5% vacancy rate pointing to apartment oversupply.

What is the median house price in Flemington?

The median house price is $985,000 (Apr-Jun 2024), down 21.2% from the 2021 peak of $1,250,000. Over 14 years prices rose from $735,500 at a 2.1% CAGR. Average monthly mortgage repayments are $2,074 and weekly rent is $300, giving a gross yield near 1.6%.

What schools are in Flemington?

This dataset records 0 schools located within the Flemington suburb boundary, so families generally rely on schools in neighbouring catchments such as Kensington and Ascot Vale. With 1,529 couples-with-children families in the area, education access is largely served from adjoining suburbs.

Is Flemington safe?

The crime rate of 178.4 per 1,000 residents is high, with 1,253 total offences. Property and deception offences account for 741 (59.1%), crimes against the person 182 and drug offences 134. The density of 2,448 per km2 and transit-corridor location concentrate reported crime, which is predominantly property-related rather than violent.

Is Flemington good for property investment?

The 62.1% renter share offers a deep tenant pool, but gross yield is only about 1.6% ($300/week on $985,000) and the 14.5% vacancy rate signals oversupply. Capital growth of 2.1% CAGR over 14 years is below the inner-city average, and the 21.2% fall from the 2021 peak suggests correction risk remains.

How is Flemington's population changing?

Population growth is slow at 0.29% per year (about 29 persons), and the 10-year change is negative at -1.0%. The 2025 ERP of 9,935 remains below the pre-COVID peak of 10,460 after a 12.2% dip. Overseas migration of 439 per year drives growth, offset by internal outflow of -316.

What languages are spoken in Flemington?

With 37.9% of residents born overseas, 16.3 points above national, Flemington is linguistically mixed. After English, the top languages are Cantonese (96 speakers), Arabic (80) and Mandarin (60), reflecting East Asian and Middle Eastern migration alongside the Anglo-Celtic majority.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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