VIC 3199 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Frankston South

Detached housing and high owner control set Frankston South apart within the Frankston area. With 18,801 residents, 86.0% separate houses and 38.6% owned outright, it reads closer to Mount Eliza than central Frankston because larger established homes dominate. The median house price is $1,180,300, while household income sits in the 76.3 percentile nationally. A median age of 44, 4 years above the national benchmark, adds to the settled family and downsizer feel.

Frankston South urban fabric map

Population

18,801

Median Age

44.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$2,038/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

62

Median House

$1.2M

Apr-Jun 2024

14.56 km²· 1,291.3 people/km²· Family income $2,474/wk

Homebuyers are paying for space, school access and established streets rather than density. The median house price is $1,180,300 in Apr-Jun 2024, sitting 9.2% below the Oct-Dec 2023 peak of $1,300,000, which gives buyers more room than at the top of the cycle. Housing is heavily detached at 86.0%, with apartments only 1.7%, so compared with unit-rich suburbs there are fewer low-maintenance entry points. Large homes dominate, with 44.0% having 4 or more bedrooms and 41.1% having 3 bedrooms, while mortgage costs take 24.6% of income.

For Buyers

Homebuyers are paying for space, school access and established streets rather than density. The median house price is $1,180,300 in Apr-Jun 2024, sitting 9.2% below the Oct-Dec 2023 peak of $1,300,000, which gives buyers more room than at the top of the cycle. Housing is heavily detached at 86.0%, with apartments only 1.7%, so compared with unit-rich suburbs there are fewer low-maintenance entry points. Large homes dominate, with 44.0% having 4 or more bedrooms and 41.1% having 3 bedrooms, while mortgage costs take 24.6% of income.

For Investors

The investor case is selective because Frankston South is mainly an owner-occupier market. Renters make up 16.9% of households, and the median rent is $420 per week, but a 5.1% vacancy rate is a higher risk signal than the rental share alone suggests. Demand support comes from overseas migration averaging +254 people a year, compared with internal migration at -76 a year. Development activity is active but mostly incremental, with 31 applications in 12 months, so rental competition can vary street by street.

Development Activity

Total DAs

77

Last 12 Months

62

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

+785.7%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

Renovation / Extension
14
Other
12
New Dwelling
9
Swimming Pool / Spa
8
Subdivision
7
Garage / Carport / Shed
7
Tree Removal
5
Multi-Dwelling / Townhouse
2

Schools in Frankston South iICSEA: school advantage index. 1000 = national avg, higher = more advantaged

Derinya Primary School

ICSEA 1097 Primary Government

Prep-6 · 834 students

St Augustine's School

ICSEA 1053 Primary Catholic

Prep-6 · 318 students

Mount Erin Secondary College

ICSEA 985 Secondary Government

7-12 · 490 students

Demographics

Frankston South skews older, educated and Anglo-leaning compared with national averages. The median age is 44, which is 4.0 years above the national benchmark, while 36.1% hold a university qualification, 6.0 percentage points above national. Overseas-born residents are 22.3%, only 0.7 points above national, so migration is present but not dominant. English ancestry counts 8,164 people, followed by Irish at 2,297 and Scottish at 2,248, which helps explain the suburb's established family profile.

Age Distribution

0-14
19.1%
15-24
10.9%
25-44
21.0%
45-64
27.0%
65+
22.0%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
2.4%
2 bed
12.4%
3 bed
41.1%
4+ bed
44.0%

Dwelling Structure

86.0%

Houses

11.9%

Townhouse

1.7%

Apartment

Tenure

Own 38.6% Mortgage 44.5% Rent 16.9%

Housing is the defining feature because stock is large, detached and tightly held. The median house price rose from $535,000 in 2013 to $1,180,300 in Apr-Jun 2024, a 120.6% gain and 5.8% CAGR over 14 years, although it remains 9.2% below the $1,300,000 peak. Ownership is high compared with renter-led markets: 38.6% own outright, 44.5% have a mortgage and 16.9% rent. Bedroom mix reinforces the family bias, with 85.1% of homes having 3 or more bedrooms.

Median House Price Trend

Source: State Valuer-General

Mortgage / mo

$2,167

Rent / wk

$420

HH Size

2.6

Personal Income / wk

$862

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

5.1%

Unoccupied

365

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

20.6%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

24.6%

Community Profile

Languages Spoken at Home

Mandarin
90
Greek
82
Malayalam
69
Italian
56
Russian
37
German
35

Ancestry

English
8,164
Irish
2,297
Scottish
2,248
Other
1,538
Italian
877
Ancestry NS
831

Household Composition

25.0%

Couples, no children

15,560

Total families

Economy & Employment

The local workforce is weighted to stable service and professional sectors, supporting above-average socio-economic scores. Healthcare is the largest industry at 19.1% with 1,225 workers, followed by education at 14.3%, construction at 13.0%, professional/tech at 9.5% and manufacturing at 7.4%. Professionals number 2,394 and managers 1,517, while unemployment is 3.8% and full-time work is 60.7% of employed residents. SEIFA is strong: IEO decile 8, IER decile 9, IRSD decile 9 and IRSAD decile 8, with resources ranking higher than education/occupation because home ownership and income are substantial.

Unemployment

7.5%

Labour Force

13,477

Unemployed

1,006

Quarterly Trend

Mar-24 Dec-25

Source: SALM Dec-25

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Overall advantage
8
Disadvantage
9
Economic resources
9
Education & occupation
8

Full-time

60.7%

Part-time

35.5%

Participation

58.6%

Employed

8,581

Occupations

Professionals 2,394
Managers 1,517
Clerical/Admin 1,168
Community/Personal 959
Sales 862
Labourers 632
Machinery/Drivers 299

Top Industries

Healthcare 19.1%
Education 14.3%
Construction 13.0%
Professional/Tech 9.5%
Manufacturing 7.4%

University

36.1%

Postgraduate

7.7%

Born Overseas

22.3%

Dwellings

6,810

Transport to Work

Livability is strongest for households that drive and value schools, because daily transport is car-led. Car drivers make up 90.1% of commuters, compared with only 1.3% using public transport and 2.4% walking or cycling. There are 3 local schools with ICSEA scores from 985 to 1097; Derinya Primary is the highest at 1097 with 834 enrolments, while St Augustine's adds a Catholic primary option at 1053. Safety is comparatively comfortable for an established suburb, with 641 offences and a crime rate of 34.1 per 1,000, alongside IRSAD decile 8.

Drive

90.1%

Public Transport

1.3%

Walk / Cycle

2.4%

Work from Home

N/A

Population Forecast

+0.6%/yr

(+151 people/yr)

Established

Growth is steady rather than speculative. The forecast trend is 0.6% a year, or about 151 people annually, below the pace of high-growth fringe suburbs but consistent with established housing. The medium scenario moves from 24,891 people in 2026 to 25,644 in 2031. Migration is the key driver because overseas migration averages +254 people a year while internal migration averages -76. The gentrification score is 14 and the stage is Not gentrifying, compared with shift indicators showing mixed change, including 34.0% rent growth and 17.3% real income growth.

Historical + Forecast

Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025

Age Cohort Forecast

Primary Driver

Overseas Migration

Net Overseas / yr

+254

Net Internal / yr

-76

14

Gentrification Signal

Not gentrifying

Population +12% since 2011, Strong overseas inflow +254/yr

Safety & Crime

Total Offences

641

Year ending June 2024

Rate per 1,000 People

34.1

Offence Categories

Property and deception offences
360
Crimes against the person
110
Justice procedures offences
104
Drug offences
40

Source: Crime Statistics Agency Victoria / SA Police

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Frankston South compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 1%
Household Income
Top 24%
Rent Level
Top 13%
Apartments
Bottom 32%
Renters
Bottom 40%
Uni Educated
Top 24%
Public Transport
Bottom 22%
Born Overseas
Top 25%
Density
Top 13%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Frankston South a good suburb to live in?

Yes, especially for households wanting larger homes and a settled streetscape. It has 86.0% separate houses, a median age of 44 and 3 local schools, but it suits drivers best because 90.1% commute by car.

What is the median house price in Frankston South?

The median house price is $1,180,300 for Apr-Jun 2024. That is 9.2% below the $1,300,000 peak recorded in Oct-Dec 2023, but still 120.6% above the 2013 median of $535,000.

What schools are in Frankston South?

Frankston South has 3 local schools: Derinya Primary School, St Augustine's School and Mount Erin Secondary College. ICSEA scores range from 985 to 1097, with Derinya Primary the highest at 1097.

Is Frankston South safe?

Frankston South records 641 offences and a crime rate of 34.1 per 1,000 residents. The largest category is property and deception offences with 360 incidents, followed by 110 crimes against the person.

Is Frankston South good for property investment?

It can suit investors seeking established family housing, but the rental market is smaller. Renters are 16.9% of households, median rent is $420 per week and vacancy is 5.1%, so tenant demand needs close checking.

How is Frankston South's population changing?

Population growth is forecast at 0.6% a year, or about 151 people annually. The medium scenario rises from 24,891 in 2026 to 25,644 in 2031, driven by +254 overseas migration a year despite -76 internal migration.

Is there much development in Frankston South?

Development is active but mostly small-scale. There were 31 applications in 12 months, including dwelling extensions, pool-related works and tree removals, which points to reinvestment in existing homes rather than major apartment growth.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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