VIC 3084 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Heidelberg

Heidelberg's crime rate of 228 per 1,000 residents is strikingly high for a suburb with IRSAD decile 9 and household incomes at the 75th percentile. The explanation lies in the Austin Hospital and Heidelberg station precinct: justice procedures (763 offences) and property crimes (589) are inflated by foot traffic and institutional activity rather than residential risk alone. House prices grew 79.5% from $772,500 in 2013 to $1,387,000 (4.3% CAGR over 14 years), though the latest quarter shows a 15.3% decline from the $1,637,300 peak, the largest correction in this analysis.

Heidelberg urban fabric map

Population

7,360

Median Age

39.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$2,012/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

7

Median House

$1.4M

Apr-Jun 2024

2.93 km²· 2,508.5 people/km²· Family income $2,660/wk

The median house price of $1,387,000 (Apr-Jun 2024) sits 15.3% below the $1,637,300 peak, creating a potential entry window. Monthly mortgage repayments of $2,150 consume 24.7% of income, below stress levels. Housing is split: 42.5% detached houses and 40.8% apartments, an unusual near-parity reflecting the Activity Centre Zone around Heidelberg station. Bedrooms distribute broadly (37.5% two-bedroom, 31.5% three-bedroom, 18.5% four-plus), offering options across household types. The 12.6% vacancy rate requires careful consideration, as it affects both resale and tenant availability.

For Buyers

The median house price of $1,387,000 (Apr-Jun 2024) sits 15.3% below the $1,637,300 peak, creating a potential entry window. Monthly mortgage repayments of $2,150 consume 24.7% of income, below stress levels. Housing is split: 42.5% detached houses and 40.8% apartments, an unusual near-parity reflecting the Activity Centre Zone around Heidelberg station. Bedrooms distribute broadly (37.5% two-bedroom, 31.5% three-bedroom, 18.5% four-plus), offering options across household types. The 12.6% vacancy rate requires careful consideration, as it affects both resale and tenant availability.

For Investors

The 42.5% rental share provides a deep tenant pool, the largest in this analysis. Weekly rent of $400 on $1,387,000 purchase implies a gross yield of just 1.5%. However, the 12.6% vacancy rate is alarming, more than 4 times the balanced benchmark. This combination of low yield and high vacancy makes pure rental investment difficult to justify. The gentrification score of 58 (active) and 1.06% annual population growth suggest long-term capital potential, but 7 DAs in 12 months indicate modest near-term supply change.

Development Activity

Total DAs

12

Last 12 Months

7

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

+600.0%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

Other
4
Renovation / Extension
1
Subdivision
1
Multi-Dwelling / Townhouse
1
Change of Use
1

Schools in Heidelberg iICSEA: school advantage index. 1000 = national avg, higher = more advantaged

Heidelberg Primary School

ICSEA 1141 Primary Government

Prep-6 · 498 students

St John's School

ICSEA 1129 Primary Catholic

Prep-6 · 345 students

Our Lady of Mercy College

ICSEA 1111 Secondary Catholic

7-12 · 1175 students

Demographics

University education at 56.8% (26.7pp above the national average) is among the highest outside inner Melbourne. Italian ancestry (807) and Italian language speakers (89) reflect post-war migration heritage. Mandarin (81 speakers), Greek (65), Cantonese (36), and Malayalam (34) add diversity. The 29.3% overseas-born share sits 7.7pp above the national average. Median age of 39 is 1 year below the national figure. Population turnover at 28.2% is high, typical of suburbs with large rental and apartment stock near transport nodes.

Age Distribution

0-14
16.8%
15-24
9.1%
25-44
33.3%
45-64
23.0%
65+
17.9%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
12.4%
2 bed
37.5%
3 bed
31.5%
4+ bed
18.5%

Dwelling Structure

42.5%

Houses

16.7%

Townhouse

40.8%

Apartment

Tenure

Own 28.7% Mortgage 28.8% Rent 42.5%

The near-equal split between detached houses (42.5%) and apartments (40.8%) is unusual for a Melbourne middle suburb, with semi-detached at 16.7% bridging the gap. Renters at 42.5% match the apartment share, confirming most apartments are investor-held. Outright owners (28.7%) and mortgage holders (28.8%) each account for under 30%. The 12.6% vacancy rate indicates structural oversupply, likely in the newer apartment stock near the station. Prices peaked at $1,637,300 (Apr-Jun 2023), fell to $1,387,000 (Apr-Jun 2024), a correction of 15.3% in 12 months, steeper than the broader Melbourne median decline over the same period.

Median House Price Trend

Source: State Valuer-General

Mortgage / mo

$2,150

Rent / wk

$400

HH Size

2.3

Personal Income / wk

$1,086

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

12.6%

Unoccupied

430

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

19.9%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

24.7%

Community Profile

Languages Spoken at Home

Italian
89
Mandarin
81
Greek
65
Canton
36
Malayalam
34
Hindi
27

Ancestry

English
2,079
Other
1,036
Irish
888
Italian
807
Scottish
669
Chinese
506

Household Composition

29.2%

Couples, no children

5,347

Total families

Economy & Employment

Healthcare dominates at 24.4% (762 workers), driven by the Austin, Mercy, and Warringal hospitals concentrated in the suburb. Professional/Tech follows at 14.4% (450) and Education at 13.3% (417). Professionals lead occupations at 1,631, nearly triple the next category (Managers, 566). Unemployment at 4.5% sits near the national average. The SEIFA IEO decile of 9 confirms strong educational advantage, while the IER decile of 7 suggests economic resources lag somewhat behind, possibly because healthcare workers' incomes do not match their qualification levels.

Unemployment

2.5%

Labour Force

10,054

Unemployed

247

Quarterly Trend

Mar-24 Dec-25

Source: SALM Dec-25

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Overall advantage
9
Disadvantage
9
Economic resources
7
Education & occupation
9

Full-time

66.4%

Part-time

29.1%

Participation

62.4%

Employed

3,656

Occupations

Professionals 1,631
Managers 566
Clerical/Admin 474
Community/Personal 339
Sales 240
Labourers 180
Machinery/Drivers 88

Top Industries

Healthcare 24.4%
Professional/Tech 14.4%
Education 13.3%
Construction 7.0%
Public Admin 6.9%

University

56.8%

Postgraduate

19.0%

Born Overseas

29.3%

Dwellings

2,985

Transport to Work

Three schools serve the suburb: Heidelberg Primary (Government, ICSEA 1,141, 498 students), St John's School (Catholic, ICSEA 1,129, 345 students), and Our Lady of Mercy College (Catholic secondary, ICSEA 1,111, 1,175 students). All score 100+ points above the national benchmark. Public transport usage at 9.2% reflects Heidelberg station access, while 16.6% walk or cycle, well above the national average. Crime at 228 per 1,000 is elevated, dominated by justice procedures (763) and property offences (589), likely institutional rather than residential.

Drive

69.9%

Public Transport

9.2%

Walk / Cycle

16.6%

Work from Home

N/A

Population Forecast

+1.06%/yr

(+182 people/yr)

Established

Population is forecast to grow from 17,224 (2025) to 17,595 by 2031, at 1.06% annually (182 persons/year). Growth is driven by overseas migration (+274/year net), supplemented by internal migration (+120/year). The suburb recovered fully from a 3.2% COVID dip. Gentrification score of 58 (active) reflects real income growth of 41.0% over the decade, working-age share increase of 4.5pp, and improving affordability (mortgage-to-income fell from 55.4% to 45.1%). Growth accelerated from 6% to 16% per period, indicating the suburb is in a densification phase. This rate ranks above the Melbourne median growth rate for established middle-ring suburbs.

Historical + Forecast

Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025

Age Cohort Forecast

Primary Driver

Overseas Migration

Net Overseas / yr

+274

Net Internal / yr

+120

58

Gentrification Signal

Active

Population +23% since 2011, Net internal migration +120/yr, Strong overseas inflow +274/yr, Accelerating: 6% → 16%, COVID recovered (-3% dip → full recovery)

Safety & Crime

Total Offences

1,678

Year ending June 2024

Rate per 1,000 People

228.0

Offence Categories

Justice procedures offences
763
Property and deception offences
589
Crimes against the person
145
Drug offences
103

Source: Crime Statistics Agency Victoria / SA Police

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Heidelberg compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 7%
Household Income
Top 25%
Rent Level
Top 17%
Apartments
Top 9%
Renters
Top 14%
Uni Educated
Top 6%
Public Transport
Top 14%
Born Overseas
Top 15%
Density
Top 5%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Heidelberg a good suburb to live in?

Heidelberg offers strong schools (all 3 above ICSEA 1,100), 9.2% public transport usage via train, and IRSAD decile 9 (top 10% nationally). Trade-offs include a 228 per 1,000 crime rate (inflated by hospital precinct activity), 12.6% vacancy, and house prices 15.3% below their 2023 peak.

What is the median house price in Heidelberg?

The median house price is $1,387,000 (Apr-Jun 2024), down 15.3% from the $1,637,300 peak in Apr-Jun 2023. Over 14 years, prices grew 79.5% (4.3% CAGR) from $772,500 in 2013. Monthly mortgage repayments of $2,150 consume 24.7% of household income, below stress levels.

What schools are in Heidelberg?

Heidelberg has 3 schools: Heidelberg Primary (ICSEA 1,141, 498 students), St John's School (Catholic, ICSEA 1,129, 345 students), and Our Lady of Mercy College (Catholic secondary, ICSEA 1,111, 1,175 students). All score at least 111 points above the national benchmark of 1,000.

Is Heidelberg safe?

The recorded crime rate is 228 per 1,000 residents (1,678 total offences). Justice procedures (763) and property crimes (589) dominate, largely inflated by the hospital and station precinct. Residential streets are likely safer than this rate implies. SEIFA IRSD decile 9 indicates very low disadvantage.

Is Heidelberg good for property investment?

Gross yield of 1.5% ($400/week on $1,387,000) is weak, and 12.6% vacancy is a major red flag. Prices fell 15.3% from peak, which could represent a buying opportunity or continued correction. The 42.5% rental share provides tenant depth, and 1.06%/year population growth adds long-term demand. High risk, long-term play.

How is Heidelberg's population changing?

Population is forecast to grow from 17,224 to 17,595 by 2031 at 1.06% annually. Overseas migration (+274/year) and internal migration (+120/year) both contribute. Growth accelerated from 6% to 16% per period, and gentrification score of 58 (active) reflects real income growth of 41.0% over the decade.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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