VIC 3977 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Junction Village

A median age of 54, which is 14 years above the national figure, tells the essential story of Junction Village. The suburb sits on 1.19 km2 in postcode 3977 with 1,051 residents, and household incomes land in the 16.6th percentile nationally, well below average. University qualifications at 13.6% are 16.5 points below national, while the employment base is dominated by Construction at 23.5%, reflecting the growth corridor surrounding this small, older-demographic pocket of Casey.

Local council: Casey

Junction Village urban fabric map

Population

1,051

Median Age

54.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$1,080/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

1

Median House

$662K

October to December 2025

Only a handful of houses sold here in this period, so this median can jump sharply from one quarter to the next for reasons that have nothing to do with the market. Treat it as a rough guide, not a settled price.

1.19 km²· 885.1 people/km²· Family income $1,722/wk

Separate houses make up 65.9% of dwellings and semi-detached homes account for the remaining 34.1%. Three-bedroom homes are the most common at 40.9%, followed by two-bedroom at 38.4% and four-plus bedroom at 20.7%. Monthly mortgage repayments average $1,733, but the mortgage-to-income ratio sits at 37.1%, above the 30% stress threshold, because household incomes rank at the 16.6th percentile nationally. Outright owners at 44.6% outnumber mortgage holders at 39.3%, suggesting a mature, long-settled ownership base rather than a heavily leveraged market.

For Buyers

Separate houses make up 65.9% of dwellings and semi-detached homes account for the remaining 34.1%. Three-bedroom homes are the most common at 40.9%, followed by two-bedroom at 38.4% and four-plus bedroom at 20.7%. Monthly mortgage repayments average $1,733, but the mortgage-to-income ratio sits at 37.1%, above the 30% stress threshold, because household incomes rank at the 16.6th percentile nationally. Outright owners at 44.6% outnumber mortgage holders at 39.3%, suggesting a mature, long-settled ownership base rather than a heavily leveraged market.

For Investors

Rental demand is thin in Junction Village. Only 16.1% of dwellings are rented, well below national averages, and the weekly median rent is $326. The vacancy rate of 7.1% is elevated compared to healthy rental markets typically below 3%, signalling limited tenant competition. Development activity is minimal at 2 applications in the past 12 months, indicating constrained new supply. Rent-to-income is at the stress threshold of 30.2%, which can make retaining reliable tenants harder in a low-income suburb.

Development Activity

Total DAs

8

Last 12 Months

1

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

-50.0%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

Subdivision
3

Demographics

The median age of 54 sits 14 years above the national benchmark, the most distinctive demographic feature of the suburb. University qualifications at 13.6% are 16.5 percentage points below national, and 21.2% of residents require daily assistance, a high proportion consistent with an aging-resident base. The overseas-born share is 20.0%, which is 1.6 points below national. Ancestry is strongly Anglo-Celtic: English (423), Scottish (118) and Irish (115) are the top three. Average household size is 2.2, which is 0.3 below national, consistent with an older couples or empty-nester profile. Of 681 families, 241 are couples with no children (35.4%), while couples with children number 231. Volunteering participation at 9.7% is moderate.

Age Distribution

0-14
13.5%
15-24
7.7%
25-44
21.4%
45-64
18.6%
65+
39.2%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
0.0%
2 bed
38.4%
3 bed
40.9%
4+ bed
20.7%

Dwelling Structure

65.9%

Houses

34.1%

Townhouse

0.0%

Apartment

Tenure

Own 40.5% Mortgage 35.7% Rent 14.6% Other 9.3%

The current price is also the peak, suggesting the suburb has not corrected from its highs. Tenure favours owners: 44.6% own outright and 39.3% carry a mortgage, leaving only 16.1% renting, a lower renter share than most suburban benchmarks. The monthly mortgage of $1,733 produces a mortgage-to-income ratio of 37.1%, above the 30% stress line relative to local incomes in the 16.6th percentile nationally. Stock is split between separate houses at 65.9% and semi-detached homes at 34.1%.

Mortgage / mo

$1,733

Rent / wkiABS Census 2021 median across all dwelling types. Current market rents are typically higher.

$326

Census 2021

HH Size

2.2

Personal Income / wk

$498

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

7.1%

Unoccupied

32

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

30.2% stressed

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

37.1% stressed

Community Profile

Ancestry

English
423
Scottish
118
Irish
115
Other
80
Italian
54
Ancestry NS
50

Household Composition

32.8%

Couples with children

46.8%

Couples, no children

17.2%

Single parent

250

Total families

Economy & Employment

Construction leads the local employment base at 23.5% of workers (52 people), followed by Healthcare at 18.1% (40), Manufacturing and Education each at 9.5% (21), and Transport at 5.9% (13). By occupation, Labourers are the largest group at 59, then Clerical and Admin (45), Community and Personal Services (43), Machinery and Drivers (41) and Professionals (37). The unemployment rate is 4.0% with only 14 unemployed, but labour force participation is 38.6%, well below national averages because 479 residents are not in the labour force, a consequence of the aging population profile. Personal weekly income averages $498 and household weekly income averages $1,080, placing the suburb at the 16.6th percentile nationally. Full-time employment among workers is 67.3%, with 228 full-time and 111 part-time.

Unemployment

3.7%

Labour Force

382

Unemployed

14

Source: ABS Census 2021

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Full-time

62.0%

Part-time

30.2%

Participation

41.7%

Employed

368

Full-time and part-time are shares of the employed. Source: ABS Census 2021

Occupations

Trades 74
Labourers 59
Clerical/Admin 45
Community/Personal 43
Machinery/Drivers 41
Professionals 37
Sales 34
Managers 23

Top Industries

Construction 23.5%
Healthcare 18.1%
Manufacturing 9.5%
Education 9.5%
Transport 5.9%

University

13.6%

Postgraduate

1.2%

Born Overseas

20.0%

Dwellings

405

Transport to Work

Car dependence is extreme: 90.7% of residents drive to work, one of the higher rates in metropolitan VIC, while only 2.6% use public transport and 1.5% walk or cycle. This reflects the suburban road-based layout and limited public transport infrastructure in the area. There are no schools recorded within the suburb boundary, so families rely on facilities in neighbouring parts of Casey. The crime rate of 72.3 incidents per 1,000 residents covers 76 total offences, dominated by property and deception offences at 57. The high assistance-need rate of 21.2% (213 residents) relates directly to the suburb's median age of 54, which is 14 years above national, as older populations require support at higher rates. Rent stress at 30.2% and mortgage stress at 37.1% indicate financial pressure despite the owner-dominant tenure profile.

Drive

78.8%

Public Transport

2.3%

Walk / Cycle

1.3%

Work from Home

13.2%

Growth Outlook

No suburb-level population forecast data is available in the brief, so growth projections cannot be quoted directly. Historical context is clear: the population of 1,051 is concentrated on 1.19 km2 at a density of 885 people per km2. Resident mobility is low, with 75.0% having stayed at the same address for five or more years, compared to a turnover rate of only 25.0%. This stability is consistent with an aging demographic that tends to remain in place longer than younger cohorts. The suburb's 2 development applications in 12 months signals minimal near-term supply growth.

Population trend: Casey council area

Junction Village sits in the Casey council area. These are the council area's residents, not Junction Village's.

Residents 2025

414,929

Growth, 5 yr average

+2.7%/yr

2020 to 2025

Growth, last year

+2.6%

2024 to 2025

ABS Estimated Resident Population by LGA, 30 June each year; council area, not this suburb

Safety & Crime

Total Offences

76

Year ending June 2024

Rate per 1,000 People

72.3

Offence Categories

Property and deception offences
57
Crimes against the person
8
Justice procedures offences
7
Public order and security offences
3

Source: Crime Statistics Agency Victoria / SA Police

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Junction Village compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 28%
Household Income
Bottom 17%
Rent Level
Top 32%
Apartments
Bottom 0%
Renters
Bottom 49%
Uni Educated
Bottom 14%
Public Transport
Bottom 46%
Born Overseas
Top 30%
Density
Top 16%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Junction Village a good suburb to live in?

Junction Village suits established homeowners more than young families or renters. The median age of 54 is 14 years above national, car access is essential at 90.7% driving to work, and there are no schools in the suburb boundary.

What schools are in Junction Village?

No schools are recorded within the Junction Village suburb boundary in this dataset. Families rely on schools in neighbouring suburbs within the City of Casey. The local university qualification rate is 13.6%, which is 16.5 percentage points below the national average.

Is Junction Village safe?

Junction Village recorded 76 total offences in the crime data, giving a rate of 72.3 incidents per 1,000 residents. Property and deception offences account for 57 of those incidents, while crimes against the person total 8. The suburb has a small population of 1,051, so individual incidents move the rate meaningfully.

How is Junction Village's population changing?

No current population forecast is available for the suburb, but the resident profile signals stability rather than growth. The median age of 54 is 14 years above national, 75% of residents have lived at the same address for 5 or more years, and only 2 development applications were lodged in the past 12 months, indicating limited new supply or population-driven expansion.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), Valuer-General Victoria (house prices), state education open registers (school locations), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications).

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