VIC 3033 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Keilor East

Detached houses define Keilor East: 80.6% of dwellings are separate houses and only 0.8% are apartments, giving it a lower-density family profile than many middle-ring Melbourne suburbs. Compared with nearby Essendon and Niddrie, the suburb leans more car-based and house-focused, with 89.9% of commuters driving. The median age of 43 is 3.0 years above the national figure, while household income sits at the 71.4th percentile. That matters because strong incomes and low apartment supply help support a $1,057,500 median house price.

Keilor East urban fabric map

Population

15,078

Median Age

43.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$1,911/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

65

Median House

$1.1M

Apr-Jun 2024

9.16 km²· 1,646.8 people/km²· Family income $2,257/wk

Keilor East suits buyers seeking land, larger homes and relative stability rather than apartment convenience. The median house price is $1,057,500, at the current peak after rising 88.8% from $560,000 in 2013. Housing costs look manageable for many owners because mortgage payments absorb 26.2% of income, below typical stress thresholds. Stock is family-sized: 56.8% of homes have 3 bedrooms and 35.1% have 4 or more, while apartments are only 0.8%. The trade-off is transport, with 89.9% driving to work.

For Buyers

Keilor East suits buyers seeking land, larger homes and relative stability rather than apartment convenience. The median house price is $1,057,500, at the current peak after rising 88.8% from $560,000 in 2013. Housing costs look manageable for many owners because mortgage payments absorb 26.2% of income, below typical stress thresholds. Stock is family-sized: 56.8% of homes have 3 bedrooms and 35.1% have 4 or more, while apartments are only 0.8%. The trade-off is transport, with 89.9% driving to work.

For Investors

Keilor East is a lower-renter market, with only 19.3% renting compared with owner-heavy shares of 47.3% owned outright and 33.4% mortgaged. Median rent is $406 per week and rent-to-income is 21.2%, so affordability pressure is not extreme. Vacancy is 6.0%, which is higher than a tight rental market and may soften near-term letting power. However, 39 development applications in 12 months and overseas migration averaging 126 people a year provide some demand support, even as internal migration averages -8.

Development Activity

Total DAs

87

Last 12 Months

65

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

+400.0%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

Other
35
Subdivision
22
New Dwelling
17
Landscaping / Retaining Wall
1
Multi-Dwelling / Townhouse
1
Tree Removal
1
Signage / Advertising
1

Schools in Keilor East iICSEA: school advantage index. 1000 = national avg, higher = more advantaged

Penleigh & Essendon Grammar School

ICSEA 1173 Combined Independent

Prep-12 · 2913 students

St Peter's School

ICSEA 1085 Primary Catholic

Prep-6 · 561 students

Keilor Heights Primary School

ICSEA 1049 Primary Government

Prep-6 · 254 students

Essendon Keilor College

ICSEA 1004 Secondary Government

7-12 · 697 students

Demographics

Keilor East has an older and relatively educated population. The median age is 43, which is 3.0 years above the national benchmark, and 40.6% hold a university qualification, 10.5 percentage points above national. Overseas-born residents are 30.0%, 8.4 points above national, reflected in Italian ancestry at 3,688 people, English at 3,008 and Greek at 1,115. Italian is spoken by 581 residents and Greek by 357. Household size is 2.6, only 0.1 above national, because family homes are balanced by many older couples.

Age Distribution

0-14
17.5%
15-24
10.7%
25-44
23.8%
45-64
25.1%
65+
22.8%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
0.7%
2 bed
7.3%
3 bed
56.8%
4+ bed
35.1%

Dwelling Structure

80.6%

Houses

18.4%

Townhouse

0.8%

Apartment

Tenure

Own 47.3% Mortgage 33.4% Rent 19.3%

Rather than the apartment mix found around Essendon station, Keilor East is a house market: 80.6% separate houses, 18.4% semi-detached homes and just 0.8% apartments. The median house price reached $1,057,500 in Apr-Jun 2024, equal to its peak, after a 4.6% compound annual rise over 14 years from $560,000 in 2013. Ownership is higher than renting, with 47.3% owned outright, 33.4% mortgaged and 19.3% renting. This supports price resilience because turnover pressure is lower in owner-occupied streets.

Median House Price Trend

Source: State Valuer-General

Mortgage / mo

$2,167

Rent / wk

$406

HH Size

2.6

Personal Income / wk

$759

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

6.0%

Unoccupied

349

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

21.2%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

26.2%

Community Profile

Languages Spoken at Home

Italian
581
Greek
357
Arabic
147
Canton
117
Mandarin
99
Croatian
78

Ancestry

Italian
3,688
English
3,008
Other
1,895
Irish
1,152
Greek
1,115
Scottish
799

Household Composition

23.8%

Couples, no children

12,802

Total families

Economy & Employment

Keilor East's workforce is broad but tilted to stable service sectors. Healthcare accounts for 14.1% of workers, Education 13.0%, Construction 11.7%, Professional/Tech 10.5% and Public Admin 7.5%. Professionals are the largest occupation group at 1,757 people, ahead of Clerical/Admin at 1,116 and Managers at 998. Unemployment is 4.9% and full-time work is 65.4% of employed residents. SEIFA sits consistently above the midpoint, with IEO, IER, IRSD and IRSAD all in decile 7, because incomes and education are solid without reaching elite inner-east levels.

Unemployment

1.8%

Labour Force

4,728

Unemployed

84

Quarterly Trend

Mar-24 Dec-25

Source: SALM Dec-25

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Overall advantage
7
Disadvantage
7
Economic resources
7
Education & occupation
7

Full-time

65.4%

Part-time

29.7%

Participation

55.0%

Employed

6,506

Occupations

Professionals 1,757
Clerical/Admin 1,116
Managers 998
Community/Personal 683
Sales 645
Labourers 432
Machinery/Drivers 362

Top Industries

Healthcare 14.1%
Education 13.0%
Construction 11.7%
Professional/Tech 10.5%
Public Admin 7.5%

University

40.6%

Postgraduate

8.6%

Born Overseas

30.0%

Dwellings

5,450

Transport to Work

Keilor East is livable for households that value schools, space and road access more than rail commuting. Public transport commuting is only 2.5%, below many train-line suburbs, while 89.9% drive. School choice is a strength: 4 local schools span ICSEA 1004 to 1173, led by Independent Penleigh & Essendon Grammar School at 1173, Catholic St Peter's School at 1085 and Government Keilor Heights Primary School at 1049. Safety is moderate, with 599 offences and 39.7 crimes per 1,000 people; property and deception offences make up 367 cases. IRSAD decile 7 adds above-average socio-economic support.

Drive

89.9%

Public Transport

2.5%

Walk / Cycle

1.7%

Work from Home

N/A

Population Forecast

+0.55%/yr

(+86 people/yr)

Established

Growth in Keilor East is steady rather than explosive. The trend forecast is 0.55% a year, or about 86 people annually, with the medium path rising from 15,703 in 2026 to 16,131 in 2031. Overseas migration is the main driver, averaging 126 net people a year, while internal migration is lower at -8. The shift profile is Mixed: rents rose 31.6%, real incomes rose 21.5% and population changed 13.7% over 10 years. The gentrification score is 4 and the stage is Not gentrifying, because renewal is incremental rather than wholesale.

Historical + Forecast

Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025

Age Cohort Forecast

Primary Driver

Overseas Migration

Net Overseas / yr

+126

Net Internal / yr

-8

4

Gentrification Signal

Not gentrifying

Population +13% since 2011

Safety & Crime

Total Offences

599

Year ending June 2024

Rate per 1,000 People

39.7

Offence Categories

Property and deception offences
367
Justice procedures offences
96
Crimes against the person
91
Public order and security offences
23

Source: Crime Statistics Agency Victoria / SA Police

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Keilor East compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 2%
Household Income
Top 29%
Rent Level
Top 14%
Apartments
Bottom 17%
Renters
Bottom 47%
Uni Educated
Top 18%
Public Transport
Bottom 41%
Born Overseas
Top 14%
Density
Top 10%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Keilor East a good suburb to live in?

Yes, especially for households wanting space and schools. Keilor East has 80.6% separate houses, 4 local schools and a median age of 43, which points to a settled family and older-owner profile. It is less suited to rail-dependent commuters because 89.9% drive to work.

What is the median house price in Keilor East?

The median house price in Keilor East is $1,057,500 for Apr-Jun 2024. That is the suburb's recorded peak and is 88.8% higher than the $560,000 level recorded in 2013, equal to 4.6% compound annual growth over 14 years.

What schools are in Keilor East?

Keilor East has 4 listed schools. Penleigh & Essendon Grammar School leads on ICSEA at 1173, followed by St Peter's School at 1085, Keilor Heights Primary School at 1049 and Essendon Keilor College at 1004.

Is Keilor East safe?

Keilor East recorded 599 offences, equal to 39.7 crimes per 1,000 people. Property and deception offences are the main category with 367 incidents, followed by justice procedures at 96 and crimes against the person at 91.

Is Keilor East good for property investment?

Keilor East is more of a capital-stability market than a high-yield renter market. Only 19.3% of homes are rented, median rent is $406 per week and vacancy is 6.0%. The stronger positives are the $1,057,500 median house price peak and 39 recent development applications.

How is Keilor East's population changing?

Keilor East is forecast to grow slowly, at 0.55% or about 86 people a year. The medium projection rises from 15,703 residents in 2026 to 16,131 in 2031, with overseas migration adding 126 people annually and internal migration averaging -8.

What development is happening in Keilor East?

There were 39 development applications recorded over 12 months, including planning permits and a two lot subdivision application. That level is above a quiet infill market and fits the suburb's gradual renewal pattern rather than large-scale apartment change.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

Explore Keilor East on the Map

View parcels, zoning overlays, DA applications, schools and more.

Open Interactive Map

More Suburbs in VIC