VIC 3137 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Kilsyth South

With 97.5% of dwellings being separate houses, Kilsyth South is among the most detached-dominant residential pockets in Melbourne's outer east. Household income sits at the 88.7th percentile nationally, yet the suburb scores only decile 5 on IRSAD and IRSD, a gap that reflects the mortgage commitment most residents carry: 53.2% are paying off their homes compared to just 41.5% who own outright. The median house price reached $1,225,000 in Apr-Jun 2024, a 125.8% rise since 2013. Population has grown 22% since 2011, with annual growth of around 1.06% and net migration balanced between internal and overseas arrivals.

Kilsyth South urban fabric map

Population

2,862

Median Age

42.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$2,328/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

0

Median House

$1.2M

Apr-Jun 2024

3.35 km²· 853.5 people/km²· Family income $2,459/wk

At $1,225,000 in Apr-Jun 2024, the median house price has risen 125.8% from $542,500 in 2013, a compound annual growth rate of 6.0% over 14 years. The price climbed from $1,020,000 in Oct-Dec 2023 to $1,225,000 in Apr-Jun 2024, a 20.1% jump across two quarters. The stock is almost entirely separate houses (97.5%), with 57.9% having four or more bedrooms and 38.2% with three bedrooms, making this a family-sized housing market. Monthly mortgage repayments average $1,950, producing a mortgage-to-income ratio of 19.3%, comfortably below the 30% stress threshold. Owner-occupier demand is strong: 53.2% carry a mortgage and only 5.3% rent, one of the lower renter proportions compared to wider suburban Melbourne.

For Buyers

At $1,225,000 in Apr-Jun 2024, the median house price has risen 125.8% from $542,500 in 2013, a compound annual growth rate of 6.0% over 14 years. The price climbed from $1,020,000 in Oct-Dec 2023 to $1,225,000 in Apr-Jun 2024, a 20.1% jump across two quarters. The stock is almost entirely separate houses (97.5%), with 57.9% having four or more bedrooms and 38.2% with three bedrooms, making this a family-sized housing market. Monthly mortgage repayments average $1,950, producing a mortgage-to-income ratio of 19.3%, comfortably below the 30% stress threshold. Owner-occupier demand is strong: 53.2% carry a mortgage and only 5.3% rent, one of the lower renter proportions compared to wider suburban Melbourne.

For Investors

The 5.3% renter share is low compared to the national average, limiting the size of the tenant pool for investment buyers. Weekly rent sits at $426, and against the $1,225,000 median that implies a gross yield below 1.8%. Vacancy stands at 2.9%, moderate rather than tight. Development activity recorded zero applications in the past 12 months, consistent with a fully built-out suburban estate. Migration supports slow but steady demand: net internal arrivals average 86 per year and overseas migration adds 47, giving a balanced growth driver. Rent growth of 37.0% over the measurement period and real income growth of 16.8% both suggest purchasing power is rising, though the thin rental market means yields remain the key constraint relative to the high median.

Development Activity

Total DAs

1

Last 12 Months

0

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

Demographics

The median age of 42 is 2.0 years above the national figure, and 14.8% of residents were born overseas, which is 6.8 points below national. Ancestry is strongly Anglo-Celtic: English (1,202), Scottish (295), Irish (294) and German (150) are the top groups. Average household size is 3.0, which is 0.5 above the national average, reflecting the concentration of couples with children (962 families) in a suburb where 97.5% of dwellings are separate houses. University qualifications at 25.5% are 4.6 points below national, and the top occupation is Professionals (312), followed by Clerical/Admin (237) and Managers (183). Volunteering runs at 16.0% and only 4.9% of residents need daily assistance.

Age Distribution

0-14
15.8%
15-24
17.2%
25-44
19.8%
45-64
35.4%
65+
11.7%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
1.0%
2 bed
2.9%
3 bed
38.2%
4+ bed
57.9%

Dwelling Structure

97.5%

Houses

2.5%

Townhouse

N/A

Apartment

Tenure

Own 41.5% Mortgage 53.2% Rent 5.3%

Tenure is dominated by mortgagees (53.2%) with outright owners at 41.5% and renters at just 5.3%, one of the lowest renter proportions compared to broader metropolitan Melbourne. The stock is 97.5% separate houses and 2.5% semi-detached, with virtually no apartments. Bedroom distribution skews large: 57.9% of dwellings have four or more bedrooms and 38.2% have three, which points to a family ownership market. The median price hit $1,225,000 in Apr-Jun 2024, a 125.8% gain from the 2013 trough of $542,500 at a 6.0% CAGR. Mortgage-to-income at 19.3% and rent-to-income at 18.3% both sit below stress thresholds, meaning housing costs are manageable relative to the 88.7th percentile household income.

Median House Price Trend

Source: State Valuer-General

Mortgage / mo

$1,950

Rent / wk

$426

HH Size

3.0

Personal Income / wk

$837

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

2.9%

Unoccupied

28

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

18.3%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

19.3%

Community Profile

Languages Spoken at Home

Mandarin
14

Ancestry

English
1,202
Scottish
295
Irish
294
Other
175
German
150
Italian
139

Household Composition

20.2%

Couples, no children

2,599

Total families

Economy & Employment

Healthcare leads industry employment at 16.8% (172 workers), followed by Construction at 15.9% (163) and Education at 12.1% (124), then Manufacturing at 10.7% (109) and Retail at 7.1% (73). This mix reflects the outer-east corridor's blend of service and trades employment rather than a CBD-facing professional core. Unemployment is 3.6% and the full-time employment rate is 62.1%, with 991 residents working full time and 605 part time. The participation rate at 68.8% is reasonable given the median age of 42. SEIFA scores sit at decile 5 on IRSAD and IRSD despite 88.7th-percentile household income, because the high mortgage burden and relatively lower education rates (25.5% university, 4.6 points below national) depress the composite advantage index.

Unemployment

5.3%

Labour Force

5,699

Unemployed

301

Quarterly Trend

Mar-24 Dec-25

Source: SALM Dec-25

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Overall advantage
5
Disadvantage
5
Economic resources
6
Education & occupation
5

Full-time

62.1%

Part-time

34.3%

Participation

68.8%

Employed

1,596

Occupations

Professionals 312
Clerical/Admin 237
Managers 183
Community/Personal 182
Sales 173
Labourers 163
Machinery/Drivers 89

Top Industries

Healthcare 16.8%
Construction 15.9%
Education 12.1%
Manufacturing 10.7%
Retail 7.1%

University

25.5%

Postgraduate

3.9%

Born Overseas

14.8%

Dwellings

919

Transport to Work

Car dependence is high at 90.9% driving to work, with only 1.8% using public transport and 2.0% walking or cycling, reflecting the outer-east location and low-density layout. No schools are recorded within the Kilsyth South boundary in this dataset, so families rely on nearby institutions in adjacent suburbs. The crime rate is 40.5 incidents per 1,000 residents based on 116 total recorded offences, with property and deception offences (63) the dominant category. The suburb scores decile 5 on IRSAD nationally, near the middle of the distribution. Mobility is low: 88.2% of residents stayed in the same address over the period and turnover sits at just 11.8%, indicating a stable, settled community with limited churn.

Drive

90.9%

Public Transport

1.8%

Walk / Cycle

2.0%

Work from Home

N/A

Population Forecast

+1.06%/yr

(+113 people/yr)

Established

Population has grown at 1.06% per year, adding roughly 113 residents annually, and rose 16.2% over the decade to reach 10,692 by 2025. Medium forecasts project continued expansion to around 11,239 by 2031. Migration is balanced: net internal arrivals average 86 per year and overseas net migration adds 47. The trajectory is classified as growing across all age groups, with the young share up 1.7 points and the senior share up 1.6 points over the decade. The gentrification stage reads early signs with a score of 35, driven by the 22% population rise since 2011 and sustained internal migration inflow. Affordability improved from 52.2% in 2011 to 49.7% in 2021, a modest positive trend despite the $1,225,000 median.

Historical + Forecast

Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025

Age Cohort Forecast

Primary Driver

Balanced

Net Overseas / yr

+47

Net Internal / yr

+86

18

Gentrification Signal

Not gentrifying

Population +22% since 2011, Net internal migration +86/yr

Safety & Crime

Total Offences

116

Year ending June 2024

Rate per 1,000 People

40.5

Offence Categories

Property and deception offences
63
Justice procedures offences
23
Crimes against the person
21
Drug offences
6

Source: Crime Statistics Agency Victoria / SA Police

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Kilsyth South compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 18%
Household Income
Top 11%
Rent Level
Top 12%
Renters
Bottom 3%
Uni Educated
Top 45%
Public Transport
Bottom 31%
Born Overseas
Top 47%
Density
Top 16%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Kilsyth South a good suburb to live in?

Kilsyth South suits families seeking large detached housing at the 88.7th percentile household income level. With 97.5% separate houses, 57.9% having 4-plus bedrooms, and a mortgage-to-income ratio of just 19.3%, costs are manageable. The crime rate of 40.5 per 1,000 is moderate, and 88.2% of residents stay long-term, reflecting high satisfaction with the area.

What is the median house price in Kilsyth South?

The median house price is $1,225,000 as of Apr-Jun 2024, up from $1,020,000 in Oct-Dec 2023. Since 2013, prices have risen 125.8% from $542,500, a 6.0% compound annual growth rate over 14 years. Monthly mortgage repayments average $1,950.

What schools are in Kilsyth South?

No schools are recorded inside the Kilsyth South boundary in this dataset. Families rely on schools in neighbouring suburbs. The local university qualification rate is 25.5%, which is 4.6 points below the national average, with 312 residents in professional occupations.

Is Kilsyth South safe?

Kilsyth South recorded 116 total offences, a rate of 40.5 per 1,000 residents. Property and deception offences (63) make up the largest share, followed by justice procedures (23) and crimes against the person (21). The 88.2% residential stability rate indicates a settled community with low turnover.

Is Kilsyth South good for property investment?

Capital growth is strong: the median rose 125.8% from $542,500 in 2013 to $1,225,000 in 2024, a 6.0% CAGR. However, the 5.3% renter share is low compared to typical investment suburbs, limiting tenant demand. Rent of $426 per week against a $1,225,000 median gives a gross yield below 1.8%, making it better suited to long-term capital appreciation than yield.

How is Kilsyth South's population changing?

Population grew 16.2% over the past decade and expanded 22% since 2011, with annual growth of 1.06% adding roughly 113 residents per year. The 2025 figure reached 10,692. Medium forecasts project growth to around 11,239 by 2031. Net internal migration of 86 per year and overseas net arrivals of 47 both contribute to the steady expansion.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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