VIC 3910 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Langwarrin

Three traits define Langwarrin: a detached-house monoculture (82.7% of dwellings, with apartments at just 0.2%), bigger lots than typical metro Melbourne across 28.84 sqkm at only 818 people per sqkm, and an Anglo-leaning household mix (16.6% born overseas, 5 percentage points below the national 21.6%). The suburb sits in Frankston LGA between Frankston and Mornington, with no train station and 92.7% of commuters driving. Household income reaches the 71.9th national percentile at $1,919 weekly, yet 22.9% hold a university degree, 7.2 percentage points under the national 30.1%, reflecting a tradie-and-healthcare workforce rather than a professional-belt suburb.

Langwarrin urban fabric map

Population

23,588

Median Age

38.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$1,919/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

41

Median House

$838K

Apr-Jun 2024

28.84 km²· 817.8 people/km²· Family income $2,253/wk

The median house at $837,500 (Apr-Jun 2024) is down 2.6% from the 2022 peak of $860,000, sitting roughly $200,000 below the Greater Melbourne median and well under Mornington Peninsula bayside neighbours like Mornington and Mount Eliza. Mortgage repayments average $1,863 monthly against household income of $1,919 weekly, putting mortgage-to-income at 22.4%, comfortably below the 30% stress threshold. Stock skews family-sized: 44.9% three-bedroom and 41.5% four-plus bedroom, with separate houses at 82.7% and semi-detached at 15.4%. The trade-off for buyers is no rail access and a 40-50 minute commute to the CBD by car, which is why pricing lags Frankston-line suburbs at similar build quality.

For Buyers

The median house at $837,500 (Apr-Jun 2024) is down 2.6% from the 2022 peak of $860,000, sitting roughly $200,000 below the Greater Melbourne median and well under Mornington Peninsula bayside neighbours like Mornington and Mount Eliza. Mortgage repayments average $1,863 monthly against household income of $1,919 weekly, putting mortgage-to-income at 22.4%, comfortably below the 30% stress threshold. Stock skews family-sized: 44.9% three-bedroom and 41.5% four-plus bedroom, with separate houses at 82.7% and semi-detached at 15.4%. The trade-off for buyers is no rail access and a 40-50 minute commute to the CBD by car, which is why pricing lags Frankston-line suburbs at similar build quality.

For Investors

Rental yield is the weak link: weekly rent of $365 against an $837,500 median produces a gross yield near 2.3%, well below the 3.5% to 4% an outer-Melbourne investor typically targets. Only 18.1% of dwellings are rented compared with 30.6% nationally, while 30.7% are owned outright and 51.2% are mortgaged, signalling a settled owner-occupier market with thin rental supply. The 3.5% vacancy rate is slightly above the 2% to 3% Melbourne metro average, suggesting tenants can be choosier here than in tighter rental belts. Rent has grown 30.4% since 2011, but capital growth ran the show: prices compounded at 5.7% annually over 14 years, with 26 planning applications in the last 12 months including a 33-dwelling proposal.

Development Activity

Total DAs

54

Last 12 Months

41

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

+583.3%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

Subdivision
16
New Dwelling
10
Tree Removal
7
Other
7
Signage / Advertising
2
Renovation / Extension
1
Multi-Dwelling / Townhouse
1
Garage / Carport / Shed
1

Schools in Langwarrin iICSEA: school advantage index. 1000 = national avg, higher = more advantaged

St Jude's School

ICSEA 1052 Primary Catholic

Prep-6 · 309 students

Woodlands Primary School

ICSEA 1051 Primary Government

Prep-6 · 861 students

Langwarrin Primary School

ICSEA 1022 Primary Government

Prep-6 · 663 students

Langwarrin Park Primary School

ICSEA 1016 Primary Government

Prep-6 · 585 students

Elisabeth Murdoch College

ICSEA 1010 Secondary Government

7-12 · 1572 students

Demographics

Median age sits at 38, only 2 years below the national 40, with the senior share rising 5.4 percentage points over the decade while the working-age share dropped 1.0 points, an aging trajectory typical of suburbs that filled out in the 1980s and 1990s. Ancestry is heavily Anglo-Celtic: English (10,625), Scottish (2,783) and Irish (2,571) dominate, with Italian (998) the only non-British ancestry in the top five. Only 16.6% were born overseas, 5 percentage points under the national 21.6%, and language diversity is thin: Greek (67 speakers), Italian (46) and Mandarin (37) are the largest non-English communities. Christianity reaches 9,215 adherents, with very low Buddhist (184) and other (84) counts.

Age Distribution

0-14
19.9%
15-24
11.6%
25-44
27.1%
45-64
26.2%
65+
15.1%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
1.7%
2 bed
11.9%
3 bed
44.9%
4+ bed
41.5%

Dwelling Structure

82.7%

Houses

15.4%

Townhouse

0.2%

Apartment

Tenure

Own 30.7% Mortgage 51.2% Rent 18.1%

The stock is overwhelmingly detached and family-scaled: 82.7% separate houses, 15.4% semi-detached (largely 1990s townhouse infill), and just 0.2% apartments. Bedroom mix runs 44.9% three-bedroom and 41.5% four-plus, with only 1.7% in studio or one-bedroom, confirming this is a family-formation suburb not a starter-home market. Tenure splits 30.7% owned outright, 51.2% mortgaged and 18.1% rented, with the rental share running well below the 30.6% national figure. Prices climbed from $385,000 in 2013 to $837,500 in mid-2024, a 117.5% rise and a 5.7% compound annual growth rate, though the latest read is 2.6% off the 2022 peak. Price-to-household-income ratios sit near 8.4, manageable for the 22.4% mortgage-to-income load.

Median House Price Trend

Source: State Valuer-General

Mortgage / mo

$1,863

Rent / wk

$365

HH Size

2.7

Personal Income / wk

$868

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

3.5%

Unoccupied

306

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

19.0%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

22.4%

Community Profile

Languages Spoken at Home

Greek
67
Italian
46
Arabic
40
Mandarin
37
German
23
Polish
18

Ancestry

English
10,625
Scottish
2,783
Irish
2,571
Other
1,546
Italian
998
German
951

Household Composition

23.1%

Couples, no children

19,872

Total families

Economy & Employment

Employment skews to hands-on services rather than corporate professional work: Healthcare (18.1%) and Construction (17.8%) together employ over a third of working residents, with Education (12.8%), Manufacturing (8.3%) and Retail (7.0%) rounding out the top five. Occupations follow the same pattern, with Professionals (2,141) leading but Clerical/Admin (1,812), Community/Personal Services (1,480) and Managers (1,410) close behind. Unemployment is just 3.8%, below the 5.1% national rate, and the 64.1% participation rate with 63.8% full-time work signals a working-household suburb. SEIFA tells the income-versus-education story clearly: IER (economic resources) sits in decile 8, well above IEO (education and occupation) at decile 5, the classic mortgage-belt tradie pattern.

Unemployment

3.2%

Labour Force

14,947

Unemployed

476

Quarterly Trend

Mar-24 Dec-25

Source: SALM Dec-25

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Overall advantage
6
Disadvantage
7
Economic resources
8
Education & occupation
5

Full-time

63.8%

Part-time

32.4%

Participation

64.1%

Employed

11,654

Occupations

Professionals 2,141
Clerical/Admin 1,812
Community/Personal 1,480
Managers 1,410
Sales 1,248
Labourers 1,163
Machinery/Drivers 692

Top Industries

Healthcare 18.1%
Construction 17.8%
Education 12.8%
Manufacturing 8.3%
Retail 7.0%

University

22.9%

Postgraduate

3.6%

Born Overseas

16.6%

Dwellings

8,521

Transport to Work

The crime rate at 46.9 per 1,000 residents sits below the Victorian state average of around 60 per 1,000, with property and deception offences (546 incidents) the dominant category and only 47 drug offences across the year. Schooling is the strongest livability lever: five schools all within sector benchmarks, led by St Jude's (ICSEA 1,052) and Woodlands Primary (1,051, enrolment 861) above the national 1,000, with Elisabeth Murdoch College the secondary anchor at ICSEA 1,010 and 1,572 students. The downside is transport: only 1.0% commute by public transport and 1.2% walk or cycle, against 92.7% driving, because the nearest train station is in Frankston. SEIFA IRSAD decile 6 places the area moderately above the national midpoint on combined advantage.

Drive

92.7%

Public Transport

1.0%

Walk / Cycle

1.2%

Work from Home

N/A

Population Forecast

+0.85%/yr

(+218 people/yr)

Established

Population is forecast to rise 0.85% annually from 26,329 in 2026 to 27,420 by 2031, adding roughly 218 residents per year. Growth is overseas-led: net overseas migration averages +118 per year while net internal migration runs -147 per year, meaning locals leave for cheaper outer-Melbourne or sea-change locations and skilled overseas arrivals fill the gap. The shift indicators show a clearly aging trajectory: senior share up 5.4 percentage points, young share down 1.2 points, with a gentrification score of just 4 out of 100 placing Langwarrin firmly in the 'not gentrifying' bracket. Real income grew 12.6% over the decade and affordability improved slightly from 44.7% to 42.1%, contradicting the cost-of-living narrative seen in faster-rising peers.

Historical + Forecast

Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025

Age Cohort Forecast

Primary Driver

Overseas Migration

Net Overseas / yr

+118

Net Internal / yr

-147

4

Gentrification Signal

Not gentrifying

Population +11% since 2011, Net internal outflow -147/yr

Safety & Crime

Total Offences

1,107

Year ending June 2024

Rate per 1,000 People

46.9

Offence Categories

Property and deception offences
546
Justice procedures offences
264
Crimes against the person
203
Drug offences
47

Source: Crime Statistics Agency Victoria / SA Police

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Langwarrin compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 1%
Household Income
Top 28%
Rent Level
Top 23%
Apartments
Bottom 1%
Renters
Bottom 43%
Uni Educated
Bottom 47%
Public Transport
Bottom 15%
Born Overseas
Top 40%
Density
Top 17%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Langwarrin a good suburb to live in?

For families wanting a detached house on a larger block (82.7% of dwellings are separate houses, 41.5% have four-plus bedrooms) with five local schools and lower crime than the state average at 46.9 per 1,000, Langwarrin works well. The trade-off is no train station and 92.7% car dependence, so commuters should expect to drive.

What is the median house price in Langwarrin?

The median house price was $837,500 in Apr-Jun 2024, down 2.6% from the 2022 peak of $860,000 but up 117.5% from $385,000 in 2013, a compound annual growth rate of 5.7% over 14 years. This sits well below comparable bayside Mornington Peninsula medians.

What schools are in Langwarrin?

Langwarrin has five schools, all at or above the national ICSEA average of 1,000. Top performers are St Jude's School (Catholic primary, ICSEA 1,052, enrolment 309) and Woodlands Primary (ICSEA 1,051, enrolment 861). Elisabeth Murdoch College is the secondary anchor with 1,572 students at ICSEA 1,010.

Is Langwarrin safe?

Crime sits at 46.9 incidents per 1,000 residents per year, below the Victorian state average near 60 per 1,000. The dominant category is property and deception offences (546 of 1,107 total), with crimes against the person at 203 and only 47 drug offences, reflecting a typical established family suburb profile.

Is Langwarrin good for property investment?

Capital growth has been strong at 5.7% compound annually over 14 years, but rental yield is weak: $365 weekly rent against an $837,500 median gives a gross yield near 2.3%, below the 3.5% to 4% outer-Melbourne benchmark. With only 18.1% of dwellings rented and a 3.5% vacancy rate, it suits growth-focused investors rather than cashflow buyers.

How is Langwarrin's population changing?

Population is forecast to grow 0.85% annually, from 26,329 in 2026 to 27,420 by 2031, adding about 218 residents per year. Growth is driven by overseas migration (+118 net per year) offsetting an internal outflow of -147 per year, while the senior share has risen 5.4 percentage points and the young-adult share fallen 1.2 points over the decade.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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