VIC 3212 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Lara

A 169.8% population rise over 10 years is the headline for Lara, turning a large 89.35 sq km township into one of Geelong's clear growth fronts. Compared with closer-in neighbours such as Corio and Norlane, Lara still reads as lower density at 212.8 people per sq km, with 89.6% separate houses and only 0.9% apartments. Household income sits at the 74.1 percentile, so the suburb has above-average earning capacity, while the $676,500 median house price keeps it below many inner Melbourne alternatives.

Lara urban fabric map

Population

19,014

Median Age

37.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$1,969/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

30

Median House

$676K

Apr-Jun 2024

89.35 km²· 212.8 people/km²· Family income $2,229/wk

For buyers, Lara is mainly a detached-house market: 89.6% of dwellings are separate houses, 44.0% have 4 or more bedrooms and another 43.2% have 3 bedrooms. The $676,500 median house price in Apr-Jun 2024 is 4.0% below the $705,000 peak, which gives buyers a little more room than at the 2023 high. Mortgage costs are relatively contained at 20.3% of income, because household income is $1,969 a week and mortgage repayments sit at $1,733 a month.

For Buyers

For buyers, Lara is mainly a detached-house market: 89.6% of dwellings are separate houses, 44.0% have 4 or more bedrooms and another 43.2% have 3 bedrooms. The $676,500 median house price in Apr-Jun 2024 is 4.0% below the $705,000 peak, which gives buyers a little more room than at the 2023 high. Mortgage costs are relatively contained at 20.3% of income, because household income is $1,969 a week and mortgage repayments sit at $1,733 a month.

For Investors

Lara is more owner-occupied than rental-led, with 22.1% renting compared with 31.2% owned outright and 46.7% under mortgage. The median rent is $370 a week, while the 4.5% vacancy rate means investors need to price carefully rather than assume immediate tenant pressure. The upside is growth: 24 development applications in 12 months, 15.4% rent growth in the shift indicators and average internal migration of 1,124 people a year point to demand being driven by new households rather than only local churn.

Development Activity

Total DAs

67

Last 12 Months

30

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

+87.5%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

Other
26
Subdivision
12
New Dwelling
3
Change of Use
2
Garage / Carport / Shed
1
Granny Flat / Secondary Dwelling
1
Hospitality / Food Premises
1

Schools in Lara iICSEA: school advantage index. 1000 = national avg, higher = more advantaged

St Anthony's School

ICSEA 1040 Primary Catholic

Prep-6 · 477 students

Lara Primary School

ICSEA 993 Primary Government

Prep-6 · 439 students

Lara Secondary College

ICSEA 975 Secondary Government

7-12 · 658 students

Demographics

Lara's median age is 37, which is 3.0 years below the national comparison, and the average household size of 2.7 is 0.2 above national. The population is relatively locally born, with 18.0% born overseas, 3.6 percentage points below national, and university attainment of 26.6%, 3.5 points below national. English ancestry is the largest recorded group at 6,870 people, followed by Irish at 2,086 and Scottish at 1,953, because the suburb has grown from a long-standing Anglo-leaning base rather than a migrant-majority profile.

Age Distribution

0-14
19.3%
15-24
11.1%
25-44
30.9%
45-64
23.9%
65+
14.8%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
2.0%
2 bed
10.8%
3 bed
43.2%
4+ bed
44.0%

Dwelling Structure

89.6%

Houses

9.4%

Townhouse

0.9%

Apartment

Tenure

Own 31.2% Mortgage 46.7% Rent 22.1%

Lara's housing cycle shows strong long-run gains with a recent pullback. The median moved from $350,000 in 2013 to $676,500 in Apr-Jun 2024, a 93.3% rise at a 4.8% CAGR over 14 years. It peaked at $705,000 in Apr-Jun 2023 and is now 4.0% lower, while the trough was $340,000 in 2014. Tenure is stable, with 31.2% owned outright, 46.7% mortgaged and 22.1% renting. Affordability is supported by rent at 18.8% of income and mortgage costs at 20.3%, below stress levels.

Median House Price Trend

Source: State Valuer-General

Mortgage / mo

$1,733

Rent / wk

$370

HH Size

2.7

Personal Income / wk

$834

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

4.5%

Unoccupied

301

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

18.8%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

20.3%

Community Profile

Languages Spoken at Home

Punjabi
146
Italian
56
Croatian
50
Arabic
40
Serbian
40
Macedon
35

Ancestry

English
6,870
Irish
2,086
Scottish
1,953
Ancestry NS
1,830
Other
1,457
German
832

Household Composition

24.2%

Couples, no children

15,062

Total families

Economy & Employment

Lara's workforce is broad rather than tied to one employer. Healthcare is the largest industry at 17.3% and 1,027 workers, followed by Construction at 12.3%, Education at 11.8%, Public Admin at 9.4% and Manufacturing at 7.7%. Professionals lead occupations at 1,633 people, ahead of Community and Personal Service at 1,236 and Clerical/Admin at 1,139. Unemployment is 4.4%, with a 58.0% participation rate. SEIFA is mixed: IEO decile 5, IER decile 8, IRSD decile 6 and IRSAD decile 5, so economic resources rank higher than education and occupation status.

Unemployment

6.5%

Labour Force

4,448

Unemployed

288

Quarterly Trend

Jun-24 Dec-25

Source: SALM Dec-25

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Overall advantage
5
Disadvantage
6
Economic resources
8
Education & occupation
5

Full-time

66.1%

Part-time

29.5%

Participation

58.0%

Employed

8,506

Occupations

Professionals 1,633
Community/Personal 1,236
Clerical/Admin 1,139
Managers 924
Labourers 904
Machinery/Drivers 845
Sales 771

Top Industries

Healthcare 17.3%
Construction 12.3%
Education 11.8%
Public Admin 9.4%
Manufacturing 7.7%

University

26.6%

Postgraduate

5.4%

Born Overseas

18.0%

Dwellings

6,348

Transport to Work

Daily life in Lara is car-based: 90.2% of commuters drive, while only 2.4% use public transport and 1.5% walk or cycle. That works for households wanting space, but it makes location within the suburb more important than in higher-transit areas. There are 3 local schools, with ICSEA scores from 975 to 1040; St Anthony's School is highest at 1040, while government options cover primary and secondary levels. Safety is moderate, with 1,144 recorded offences and 60.2 per 1,000 people, led by 640 property and deception offences. IRSAD decile 5 signals average socio-economic advantage.

Drive

90.2%

Public Transport

2.4%

Walk / Cycle

1.5%

Work from Home

N/A

Population Forecast

+5.17%/yr

(+858 people/yr)

High Growth

Lara is forecast as high growth, with an annual trend of 5.17% or 858 people. Migration is the main engine: average net internal migration is 1,124 people a year compared with 154 from overseas, so demand is being pulled from within Australia more than from international arrivals. The medium projection rises from 15,705 in 2026 to 19,993 in 2031. The shift profile is Mixed, with 15.4% rent growth, 7.0% real income growth and affordability improving from 51.9 in 2011 to 45.5 in 2021. Gentrification is scored 0 and staged as New development.

Historical + Forecast

Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025

Age Cohort Forecast

Primary Driver

Internal Migration

Net Overseas / yr

+154

Net Internal / yr

+1,124

0

Gentrification Signal

New development

Safety & Crime

Total Offences

1,144

Year ending June 2024

Rate per 1,000 People

60.2

Offence Categories

Property and deception offences
640
Justice procedures offences
235
Crimes against the person
190
Drug offences
41

Source: Crime Statistics Agency Victoria / SA Police

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Lara compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 1%
Household Income
Top 26%
Rent Level
Top 22%
Apartments
Bottom 19%
Renters
Top 45%
Uni Educated
Top 43%
Public Transport
Bottom 39%
Born Overseas
Top 36%
Density
Top 23%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Lara a good suburb to live in?

Lara suits buyers wanting space, schools and a township setting, with 89.6% separate houses and 3 local schools. It is car-dependent, with 90.2% driving to work, so it works best for households comfortable with driving.

What is the median house price in Lara?

The median house price in Lara is $676,500 for Apr-Jun 2024. That is 4.0% below the $705,000 peak recorded in Apr-Jun 2023, after a longer rise from $350,000 in 2013.

What schools are in Lara?

Lara has 3 local schools: St Anthony's School, Lara Primary School and Lara Secondary College. ICSEA scores range from 975 to 1040, with Catholic and government sectors both represented.

Is Lara safe?

Lara recorded 1,144 offences, equal to 60.2 per 1,000 people. Property and deception offences were the largest category at 640, so buyers should check street-level context rather than rely on suburb-wide averages alone.

Is Lara good for property investment?

Lara has investment appeal through growth, with 5.17% annual population growth and 24 development applications in 12 months. The 4.5% vacancy rate means rental pricing and property selection still matter.

How is Lara's population changing?

Lara is growing quickly, with a 169.8% population change over 10 years. Forecast growth is 5.17% a year, and the medium projection reaches 19,993 people by 2031.

Is there much new development in Lara?

Yes. Lara recorded 24 development applications in 12 months, including medical, second-dwelling and multi-dwelling proposals. That aligns with its New development growth stage and strong internal migration.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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