VIC 3550 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Long Gully

At the 12.6th household income percentile nationally, Long Gully is among the lowest-income suburbs in VIC, yet its median house price has nearly doubled from $230,000 in 2013 to $450,000 in 2024, a 95.7% gain over 14 years. The suburb sits just 3.48 km2 with 3,420 residents, and 44.3% of households rent rather than own, well above the national average. University qualifications reach only 17.4%, which is 12.7 percentage points below the national figure, and the crime rate of 176 offences per 1,000 residents flags this as a high-crime area by VIC standards. The overwhelming majority of dwellings (91.8%) are separate houses, keeping the streetscape uniform and low-density.

Long Gully urban fabric map

Population

3,420

Median Age

38.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$989/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

15

Median House

$450K

Apr-Jun 2024

3.48 km²· 983.4 people/km²· Family income $1,273/wk

The median house price of $450,000 (Apr-Jun 2024) represents a 95.7% rise from $230,000 in 2013, a CAGR of 4.9% over 14 years. Prices peaked at $455,000 in Oct-Dec 2023, so the current figure is just 1.1% below that peak, suggesting the market has stabilised rather than corrected. With monthly mortgage repayments averaging $1,117 and a mortgage-to-income ratio of 26.1%, Long Gully sits below the 30% stress threshold, making purchase costs more manageable than many regional centres. Separate houses dominate at 91.8% of stock, with three-bedroom homes the most common at 62.2%. Only 28.5% of residents own outright compared to 27.2% with a mortgage, while 44.3% rent, indicating a large supply of affordable entry-level housing.

For Buyers

The median house price of $450,000 (Apr-Jun 2024) represents a 95.7% rise from $230,000 in 2013, a CAGR of 4.9% over 14 years. Prices peaked at $455,000 in Oct-Dec 2023, so the current figure is just 1.1% below that peak, suggesting the market has stabilised rather than corrected. With monthly mortgage repayments averaging $1,117 and a mortgage-to-income ratio of 26.1%, Long Gully sits below the 30% stress threshold, making purchase costs more manageable than many regional centres. Separate houses dominate at 91.8% of stock, with three-bedroom homes the most common at 62.2%. Only 28.5% of residents own outright compared to 27.2% with a mortgage, while 44.3% rent, indicating a large supply of affordable entry-level housing.

For Investors

A 44.3% renter share gives landlords a strong tenant base, and at $250 per week rent against a $450,000 median, the implied gross yield is approximately 2.9%, higher than many inner-city markets. The 8.2% vacancy rate is elevated and warrants monitoring, as it suggests tenant demand is not tight. Development activity recorded 15 applications in the past 12 months, including a 23-dwelling proposal and multiple subdivisions, indicating continued development interest at this price point. Income is low, with household weekly income at $989 placing the suburb in the 12.6th percentile nationally, which caps rental growth potential. Investors should weigh the affordable entry price and decent yield against the high crime rate and thin labour market, with unemployment at 8.7%, well above national norms.

Development Activity

Total DAs

20

Last 12 Months

15

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

+650.0%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

Subdivision
7
Other
3
Renovation / Extension
2
Garage / Carport / Shed
2
Multi-Dwelling / Townhouse
1
Commercial / Industrial
1
Tree Removal
1

Demographics

Long Gully's median age is 38, two years below the national figure, pointing to a relatively younger resident base. The overseas-born share is just 10.7%, which is 10.9 percentage points below the national average, reflecting a predominantly locally born, Anglo-Celtic community: English ancestry leads with 1,342 residents, followed by Irish (409) and Scottish (350). University qualifications at 17.4% run 12.7 points below national, consistent with the blue-collar and service-sector occupational mix. Average household size is 2.2, slightly below the national figure of 2.5. Christianity is the dominant religion (1,142), with a small Buddhist community (110) and 11 Arabic speakers recorded, confirming the suburb's low cultural diversity compared to most VIC urban areas.

Age Distribution

0-14
18.3%
15-24
12.5%
25-44
25.8%
45-64
22.2%
65+
20.7%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
4.4%
2 bed
21.6%
3 bed
62.2%
4+ bed
11.9%

Dwelling Structure

91.8%

Houses

6.1%

Townhouse

1.8%

Apartment

Tenure

Own 28.5% Mortgage 27.2% Rent 44.3%

Tenure breaks into three parts: 28.5% own outright, 27.2% hold a mortgage and 44.3% rent, a renter share roughly 10 points above the national norm. The price history shows consistent growth from a $230,000 trough in 2013 to $450,000 in Apr-Jun 2024, with the CAGR of 4.9% over 14 years sitting modestly above inflation. The dwelling stock is almost entirely separate houses at 91.8%, with semi-detached at 6.1% and apartments at just 1.8%. Three-bedroom homes account for 62.2% of dwellings and four-plus for 11.9%, making the suburb more family-oriented than apartment-driven markets. Rent at $250 a week and a rent-to-income ratio of 25.3% keep tenants below financial stress levels despite the low income base.

Median House Price Trend

Source: State Valuer-General

Mortgage / mo

$1,117

Rent / wk

$250

HH Size

2.2

Personal Income / wk

$575

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

8.2%

Unoccupied

124

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

25.3%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

26.1%

Community Profile

Languages Spoken at Home

Arabic
11

Ancestry

English
1,342
Irish
409
Ancestry NS
360
Scottish
350
Other
249
German
141

Household Composition

27.1%

Couples, no children

2,319

Total families

Economy & Employment

Healthcare is the dominant employer at 29% of the local workforce (214 workers), a share that is disproportionately high and reflects proximity to Bendigo's major hospital infrastructure. Construction follows at 10.2% (75 workers) and Retail at 9.9% (73). By occupation, Community and Personal service workers lead at 209, closely followed by Labourers at 205, which signals a manual and care-worker heavy economy rather than a knowledge-sector one. Professionals number 178, consistent with the 17.4% university qualification rate. The unemployment rate is 8.7% and the labour force participation rate is low at 43.8%, with 1,208 residents not in the labour force. Household income at the 12.6th percentile nationally confirms this is one of the lower-income communities in VIC.

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Full-time

56.5%

Part-time

34.8%

Participation

43.8%

Employed

1,116

Occupations

Community/Personal 209
Labourers 205
Professionals 178
Sales 115
Clerical/Admin 98
Machinery/Drivers 94
Managers 84

Top Industries

Healthcare 29.0%
Construction 10.2%
Retail 9.9%
Education 8.7%
Manufacturing 7.3%

University

17.4%

Postgraduate

3.2%

Born Overseas

10.7%

Dwellings

1,383

Transport to Work

Car dependence is dominant at 85.3% of residents commuting by private vehicle, with only 1.6% using public transport and 4.2% walking or cycling, lower than state and national benchmarks. No schools are recorded within the suburb boundary, so families rely on schools in neighbouring parts of the Bendigo LGA. The crime rate of 176 offences per 1,000 residents is elevated, with property and deception offences leading at 310 incidents, followed by justice procedures (132) and crimes against the person (108). About 11.6% of residents (356 people) need assistance with daily activities, above the national average, which is consistent with the older care-dependent population profile. The volunteering rate of 10.3% reflects moderate community participation.

Drive

85.3%

Public Transport

1.6%

Walk / Cycle

4.2%

Work from Home

N/A

Safety & Crime

Total Offences

602

Year ending June 2024

Rate per 1,000 People

176.0

Offence Categories

Property and deception offences
310
Justice procedures offences
132
Crimes against the person
108
Drug offences
35

Source: Crime Statistics Agency Victoria / SA Police

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Long Gully compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 16%
Household Income
Bottom 13%
Rent Level
Bottom 44%
Apartments
Bottom 33%
Renters
Top 12%
Uni Educated
Bottom 27%
Public Transport
Bottom 27%
Born Overseas
Bottom 33%
Density
Top 15%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Long Gully a good suburb to live in?

Long Gully offers affordable housing with a $450,000 median, and mortgage repayments at 26.1% of income stay below the stress threshold. Trade-offs include a crime rate of 176 offences per 1,000 residents, a household income in the 12.6th percentile nationally, and no schools recorded within the suburb. It suits buyers who prioritise affordability over amenity depth.

What is the median house price in Long Gully?

The median house price is $450,000 as of Apr-Jun 2024. This represents a 95.7% gain from $230,000 in 2013, a CAGR of 4.9% over 14 years. The market peaked at $455,000 in Oct-Dec 2023, so prices are currently 1.1% below that peak. Weekly rent averages $250 and monthly mortgage repayments run about $1,117.

What schools are in Long Gully?

No schools are recorded within the Long Gully suburb boundary in this dataset. Families rely on schools in neighbouring Bendigo suburbs. The suburb's university qualification rate is 17.4%, which is 12.7 percentage points below the national figure, suggesting most residents completed secondary or vocational training rather than tertiary degrees.

Is Long Gully safe?

The crime rate in Long Gully is 176 offences per 1,000 residents, which is elevated by VIC standards. Property and deception offences account for the largest share at 310 incidents, followed by justice procedures offences at 132 and crimes against the person at 108. Prospective residents should factor this into their assessment, particularly for families.

Is Long Gully good for property investment?

With a 44.3% renter share, the suburb offers a large tenant base. Rent at $250 per week against a $450,000 median implies a gross yield near 2.9%, higher than many urban markets. However, the 8.2% vacancy rate is elevated, unemployment is 8.7%, and household income sits at the 12.6th percentile nationally, which limits rental growth. Price growth has been strong at 4.9% CAGR over 14 years.

How is Long Gully's population changing?

Detailed population forecasts are not available for Long Gully in this dataset. The current population is 3,420 with a density of 983 residents per km2. The residential turnover rate is 21.6%, with 78.4% of residents having stayed in the suburb, suggesting moderate stability. Fifteen development applications in the past 12 months, including a 23-dwelling project, point to incremental population growth ahead.

What is the employment situation in Long Gully?

The unemployment rate is 8.7%, well above national norms, and the labour force participation rate is low at 43.8%, with 1,208 residents not in the labour force. Healthcare is the top industry at 29% of workers (214 people), followed by Construction at 10.2% and Retail at 9.9%. Full-time employment runs at 56.5% of those employed.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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