Lynbrook
With 56.7% of residents born overseas, 35.1 percentage points above the national average, Lynbrook stands as one of Melbourne's south-east corridor's most migrant-concentrated suburbs. Indian ancestry (1,534) is the largest non-Anglo group, outnumbering English ancestry (1,165). Despite this high migrant share, household incomes sit at the 84th percentile ($2,212/week) and the mortgage belt is dominant at 60.0%. The suburb grew 54.5% over 10 years, from roughly 5,900 to 9,121 at Census, but price data tells a volatile story: the median spiked from $715,200 to $865,500 then fell back to $730,000 within 18 months, a 15.7% peak-to-latest decline that signals a market still searching for its floor.
Population
9,121
Median Age
33.0
Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)
$2,212/wk
DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year
7
Median House
$730K
Apr-Jun 2024
The $730,000 median house price sits 15.7% below the Jan-Mar 2024 peak of $865,500, making this a potential entry window for buyers comfortable with near-term volatility. Detached houses at 92.2% dominate, and 61.7% of dwellings have 4+ bedrooms, well above the national norm. Monthly mortgage repayments of $1,962 produce a mortgage-to-income ratio of just 20.5%, one of the lowest in Melbourne's growth corridor and well below the 30% stress threshold. Over the longer 14-year series, prices rose from $430,000 to $730,000 (CAGR 3.9%). Two primary schools serve the suburb: Lynbrook Primary (ICSEA 1,011, 777 students) and St Francis de Sales Catholic (ICSEA 1,042, 315 students), both above the national benchmark.
For Buyers
The $730,000 median house price sits 15.7% below the Jan-Mar 2024 peak of $865,500, making this a potential entry window for buyers comfortable with near-term volatility. Detached houses at 92.2% dominate, and 61.7% of dwellings have 4+ bedrooms, well above the national norm. Monthly mortgage repayments of $1,962 produce a mortgage-to-income ratio of just 20.5%, one of the lowest in Melbourne's growth corridor and well below the 30% stress threshold. Over the longer 14-year series, prices rose from $430,000 to $730,000 (CAGR 3.9%). Two primary schools serve the suburb: Lynbrook Primary (ICSEA 1,011, 777 students) and St Francis de Sales Catholic (ICSEA 1,042, 315 students), both above the national benchmark.
For Investors
Renters at 20.9% are slightly below the national average, limiting tenant pool depth. Weekly rent of $401 against a $730,000 median produces gross yield around 2.9%, modest but higher than many inner-ring alternatives. The vacancy rate of 2.4% is tight, suggesting limited supply overhang. Overseas migration adds 348 net per year, providing ongoing demand, though internal migration runs negative at -190, indicating some domestic residents are relocating outward. Only 7 DAs were lodged in 12 months, signalling minimal new supply pipeline. The low turnover rate of 16.4% confirms residents tend to stay, which supports stable tenancy but reduces the pool of available rental stock.
Development Activity
Total DAs
8
Last 12 Months
7
YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements
—
Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year
N/A
Monthly DA Lodgements
DA Categories
Schools in Lynbrook iICSEA: school advantage index. 1000 = national avg, higher = more advantaged
St Francis de Sales Catholic Primary School
Prep-6 · 315 students
Lynbrook Primary School
Prep-6 · 777 students
Demographics
The median age of 33 sits 7 years below the national median, consistent with the suburb's young family character. Overseas-born residents at 56.7% are 35.1 points above the national average, the highest gap in this batch. Indian ancestry leads at 1,534, followed by English (1,165) and Chinese (516). Punjabi (377), Sinhala (237) and Hindi (183) are the top non-English languages. Average household size of 3.5 is a full person above national (2.5), reflecting large family households. University qualifications at 40.9% sit 10.8 points above the national rate. The SEIFA profile shows a split: IER decile 9 (high economic resources) but IEO decile 6 (moderate education), suggesting wealth built through dual incomes and trades rather than professional credentials alone.
Age Distribution
Bedrooms
Dwelling Structure
92.2%
Houses
6.7%
Townhouse
1.1%
Apartment
Tenure
Mortgage holders at 60.0% dominate, with outright owners at 19.1% and renters at 20.9%. The dwelling stock is 92.2% separate houses, with semi-detached at 6.7% and apartments at just 1.1%. Three-bedroom homes (34.1%) and 4+ bedroom homes (61.7%) make up nearly all stock, with studios/one-bedrooms at only 1.1%. The 14-year price series shows growth from $430,000 (2013) to $730,000 (mid-2024), a CAGR of 3.9%. The peak-to-trough swing of 15.7% ($865,500 to $730,000 in two quarters) suggests thin transaction volumes amplifying volatility. Affordability is a strength: mortgage-to-income at 20.5% and rent-to-income at 18.1% are both well below stress thresholds, ranking lower than most comparable south-east suburbs.
Median House Price Trend
Source: State Valuer-General
Mortgage / mo
$1,962
Rent / wk
$401
HH Size
3.5
Personal Income / wk
$783
Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)
2.4%
Unoccupied
60
Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress
18.1%
Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress
20.5%
Community Profile
Languages Spoken at Home
Ancestry
Household Composition
13.3%
Couples, no children
8,088
Total families
Economy & Employment
Healthcare dominates at 23.2% (648 workers), nearly double the next sector. Manufacturing at 11.1% (309) is notably high for a suburban area and reflects proximity to Dandenong's industrial base. Professional/Tech at 8.2%, Retail at 7.4% and Education at 7.1% complete the top five. The occupation profile skews blue-collar: Labourers (557) and Machinery/Drivers (473) rank 3rd and 5th, higher than typical for a suburb at this income percentile. Full-time employment at 66.1% is moderate, and unemployment at 6.3% sits slightly above the national rate. Participation at 61.5% is reasonable. Real income growth of just 0.6% over the decade, adjusted for inflation, shows household earnings have barely kept pace with prices.
Unemployment
4.6%
Labour Force
11,522
Unemployed
528
Quarterly Trend
Source: SALM Dec-25
Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)
Full-time
66.1%
Part-time
27.6%
Participation
61.5%
Employed
4,036
Occupations
Top Industries
University
40.9%
Postgraduate
11.2%
Born Overseas
56.7%
Dwellings
2,443
Transport to Work
Car dependency is high at 87.6%, with public transport at just 4.6% and walking/cycling at 1.0%, all below the Melbourne metro average. Two primary schools provide local education: Lynbrook Primary (ICSEA 1,011, 777 students, government) and St Francis de Sales (ICSEA 1,042, 315 students, Catholic), both above the national 1,000 benchmark. The crime rate of 63.8 per 1,000 residents is moderate, with property and deception offences (342) comprising the bulk. IRSAD decile 7 confirms above-average socio-economic conditions. The 6.4% needing assistance rate is slightly above average. Rent-to-income at 18.1% is comfortable, well below the 30% stress boundary.
Drive
87.6%
Public Transport
4.6%
Walk / Cycle
1.0%
Work from Home
N/A
Population Forecast
+3.26%/yr
(+638 people/yr)
EstablishedPopulation growth runs at 3.26% annually (638 persons), with the 10-year change at 54.5%. The ERP reached 19,545 in 2025, and medium forecasts project 24,400 by 2031. Overseas migration at 348 net per year is the primary driver, while internal migration runs at -190, creating a revolving-door dynamic where international arrivals replace domestic departures. The senior share expanded by 2.4 percentage points and the working-age share contracted by 3.0 points, indicating early aging despite the young median age of 33. Gentrification score is 10 (not gentrifying), consistent with an outer-suburban growth corridor rather than an inner-city transformation. Rent grew 18.9% over the decade, below the national average.
Historical + Forecast
Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025
Age Cohort Forecast
Primary Driver
Overseas Migration
Net Overseas / yr
+348
Net Internal / yr
-190
Gentrification Signal
Not gentrifying
Net internal outflow -190/yr, Strong overseas inflow +348/yr
Safety & Crime
Total Offences
582
Year ending June 2024
Rate per 1,000 People
63.8
Offence Categories
Source: Crime Statistics Agency Victoria / SA Police
National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs
How Lynbrook compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs
Frequently Asked Questions
Is Lynbrook a good suburb to live in?
Lynbrook works well for families wanting large detached homes (92.2% houses, 61.7% with 4+ bedrooms) at a mortgage-to-income ratio of just 20.5%. Two schools score above the ICSEA 1,000 benchmark. Drawbacks include 87.6% car dependency and limited public transport at 4.6%. The crime rate of 63.8 per 1,000 is moderate by Melbourne standards.
What is the median house price in Lynbrook?
The median is $730,000 (Apr-Jun 2024), down 15.7% from a peak of $865,500 in Jan-Mar 2024. Over 14 years the price rose from $430,000 with a CAGR of 3.9%. Monthly mortgage repayments are $1,962 and weekly rent averages $401, producing a gross yield of roughly 2.9%.
What schools are in Lynbrook?
Lynbrook Primary School (government, ICSEA 1,011, 777 students) and St Francis de Sales Catholic Primary School (ICSEA 1,042, 315 students) serve the suburb. Both score above the national ICSEA benchmark of 1,000. No secondary schools are located within the suburb boundaries.
Is Lynbrook safe?
The crime rate is 63.8 per 1,000 residents, with 582 total offences recorded. Property and deception offences account for 342 (58.8%), followed by crimes against the person at 107 (18.4%). The IRSD decile 6 is slightly above the national midpoint. These figures are moderate compared to broader Melbourne averages.
Is Lynbrook good for property investment?
The 2.4% vacancy rate is tight, but the 20.9% renter share limits the tenant pool. Gross yield around 2.9% ($401/week on $730,000) is modest. The 15.7% price correction from peak creates a potential entry point, and overseas migration of 348 per year provides ongoing demand. Only 7 DAs in 12 months means minimal new supply competition.
How is Lynbrook's population changing?
The population grew 54.5% over 10 years, reaching an estimated 19,545 in 2025, with 3.26% annual growth. Overseas migration (+348/year) offsets internal outflow (-190/year). The median age of 33 is 7 years below national. The senior share rose 2.4 percentage points over the decade, showing early signs of aging despite the young profile.
What languages are spoken in Lynbrook?
With 56.7% born overseas (35.1 points above national), Lynbrook has strong linguistic diversity. Punjabi leads at 377 speakers, followed by Sinhala (237), Hindi (183), Malayalam (122) and Mandarin (101). Indian ancestry at 1,534 is the largest non-Anglo group, reflecting Lynbrook's role as a key destination for South Asian migrants in Melbourne's south-east.
How to read these comparisons
Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.
Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.
Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.
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