VIC 3337 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Melton West

Melton West's population surged roughly 50% over the past decade, yet real incomes declined by 3.4%, a rare combination that signals rapid growth without economic upgrading. The crime rate of 128.1 per 1,000 residents and SEIFA IRSAD decile of 2 confirm the socioeconomic strain. House prices rose 83.9% from $285,500 in 2013 to $525,000 in 2024 (4.4% CAGR over 14 years), but this still keeps Melton West among Melbourne's most affordable outer suburbs. The 93.8% detached housing stock and 45.7% mortgage rate define a mortgage-belt suburb in every sense.

Melton West urban fabric map

Population

8,784

Median Age

36.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$1,450/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

5

Median House

$525K

Apr-Jun 2024

9.48 km²· 926.1 people/km²· Family income $1,658/wk

At $525,000, Melton West is one of Melbourne's cheapest detached housing markets. Prices dipped from a peak of $563,000 in Jul-Sep 2023 to $525,000 in Apr-Jun 2024 (down 6.7%), a notable correction. Mortgage stress at 23.9% is manageable, and 50.8% of homes have 3 bedrooms while 44.6% have 4+. Five schools serve the suburb, with St Francis Catholic College (ICSEA 1012, 1,846 students) and St Catherine of Siena (ICSEA 1002, 522 students) scoring just above the national average. Property offences (567 of 1,125 total crimes) are the dominant crime category.

For Buyers

At $525,000, Melton West is one of Melbourne's cheapest detached housing markets. Prices dipped from a peak of $563,000 in Jul-Sep 2023 to $525,000 in Apr-Jun 2024 (down 6.7%), a notable correction. Mortgage stress at 23.9% is manageable, and 50.8% of homes have 3 bedrooms while 44.6% have 4+. Five schools serve the suburb, with St Francis Catholic College (ICSEA 1012, 1,846 students) and St Catherine of Siena (ICSEA 1002, 522 students) scoring just above the national average. Property offences (567 of 1,125 total crimes) are the dominant crime category.

For Investors

The 4.9% vacancy rate is slightly above equilibrium, and 23.8% of residents rent, a smaller tenant pool than many Melbourne growth corridors. Weekly rent of $320 against a $525,000 median gives a gross yield around 3.2%. Population growth of 2.66% annually (605 people/year) and overseas migration (+154/year) drive demand, but affordability is worsening (mortgage-to-income rose from 43.4% to 46.9% between 2011-2021). The gentrification score of 11-19 indicates no meaningful upgrading. Only 5 development applications were lodged in 12 months.

Development Activity

Total DAs

11

Last 12 Months

5

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

+150.0%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

Other
7

Schools in Melton West iICSEA: school advantage index. 1000 = national avg, higher = more advantaged

St Francis Catholic College

ICSEA 1012 Secondary Catholic

7-12 · 1846 students

St Catherine of Siena School

ICSEA 1002 Primary Catholic

Prep-6 · 522 students

OneSchool Global Vic

ICSEA 984 Combined Independent

3-12 · 556 students

Wedge Park Primary School

ICSEA 976 Primary Government

Prep-6 · 848 students

Melton West Primary School

ICSEA 925 Primary Government

Prep-6 · 520 students

Demographics

English ancestry leads (2,748), with no single migrant group dominating the other/unspecified category (1,443). Scottish (657), Irish (654), and ancestry not stated (621) follow. At 28.1% born overseas (6.5 points above the national average), the suburb is less diverse than Melbourne's inner ring. Punjabi (96 speakers), Arabic (43), Hindi (41), Samoan (40), and Urdu (36) are the top non-English languages. University attainment at 19.9% is over 10 points below the national average. The 8.9% needing daily assistance is well above the national rate.

Age Distribution

0-14
21.1%
15-24
13.0%
25-44
27.3%
45-64
24.2%
65+
14.3%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
0.6%
2 bed
3.9%
3 bed
50.8%
4+ bed
44.6%

Dwelling Structure

93.8%

Houses

6.2%

Townhouse

N/A

Apartment

Tenure

Own 30.5% Mortgage 45.7% Rent 23.8%

Prices tracked from $285,500 in 2013 to a peak of $563,000 in Jul-Sep 2023 before falling 6.7% to $525,000. The tenure split is 30.5% outright, 45.7% mortgaged, and 23.8% renting. At 93.8% detached housing, apartment stock is effectively zero. Three-bedroom (50.8%) and 4+ bedroom (44.6%) homes dominate. Mortgage stress at 23.9% is below the 30% threshold, but affordability has been worsening, with mortgage-to-income rising from 43.4% in 2011 to 46.9% in 2021. Rent-to-income at 22.1% remains comfortable.

Median House Price Trend

Source: State Valuer-General

Mortgage / mo

$1,500

Rent / wk

$320

HH Size

2.8

Personal Income / wk

$636

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

4.9%

Unoccupied

152

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

22.1%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

23.9%

Community Profile

Languages Spoken at Home

Punjabi
96
Arabic
43
Hindi
41
Samoan
40
Urdu
36
Bengali
34

Ancestry

English
2,748
Other
1,443
Scottish
657
Irish
654
Ancestry NS
621
Italian
439

Household Composition

21.4%

Couples, no children

7,267

Total families

Economy & Employment

Healthcare (16.6%), construction (13.2%), education (10.9%), retail (9.2%), and transport (8.5%) are the top 5 employers. Community/personal service workers and clerical/admin workers tie as the largest occupational groups (509 each), with machinery/drivers (478) and labourers (437) close behind, reflecting a blue-collar workforce. Unemployment at 8.1% exceeds the national average. The SEIFA IEO decile of 2 indicates very low educational and occupational outcomes. The 8.9% volunteering rate is below the national average, and participation at 52.7% is moderate.

Unemployment

8.6%

Labour Force

12,238

Unemployed

1,052

Quarterly Trend

Mar-24 Dec-25

Source: SALM Dec-25

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Overall advantage
2
Disadvantage
2
Economic resources
5
Education & occupation
2

Full-time

63.4%

Part-time

28.5%

Participation

52.7%

Employed

3,357

Occupations

Community/Personal 509
Clerical/Admin 509
Machinery/Drivers 478
Labourers 437
Professionals 397
Sales 390
Managers 292

Top Industries

Healthcare 16.6%
Construction 13.2%
Education 10.9%
Retail 9.2%
Transport 8.5%

University

19.9%

Postgraduate

4.2%

Born Overseas

28.1%

Dwellings

2,956

Transport to Work

Five schools serve the suburb with ICSEA scores ranging from 925 (Melton West Primary) to 1012 (St Francis Catholic College, 1,846 students). Crime at 128.1 per 1,000 is dominated by property and deception offences (567), with 221 crimes against persons. The SEIFA IRSAD decile of 2 places Melton West in the bottom 20% nationally. Public transport at 2.3% is very low, with 89.2% driving. However, with only 1.6% walking or cycling, the suburb lacks pedestrian infrastructure. The 8.9% needing assistance rate is above the national benchmark.

Drive

89.2%

Public Transport

2.3%

Walk / Cycle

1.6%

Work from Home

N/A

Population Forecast

+2.66%/yr

(+605 people/yr)

Established

Population grew from about 22,199 in 2023 to 22,710 in 2025, with the medium forecast projecting roughly 27,124 by 2031 (2.66% annual growth, 605 people/year). Population surged approximately 50% since 2011. Despite this rapid growth, net internal migration is negative at -122/year, meaning existing residents are leaving while overseas arrivals (+154/year) and natural increase drive expansion. Real income declined 3.4% over the decade, well below the national average, making Melton West one of the few suburbs where wages fell in real terms. The gentrification score of 19 confirms no upgrading.

Historical + Forecast

Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025

Age Cohort Forecast

Primary Driver

Overseas Migration

Net Overseas / yr

+154

Net Internal / yr

-122

19

Gentrification Signal

Not gentrifying

Population +56% since 2011, Net internal outflow -122/yr

Safety & Crime

Total Offences

1,125

Year ending June 2024

Rate per 1,000 People

128.1

Offence Categories

Property and deception offences
567
Crimes against the person
221
Justice procedures offences
168
Public order and security offences
106

Source: Crime Statistics Agency Victoria / SA Police

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Melton West compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 6%
Household Income
Bottom 44%
Rent Level
Top 34%
Renters
Top 41%
Uni Educated
Bottom 37%
Public Transport
Bottom 38%
Born Overseas
Top 16%
Density
Top 16%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Melton West a good suburb to live in?

Melton West sits in the 2nd SEIFA IRSAD decile (bottom 20%) with a crime rate of 128.1 per 1,000 residents. Affordability at $525,000 is among Melbourne's cheapest for detached housing, and mortgage stress at 23.9% is manageable. Five schools serve the area, with 2 scoring above the ICSEA average of 1000.

What is the median house price in Melton West?

The median is $525,000 as of Apr-Jun 2024, down 6.7% from a peak of $563,000 in Jul-Sep 2023. Over 14 years, prices rose 83.9% from $285,500 in 2013 (4.4% CAGR). Mortgage stress at 23.9% stays below the 30% threshold.

What schools are in Melton West?

Five schools serve the suburb: St Francis Catholic College (Secondary, ICSEA 1012, 1,846 students), St Catherine of Siena (Primary, ICSEA 1002, 522), OneSchool Global Vic (Combined, ICSEA 984, 556), Wedge Park Primary (ICSEA 976, 848), and Melton West Primary (ICSEA 925, 520). The top 2 score just above the national average.

Is Melton West safe?

Melton West has a crime rate of 128.1 per 1,000 residents, with property and deception offences (567 incidents) being the most common, followed by 221 crimes against persons. The SEIFA IRSD decile of 2 and 8.1% unemployment are both factors correlated with higher crime rates.

Is Melton West good for property investment?

The 4.9% vacancy rate is slightly elevated, and the 3.2% gross yield ($320 rent vs $525,000 median) is below the national average. Population growth of 2.66% annually (605 people/year) drives demand, but real incomes declined 3.4% over the decade, and the 6.7% price correction from peak suggests caution.

How is Melton West's population changing?

Population grew roughly 50% since 2011, with the forecast projecting about 27,124 by 2031. Internal migration is negative at -122/year, meaning existing residents are leaving while overseas arrivals (+154/year) and natural increase drive growth. Real incomes declined 3.4% over the decade despite rapid population expansion.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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