VIC 3754 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Mernda

Population climbed 277% over the past decade in Mernda, the only Whittlesea growth corridor suburb that gained a rail terminus during the same period, with the Mernda line extension from South Morang opening in August 2018. Median age sits at 33, seven years below the national figure, and 36.4% of residents were born overseas (14.8 percentage points above national), with Punjabi the most-spoken non-English language at 604 speakers. Housing is 89.3% detached and 58.6% of dwellings carry 4-plus bedrooms, while 57% of households hold a mortgage, well above the Melbourne metro average and higher than Doreen's 59.1% mortgage tilt by a similar mortgage-belt margin. The median house at $721,300 (Apr-Jun 2024) is also the all-time peak, distinguishing Mernda from South Morang and Doreen, which have both slipped off peak by 3.3% and 0.7% respectively.

Mernda urban fabric map

Population

23,369

Median Age

33.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$2,011/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

13

Median House

$721K

Apr-Jun 2024

23.82 km²· 980.9 people/km²· Family income $2,141/wk

The median house at $721,300 is the suburb's all-time peak rather than a pullback level, sitting below Doreen's $745,000 and South Morang's $755,000 despite Mernda being the only corridor suburb with its own train terminus (opened 2018). Buyers get an overwhelmingly family-format product: 89.3% separate houses, 58.6% with 4-plus bedrooms, and only 1.5% apartments. Mortgage-to-income at 22.2% is below the 30% stress threshold but slightly higher than Doreen's 21.5% and South Morang's 21.1%, reflecting the heavier 57% mortgage-household share that pushes the average exposure up. Household income sits at the 75.3rd percentile nationally, supporting an average monthly mortgage of $1,937. The trade-off is that 92.3% of stock has been built in the past 14 years, so character or established-tree-lined-street buyers will not find them here.

For Buyers

The median house at $721,300 is the suburb's all-time peak rather than a pullback level, sitting below Doreen's $745,000 and South Morang's $755,000 despite Mernda being the only corridor suburb with its own train terminus (opened 2018). Buyers get an overwhelmingly family-format product: 89.3% separate houses, 58.6% with 4-plus bedrooms, and only 1.5% apartments. Mortgage-to-income at 22.2% is below the 30% stress threshold but slightly higher than Doreen's 21.5% and South Morang's 21.1%, reflecting the heavier 57% mortgage-household share that pushes the average exposure up. Household income sits at the 75.3rd percentile nationally, supporting an average monthly mortgage of $1,937. The trade-off is that 92.3% of stock has been built in the past 14 years, so character or established-tree-lined-street buyers will not find them here.

For Investors

Mernda's investor case is structural growth rather than yield. Median weekly rent of $381 against the $721,300 median implies a gross yield of roughly 2.7%, similar to Doreen's 2.8% and below the 3.5% investor threshold for outer-ring Melbourne. Renters make up 28.3% of households, materially higher than Doreen's 21.6% and South Morang's 21.3%, helped by the train terminus that draws renters who price-out of South Morang while still wanting rail access. Vacancy at 4.5% is loose by Melbourne standards (sub-2% is tight) and higher than Doreen's 3.7%. The forecast is the strongest part: population grows 4.94% annually with 169 net overseas migrants and 82 net internal arrivals per year, the most balanced inflow on the corridor. Development pipeline is thin with only 11 applications in 12 months, matching Doreen and suggesting easy-land-release supply is winding down.

Development Activity

Total DAs

34

Last 12 Months

13

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

+62.5%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

Other
15
Subdivision
5
Renovation / Extension
1

Schools in Mernda iICSEA: school advantage index. 1000 = national avg, higher = more advantaged

Mernda Hills Christian College

ICSEA 1119 Combined Independent

Prep-12 · 359 students

St Joseph's School

ICSEA 1094 Primary Catholic

Prep-6 · 497 students

Mernda Park Primary School

ICSEA 1057 Primary Government

Prep-6 · 369 students

Mernda Primary School

ICSEA 1035 Primary Government

Prep-6 · 844 students

Mernda Central P-12 College

ICSEA 1009 Combined Government

Prep-12 · 1746 students

Demographics

Mernda's demographic profile is the corridor's clearest South Asian inflection point. Indian ancestry sits at 2,666 residents (third behind Other 5,249 and English 4,907), and Punjabi leads non-English languages at 604 speakers, ahead of Hindi (362), Arabic (286), Sinhala (242) and Malayalam (237), the same migration overlay seen in Wollert but at lower intensity. Born-overseas share is 36.4%, 14.8 percentage points above the national average and notably higher than Doreen's 20.4% but well below Wollert's 51.8%. University attainment runs 39.9%, 9.8 percentage points above national and the highest among directly comparable Whittlesea corridor suburbs, supported by Hinduism (2,201 adherents) and Islam (1,239) on the religion ledger. Median age 33 is seven years below national, and average household size at 3.0 (0.5 above national) signals couples-with-children dominance (11,949 such families recorded).

Age Distribution

0-14
27.0%
15-24
10.6%
25-44
36.8%
45-64
18.0%
65+
7.6%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
0.5%
2 bed
6.5%
3 bed
34.4%
4+ bed
58.6%

Dwelling Structure

89.3%

Houses

9.1%

Townhouse

1.5%

Apartment

Tenure

Own 14.8% Mortgage 57.0% Rent 28.3%

House prices climbed from $375,000 in 2013 to $721,300 in Apr-Jun 2024, an earliest-to-latest gain of 92.3% and a compound annual growth rate of 4.8% across 14 years, slightly above Doreen's 4.3% and South Morang's 4.4%. Latest equals peak, meaning Mernda has not yet experienced the 0.7-3.3% pullbacks logged by its corridor peers. Tenure breakdown is heavily mortgage-loaded: 57% with a mortgage, 14.8% outright owners, and 28.3% renters, the most mortgage-heavy profile in the Whittlesea growth corridor and consistent with a suburb where the bulk of buyers settled post-2018 train opening. Stock is 89.3% separate houses with 9.1% semi-detached and 1.5% apartments. Bedroom mix runs 58.6% with 4-plus bedrooms and 34.4% with 3, so 3-bed-and-smaller stock represents only 41.4% of inventory. Against household income at the 75.3rd percentile, the price-to-income multiple lands near 6.9x.

Median House Price Trend

Source: State Valuer-General (Apr-Jun 2024)

Mortgage / mo

$1,937

Rent / wkiABS Census 2021 median across all dwelling types. Current market rents are typically higher.

$381

Census 2021

HH Size

3.0

Personal Income / wk

$879

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

4.5%

Unoccupied

351

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

18.9%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

22.2%

Community Profile

Languages Spoken at Home

Punjabi
604
Hindi
362
Arabic
286
Sinhal
242
Malayalam
237
Macedon
231

Ancestry

Other
5,249
English
4,907
Indian
2,666
Italian
2,331
Irish
1,339
Scottish
1,129

Household Composition

16.1%

Couples, no children

20,700

Total families

Economy & Employment

Mernda exports labour to the broader northern metro rather than producing it locally. Healthcare leads at 22.0% of workers (1,780 people), well above Doreen's 17.7% and South Morang's 19.9%, anchored by the Northern Hospital and Plenty Valley health cluster. Education at 10.4% (839 workers), Construction 9.7% (783), Retail 8.4% (677) and Professional/Tech 6.7% (544) round out the top five, lighter on knowledge-work than inner-eastern suburbs. Professionals are the largest occupational group at 2,383 workers, ahead of Clerical/Admin (1,605), Community/Personal services (1,593) and Managers (1,175). Unemployment runs 6.1% with 66.7% participation, slightly above Melbourne metro and higher than Doreen's 4.6%. SEIFA splits the story: IER decile 8 reflects household income at the 75.3rd percentile, while IEO, IRSD and IRSAD all sit at decile 6 because tertiary attainment, though 9.8 points above national, is below high-IEO inner suburbs like Doncaster East.

Unemployment

4.4%

Labour Force

6,892

Unemployed

302

Quarterly Trend

Jun-24 Dec-25

Source: SALM Dec-25

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Overall advantage
6
Disadvantage
6
Economic resources
8
Education & occupation
6

Full-time

66.6%

Part-time

27.3%

Participation

66.7%

Employed

10,693

Occupations

Professionals 2,383
Clerical/Admin 1,605
Community/Personal 1,593
Managers 1,175
Sales 1,066
Labourers 959
Machinery/Drivers 864

Top Industries

Healthcare 22.0%
Education 10.4%
Construction 9.7%
Retail 8.4%
Professional/Tech 6.7%

University

39.9%

Postgraduate

12.2%

Born Overseas

36.4%

Dwellings

7,536

Transport to Work

Mernda is the only Whittlesea growth corridor suburb served by its own train terminus, with Mernda station opened in August 2018 as the rail extension's endpoint, although public transport usage still runs only 4.3% versus 89.5% car driver share, higher than Doreen's 3.0% transit share but reflecting estate-layout walk-up distances. The school cluster anchors family demand: Mernda Central P-12 College (Government Combined, ICSEA 1009, 1,746 students) is the largest, followed by Mernda Primary (Government, ICSEA 1035, 844), St Joseph's (Catholic Primary, ICSEA 1094, 497), Mernda Park Primary (Government, ICSEA 1057, 369) and Mernda Hills Christian College (Independent Combined, ICSEA 1119, 359). All five sit at or above the national 1000 ICSEA benchmark. The crime rate of 50.3 per 1,000 residents is higher than Doreen's 28.8 and South Morang's 39.8 but below Mill Park's 63.4, with property and deception offences leading at 587 of 1,176 total incidents (50%). SEIFA IRSAD decile 6 places the suburb in the upper-middle advantage band.

Drive

89.5%

Public Transport

4.3%

Walk / Cycle

1.0%

Work from Home

N/A

Population Forecast

+4.94%/yr

(+685 people/yr)

High Growth

Mernda's population grew 277% over the past decade, the strongest of the three corridor suburbs with an established train station and second only to Wollert's 4,723% explosion on a smaller base. Forecast annual growth runs at 4.94% or about 685 persons per year, with medium-trend population reaching 18,435 in the SA2 by 2031 from 15,011 in 2026. Migration mechanics favour overseas: 169 net overseas migrants annually versus 82 net internal arrivals, making overseas migration the primary growth driver, a profile distinct from Doreen's balanced 89/69 split. Senior share grew 2.2 percentage points and working-age share fell 3.1 points, classic estate-cohort maturation but less pronounced than Doreen's 3.5/2.8 swing because Mernda's buyer cohort is younger and the train extension only opened in 2018. Gentrification score is 0 (new development category) rather than gentrifying, and affordability improved from 46.9 in 2011 to 43.2 in 2021.

Historical + Forecast

Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025

Age Cohort Forecast

Primary Driver

Overseas Migration

Net Overseas / yr

+169

Net Internal / yr

+82

0

Gentrification Signal

New development

Safety & Crime

Total Offences

1,176

Year ending June 2024

Rate per 1,000 People

50.3

Offence Categories

Property and deception offences
587
Justice procedures offences
298
Crimes against the person
211
Drug offences
45

Source: Crime Statistics Agency Victoria / SA Police

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Mernda compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 1%
Household Income
Top 25%
Rent Level
Top 19%
Apartments
Bottom 30%
Renters
Top 31%
Uni Educated
Top 18%
Public Transport
Top 40%
Born Overseas
Top 8%
Density
Top 15%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Mernda a good suburb to live in?

Mernda suits mortgage-belt families wanting train access without inner-Melbourne prices. Median age 33 is seven years below national, 5 schools serve the suburb with Mernda Central P-12 College at 1,746 students, and the Mernda rail terminus (opened August 2018) makes it the only Whittlesea growth corridor suburb with its own station. Median house $721,300 sits below both Doreen and South Morang. Trade-offs: 89.5% car dependence and a 50.3 per 1,000 crime rate.

What is the median house price in Mernda?

Mernda's median house price is $721,300 as of Apr-Jun 2024, which is also the all-time peak rather than a corrected level. Across 14 years prices climbed from $375,000 in 2013, an earliest-to-latest gain of 92.3% and a 4.8% compound annual growth rate, slightly above Doreen's 4.3% and South Morang's 4.4%. Median weekly rent is $381, implying a gross yield near 2.7%. The price sits below Doreen's $745,000 and South Morang's $755,000.

What schools are in Mernda?

Mernda has 5 schools with roughly 3,815 combined enrolments. Mernda Central P-12 College (Government Combined, ICSEA 1009, 1,746 students) is the largest. Mernda Primary (Government, ICSEA 1035, 844) follows, then St Joseph's (Catholic Primary, ICSEA 1094, 497), Mernda Park Primary (Government, ICSEA 1057, 369), and Mernda Hills Christian College (Independent Combined, ICSEA 1119, 359), the highest-ICSEA option. All 5 schools sit at or above the national 1000 ICSEA benchmark.

Is Mernda safe?

Mernda recorded 1,176 offences in 12 months, a rate of 50.3 per 1,000 residents. That sits higher than Doreen's 28.8 and South Morang's 39.8 but below Mill Park's 63.4. Property and deception offences dominate at 587 incidents (50% of the total), with justice procedures at 298 and crimes against the person at 211. The pattern is typical opportunistic property crime found in family-belt mortgage suburbs with high garage and car-park exposure across detached-housing estates.

Is Mernda good for property investment?

Mernda is a growth play rather than a yield play. Gross yield runs around 2.7% ($381 weekly rent on $721,300 median), in line with Doreen's 2.8% and below the 3.5% threshold for outer-ring Melbourne investors. Vacancy at 4.5% is loose. Renter share at 28.3% is higher than Doreen's 21.6% and South Morang's 21.3%, helped by the 2018 train terminus drawing transit-led renters. Forecast growth is 4.94% annually with only 11 DAs lodged in 12 months.

How is Mernda's population changing?

Mernda's population grew 277% over the past decade to 23,369 residents, the strongest growth among Whittlesea suburbs with an established train station. Forecast annual growth runs at 4.94% or about 685 persons per year, with medium-trend population reaching 18,435 in the SA2 by 2031 from 15,011 in 2026. Overseas migration is the primary driver at 169 net arrivals annually versus 82 net internal, a profile that contrasts Doreen's balanced 89/69 split.

What languages are spoken in Mernda?

36.4% of Mernda residents were born overseas, 14.8 percentage points above the national average and higher than Doreen's 20.4%. Punjabi leads non-English languages at 604 speakers, ahead of Hindi (362), Arabic (286), Sinhala (242) and Malayalam (237). Indian ancestry sits at 2,666 residents (third behind English 4,907), with Hinduism (2,201) and Islam (1,239) on the religion ledger reflecting the South Asian overlay.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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