VIC 3931 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Mornington

Mornington's median age of 50 is 10 years above the national figure, making its aging-resident base the clearest signal. The suburb has 25,759 residents across 21.09 square kilometres, at a density of 1,221.2 people per square kilometre. Housing is detached-led, with 77.0% separate houses, yet 10.6% apartments and 11.2% semi-detached homes add variety. Compared with nearby Mount Martha and Mount Eliza, Mornington has a more mixed tenure profile: 41.9% own outright, 32.5% have a mortgage and 21.6% rent. Its 26.7% work-from-home share supports a settled lifestyle, while a 3.8% unemployment rate points to a relatively stable local base.

Mornington urban fabric map

Population

25,759

Median Age

50.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$1,451/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

31

Median House

$1.2M

October to December 2025

21.09 km²· 1,221.2 people/km²· Family income $2,001/wk

Separate houses account for 77.0% of stock, and 48.1% of homes have 3 bedrooms, making family-sized detached housing the main pathway. Apartments are 10.6% and semi-detached homes 11.2%, so buyers have fewer compact options than detached choices. Mortgage costs equal 31.8% of household income, flagged as stress, which makes deposit size and rate buffers more important than in a lower-cost market.

For Buyers

Separate houses account for 77.0% of stock, and 48.1% of homes have 3 bedrooms, making family-sized detached housing the main pathway. Apartments are 10.6% and semi-detached homes 11.2%, so buyers have fewer compact options than detached choices. Mortgage costs equal 31.8% of household income, flagged as stress, which makes deposit size and rate buffers more important than in a lower-cost market.

For Investors

Mornington's rental profile is smaller than its owner base: 21.6% of households rent, versus 41.9% owning outright, with weekly rent at $400. A 9.4% vacancy rate gives tenants more choice than a tightly constrained market, so investors should test leasing time and property condition rather than assume automatic rent growth. The 32 planning applications recorded over 12 months indicate a more active pipeline than a no-change setting, but the count alone does not establish how many new homes will result. Forecast migration is Balanced, which supports steady demand rather than a single growth source. Detached homes are 77.0% of stock, so family houses may align better with the suburb's established tenant base than small apartments.

Development Activity

Total DAs

81

Last 12 Months

31

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

+55.0%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

Subdivision
31
Other
14
Renovation / Extension
2
Commercial / Industrial
2
Granny Flat / Secondary Dwelling
1
New Dwelling
1

Schools in Mornington

Open-register school locations for education access. This is not a school-quality ranking.

Benton Junior College

Primary Government

Mornington Park Primary School

Primary Government

Mornington Primary School

Primary Government

St Macartan's School

Primary Catholic

Mornington Secondary College

Secondary Government

Demographics

Mornington has a median age of 50, 10 years above the national figure, and its average household size is 2.3 people, 0.2 below the national comparison. That age profile helps explain the large 45.3% share of couples without children, while couples with children account for 37.1% and one-parent families 16.5%. English ancestry is reported by 11,788 residents, followed by Irish at 3,361 and Scottish at 3,261. Christianity has 11,810 adherents and no religion 11,697. Overseas-born residents are 22.3%, just 0.7 percentage points above the national figure, while university attainment is 29.5%, 0.6 points below national. Compared with nearby Mount Martha, Mornington's population is best read as established and older rather than high-turnover: 79.1% stayed at the same address and turnover was 20.9%.

Age Distribution

0-14
15.0%
15-24
9.6%
25-44
18.6%
45-64
25.5%
65+
31.2%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
2.3%
2 bed
22.2%
3 bed
48.1%
4+ bed
27.4%

Dwelling Structure

77.0%

Houses

11.2%

Townhouse

10.6%

Apartment

Tenure

Own 41.9% Mortgage 32.5% Rent 21.6% Other 4.0%

Mornington's price path is strong over the long run but recently off its high. Tenure is weighted toward ownership: 41.9% own outright and 32.5% carry a mortgage, compared with 21.6% renting. The dwelling mix is 77.0% separate houses, 11.2% semi-detached and 10.6% apartments; 48.1% have 3 bedrooms and 27.4% have 4 or more. Compared with nearby Mount Martha and Mount Eliza, the key housing issue is not lack of family stock but affordability, with mortgage costs at 31.8% of household income and the trend marked worsening.

Mortgage / mo

$2,000

Rent / wkiMedian weekly rent for new bonds (year ending Sep 2025), Homes Victoria bond data (year-ending median). Census 2021 median: $400.

$695

Bond data year ending Sep 2025 · houses $675 · units $535

HH Size

2.3

Personal Income / wk

$740

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

9.4%

Unoccupied

1,090

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

27.6%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

31.8% stressed

Community Profile

Languages Spoken at Home

Italian
82
Greek
67
German
33
French
30
Mandarin
27
Canton
26

Ancestry

English
11,788
Irish
3,361
Scottish
3,261
Other
1,641
Ancestry NS
1,221
Italian
1,192

Household Composition

37.1%

Couples with children

45.3%

Couples, no children

16.5%

Single parent

7,088

Total families

Economy & Employment

Mornington's employment base is led by healthcare at 20.2% of jobs, followed by construction at 14.6%, education at 13.0%, professional and technical services at 8.1%, and retail at 6.9%. That mix links local work to care, building, education and service demand, while occupations include 2,435 professionals, 1,707 trades workers and 1,674 managers. Unemployment is 3.8%, participation is 53.0% and full-time employment is 54.8%, so the lower participation rate reflects a sizable 9,071 people outside the labour force, consistent with a median age of 50. Weekly household income is $1,451 and sits at the 44.2 percentile. All four SEIFA measures are in decile 6: education and occupation, economic resources, disadvantage, and advantage/disadvantage. Compared with a higher-decile suburb, Mornington reads as middle-ground rather than affluent, despite stable employment.

Unemployment

3.8%

Labour Force

11,612

Unemployed

439

Source: ABS Census 2021

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Overall advantage
6
Disadvantage
6
Economic resources
6
Education & occupation
6

Full-time

54.8%

Part-time

37.2%

Participation

53.0%

Employed

11,173

Full-time and part-time are shares of the employed. Source: ABS Census 2021

Occupations

Professionals 2,435
Trades 1,707
Managers 1,674
Community/Personal 1,424
Clerical/Admin 1,375
Sales 1,076
Labourers 921
Machinery/Drivers 382

Top Industries

Healthcare 20.2%
Construction 14.6%
Education 13.0%
Professional/Tech 8.1%
Retail 6.9%

University

29.5%

Postgraduate

6.0%

Born Overseas

22.3%

Dwellings

10,474

Transport to Work

Mornington suits households that can rely on cars or work from home. The car-driver share is 65.8%, public transport is 1.0%, walking or cycling is 2.7%, and working from home is 26.7%, so daily convenience is more car-oriented than transit-oriented. Seven local schools span 5 government settings and 2 Catholic schools across primary, secondary and special education; check enrolment zones against the exact address because boundaries can cut across suburb edges. The recorded crime rate is 81.8 offences per 1,000 residents, including 1,294 property and deception offences and 296 crimes against the person, so home security matters. IRSAD is in decile 6, matching the suburb's middle-range advantage profile. Compared with a transit-rich inner suburb, Mornington trades lower public transport use for more space, with 77.0% separate houses and 21.09 square kilometres.

Drive

65.8%

Public Transport

1.0%

Walk / Cycle

2.7%

Work from Home

26.7%

Population Forecast

+1.07%/yr

(+117 people/yr)

Established

Mornington is an established market with a forecast annual growth rate of 1.07%, while the primary migration driver is Balanced. Population change across the wider area is 19.4% over 10 years, but the shift trajectory is Aging: the senior share rises 7.7 percentage points and the working share falls 5.5 points. Affordability worsened from 49.9 in 2011 to 52.6 in 2021, helping explain why growth is steady rather than explosive. Gentrification is labelled Not gentrifying with a score of 15, although a separate shift signal records Early signs at 44. Compared with a younger, migration-led corridor, the combination of 1.07% annual growth and Balanced migration points to gradual renewal shaped by existing residents.

Historical + Forecast

Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025

Age Cohort Forecast

Primary Driver

Balanced

Net Overseas / yr

+88

Net Internal / yr

+69

15

Gentrification Signal

Not gentrifying

Population +19% since 2011, Net internal migration +69/yr

Safety & Crime

Total Offences

2,108

Year ending June 2024

Rate per 1,000 People

81.8

Offence Categories

Property and deception offences
1,294
Crimes against the person
296
Justice procedures offences
269
Drug offences
133

Source: Crime Statistics Agency Victoria / SA Police

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Mornington compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 0%
Household Income
Bottom 44%
Rent Level
Top 17%
Apartments
Top 8%
Renters
Top 34%
Uni Educated
Top 36%
Public Transport
Bottom 20%
Born Overseas
Top 25%
Density
Top 13%

Frequently Asked Questions

What schools are in Mornington?

Mornington has 7 schools: 5 government and 2 Catholic, covering primary, secondary and special education. The mix is broader than a primary-only catchment, but families should compare enrolment zones with the exact address because boundaries can differ.

Is Mornington safe?

Recorded crime was 81.8 offences per 1,000 residents, including 1,294 property and deception offences and 296 crimes against the person. That rate should be compared with the exact street and property type, because suburb-wide figures can sit higher or lower than individual pockets.

Is Mornington good for property investment?

Mornington may suit a long-term investor, but the case is balanced rather than automatic. Weekly rent is $400, vacancy is 9.4%, renting is 21.6%, and 32 planning applications were recorded over 12 months. Compared with a tightly supplied rental market, vacancy may mean more leasing competition.

How is Mornington's population changing?

Mornington's population is changing gradually and becoming older. The current population is 25,759, wider-area population change is 19.4% over 10 years, annual growth is 1.07%, and the senior share has risen 7.7 percentage points. Compared with a younger growth corridor, the Aging trajectory and Balanced migration point to steadier change.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), Valuer-General Victoria (house prices), state education open registers (school locations), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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