VIC 3804 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Narre Warren North

Its 8,033 residents have a median age of 42, or 2.0 years above the national comparison, while household income ranks at the 94.2nd percentile. Compared with nearby Berwick, it is a more land-oriented choice across 22.02 square kilometres, with 98.9% separate houses and 0.3% apartments. Ownership is established at 41.7% outright and 52.9% mortgage, because large homes favour long-term family households over a high-turnover rental base.

Narre Warren North urban fabric map

Population

8,033

Median Age

42.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$2,634/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

21

Median House

$1.5M

October to December 2025

22.02 km²· 364.8 people/km²· Family income $2,588/wk

That history gives more context than the latest median alone. Housing is strongly house-led: 98.9% are separate houses, 81.4% have 4 or more bedrooms and 0.3% are apartments. Mortgage costs equal 19.4% of household income, higher than the 15.6% rent-to-income figure, with neither stress flag triggered. Compared with nearby Berwick, buyers should focus on lot size, condition and commute because detached land dominates.

For Buyers

That history gives more context than the latest median alone. Housing is strongly house-led: 98.9% are separate houses, 81.4% have 4 or more bedrooms and 0.3% are apartments. Mortgage costs equal 19.4% of household income, higher than the 15.6% rent-to-income figure, with neither stress flag triggered. Compared with nearby Berwick, buyers should focus on lot size, condition and commute because detached land dominates.

For Investors

Investor appeal is selective because only 4.0% of households rent, far lower than the 52.9% mortgage share and 41.7% outright ownership. The forecast trend is 0.98% annually, steadier than a high-growth corridor, and overseas migration is the primary driver. There were 20 development applications in 12 months, pointing to ongoing planning activity in a predominantly detached market.

Development Activity

Total DAs

44

Last 12 Months

21

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

+425.0%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

Subdivision
16
Other
4
Garage / Carport / Shed
3
Tree Removal
1
Multi-Dwelling / Townhouse
1

Schools in Narre Warren North

Open-register school locations for education access. This is not a school-quality ranking.

Harkaway Hills College

Pri/Sec Independent

Lysterfield Lake College

Pri/Sec Independent

Mary MacKillop School

Primary Catholic

Sidrah Gardens School

Primary Independent

Demographics

Family households shape the profile: 57.6% are couples with children, average household size is 3.4, or 0.9 above the national comparison, and 88.7% stayed at the same address. Median age is 42, 2.0 years above national, matching an aging trajectory. Overseas-born residents account for 31.6%, 10.0 points above national; leading ancestries include English (1,919), Italian (772) and Irish (472), while Mandarin, Italian and Arabic are the most recorded non-English languages. The university-educated share is 33.1%, 3.0 points above national. Compared with nearby Berwick, the profile is more established and family-oriented because large detached homes support longer tenure.

Age Distribution

0-14
17.5%
15-24
16.0%
25-44
19.3%
45-64
30.5%
65+
16.6%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
0.8%
2 bed
2.0%
3 bed
15.8%
4+ bed
81.4%

Dwelling Structure

98.9%

Houses

0.8%

Townhouse

0.3%

Apartment

Tenure

Own 41.7% Mortgage 52.9% Rent 4.0% Other 1.4%

The 4.3% compound annual growth rate across 19 years is slower than the headline gain because the starting base was low. Tenure is owner-led: 41.7% own outright, 52.9% hold a mortgage and 4.0% rent. With 81.4% of homes at 4 or more bedrooms and 98.9% separate houses, the suburb is more land-and-family focused than apartment-oriented nearby Berwick.

Mortgage / mo

$2,212

Rent / wkiABS Census 2021 median across all dwelling types. Current market rents are typically higher.

$410

Census 2021

HH Size

3.4

Personal Income / wk

$795

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

3.5%

Unoccupied

81

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

15.6%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

19.4%

Community Profile

Languages Spoken at Home

Mandarin
135
Italian
96
Arabic
70
Punjabi
61
Sinhal
54
Greek
42

Ancestry

English
1,919
Other
1,793
Italian
772
Irish
472
Ancestry NS
440
Scottish
424

Household Composition

57.6%

Couples with children

33.9%

Couples, no children

7.6%

Single parent

2,183

Total families

Economy & Employment

The economy combines hands-on and professional work. Construction leads at 19.4% and 490 workers, followed by healthcare at 14.5% and 365, education at 11.1% and 279, professional/technical services at 8.6% and 218, and manufacturing at 8.1% and 205. Occupations are similarly mixed, led by professionals (735), trades (662), managers (657) and clerical/admin workers (630). Unemployment is 3.9%, participation is 63.4% and full-time work is 58.5%. Economic resources rank strongly: IER is decile 10, IRSAD decile 8 and IRSD decile 9, higher than IEO decile 7 because income and economic conditions rank above the education measure.

Unemployment

3.9%

Labour Force

4,202

Unemployed

164

Source: ABS Census 2021

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Overall advantage
8
Disadvantage
9
Economic resources
10
Education & occupation
7

Full-time

58.5%

Part-time

35.4%

Participation

63.4%

Employed

4,038

Full-time and part-time are shares of the employed. Source: ABS Census 2021

Occupations

Professionals 735
Trades 662
Managers 657
Clerical/Admin 630
Sales 401
Community/Personal 310
Labourers 304
Machinery/Drivers 222

Top Industries

Construction 19.4%
Healthcare 14.5%
Education 11.1%
Professional/Tech 8.6%
Manufacturing 8.1%

University

33.1%

Postgraduate

6.8%

Born Overseas

31.6%

Dwellings

2,226

Transport to Work

Daily life is strongly car-oriented: 68.4% travel as car drivers, compared with 0.7% using public transport and 0.6% walking or cycling, while 26.2% work from home. Four nearby schools cover Catholic and independent sectors, with primary and Pri/Sec options, so families should check enrolment zones against the exact address. Reported crime totals 382 incidents, or 47.6 per 1,000 residents; property and deception offences account for 221 cases, more than the 51 crimes against the person. IRSAD is decile 8 and IER decile 10, both above the middle of the decile scale. The trade-off is transport choice because the suburb spans 22.02 square kilometres.

Drive

68.4%

Public Transport

0.7%

Walk / Cycle

0.6%

Work from Home

26.2%

Population Forecast

+0.98%/yr

(+81 people/yr)

Established

Narre Warren North is an established market with a forecast annual growth trend of 0.98%, driven primarily by overseas migration. Population change across the wider area is 18.0% over 10 years, indicating continued expansion at a measured pace. The trajectory is Aging: senior share has risen 5.8 points, while young share has fallen 2.3 points and working share has declined 2.7 points. Rent growth is 21.2%, and affordability is labelled Improving as the measure moved from 52.7 in 2011 to 48.9 in 2021. Gentrification is rated Not gentrifying at score 5, while the broader change assessment records Early signs at 22, so change looks more demographic than prestige-led.

Historical + Forecast

Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025

Age Cohort Forecast

Primary Driver

Overseas Migration

Net Overseas / yr

+63

Net Internal / yr

-67

5

Gentrification Signal

Not gentrifying

Population +14% since 2011

Safety & Crime

Total Offences

382

Year ending June 2024

Rate per 1,000 People

47.6

Offence Categories

Property and deception offences
221
Justice procedures offences
67
Crimes against the person
51
Drug offences
22

Source: Crime Statistics Agency Victoria / SA Police

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Narre Warren North compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 6%
Household Income
Top 6%
Rent Level
Top 14%
Apartments
Top 25%
Renters
Bottom 23%
Uni Educated
Top 29%
Public Transport
Bottom 11%
Born Overseas
Top 12%
Density
Top 21%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Narre Warren North a good suburb to live in?

Narre Warren North suits households wanting space, large detached homes and established tenure. The median age is 42, 81.4% of homes have 4 or more bedrooms, and 68.4% travel as car drivers, so it is better suited to family buyers than car-free renters.

What schools are in Narre Warren North?

Four nearby schools include 1 Catholic primary option and 3 independent schools, with primary and Pri/Sec formats represented. They are Mary MacKillop School, Harkaway Hills College, Lysterfield Lake College and Sidrah Gardens School. Check enrolment zones against the exact address before committing.

Is Narre Warren North safe?

Reported crime was 382 incidents, equal to 47.6 per 1,000 residents. Property and deception offences were the largest category at 221, compared with 51 crimes against the person. Assess the exact street and recent local conditions before deciding, because suburb-wide rates can vary by location.

How is Narre Warren North's population changing?

The area is forecast to grow at 0.98% annually, with overseas migration the primary driver. Population change across the wider area is 18.0% over 10 years, while the trajectory is Aging: senior share is up 5.8 points and young share is down 2.3 points. Growth is therefore more established and aging than youthful.

What languages are spoken in Narre Warren North?

Mandarin is the most recorded listed language at 135 speakers, followed by Italian at 96, Arabic at 70, Punjabi at 61 and Sinhal at 54. Overseas-born residents represent 31.6% of the population, 10.0 percentage points above the national comparison.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), Valuer-General Victoria (house prices), state education open registers (school locations), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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