VIC 3805 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Narre Warren South

A 42.0% overseas-born share and 3.4-person average household give Narre Warren South a stronger migrant-family profile than the national picture, while its median age of 34 is 6.0 years below the national figure. The suburb is firmly detached-house territory: 93.0% of dwellings are separate houses and 66.2% have 4 or more bedrooms. Compared with nearby Narre Warren, Narre Warren South presents a more clearly large-home family profile, while Berwick is a useful comparison for its established owner-occupier character. Household income sits at the 82.1st percentile, but 58.0% of residents are paying a mortgage, making affordability and commuting central to daily life.

Narre Warren South urban fabric map

Population

30,909

Median Age

34.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$2,158/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

7

Median House

$858K

October to December 2025

13.23 km²· 2,335.6 people/km²· Family income $2,174/wk

Homebuyers are entering a large-home, family-house market rather than an apartment-led one. The typical mortgage payment is $1,937 per month, and mortgage costs equal 20.7% of household income. Because 58.0% of households are paying off a mortgage, interest-rate changes remain important even though the repayment share is below the recent price peak. Buyers should compare block size, renovation needs and commuting costs because the suburb's value is closely tied to space.

For Buyers

Homebuyers are entering a large-home, family-house market rather than an apartment-led one. The typical mortgage payment is $1,937 per month, and mortgage costs equal 20.7% of household income. Because 58.0% of households are paying off a mortgage, interest-rate changes remain important even though the repayment share is below the recent price peak. Buyers should compare block size, renovation needs and commuting costs because the suburb's value is closely tied to space.

For Investors

Investment demand is supported by a 16.7% renting share, weekly rent of $401 and a 2.9% vacancy rate, although the owner-occupier base is much larger than the rental pool. The vacancy rate is lower than the renting share, but those measures describe different parts of the market, so the tightness signal is useful rather than conclusive. Five development applications were recorded over 12 months, pointing to continuing subdivision activity rather than a major construction wave. The growth trend is 0.74% annually and overseas migration is the primary driver, which can sustain tenant demand. Rents have grown 20.6%, higher than the annual population trend, while the suburb is not gentrifying, with a score of 10.

Development Activity

Total DAs

33

Last 12 Months

7

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

+75.0%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

Subdivision
7
Other
4

Schools in Narre Warren South

Open-register school locations for education access. This is not a school-quality ranking.

Heritage College

Pri/Sec Independent

Narre Warren South P-12 College

Pri/Sec Government

Hillsmeade Primary School

Primary Government

Strathaird Primary School

Primary Government

Trinity Catholic Primary School

Primary Catholic

Demographics

At 34, Narre Warren South is 6.0 years younger than the national age profile, yet its forecast trajectory is Aging. Families are prominent: 60.5% of couples have children and average household size is 3.4, which is 0.9 above the national figure. Overseas-born residents account for 42.0%, 20.4 percentage points higher than nationally, while university attainment is 33.0%, 2.9 points above the national comparison. English and Indian ancestry counts are 6,667 and 2,136, with Sinhal, Mandarin and Punjabi among the leading listed languages at 468, 398 and 320. Christianity counts 12,546 residents, compared with 8,806 reporting no religion and 4,963 Islam. This mix helps explain demand for larger homes, schools and family services.

Age Distribution

0-14
22.0%
15-24
16.8%
25-44
25.9%
45-64
26.4%
65+
8.9%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
0.2%
2 bed
1.1%
3 bed
32.5%
4+ bed
66.2%

Dwelling Structure

93.0%

Houses

6.9%

Townhouse

0.0%

Apartment

Tenure

Own 24.5% Mortgage 58.0% Rent 16.7% Other 0.8%

Tenure is mortgage-heavy: 58.0% of households are paying off a loan, compared with 24.5% owning outright and 16.7% renting. The physical stock is similarly consistent, with 93.0% separate houses and 66.2% containing 4 or more bedrooms. Compared with Narre Warren's more mixed urban settings, this profile is more detached and space-oriented, because larger homes drive both purchase price and ongoing upkeep.

Mortgage / mo

$1,937

Rent / wkiABS Census 2021 median across all dwelling types. Current market rents are typically higher.

$401

Census 2021

HH Size

3.4

Personal Income / wk

$749

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

2.9%

Unoccupied

260

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

18.6%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

20.7%

Community Profile

Languages Spoken at Home

Sinhal
468
Mandarin
398
Punjabi
320
Arabic
279
Hindi
206
Persian ED
152

Ancestry

Other
10,152
English
6,667
Indian
2,136
Scottish
1,654
Chinese
1,515
Irish
1,452

Household Composition

60.5%

Couples with children

23.9%

Couples, no children

14.7%

Single parent

8,206

Total families

Economy & Employment

Healthcare leads local employment at 18.3% and 1,681 workers, followed by construction at 11.7% with 1,074, manufacturing at 10.7% with 982, education at 9.6% with 886 and retail at 8.3% with 758. The occupation mix is similarly practical, led by trades at 2,554, professionals at 2,427 and clerical/admin at 2,198, with community/personal work at 1,669 and managers at 1,653. Participation is 67.0%, unemployment is 6.0% and full-time employment is 59.9%, so household stability depends on a blend of local services and commuting jobs. The economic-resources decile is 8, higher than the IRSAD decile of 6, while IRSD is decile 4 and IEO decile 6. That spread indicates uneven conditions beneath a household-income percentile of 82.1.

Unemployment

6.0%

Labour Force

16,163

Unemployed

973

Source: ABS Census 2021

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Overall advantage
6
Disadvantage
4
Economic resources
8
Education & occupation
6

Full-time

59.9%

Part-time

33.9%

Participation

67.0%

Employed

15,190

Full-time and part-time are shares of the employed. Source: ABS Census 2021

Occupations

Trades 2,554
Professionals 2,427
Clerical/Admin 2,198
Community/Personal 1,669
Managers 1,653
Labourers 1,617
Sales 1,468
Machinery/Drivers 1,280

Top Industries

Healthcare 18.3%
Construction 11.7%
Manufacturing 10.7%
Education 9.6%
Retail 8.3%

University

33.0%

Postgraduate

8.0%

Born Overseas

42.0%

Dwellings

8,735

Transport to Work

Daily life is strongly car-oriented: 70.3% travel as car drivers, compared with 1.9% using public transport and 0.5% walking or cycling, while 21.5% work from home. Five schools provide local access across 3 government schools, 1 Catholic primary school and 1 independent Pri/Sec college; families should check exact enrolment zones because boundaries can cut across the suburb. Recorded crime totals 1,086 offences, or 35.1 per 1,000 residents, with property and deception offences accounting for 634. The IRSAD decile is 6, above the IRSD decile of 4, and the IER decile is 8, suggesting resources are stronger than some disadvantage measures. Compared with a transit-led suburb, access here is more dependent on a car, so proximity to work, schools and shops matters.

Drive

70.3%

Public Transport

1.9%

Walk / Cycle

0.5%

Work from Home

21.5%

Population Forecast

+0.74%/yr

(+127 people/yr)

Established

Growth is steady rather than explosive: the annual trend is 0.74%, and population change across the wider area is 5.1% over 10 years. Overseas migration is the primary driver, which fits the suburb's 42.0% overseas-born share and can keep demand focused on family housing. The shift is labelled Aging, with the senior share up 3.4 percentage points and the young share down 5.0 points; that is a different direction from a youth-led expansion. Affordability was 54.3% in 2021, higher than 52.8% in 2011, while rent growth reached 20.6%. Gentrification is not occurring, with a score of 10, so the outlook is more established mortgage-belt renewal than rapid transformation.

Historical + Forecast

Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025

Age Cohort Forecast

Primary Driver

Overseas Migration

Net Overseas / yr

+306

Net Internal / yr

-430

10

Gentrification Signal

Not gentrifying

Net internal outflow -430/yr, Strong overseas inflow +306/yr

Safety & Crime

Total Offences

1,086

Year ending June 2024

Rate per 1,000 People

35.1

Offence Categories

Property and deception offences
634
Crimes against the person
231
Justice procedures offences
133
Public order and security offences
56

Source: Crime Statistics Agency Victoria / SA Police

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Narre Warren South compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 0%
Household Income
Top 18%
Rent Level
Top 15%
Apartments
Bottom 0%
Renters
Top 46%
Uni Educated
Top 29%
Public Transport
Bottom 39%
Born Overseas
Top 5%
Density
Top 6%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Narre Warren South a good suburb to live in?

It can suit households seeking large detached homes, family services and a settled setting. The suburb has a median age of 34, average household size of 3.4 and 93.0% separate houses. Car dependence is high at 70.3%, so daily convenience depends heavily on access to a vehicle.

What schools are in Narre Warren South?

The 5 listed schools are Trinity Catholic Primary School, Hillsmeade Primary School, Narre Warren South P-12 College, Strathaird Primary School and Heritage College. They include 3 government schools, 1 Catholic primary school and 1 independent Pri/Sec college.

Is Narre Warren South safe?

The recorded crime rate is 35.1 offences per 1,000 residents, with 1,086 total offences. Property and deception offences account for 634, so buyers and renters should compare the exact street and recent local conditions rather than rely on a suburb-wide rate alone.

Is Narre Warren South good for property investment?

It may suit investors seeking established family rental demand: 16.7% of households rent, weekly rent is $401 and vacancy is 2.9%. Overseas migration is the primary growth driver and rent growth is 20.6%, but only 5 development applications were recorded over 12 months.

How is Narre Warren South's population changing?

The wider-area forecast points to 5.1% population change over 10 years and an annual trend of 0.74%, driven primarily by overseas migration. The trajectory is Aging, with the senior share up 3.4 points and the young share down 5.0 points, so growth is steady rather than youth-led.

What languages are spoken in Narre Warren South?

Listed languages include Sinhal with 468 speakers, Mandarin with 398, Punjabi with 320, Arabic with 279 and Hindi with 206. With 42.0% of residents born overseas, language needs are relevant for local services, schools and community organisations.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), Valuer-General Victoria (house prices), state education open registers (school locations), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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