QLD 4819 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Nelly Bay

With a median age of 56, Nelly Bay sits 16 years above the national figure, making it one of Queensland's most distinctly retired coastal communities. Located on Magnetic Island, it combines a median house price around $391,000 with an exceptionally high vacancy rate of 22.2%, a combination explained by the island lifestyle drawing holiday and semi-permanent residents rather than full-time occupants. Household income sits in the 12.8th percentile nationally, reflecting a population that skews toward retirees and part-time workers rather than full-time earners. Just 1,213 residents live within 4.67 square kilometres, and 47.8% own their homes outright, well above typical Australian rates.

Nelly Bay urban fabric map

Population

1,213

Median Age

56.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$1,003/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

2

Median House

$391K

Estimated from rent (2025)

4.67 km²· 260 people/km²· Family income $1,382/wk

The median house price of $391,000 is affordable compared to broader Queensland coastal markets, and 47.8% of residents own outright, suggesting long-held properties with low debt. Separate houses dominate at 82.3% of dwellings, with apartments at just 9.4%, so buyers have reasonable choice of freestanding stock. The most common bedroom count is 3 bedrooms at 46.8%, followed by 2 bedrooms at 31.9%. Monthly mortgage repayments average $1,470, but the mortgage-to-income ratio reaches 33.8%, above the 30% stress threshold, because household income sits in only the 12.8th income percentile nationally. The 53.9% of families who are couples without children reflects a retirement-oriented buyer profile rather than young families.

For Buyers

The median house price of $391,000 is affordable compared to broader Queensland coastal markets, and 47.8% of residents own outright, suggesting long-held properties with low debt. Separate houses dominate at 82.3% of dwellings, with apartments at just 9.4%, so buyers have reasonable choice of freestanding stock. The most common bedroom count is 3 bedrooms at 46.8%, followed by 2 bedrooms at 31.9%. Monthly mortgage repayments average $1,470, but the mortgage-to-income ratio reaches 33.8%, above the 30% stress threshold, because household income sits in only the 12.8th income percentile nationally. The 53.9% of families who are couples without children reflects a retirement-oriented buyer profile rather than young families.

For Investors

A vacancy rate of 22.2% stands well above typical healthy market levels of 2-3%, signalling oversupply that will pressure rents and limit short-term capital growth. Weekly rent of $300 against a $391,000 median implies a gross yield of around 4.0%, modest but higher than major city inner suburbs. The renter share is 28.3%, a reasonable tenant base for an island suburb. Only 2 development applications were lodged in the past 12 months, indicating limited new supply risk but also thin market activity. The participation rate of 44.1% is low compared to national norms because the aging population reduces the working-age base, constraining rental demand growth.

Development Activity

Total DAs

2

Last 12 Months

2

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

Renovation / Extension
1
Subdivision
1

Schools in Nelly Bay iICSEA: school advantage index. 1000 = national avg, higher = more advantaged

Magnetic Island State School

ICSEA 1027 Primary Government

Prep-6 · 123 students

Demographics

The median age of 56 is 16 years above the national figure, placing Nelly Bay firmly among Australia's oldest suburb profiles. Overseas-born residents account for 29.5%, which is 7.9 percentage points above the national average, with ancestry dominated by English (514), Irish (197) and Scottish (134) backgrounds. University qualifications reach 33.1%, roughly 3 percentage points above the national rate, suggesting a modestly well-educated retiree and professional base. Average household size is 2.0, which is 0.5 below the national figure, consistent with couples-without-children households forming 53.9% of all families. The volunteering rate of 23.5% is notably high, reflecting the community engagement typical of retiree-heavy populations.

Age Distribution

0-14
10.0%
15-24
5.6%
25-44
18.8%
45-64
33.4%
65+
32.8%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
4.9%
2 bed
31.9%
3 bed
46.8%
4+ bed
16.5%

Dwelling Structure

82.3%

Houses

6.8%

Townhouse

9.4%

Apartment

Tenure

Own 47.8% Mortgage 24.0% Rent 28.3%

Tenure structure skews heavily toward outright ownership: 47.8% own outright, 24.0% carry a mortgage, and 28.3% rent. That high outright-ownership rate is characteristic of a suburb where long-term residents have paid off homes over decades. Separate houses make up 82.3% of the stock, higher than typical urban Queensland suburbs, while apartments are just 9.4%. Three-bedroom homes dominate at 46.8%, followed by 2-bedroom at 31.9% and 4-plus bedroom at 16.5%. The rent-to-income ratio of 29.9% sits just below the 30% stress threshold, while mortgage-to-income at 33.8% is above it, meaning buyers face more pressure than renters at current income levels in the 12.8th percentile nationally.

Mortgage / mo

$1,470

Rent / wk

$300

HH Size

2.0

Personal Income / wk

$634

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

22.2%

Unoccupied

138

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

29.9%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

33.8% stressed

Community Profile

Ancestry

English
514
Irish
197
Scottish
134
Ancestry NS
113
Other
96
German
72

Household Composition

53.9%

Couples, no children

705

Total families

Economy & Employment

Hospitality leads employment at 17.1% of workers (57 people), reflecting the island's tourism and accommodation economy, followed by Education at 13.5% (45) and Healthcare at 11.7% (39). By occupation, Professionals (106) and Managers (88) are the top two groups, consistent with the above-national university qualification rate of 33.1%. The unemployment rate is 5.2%, and the participation rate of 44.1% is low relative to national norms because 449 residents are not in the labour force, reflecting the retired population. Full-time employment accounts for 55.0% of employed people, with the part-time share (205 workers) indicating the part-seasonal nature of island hospitality and services jobs.

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Full-time

55.0%

Part-time

39.8%

Participation

44.1%

Employed

456

Occupations

Professionals 106
Managers 88
Community/Personal 67
Sales 55
Labourers 50
Clerical/Admin 44
Machinery/Drivers 17

Top Industries

Hospitality 17.1%
Education 13.5%
Healthcare 11.7%
Public Admin 8.4%
Professional/Tech 8.1%

University

33.1%

Postgraduate

10.0%

Born Overseas

29.5%

Dwellings

487

Transport to Work

Active transport use is unusually high for Queensland: 31.4% of residents walk or cycle as their main mode, far above the national average, because the compact island geography of Magnetic Island makes car-free movement practical. Only 3.8% use public transport and 55.7% drive. No schools are recorded within the suburb boundary, so families with school-age children rely on facilities in neighbouring Magnetic Island areas or travel to Townsville. The need-for-assistance rate of 7.8% (86 people) is elevated relative to the suburb's 1,213 population, consistent with the aging profile where a median age of 56 brings higher care needs. The volunteering rate of 23.5% reflects strong community participation typical of retiree-oriented coastal communities.

Drive

55.7%

Public Transport

3.8%

Walk / Cycle

31.4%

Work from Home

N/A

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Nelly Bay compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 26%
Household Income
Bottom 13%
Rent Level
Top 41%
Apartments
Top 31%
Renters
Top 31%
Uni Educated
Top 29%
Public Transport
Top 44%
Born Overseas
Top 14%
Density
Top 22%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Nelly Bay a good suburb to live in?

Nelly Bay suits retirees and those seeking an island lifestyle on Magnetic Island. It has an affordable median house price around $391,000, with 47.8% of residents owning outright and 31.4% walking or cycling daily. The trade-offs include a high vacancy rate of 22.2%, no schools within the suburb boundary, and household income sitting in only the 12.8th percentile nationally.

What is the median house price in Nelly Bay?

The estimated median house price is $391,000 based on 2025 rent data. Weekly rents average $300, and monthly mortgage repayments run about $1,470. The mortgage-to-income ratio of 33.8% is above the 30% stress threshold, because local incomes are below average at the 12.8th percentile nationally.

What schools are in Nelly Bay?

No schools are recorded within the Nelly Bay suburb boundary in this dataset. Families with school-age children typically access schools elsewhere on Magnetic Island or in Townsville across the water. The local population has a university qualification rate of 33.1%, which is around 3 points above the national figure.

Is Nelly Bay safe?

Detailed crime statistics are not available for Nelly Bay in this dataset. As an indirect indicator, the suburb has a population of only 1,213 people spread across 4.67 square kilometres, and a volunteering rate of 23.5%, both consistent with a connected, low-density community. The aging median age of 56 also reflects a settled, long-term resident base.

Is Nelly Bay good for property investment?

The investment case is mixed. A gross rental yield of around 4.0% based on $300 weekly rent and a $391,000 median price is reasonable, but the 22.2% vacancy rate is well above the healthy 2-3% range, signalling oversupply. Only 2 development applications were lodged in the past 12 months, and the participation rate of 44.1% limits organic rental demand growth from the local workforce.

How is Nelly Bay's population changing?

Nelly Bay has a small population of 1,213 residents and a development pipeline of just 2 applications in the past 12 months, suggesting limited near-term growth. The turnover rate of 30.7% shows that about 1 in 3 residents arrived within the prior 5 years, indicating a steady flow of new arrivals even in a stable-sized community. The aging profile, with a median age of 56 that is 16 years above national, points to continued retirement-driven migration rather than family-based growth.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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