VIC 3174 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Noble Park North

Crime at 66.3 per 1,000 residents sits above Melbourne's average, with property offences (241 incidents) and crimes against the person (100) as leading categories. Yet house prices have compounded at 5.4% annually over 14 years, rising from $383,000 in 2013 to $805,000 in 2024, outperforming Melbourne's median growth rate. The suburb's 53.6% overseas-born rate (32 points above national) and linguistic diversity, with Greek (234), Sinhalese (114), Punjabi (106), Mandarin (86), and Arabic (82) speakers, create a neighbourhood where no single migrant group dominates.

Noble Park North urban fabric map

Population

7,436

Median Age

40.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$1,452/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

2

Median House

$805K

Apr-Jun 2024

3.75 km²· 1,983.1 people/km²· Family income $1,724/wk

Separate houses account for 89.7% of stock, with 3-bedroom homes at 64.4%, the dominant configuration. The median of $805,000 (Apr-Jun 2024) rose from $758,300 in late 2023, a 6.2% gain over two quarters. Mortgage-to-income at 27.9% sits below the stress threshold, though household income at the 44th percentile ($1,452/week) means limited buffer against rate rises. Compared to nearby Dandenong North or Springvale, Noble Park North offers slightly lower density (1,983/sq km) and more space per dollar, trading walkability for lot size.

For Buyers

Separate houses account for 89.7% of stock, with 3-bedroom homes at 64.4%, the dominant configuration. The median of $805,000 (Apr-Jun 2024) rose from $758,300 in late 2023, a 6.2% gain over two quarters. Mortgage-to-income at 27.9% sits below the stress threshold, though household income at the 44th percentile ($1,452/week) means limited buffer against rate rises. Compared to nearby Dandenong North or Springvale, Noble Park North offers slightly lower density (1,983/sq km) and more space per dollar, trading walkability for lot size.

For Investors

Renters make up 26.7% of residents, near the national average, and vacancy at 5.5% is moderate by Melbourne standards. Weekly rent of $351 against the $805,000 median delivers low gross yield. Development activity is minimal at just 2 applications in 12 months, meaning supply growth is near zero. Net overseas migration of 116 per year sustains tenant inflow, but net internal outflow of 140 annually means more domestic residents leave than arrive. The 85.1% residential stability rate is high, suggesting existing tenants stay long-term.

Development Activity

Total DAs

7

Last 12 Months

2

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

+100.0%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

Other
3

Schools in Noble Park North iICSEA: school advantage index. 1000 = national avg, higher = more advantaged

Nazareth College

ICSEA 1050 Secondary Catholic

7-12 · 972 students

Silverton Primary School

ICSEA 1023 Primary Government

Prep-6 · 406 students

Demographics

Noble Park North is one of Melbourne's most ethnically diverse suburbs, with 53.6% born overseas (32 points above national). Vietnamese (456), Chinese (564), and Greek (559) ancestries appear alongside English (1,041) and a large 'Other' category (2,169). Greek (234 speakers), Sinhalese (114), Punjabi (106), Mandarin (86), and Arabic (82) are the top non-English languages. The median age of 40 aligns with the national figure. Need for assistance at 8.8% is well above the national average, reflecting the older migrant population.

Age Distribution

0-14
16.9%
15-24
11.9%
25-44
26.6%
45-64
25.0%
65+
19.6%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
2.3%
2 bed
7.9%
3 bed
64.4%
4+ bed
25.3%

Dwelling Structure

89.7%

Houses

0.9%

Townhouse

9.3%

Apartment

Tenure

Own 39.1% Mortgage 34.2% Rent 26.7%

Prices grew from $383,000 in 2013 to $805,000 in 2024, a 110.2% total gain compounding at 5.4% annually over 14 years, outperforming Melbourne's long-run average. Ownership splits 39.1% outright, 34.2% mortgage, 26.7% renting. The high outright rate reflects long-term resident ownership. Three-bedroom homes at 64.4% dominate, with apartments at 9.3% providing a secondary market. Mortgage-to-income at 27.9% and rent-to-income at 24.2% both sit below stress thresholds, suggesting housing costs are manageable relative to local incomes.

Median House Price Trend

Source: State Valuer-General

Mortgage / mo

$1,757

Rent / wk

$351

HH Size

2.7

Personal Income / wk

$596

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

5.5%

Unoccupied

151

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

24.2%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

27.9%

Community Profile

Languages Spoken at Home

Greek
234
Sinhal
114
Punjabi
106
Mandarin
86
Arabic
82
Khmer
82

Ancestry

Other
2,169
English
1,041
Chinese
564
Greek
559
Vietnamese
456
Indian
433

Household Composition

21.7%

Couples, no children

6,169

Total families

Economy & Employment

Healthcare leads at 18.9%, followed by construction (10.9%), education (10.5%), manufacturing (8.9%), and retail (8.4%). The occupation profile is more blue-collar than Melbourne's average: labourers (453) rank second after professionals (553), and machinery/drivers (347) are fourth. Unemployment at 6.9% sits above the national rate, and participation at 51.7% is relatively low. The SEIFA IRSAD decile of 3 places Noble Park North in the bottom third nationally for socioeconomic advantage, and the disadvantage decile of 2 indicates significant pockets of disadvantage.

Unemployment

6.0%

Labour Force

3,910

Unemployed

236

Quarterly Trend

Mar-24 Dec-25

Source: SALM Dec-25

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Overall advantage
3
Disadvantage
2
Economic resources
4
Education & occupation
4

Full-time

61.8%

Part-time

31.3%

Participation

51.7%

Employed

2,975

Occupations

Professionals 553
Labourers 453
Clerical/Admin 411
Machinery/Drivers 347
Community/Personal 337
Sales 284
Managers 269

Top Industries

Healthcare 18.9%
Construction 10.9%
Education 10.5%
Manufacturing 8.9%
Retail 8.4%

University

36.0%

Postgraduate

9.2%

Born Overseas

53.6%

Dwellings

2,611

Transport to Work

Two schools serve the suburb: Nazareth College (Catholic secondary, ICSEA 1050, 972 students) and Silverton Primary (Government, ICSEA 1023, 406 students). Both sit above the national ICSEA benchmark. Crime at 66.3 per 1,000 residents is above Melbourne's average, with property offences (241) dominating. Public transport captures only 3.0% of commutes, and 88.7% drive. Walking and cycling at 1.1% is minimal. The SEIFA IRSAD decile of 3 confirms below-average socioeconomic standing relative to the national median.

Drive

88.7%

Public Transport

3.0%

Walk / Cycle

1.1%

Work from Home

N/A

Population Forecast

-0.29%/yr

(-22 people/yr)

Established

Population trends negative at -0.29% per year, losing 22 persons annually. COVID caused a 4.0% dip, with only 1.4% recovered by 2025 (7,593 vs pre-COVID 7,828). Medium projections forecast continued decline to 7,430 by 2031. The senior share has increased 5.0 percentage points over the decade, and the working-age share declined 2.7 points. Net internal outflow of 140 per year is partially offset by overseas inflow of 116. The aging trajectory combined with population shrinkage suggests a suburb in demographic contraction.

Historical + Forecast

Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025

Age Cohort Forecast

Primary Driver

Overseas Migration

Net Overseas / yr

+116

Net Internal / yr

-140

0

Gentrification Signal

Not gentrifying

Net internal outflow -140/yr

Safety & Crime

Total Offences

493

Year ending June 2024

Rate per 1,000 People

66.3

Offence Categories

Property and deception offences
241
Crimes against the person
100
Justice procedures offences
71
Public order and security offences
38

Source: Crime Statistics Agency Victoria / SA Police

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Noble Park North compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 7%
Household Income
Bottom 44%
Rent Level
Top 25%
Apartments
Top 31%
Renters
Top 35%
Uni Educated
Top 24%
Public Transport
Bottom 47%
Born Overseas
Top 2%
Density
Top 8%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Noble Park North a good suburb to live in?

Noble Park North offers detached houses (89.7%) at $805,000, below Melbourne's median. Both schools exceed the ICSEA benchmark of 1,000. The trade-offs include crime at 66.3 per 1,000 (above Melbourne's average), SEIFA IRSAD decile 3 (bottom third nationally), and 6.9% unemployment. Suitability depends on priorities and budget.

What is the median house price in Noble Park North?

The median house price is $805,000 (Apr-Jun 2024), up from $758,300 in late 2023. Over 14 years, prices rose 110.2% from $383,000 (2013), compounding at 5.4% annually. Three-bedroom homes make up 64.4% of stock.

What schools are in Noble Park North?

Two schools operate in the suburb: Nazareth College (Catholic secondary, ICSEA 1050, 972 enrolments) and Silverton Primary School (Government, ICSEA 1023, 406 enrolments). Both ICSEA scores sit above the national benchmark of 1,000.

Is Noble Park North safe?

Noble Park North recorded 493 crimes at a rate of 66.3 per 1,000 residents, above Melbourne's average. Property and deception offences led with 241 incidents (48.9% of total), followed by crimes against the person (100) and justice procedures (71).

Is Noble Park North good for property investment?

Long-term capital growth of 5.4% CAGR over 14 years is solid. The 26.7% renter rate and $351 weekly rent provide modest yield. Only 2 DAs in 12 months means no supply pressure. Risks include declining population (-0.29%/year), crime above Melbourne's average, and 5.5% vacancy. The suburb works better as a capital growth play than a yield strategy.

How is Noble Park North's population changing?

Population is declining at -0.29% per year, losing 22 people annually. COVID caused a 4.0% dip, with only 1.4% recovered by 2025. The senior share grew 5.0 percentage points over the decade. Medium projections forecast 7,430 by 2031, down from 7,593 in 2025.

What languages are spoken in Noble Park North?

Greek leads with 234 speakers, followed by Sinhalese (114), Punjabi (106), Mandarin (86), and Arabic (82). With 53.6% born overseas, 32 percentage points above the national average, no single migrant community dominates, making it one of Melbourne's most linguistically fragmented suburbs.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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