VIC 3046 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Oak Park

Two facts define Oak Park: a median house price of $1,260,000 packed into just 2.03 km2 at 3,304 residents per square kilometre, and a housing mix that is 56.0% separate houses yet only 4.1% apartments. The median age of 36 sits 4.0 years below the national figure, younger than most middle-ring Melbourne suburbs, and that youth ties to a working-age share that climbed 4.3 points over the decade while seniors fell 2.5. Household income lands in the 83.7th percentile nationally, and university qualifications reach 51.0%, which is 20.9 points above national. Prices have risen 118.6% since 2013, a 5.7% compound annual rate over 14 years.

Oak Park urban fabric map

Population

6,714

Median Age

36.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$2,201/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

18

Median House

$1.3M

Apr-Jun 2024

2.03 km²· 3,304.6 people/km²· Family income $2,638/wk

Buyers face a $1,260,000 median house price that has only climbed, rising 118.6% from $576,500 in 2013 at a 5.7% compound annual rate, with the current quarter sitting at the peak rather than a correction. The stock favours houses, 56.0% separate dwellings and 39.8% semi-detached, with apartments a thin 4.1%, so most purchases are detached or townhouse formats rather than units. Three-bedroom homes dominate at 46.0% and four-plus at 22.9%, pointing to a family buyer rather than a downsizer. Average monthly mortgage repayments run $2,167, giving a mortgage-to-income ratio of 22.7%, comfortably below the 30% stress threshold, because household income in the 83.7th percentile absorbs the loan more easily than the headline price suggests.

For Buyers

Buyers face a $1,260,000 median house price that has only climbed, rising 118.6% from $576,500 in 2013 at a 5.7% compound annual rate, with the current quarter sitting at the peak rather than a correction. The stock favours houses, 56.0% separate dwellings and 39.8% semi-detached, with apartments a thin 4.1%, so most purchases are detached or townhouse formats rather than units. Three-bedroom homes dominate at 46.0% and four-plus at 22.9%, pointing to a family buyer rather than a downsizer. Average monthly mortgage repayments run $2,167, giving a mortgage-to-income ratio of 22.7%, comfortably below the 30% stress threshold, because household income in the 83.7th percentile absorbs the loan more easily than the headline price suggests.

For Investors

A 31.7% renter share and weekly rent of $401 give a tenant base, but the yield math is thin: against the $1,260,000 median, that rent implies a gross yield near 1.7%, low by Melbourne standards. The 8.9% vacancy rate is elevated, signalling the rental segment is not undersupplied, which caps rent escalation in the near term. Demand support comes from overseas migration adding a net 193 residents a year, though internal migration removes 121, leaving net inflow modest. Rent grew 28.5% over the period and real incomes 31.9%, so the case rests more on capital growth, where the 5.7% 14-year CAGR is the stronger record, than on current yield. Development is light at 18 applications in 12 months, mostly two to five lot subdivisions, which slowly adds townhouse supply rather than flooding the market.

Development Activity

Total DAs

28

Last 12 Months

18

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

+260.0%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

Other
13
New Dwelling
6
Subdivision
4

Schools in Oak Park iICSEA: school advantage index. 1000 = national avg, higher = more advantaged

Oak Park Primary School

ICSEA 1095 Primary Government

Prep-6 · 388 students

St Francis de Sales School

ICSEA 1085 Primary Catholic

Prep-6 · 237 students

Demographics

The median age of 36 is 4.0 years below national, and the trajectory is young: the working-age share rose 4.3 points while the senior share fell 2.5 over the decade. Overseas-born residents reach 35.6%, which is 14.0 points above national, and that migrant weight shows in the language mix led by Nepali (130 speakers), Arabic (88) and Italian (81). Ancestry still leans European, with English (1,593), Italian (862) and Irish (609) the largest groups, while Hinduism (446) and Islam (437) follow Christianity (2,929) in religion. University qualifications at 51.0% run 20.9 points above national, and average household size is 2.5, level with national, consistent with a family profile where couples with children (2,260 families) outnumber couples without children (1,444).

Age Distribution

0-14
16.7%
15-24
11.6%
25-44
37.1%
45-64
22.5%
65+
12.2%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
1.7%
2 bed
29.5%
3 bed
46.0%
4+ bed
22.9%

Dwelling Structure

56.0%

Houses

39.8%

Townhouse

4.1%

Apartment

Tenure

Own 31.1% Mortgage 37.2% Rent 31.7%

Tenure splits almost in thirds: 31.1% own outright, 37.2% carry a mortgage and 31.7% rent, a more leveraged ownership base than premium markets where outright owners dominate. The stock is 56.0% separate houses and 39.8% semi-detached, with apartments at just 4.1%, which keeps the suburb low-rise despite a density of 3,304 per km2. Three-bedroom dwellings account for 46.0% and four-plus 22.9%, while one and two-bedroom homes are scarce. The median house price has risen 118.6% from $576,500 in 2013 to $1,260,000, a 5.7% compound rate over 14 years with the latest quarter at the peak. Mortgage-to-income at 22.7% and rent-to-income at 18.2% both stay below the 30% stress line, because incomes in the 83.7th percentile carry the cost.

Median House Price Trend

Source: State Valuer-General

Mortgage / mo

$2,167

Rent / wk

$401

HH Size

2.5

Personal Income / wk

$995

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

8.9%

Unoccupied

251

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

18.2%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

22.7%

Community Profile

Languages Spoken at Home

Nepali
130
Arabic
88
Italian
81
Mandarin
80
Greek
56
Urdu
47

Ancestry

English
1,593
Other
1,429
Italian
862
Irish
609
Scottish
437
Indian
375

Household Composition

27.0%

Couples, no children

5,342

Total families

Economy & Employment

The workforce concentrates in services: Healthcare leads at 14.8% (412 workers), Professional and Tech follows at 14.4% (402) and Education at 11.8% (328), with Construction at 8.5% and Public Admin at 7.4%. By occupation, Professionals (1,169) and Managers (519) sit above Clerical and Admin roles (556), which aligns with the decile 8 IEO score for education and occupation. Unemployment is low at 4.8% with a full-time rate of 67.7% and participation of 66.0%. SEIFA places the suburb at decile 8 on IRSAD, IRSD and IEO, the upper-advantage tier, but IER (economic resources) drops to decile 6, lower than the others, because the 37.2% mortgage base and 31.7% renter base depress aggregate household wealth measures relative to income.

Unemployment

2.5%

Labour Force

5,451

Unemployed

134

Quarterly Trend

Jun-24 Dec-25

Source: SALM Dec-25

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Overall advantage
8
Disadvantage
8
Economic resources
6
Education & occupation
8

Full-time

67.7%

Part-time

27.5%

Participation

66.0%

Employed

3,512

Occupations

Professionals 1,169
Clerical/Admin 556
Managers 519
Community/Personal 350
Sales 256
Labourers 245
Machinery/Drivers 131

Top Industries

Healthcare 14.8%
Professional/Tech 14.4%
Education 11.8%
Construction 8.5%
Public Admin 7.4%

University

51.0%

Postgraduate

15.2%

Born Overseas

35.6%

Dwellings

2,568

Transport to Work

Daily life is car-led: 81.1% drive to work against 11.3% on public transport and 2.6% walking or cycling, higher car reliance than denser inner suburbs but typical for a low-rise middle-ring area. The crime rate is 33.7 per 1,000 residents from 226 recorded offences, with property and deception offences (133) the dominant category and crimes against the person far lower at 34, a profile weighted toward property rather than violent crime. SEIFA sits at decile 8 on IRSAD, the upper-advantage tier, and only 4.8% of residents (306 people) need daily assistance. No schools are recorded inside the 2.03 km2 boundary in this dataset, so families rely on schools in neighbouring suburbs, a practical trade-off for the compact footprint.

Drive

81.1%

Public Transport

11.3%

Walk / Cycle

2.6%

Work from Home

N/A

Population Forecast

+1.32%/yr

(+113 people/yr)

Established

Oak Park is expanding steadily rather than booming: population grew 20.9% over the past decade and the trend forecast adds 1.32% a year, about 113 residents annually. The medium projection lifts population from 8,655 in 2026 to 9,218 by 2031, a clear upward path. Overseas migration is the primary driver at a net 193 a year, while internal migration runs a net outflow of 121, so growth depends on new arrivals rather than residents relocating in from elsewhere in Australia. Affordability improved from 50.1% in 2011 to 39.7% in 2021 as incomes outpaced the cost base, and the gentrification stage reads active with a mixed trajectory, reflecting a younger working-age population settling in faster than seniors are leaving.

Historical + Forecast

Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025

Age Cohort Forecast

Primary Driver

Overseas Migration

Net Overseas / yr

+193

Net Internal / yr

-121

9

Gentrification Signal

Not gentrifying

Population +26% since 2011, Net internal outflow -121/yr

Safety & Crime

Total Offences

226

Year ending June 2024

Rate per 1,000 People

33.7

Offence Categories

Property and deception offences
133
Crimes against the person
34
Justice procedures offences
32
Public order and security offences
14

Source: Crime Statistics Agency Victoria / SA Police

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Oak Park compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 8%
Household Income
Top 16%
Rent Level
Top 15%
Apartments
Top 49%
Renters
Top 26%
Uni Educated
Top 8%
Public Transport
Top 10%
Born Overseas
Top 9%
Density
Top 3%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Oak Park a good suburb to live in?

Oak Park scores decile 8 on the IRSAD, IRSD and IEO indexes, the upper-advantage tier, with household income in the 83.7th percentile nationally. University qualifications reach 51.0%, which is 20.9 points above national. The main trade-offs are an $1,260,000 median house price and 81.1% car reliance for commuting.

What is the median house price in Oak Park?

The median house price is $1,260,000 as of the Apr-Jun 2024 quarter, sitting at its peak. Prices have risen 118.6% from $576,500 in 2013, a 5.7% compound annual rate over 14 years. Weekly rent averages $401 and monthly mortgage repayments run about $2,167.

What schools are in Oak Park?

No schools are recorded inside the 2.03 km2 Oak Park boundary in this dataset, so families rely on schools in neighbouring suburbs. The local population is well educated, with university qualifications at 51.0%, which is 20.9 points above the national figure.

Is Oak Park safe?

The crime rate is 33.7 per 1,000 residents, from 226 recorded offences. The mix skews toward property crime, with property and deception offences at 133 against just 34 crimes against the person, so violent offending is a smaller share than property-related incidents.

Is Oak Park good for property investment?

Rent of $401 a week against a $1,260,000 median gives a gross yield near 1.7%, low by Melbourne standards, and the 8.9% vacancy rate is elevated. Net overseas migration of 193 a year supports demand, but the case rests on capital growth, where the 5.7% 14-year CAGR is the stronger record.

How is Oak Park's population changing?

Population grew 20.9% over the decade and is forecast to rise 1.32% a year, about 113 residents annually, lifting from 8,655 in 2026 to 9,218 by 2031. Overseas migration drives this at a net 193 a year, while internal migration runs a net outflow of 121.

What languages are spoken in Oak Park?

About 35.6% of residents were born overseas, 14.0 points above the national figure. English dominates, while Nepali (130 speakers), Arabic (88), Italian (81) and Mandarin (80) are the most common non-English languages, reflecting a strong recent migrant presence.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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