VIC 3044 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Pascoe Vale South

Household income sits in the 84.8th percentile, above the national middle, while 80.5% of homes are separate houses. A population of 10,534 occupies just 3.04 square kilometres, creating a density of 3,462.7 people per square kilometre. The median age is 39, and the suburb's established housing pattern near Pascoe Vale and Strathmore supports a settled family market rather than a high-rise profile. Its income base helps sustain prices, while the detached stock explains why larger homes remain central to local demand.

Pascoe Vale South urban fabric map

Population

10,534

Median Age

39.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$2,246/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

46

Median House

$1.3M

October to December 2025

3.04 km²· 3,462.7 people/km²· Family income $2,757/wk

Separate houses account for 80.5% of dwellings, higher than the 8.3% apartment share and 11.0% semi-detached share. Three-bedroom homes represent 47.9% of stock, with another 24.8% containing 4 or more bedrooms. The typical monthly mortgage is $2,167, equal to 22.3% of household income, so the suburb's relatively high household earnings can support borrowing even though the purchase price is substantial.

For Buyers

Separate houses account for 80.5% of dwellings, higher than the 8.3% apartment share and 11.0% semi-detached share. Three-bedroom homes represent 47.9% of stock, with another 24.8% containing 4 or more bedrooms. The typical monthly mortgage is $2,167, equal to 22.3% of household income, so the suburb's relatively high household earnings can support borrowing even though the purchase price is substantial.

For Investors

Rental conditions are supported by a $425 weekly median rent and a 24.1% renting share, although that tenant base is lower than the combined 75.2% of homes owned outright or with a mortgage. Vacancy is 7.5%, so investors should assess individual streets and property quality rather than assume uniformly tight demand. Rents have grown 27.0%, which is higher than the suburb's recent capital growth signal, and 48 development matters in 12 months indicate ongoing renovation and building activity. Overseas migration is the primary growth driver, creating a plausible rental demand tailwind, while the detached housing stock may limit rapid expansion of supply.

Development Activity

Total DAs

61

Last 12 Months

46

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

+318.2%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

Renovation / Extension
14
Subdivision
14
New Dwelling
9
Other
8
Multi-Dwelling / Townhouse
2
Signage / Advertising
2
Demolition
2
Garage / Carport / Shed
2

Schools in Pascoe Vale South

Open-register school locations for education access. This is not a school-quality ranking.

Antonine College

Pri/Sec Catholic

Pascoe Vale South Primary School

Primary Government

Demographics

Pascoe Vale South has a median age of 39, which is 1.0 year lower than the national figure, while its 50.8% university-educated share is 20.7 percentage points higher than national levels. The overseas-born share is 23.6%, or 2.0 points above the national comparison, and average household size is 2.7, slightly higher than the national figure by 0.2. English and Italian ancestry are similarly prominent at 2,467 and 2,448 people, followed by Greek ancestry at 1,199. Residential stability is notable, with 82.2% staying at the same address compared with 17.8% turnover, because established family households form a large part of the local base.

Age Distribution

0-14
18.2%
15-24
12.0%
25-44
28.0%
45-64
27.0%
65+
14.7%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
2.3%
2 bed
24.9%
3 bed
47.9%
4+ bed
24.8%

Dwelling Structure

80.5%

Houses

11.0%

Townhouse

8.3%

Apartment

Tenure

Own 37.3% Mortgage 37.9% Rent 24.1% Other 0.8%

Housing is detached-dominant: 80.5% of dwellings are separate houses, higher than the 8.3% apartment share. Ownership is split between 37.3% owned outright, 37.9% mortgaged and 24.1% rented. The 22.3% mortgage-to-income ratio is below a flagged stress position, supporting demand for the suburb's 3 and 4-plus bedroom stock.

Mortgage / mo

$2,167

Rent / wkiMedian weekly rent for new bonds (year ending Sep 2025), Homes Victoria bond data (year-ending median). Census 2021 median: $425.

$600

Bond data year ending Sep 2025 · houses $710 · units $550

HH Size

2.7

Personal Income / wk

$953

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

7.5%

Unoccupied

307

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

18.9%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

22.3%

Community Profile

Languages Spoken at Home

Greek
413
Italian
345
Arabic
113
Mandarin
56
Malayalam
23
Hindi
19

Ancestry

English
2,467
Italian
2,448
Other
1,352
Greek
1,199
Irish
1,195
Scottish
758

Household Composition

54.2%

Couples with children

31.0%

Couples, no children

13.0%

Single parent

2,845

Total families

Economy & Employment

The local economy is led by healthcare at 15.0% of employment, education at 14.5%, professional and technical services at 12.7%, construction at 9.2% and public administration at 8.5%. These sectors align with 1,789 professionals, 940 managers and 833 clerical or administrative workers, giving the suburb a higher-skilled profile than many lower-income locations. Labour-force participation is 68.5%, unemployment is 3.6%, and 59.2% of workers are employed full time. Household income averages $2,246 per week and ranks at the 84.8th percentile, above the national middle. SEIFA scores reinforce this position, with IRSAD and IRSD both at decile 9, because education, professional work and income combine to support strong socioeconomic conditions.

Unemployment

3.6%

Labour Force

5,902

Unemployed

214

Source: ABS Census 2021

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Overall advantage
9
Disadvantage
9
Economic resources
8
Education & occupation
8

Full-time

59.2%

Part-time

34.2%

Participation

68.5%

Employed

5,688

Full-time and part-time are shares of the employed. Source: ABS Census 2021

Occupations

Professionals 1,789
Managers 940
Clerical/Admin 833
Trades 580
Sales 507
Community/Personal 500
Labourers 284
Machinery/Drivers 166

Top Industries

Healthcare 15.0%
Education 14.5%
Professional/Tech 12.7%
Construction 9.2%
Public Admin 8.5%

University

50.8%

Postgraduate

14.0%

Born Overseas

23.6%

Dwellings

3,788

Transport to Work

Pascoe Vale South is practical for households that value space and home-based work. Car driving accounts for 47.4% of travel, higher than the 3.7% using public transport, while 42.6% work from home, which can reduce daily commuting pressure. Two local schools provide a government primary option and a Catholic primary and secondary option; enrolment zones should be checked against the exact address. Recorded crime was 469 offences, or 44.5 per 1,000 people, with 324 property and deception offences forming the largest category. Socioeconomic conditions are strong, with IRSAD at decile 9 and IER at decile 8, both above the midpoint, because household income and professional employment are relatively high.

Drive

47.4%

Public Transport

3.7%

Walk / Cycle

2.5%

Work from Home

42.6%

Population Forecast

+1.25%/yr

(+233 people/yr)

Established

The annual growth trend is 1.25%, with overseas migration identified as the primary driver. Population change across the wider area is 21.9% over 10 years, higher than zero and consistent with continuing demand in an established suburb. The trajectory is labelled Mixed: rent growth has reached 27.0%, while the young-share change is 0.0% and the senior share has fallen 3.4%. Gentrification is assessed at score 29 and Early signs, although the broader shift measure records a score of 55 and an Active stage. These mixed signals reflect a suburb where renovation, income growth of 38.0% and migration are lifting demand without completely changing its settled housing character.

Historical + Forecast

Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025

Age Cohort Forecast

Primary Driver

Overseas Migration

Net Overseas / yr

+344

Net Internal / yr

-160

29

Gentrification Signal

Early signs

Population +27% since 2011, Net internal outflow -160/yr, Strong overseas inflow +344/yr, COVID recovered (-3% dip → full recovery)

Safety & Crime

Total Offences

469

Year ending June 2024

Rate per 1,000 People

44.5

Offence Categories

Property and deception offences
324
Crimes against the person
67
Justice procedures offences
42
Drug offences
26

Source: Crime Statistics Agency Victoria / SA Police

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Pascoe Vale South compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 4%
Household Income
Top 15%
Rent Level
Top 12%
Apartments
Top 9%
Renters
Top 29%
Uni Educated
Top 8%
Public Transport
Top 36%
Born Overseas
Top 22%
Density
Top 2%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Pascoe Vale South a good suburb to live in?

It can suit households seeking established houses, local schooling and a strong socioeconomic base. Separate houses make up 80.5% of dwellings, two local schools operate in different sectors, and IRSAD is at decile 9. Car access and working from home are more common than public transport use.

What schools are in Pascoe Vale South?

There are 2 listed local schools: Pascoe Vale South Primary School, a government primary school, and Antonine College, a Catholic primary and secondary school. Families should confirm the current enrolment zone for an address before buying or renting.

Is Pascoe Vale South safe?

Recorded crime was 44.5 offences per 1,000 people, with 469 total offences and 324 property and deception offences. Crimes against the person numbered 67. Safety can vary by street and time, so buyers and renters should review recent local incidents before making a decision.

Is Pascoe Vale South good for property investment?

It has several investor positives, including a $425 weekly median rent, 27.0% rent growth and overseas migration as the primary growth driver. However, vacancy is 7.5% and the renting share is 24.1%, so property selection and rental demand should be assessed carefully.

How is Pascoe Vale South's population changing?

The current population is 10,534. Population change across the wider area is 21.9% over 10 years, and the annual growth trend is 1.25%. Overseas migration is the primary driver, while the forecast trajectory is Mixed rather than a straightforward shift toward younger or older households.

Are there many developments in Pascoe Vale South?

There were 48 development matters in the past 12 months. Recent examples include a dwelling extension, internal and rear alterations, and carport works, indicating that renovation and small-scale residential changes are more visible than a single large project.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), Valuer-General Victoria (house prices), state education open registers (school locations), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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