TAS 7019 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Rokeby

Sitting at decile 1 on all four SEIFA indexes, Rokeby ranks among Tasmania's most disadvantaged suburbs nationally, yet its housing market tells a different story: prices have compounded at 8.7% per year over 30 years, reaching a $640,000 median in 2026. The population grew 43.3% over the past decade, well above most established Tasmanian suburbs, driven by internal migration averaging 168 arrivals per year. The median age of 32 is 8 years below the national figure, giving the suburb a distinctly young resident base. Rents climbed 65.8% over the period while real incomes grew 32.7%, a gap that explains why rent-to-income sits at 25.8%, just below the 30% stress threshold.

Rokeby urban fabric map

Population

4,211

Median Age

32.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$1,279/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

0

Median House

$640K

YTD 2026

12.0 km²· 350.9 people/km²· Family income $1,513/wk

The $640,000 median house price in 2026 represents steady appreciation from $595,000 in 2024, an 7.6% rise over two years. Over 30 years, prices compounded at 8.7% annually from a $52,750 base in 1996, among the stronger long-run records in Tasmanian suburbia. The stock is predominantly detached at 94.4%, with three-bedroom homes making up 72% of dwellings, which constrains choice but limits oversupply risk. Monthly mortgage repayments average $1,300, giving a mortgage-to-income ratio of 23.5%, below the 30% stress threshold despite household income sitting in the 29.3rd percentile nationally. Outright owners at 20.4% are below average compared to national norms, with mortgage holders forming the largest tenure group at 40.9%, reflecting the relatively young buyer cohort concentrated in families.

For Buyers

The $640,000 median house price in 2026 represents steady appreciation from $595,000 in 2024, an 7.6% rise over two years. Over 30 years, prices compounded at 8.7% annually from a $52,750 base in 1996, among the stronger long-run records in Tasmanian suburbia. The stock is predominantly detached at 94.4%, with three-bedroom homes making up 72% of dwellings, which constrains choice but limits oversupply risk. Monthly mortgage repayments average $1,300, giving a mortgage-to-income ratio of 23.5%, below the 30% stress threshold despite household income sitting in the 29.3rd percentile nationally. Outright owners at 20.4% are below average compared to national norms, with mortgage holders forming the largest tenure group at 40.9%, reflecting the relatively young buyer cohort concentrated in families.

For Investors

The 38.7% renter share provides a broad tenant pool, and weekly rent of $330 is accessible enough to sustain low vacancy. The 4.3% vacancy rate is moderate, meaning supply and demand are reasonably balanced rather than oversupplied. Rent growth of 65.8% over the measured period outpaced national averages, though real income growth of only 32.7% shows tenants are being stretched. Net internal migration of 168 people per year is the primary demand driver, with net overseas arrivals adding 21 more. Against the $640,000 median, $330 weekly rent implies a gross yield around 2.7%, low by yield-seeking standards but consistent with a capital growth market. No development applications were recorded in the past 12 months, suggesting negligible new supply pressure in the near term.

Schools in Rokeby iICSEA: school advantage index. 1000 = national avg, higher = more advantaged

Emmanuel Christian School

ICSEA 981 Combined Independent

Prep-10 · 265 students

Bayview Secondary College

ICSEA 873 Secondary Government

7-12 · 357 students

Rokeby Primary School

ICSEA 860 Primary Government

K-6 · 199 students

Demographics

The median age of 32 is 8 years below the national median, and the working-age share grew 2.2 points over the decade, though the young-adult share contracted 3.6 points, a sign the very youngest cohort is thinning. Overseas-born residents account for 14.2% of the population, 7.4 points below the national figure, so the suburb skews domestic compared to the Australian average. Ancestry is strongly Anglo-Celtic: English (1,789) leads, followed by Irish (370) and Scottish (299). The largest non-English language communities are Nepali (70 speakers) and Mandarin (36), reflecting small but growing South Asian and East Asian groups. University qualifications reach 28.2%, which is 1.9 points below the national figure. Average household size of 2.5 matches the national average, and couples with children (1,210 families) outnumber couples without children (739).

Age Distribution

0-14
20.7%
15-24
12.5%
25-44
35.5%
45-64
18.6%
65+
12.5%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
5.0%
2 bed
11.9%
3 bed
72.0%
4+ bed
11.2%

Dwelling Structure

94.4%

Houses

5.4%

Townhouse

0.2%

Apartment

Tenure

Own 20.4% Mortgage 40.9% Rent 38.7%

Rokeby's price history spans 30 years: from a $52,750 trough in 1999 to a $640,000 peak in 2026, a 1,113% total gain. The 8.7% compound annual growth rate over that period exceeds most comparable-decile suburbs nationally. The tenure mix shows 40.9% carrying mortgages, 38.7% renting and only 20.4% owning outright, lower outright ownership than state and national averages, consistent with the younger median age of 32. Three-bedroom homes dominate at 72% of dwellings and 94.4% are separate houses, so the suburb functions as a traditional detached housing market with little apartment supply. The mortgage-to-income ratio of 23.5% and rent-to-income of 25.8% both sit below the 30% stress benchmark, which is notable given household income ranks in the 29.3rd percentile nationally.

Median House Price Trend

Source: State Valuer-General

Mortgage / mo

$1,300

Rent / wk

$330

HH Size

2.5

Personal Income / wk

$719

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

4.3%

Unoccupied

73

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

25.8%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

23.5%

Community Profile

Languages Spoken at Home

Nepali
70
Mandarin
36
Punjabi
31
Canton
12

Ancestry

English
1,789
Other
376
Irish
370
Scottish
299
Ancestry NS
259
German
109

Household Composition

23.0%

Couples, no children

3,217

Total families

Economy & Employment

The top industry by share is Healthcare at 22% (252 workers), followed by Public Administration at 11.2% and Retail at 9.6%. Education and Construction each contribute around 9.3% and 9.2% respectively, forming a public-sector and services-oriented economy. Community and Personal occupations lead the workforce (307 workers), with Professionals (287) and Labourers (268) closely behind. The unemployment rate of 8.8% is elevated compared to the national average, and the participation rate of 57.6% is low, meaning a significant share of working-age residents are not seeking employment. SEIFA places Rokeby in decile 1 on IRSD and IRSAD, meaning it ranks in the bottom 10% nationally for both relative disadvantage and socio-economic advantage. Weekly household income of $1,279 sits in the 29.3rd percentile nationally, partly because full-time employment at 61.6% of employed residents leaves part-time and casual work filling much of the rest.

Unemployment

7.3%

Labour Force

4,565

Unemployed

333

Quarterly Trend

Mar-24 Dec-25

Source: SALM Dec-25

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Overall advantage
1
Disadvantage
1
Economic resources
1
Education & occupation
1

Full-time

61.6%

Part-time

29.6%

Participation

57.6%

Employed

1,757

Occupations

Community/Personal 307
Professionals 287
Labourers 268
Clerical/Admin 252
Sales 169
Managers 139
Machinery/Drivers 127

Top Industries

Healthcare 22.0%
Public Admin 11.2%
Retail 9.6%
Education 9.3%
Construction 9.2%

University

28.2%

Postgraduate

9.8%

Born Overseas

14.2%

Dwellings

1,617

Transport to Work

Car dependence is high: 82.8% drive to work, while only 6.4% use public transport and 2.4% walk or cycle, reflecting a suburban layout designed around the private vehicle. This is above the national average car dependence and limits options for residents without access to a car. The IRSAD decile 1 ranking places Rokeby in the most disadvantaged 10% nationally, which correlates with below-average service access and household resources. Volunteering at 12.7% is moderate, and 7.4% of residents (292 people) need daily assistance, a proportion that warrants monitoring as the senior share rises 2.3 points over the decade. No schools are recorded within the suburb boundary in this dataset, so families rely on institutions nearby. Rent-to-income at 25.8% keeps most renters below the stress threshold, though the gap between rent growth of 65.8% and income growth of 32.7% means this margin is narrowing.

Drive

82.8%

Public Transport

6.4%

Walk / Cycle

2.4%

Work from Home

N/A

Population Forecast

+2.64%/yr

(+244 people/yr)

Established

Rokeby grew 43.3% over the past decade, reaching 9,227 residents in 2025, and the annual rate of 2.64% adds roughly 244 people per year. Internal migration is the engine: net 168 arrivals per year from within Australia, supplemented by 21 net overseas arrivals. The medium forecast puts the area at 10,447 by 2031, a further 13% from the 2026 base of 9,226. The gentrification score of 36 classifies it at Early signs, supported by the net internal migration surge (signalled as accelerating from 11% to 50% of growth mix) and rising affordability pressure. Rent grew 65.8% over the period against real income growth of 32.7%, a structural tension that typically precedes displacement of lower-income renters as the suburb transitions. The affordability trend is classified as Stable, moving from 43.9% in 2011 to 44.6% in 2021.

Historical + Forecast

Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025

Age Cohort Forecast

Primary Driver

Internal Migration

Net Overseas / yr

+21

Net Internal / yr

+168

36

Gentrification Signal

Early signs

Net internal migration +168/yr, Accelerating: 11% → 50%

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Rokeby compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 13%
Household Income
Bottom 29%
Rent Level
Top 32%
Apartments
Bottom 1%
Renters
Top 17%
Uni Educated
Top 38%
Public Transport
Top 25%
Born Overseas
Top 50%
Density
Top 21%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Rokeby a good suburb to live in?

Rokeby offers affordable housing with a $640,000 median and mortgage repayments averaging $1,300 per month, below the 30% stress threshold. The trade-offs are a SEIFA decile 1 ranking nationally, an 8.8% unemployment rate, and high car dependence with 82.8% of residents driving to work. Strong population growth of 43.3% over ten years signals rising demand.

What is the median house price in Rokeby?

The median house price is $640,000 as of YTD 2026, up from $595,000 in 2024. Over 30 years, prices grew from a $52,750 base in 1996 at a compound annual rate of 8.7%. Weekly rent averages $330 and monthly mortgage repayments average $1,300.

What schools are in Rokeby?

No schools are recorded within the Rokeby suburb boundary in this dataset. Families rely on schools in neighbouring suburbs. About 28.2% of residents hold university qualifications, which is 1.9 points below the national figure.

Is Rokeby safe?

Detailed crime statistics are not available for Rokeby in this dataset. As an indirect measure, Rokeby scores decile 1 on the IRSD relative disadvantage index, placing it in the most disadvantaged 10% nationally, which typically correlates with higher crime rates than more advantaged suburbs. Residents should consult TAS Police crime mapping for current data.

Is Rokeby good for property investment?

Rokeby's 30-year price CAGR of 8.7% and population growth of 43.3% over the decade support the long-run capital growth case. Rent of $330 per week against a $640,000 median implies a gross yield around 2.7%. The 4.3% vacancy rate is manageable, and net internal migration of 168 per year sustains demand. The risk is that the 8.8% unemployment rate and decile 1 SEIFA ranking can limit rental upside.

How is Rokeby's population changing?

The area's population reached 9,227 in 2025, up 43.3% over a decade at an annual rate of 2.64%, adding around 244 people per year. Internal migration drives growth with 168 net arrivals annually. Medium forecasts project 10,447 residents by 2031, a further 13% rise from the 2026 base.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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