QLD 4022 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Rothwell

Need-assistance at 11.9% is the highest in this batch, yet 2 high-performing independent schools (ICSEA 1,078 and 1,080) sit within the suburb, creating a mismatch between resident disadvantage and institutional quality. SEIFA IRSAD decile 2 and IEO decile 2 confirm deep disadvantage, while 41.3% of residents rent and the senior share grew 6.5 points over the decade. Rothwell functions as an aging outer suburb where healthcare employment (24.2%) dominates, mortgage stress at 29.7% approaches the threshold, and real income grew just 2.9% over the decade, effectively going backwards after inflation.

Rothwell urban fabric map

Population

7,538

Median Age

43.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$1,305/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

25

Median House

$474K

Estimated from rent (2025)

10.34 km²· 729 people/km²· Family income $1,604/wk

The estimated $474,000 median is mid-range for the Moreton Bay region. Mortgage repayments of $1,676/month produce a 29.7% mortgage-to-income ratio, just under the 30% stress line. Separate houses at 69.5% lead, supplemented by 27.7% semi-detached and 2.8% apartments. Four-plus-bedroom homes at 46.4% are the largest segment, with 3-bedroom at 39.4%. Grace Lutheran College (Independent, ICSEA 1,080, 1,567 students) and Mueller College (Independent Combined, ICSEA 1,078, 1,867 students) both score well above the 1,000 benchmark. The 11.9% need-assistance rate is the highest in this batch.

For Buyers

The estimated $474,000 median is mid-range for the Moreton Bay region. Mortgage repayments of $1,676/month produce a 29.7% mortgage-to-income ratio, just under the 30% stress line. Separate houses at 69.5% lead, supplemented by 27.7% semi-detached and 2.8% apartments. Four-plus-bedroom homes at 46.4% are the largest segment, with 3-bedroom at 39.4%. Grace Lutheran College (Independent, ICSEA 1,080, 1,567 students) and Mueller College (Independent Combined, ICSEA 1,078, 1,867 students) both score well above the 1,000 benchmark. The 11.9% need-assistance rate is the highest in this batch.

For Investors

Renters at 41.3% provide a large tenant pool. Weekly rent of $380 against $474,000 gives a gross yield of approximately 4.2%, the highest in this batch. Vacancy is tight at 3.9%, below the metro average. Development activity at 22 DAs in 12 months includes a 192-dwelling relocatable home park application, signalling potential large-scale supply. Rent-to-income at 29.1% is near stress levels for tenants. The SEIFA IER decile 3 indicates limited economic resources, meaning tenant income capacity is constrained. Internal migration at -22/year and overseas at +109/year produce modest net growth. The aging trajectory (senior share +6.5pp) shifts the tenant profile toward retirees.

Development Activity

Total DAs

61

Last 12 Months

25

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

-7.4%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

Change of Use
17
Other
9
Signage / Advertising
5
Granny Flat / Secondary Dwelling
5
Subdivision
4
Renovation / Extension
3
Garage / Carport / Shed
3
Deck / Pergola / Patio
1

Schools in Rothwell iICSEA: school advantage index. 1000 = national avg, higher = more advantaged

Grace Lutheran College

ICSEA 1080 Secondary Independent

7-12 · 1567 students

Mueller College

ICSEA 1078 Combined Independent

Prep-12 · 1867 students

Demographics

The median age of 43 is 3 years above national. University qualifications at 19.4% are 10.7 points below the national average. Overseas-born at 23.0% is 1.4 points above national: English (3,202), Scottish (830) and Irish (768) form a strongly Anglo-Celtic profile. Samoan (48 speakers) is the largest non-English language group, followed by Malayalam (18) and Hindi (16). Community/Personal (495) leads occupations, ahead of Professionals (453), an unusual inversion. The 6.2% unemployment rate and low 47.0% participation rate reflect the older demographic. The 14.0% volunteering rate is moderate.

Age Distribution

0-14
18.6%
15-24
12.0%
25-44
21.0%
45-64
21.9%
65+
26.5%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
1.8%
2 bed
12.4%
3 bed
39.4%
4+ bed
46.4%

Dwelling Structure

69.5%

Houses

27.7%

Townhouse

2.8%

Apartment

Tenure

Own 31.3% Mortgage 27.5% Rent 41.3%

Renters (41.3%) outnumber mortgage holders (27.5%) and outright owners (31.3%). Houses at 69.5% are supplemented by a substantial 27.7% semi-detached share. Four-plus-bedroom homes at 46.4% dominate, reflecting family-sized stock. No price history series is available. Mortgage stress at 29.7% is just under the threshold. Rent stress at 29.1% is the highest in this batch. The 76.5% residential stability rate is moderate. The combination of renter dominance and near-stress ratios on both mortgage and rent suggests the suburb is under financial pressure across tenure types, consistent with the IRSAD decile 2 positioning.

Mortgage / mo

$1,676

Rent / wk

$380

HH Size

2.5

Personal Income / wk

$647

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

3.9%

Unoccupied

116

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

29.1%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

29.7%

Community Profile

Languages Spoken at Home

Samoan
48
Malayalam
18
Hindi
16
Punjabi
14
French
13
Afrikaans
11

Ancestry

English
3,202
Scottish
830
Irish
768
Other
601
Ancestry NS
473
German
433

Household Composition

28.1%

Couples, no children

5,857

Total families

Economy & Employment

Healthcare dominates at 24.2% (455 workers), well above the national average of approximately 13%. Education follows at 13.5% (255), Construction at 10.3% (194), Retail at 7.8% (146) and Manufacturing at 6.0% (112). Community/Personal (495) leads occupations, reflecting the aged-care and disability-service employment base. Professionals (453) and Clerical/Admin (423) follow. The 6.2% unemployment rate is above the national average. Participation at 47.0% is low, with 2,640 not in the labour force. Real income grew just 2.9% over the decade, effectively negative after inflation. IRSAD decile 2 confirms bottom-quintile socioeconomic positioning.

Unemployment

5.6%

Labour Force

8,300

Unemployed

461

Quarterly Trend

Mar-24 Dec-25

Source: SALM Dec-25

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Overall advantage
2
Disadvantage
2
Economic resources
3
Education & occupation
2

Full-time

62.1%

Part-time

31.7%

Participation

47.0%

Employed

2,705

Occupations

Community/Personal 495
Professionals 453
Clerical/Admin 423
Labourers 342
Sales 294
Managers 270
Machinery/Drivers 251

Top Industries

Healthcare 24.2%
Education 13.5%
Construction 10.3%
Retail 7.8%
Manufacturing 6.0%

University

19.4%

Postgraduate

2.8%

Born Overseas

23.0%

Dwellings

2,823

Transport to Work

Car driving at 86.7% dominates, with public transport at 2.8% and walking/cycling at 3.1%. Two high-performing independent schools are a standout: Grace Lutheran College (ICSEA 1,080, 1,567 students) and Mueller College (ICSEA 1,078, 1,867 students, Combined). Both score well above the 1,000 benchmark, attracting students from across the region. IRSAD decile 2 places the suburb in the lowest advantage tier. The 11.9% need-assistance rate is the highest in this batch. Mortgage stress at 29.7% and rent stress at 29.1% are both near the threshold, indicating financial pressure across tenure types.

Drive

86.7%

Public Transport

2.8%

Walk / Cycle

3.1%

Work from Home

N/A

Population Forecast

+0.62%/yr

(+109 people/yr)

Established

Population growth at 0.62% per year (109 persons) is modest. The ERP was 17,562 in 2025, with medium forecasts projecting 18,690 by 2031. Overseas migration at +109/year is the primary driver, with internal migration at -22/year roughly flat. The 10-year population change of 4.7% is well below the QLD average. The aging trajectory is pronounced: the senior share rose 6.5 points while the young and working shares each fell 2.3 points. Affordability improved slightly from 62.9% in 2011 to 56.8% in 2021. The gentrification score of 3 (not gentrifying) confirms no upward demographic shift is occurring.

Historical + Forecast

Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025

Age Cohort Forecast

Primary Driver

Overseas Migration

Net Overseas / yr

+109

Net Internal / yr

-22

0

Gentrification Signal

Not gentrifying

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Rothwell compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 7%
Household Income
Bottom 31%
Rent Level
Top 21%
Apartments
Bottom 43%
Renters
Top 15%
Uni Educated
Bottom 35%
Public Transport
Bottom 45%
Born Overseas
Top 23%
Density
Top 17%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Rothwell a good suburb to live in?

Rothwell has 2 high-performing independent schools (ICSEA 1,078 and 1,080) but IRSAD decile 2 places it in the lowest 20% nationally. Need-assistance at 11.9% is the highest in this batch, and mortgage stress at 29.7% is near the threshold. The estimated $474,000 median is mid-range for Moreton Bay.

What is the median house price in Rothwell?

The estimated median is $474,000 (2025). Monthly mortgage repayments average $1,676 and weekly rent is $380. Gross yield is approximately 4.2%, the highest in this batch. The mortgage-to-income ratio of 29.7% is near the 30% stress threshold, as household incomes rank at the 31st percentile.

What schools are in Rothwell?

Two independent schools serve the suburb: Grace Lutheran College (Secondary, ICSEA 1,080, 1,567 students) and Mueller College (Combined B-12, ICSEA 1,078, 1,867 students). Both score well above the 1,000 ICSEA benchmark. Their combined enrolment of 3,434 draws from a wide catchment beyond the suburb.

Is Rothwell safe?

Suburb-specific crime data is not available. SEIFA IRSD decile 2 and the 6.2% unemployment rate are factors associated with elevated crime in comparable QLD suburbs. The 11.9% need-assistance rate and 31st-percentile household incomes indicate a community under financial stress.

Is Rothwell good for property investment?

Gross yield of 4.2% ($380/week on $474,000) is the highest in this batch, and vacancy at 3.9% is tight. Renters at 41.3% provide a large pool. However, rent stress at 29.1% and SEIFA IER decile 3 mean tenants are financially stretched. A 192-dwelling relocatable home park DA could add significant supply. Real income grew just 2.9% over the decade.

How is Rothwell's population changing?

Growth is modest at 0.62% per year (109 persons), with medium projections of 18,690 by 2031. The aging trajectory is pronounced: the senior share rose 6.5 points while the working share fell 2.3 points over the decade. Overseas migration at +109/year is the primary driver. The 10-year population change of 4.7% is well below the QLD average.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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