Roxburgh Park
A 1990s-2000s master-planned estate suburb 22km north of Melbourne CBD, Roxburgh Park sits in Hume LGA's mortgage belt with 24,129 residents, density of 3,507/sqkm, and a heavy Arabic-Lebanese migrant overlay (53.3% born overseas, 31.7 percentage points above national). Median age 31 runs 9 years below national, family households dominate (avg 3.7 persons, 1.2 above national), and Islam at 8,246 residents sits unusually close to Christianity at 10,974 for a Melbourne suburb. SEIFA IRSD decile 1 flags genuine socioeconomic disadvantage, yet the IEO decile 4 and 36.1% university attainment (6pp above national) reveal a working-class-with-aspiration profile distinct from neighbouring Craigieburn's broader migrant base.
Population
24,129
Median Age
31.0
Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)
$1,629/wk
DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year
3
Median House
$669K
Apr-Jun 2024
Median house price sits at $669,000 (Apr-Jun 2024), 0.9% below the $675,000 peak in early 2024 but up 83.3% from 2013's $365,000, a 14-year CAGR of 4.4%. The stock is overwhelmingly detached (89.6% separate house vs national average closer to 70%) with apartments at just 1.2%, and 50.7% of dwellings carry 4+ bedrooms compared to 44.4% three-bedders. Mortgage-to-income ratio of 24.6% sits below the 30% stress threshold despite 55.7% of households carrying mortgages, well above the national mortgaged share. For first-home buyers priced out of inner Melbourne, a 4-bedroom family house here costs roughly half what Reservoir or Bundoora commands, with established infrastructure rather than the construction dust of Mickleham further north.
For Buyers
Median house price sits at $669,000 (Apr-Jun 2024), 0.9% below the $675,000 peak in early 2024 but up 83.3% from 2013's $365,000, a 14-year CAGR of 4.4%. The stock is overwhelmingly detached (89.6% separate house vs national average closer to 70%) with apartments at just 1.2%, and 50.7% of dwellings carry 4+ bedrooms compared to 44.4% three-bedders. Mortgage-to-income ratio of 24.6% sits below the 30% stress threshold despite 55.7% of households carrying mortgages, well above the national mortgaged share. For first-home buyers priced out of inner Melbourne, a 4-bedroom family house here costs roughly half what Reservoir or Bundoora commands, with established infrastructure rather than the construction dust of Mickleham further north.
For Investors
Rental yield works out around 3.03% on the $390 weekly rent against the $669,000 median, modest by Melbourne standards but supported by a 23.2% rental share and 3.9% vacancy rate that sits above the typical 2-3% Melbourne benchmark. Rent growth of 19.3% over the past period outpaced real income, which contracted 5.3%, signalling tenant affordability pressure ahead. Forecast annual population growth of 2.54% (+392 persons/yr) is driven entirely by overseas migration (+249 net) offsetting internal outflow of -218, meaning the renter pool refreshes from new arrivals rather than gentrifying professionals. Development pipeline is thin at 3 planning permits in 12 months versus 30+ in genuine growth corridors, so supply stays tight. The investor case rests on cashflow stability from migrant family tenants, not capital growth, which has stalled at -0.9% from peak.
Development Activity
Total DAs
5
Last 12 Months
3
YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements
+200.0%
Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year
N/A
Monthly DA Lodgements
DA Categories
Schools in Roxburgh Park iICSEA: school advantage index. 1000 = national avg, higher = more advantaged
Roxburgh Homestead Primary School
Prep-6 · 334 students
Roxburgh Park Primary School
Prep-6 · 345 students
Roxburgh Rise Primary School
Prep-6 · 633 students
Roxburgh College
U, 7-12 · 1041 students
Good Samaritan Catholic Primary School
Prep-6 · 614 students
Demographics
53.3% born overseas runs 31.7 percentage points above the national average, with Arabic speakers (2,266) forming the dominant non-English language group, followed by Urdu (349), Sinhala (265) and Nepali (147). Lebanese ancestry (1,437) and Italian (972) reflect both the post-war Italian migration and the Middle Eastern arrivals from the 1990s onward. Religion splits roughly 45% Christianity (10,974) and 34% Islam (8,246), an unusually high Muslim share that anchors community infrastructure including the Hume Islamic Youth Centre nearby. Median age of 31 is 9 years below national, and average household size of 3.7 persons (1.2 above national) reflects multi-generational family living typical of Lebanese, South Asian and Italian households. University attainment of 36.1% sits 6pp above national despite the IRSD decile 1 ranking, a signal that education investment runs ahead of income realisation.
Age Distribution
Bedrooms
Dwelling Structure
89.6%
Houses
9.1%
Townhouse
1.2%
Apartment
Tenure
Stock composition skews 89.6% separate house, 9.1% semi-detached and just 1.2% apartment, with 50.7% of dwellings having 4+ bedrooms and 44.4% three-bedders. Ownership splits 21.1% outright, 55.7% mortgaged and 23.2% rented, a heavier mortgage share than the typical Melbourne mix and well above the national mortgaged proportion. Median house price of $669,000 against a $1,629 weekly household income produces a price-to-income ratio of 7.9x, elevated but lower than the 12-15x of middle-ring Melbourne. Mortgage-to-income at 24.6% and rent-to-income at 23.9% both sit below the 30% stress threshold despite the IRSD decile 1 ranking, because the housing was bought at 1990s-2000s land prices. Peak-to-latest performance of -0.9% confirms prices have plateaued, while the earliest-to-latest gain of 83.3% over 14 years reflects long-hold equity build rather than recent capital growth.
Median House Price Trend
Source: State Valuer-General
Mortgage / mo
$1,733
Rent / wk
$390
HH Size
3.7
Personal Income / wk
$473
Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)
3.9%
Unoccupied
257
Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress
23.9%
Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress
24.6%
Community Profile
Languages Spoken at Home
Ancestry
Household Composition
9.9%
Couples, no children
21,838
Total families
Economy & Employment
Employment leans hard into Healthcare (18.1%, 901 workers), Education (11.6%, 577), Construction (9.4%, 468), Retail (8.2%) and Manufacturing (7.9%), with Northern Hospital Epping and Craigieburn industrial estates as primary employer catchments. Occupation distribution skews to Professionals (1,421) but the next four bands (Community/Personal 1,093, Labourers 1,072, Clerical 1,013, Machinery/Drivers 919) reveal a blue-collar plus services backbone rather than knowledge work. Unemployment rate of 11.4% runs roughly double the Melbourne metro average around 5-6%, and participation rate of 48.1% sits well below the 65%+ national figure. SEIFA tells a divided story: IRSD decile 1 (most disadvantaged) and IRSAD decile 2 mark genuine income hardship, yet IEO decile 4 and IER decile 5 show education and economic resource access closer to median, the classic migrant-aspiration gap where qualifications outpace earnings.
Unemployment
9.3%
Labour Force
4,835
Unemployed
452
Quarterly Trend
Source: SALM Dec-25
Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)
Full-time
59.6%
Part-time
29.0%
Participation
48.1%
Employed
7,926
Occupations
Top Industries
University
36.1%
Postgraduate
8.8%
Born Overseas
53.3%
Dwellings
6,298
Transport to Work
Public transport share sits at just 3.9% with 88.3% driving, reflecting outer-corridor car dependence despite Roxburgh Park railway station on the Craigieburn line offering 35-45min CBD trips. Roxburgh Park Plaza anchors retail and the Hume Highway runs east of the suburb for arterial access. Schools cluster within the suburb: Roxburgh Rise Primary (ICSEA 949, 633 enrolment), Roxburgh Park Primary (ICSEA 956, 345), Roxburgh Homestead Primary (ICSEA 963, 334), Good Samaritan Catholic Primary (ICSEA 911, 614), and Roxburgh College secondary (ICSEA 912, 1,041), all sitting below the ICSEA 1000 national average and reflecting the SEIFA disadvantage profile. Crime rate of 51.4 per 1,000 (1,241 offences) runs above Melbourne metro averages around 30-40/1k, with property and deception (598) the dominant category. IRSAD decile 2 and IRSD decile 1 confirm the suburb sits in Melbourne's lower SEIFA bands.
Drive
88.3%
Public Transport
3.9%
Walk / Cycle
0.5%
Work from Home
N/A
Population Forecast
+2.54%/yr
(+392 people/yr)
EstablishedPopulation grew 46.9% since 2011, a high-growth signature, with the medium forecast projecting 16,520 in 2026 rising to 18,482 by 2031 at 2.54% annual or +392 persons/yr. The driver is unambiguous: overseas migration averages +249 net annually while internal outflow runs -218, meaning every new arrival from abroad roughly replaces an internal mover departing for outer Hume estates like Mickleham or Greenvale. Aging trajectory is flagged: senior share has risen 4.0 percentage points while young-resident share fell 5.3pp, the established-estate pattern where original 1990s-2000s buyers age in place while their children move out. Gentrification score of 26 reads as Early signs, not active gentrification, supported by real income contraction of -5.3% and worsening affordability (86.4% to 88.6% on the local index). Rent growth of 19.3% outpacing income is the canary for displacement pressure.
Historical + Forecast
Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025
Age Cohort Forecast
Primary Driver
Overseas Migration
Net Overseas / yr
+249
Net Internal / yr
-218
Gentrification Signal
Early signs
Population +48% since 2011, Net internal outflow -218/yr, Strong overseas inflow +249/yr
Safety & Crime
Total Offences
1,241
Year ending June 2024
Rate per 1,000 People
51.4
Offence Categories
Source: Crime Statistics Agency Victoria / SA Police
National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs
How Roxburgh Park compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs
Frequently Asked Questions
Is Roxburgh Park a good suburb to live in?
Roxburgh Park works for migrant families and first-home buyers wanting an established 4-bedroom detached house under $700,000 within Hume LGA, 22km north of Melbourne CBD. 89.6% of homes are separate houses and 50.7% have 4+ bedrooms, supported by 5 schools within the suburb. The trade-offs are SEIFA IRSD decile 1, a crime rate of 51.4 per 1,000 above Melbourne average, and 88.3% car dependence.
What is the median house price in Roxburgh Park?
The median house price was $669,000 in the Apr-Jun 2024 quarter, sitting 0.9% below the $675,000 peak in Jan-Mar 2024. Prices have risen 83.3% from $365,000 in 2013, a 14-year CAGR of 4.4%. Median rent is $390 per week, producing a gross yield of approximately 3.03% for investors.
What schools are in Roxburgh Park?
Roxburgh Park has 5 schools: Roxburgh Rise Primary (Government, ICSEA 949, 633 students), Roxburgh Park Primary (Government, ICSEA 956, 345), Roxburgh Homestead Primary (Government, ICSEA 963, 334), Good Samaritan Catholic Primary (ICSEA 911, 614), and Roxburgh College (Government Secondary, ICSEA 912, 1,041). All ICSEA scores sit below the 1000 national average, consistent with the suburb's SEIFA disadvantage profile.
Is Roxburgh Park safe?
Roxburgh Park's crime rate of 51.4 offences per 1,000 residents (1,241 total) runs above the Melbourne metro average of around 30-40 per 1,000. Property and deception offences dominate at 598, followed by crimes against the person at 283 and justice procedures at 212. The mix is typical of outer-corridor suburbs rather than violent-crime hotspots, but the rate warrants attention for buyers comparing against middle-ring options.
Is Roxburgh Park good for property investment?
The investment case is yield-focused, not growth-focused. Gross rental yield of approximately 3.03% on $390 weekly rent and $669,000 median sits modest but stable, with vacancy at 3.9% above Melbourne's 2-3% benchmark. Capital growth has stalled at -0.9% from the early-2024 peak, and the 14-year CAGR of 4.4% trails Melbourne metro averages. Tenant pool refreshes from +249 net overseas migration annually.
How is Roxburgh Park's population changing?
Population grew 46.9% since 2011 and the medium forecast projects growth from 16,520 in 2026 to 18,482 by 2031 at 2.54% annually (+392 persons/yr). The trajectory is aging: senior share rose 4.0 percentage points while young-resident share fell 5.3pp. Overseas migration adds +249 net annually while internal outflow runs -218, meaning new arrivals from abroad sustain growth as original residents age in place or move outward.
What languages are spoken in Roxburgh Park?
53.3% of residents were born overseas, 31.7 percentage points above the national average. Arabic dominates the non-English languages with 2,266 speakers, followed by Urdu (349), Sinhala (265), Nepali (147) and Italian (141). The community supports a substantial Muslim population of 8,246 alongside 10,974 Christians, with Lebanese ancestry (1,437) and Italian (972) the largest named European backgrounds.
How to read these comparisons
Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.
Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.
Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.
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