VIC 3685 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Rutherglen

A median age of 48, eight years above the national figure, tells the central story of Rutherglen. This northeast Victoria wine-region town of 2,579 residents sits at the 31.2nd percentile for household income nationally, yet house prices have compounded at 6.3% annually over 14 years, reaching $545,000 by mid-2024. Owner-occupiers dominate, with 44.5% owning outright, well above the national average, and 92.7% of dwellings are separate houses. The 11.3% vacancy rate is high relative to regional peers, driven partly by the aging ownership base and low rental demand in a car-dependent community where 89% of residents drive to work.

Rutherglen urban fabric map

Population

2,579

Median Age

48.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$1,306/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

11

Median House

$545K

Apr-Jun 2024

124.56 km²· 20.7 people/km²· Family income $1,816/wk

The median house price of $545,000 in April-June 2024 represents a rise from $482,000 just two quarters earlier, and the long-run CAGR of 6.3% over 14 years from $232,000 in 2013 shows sustained appreciation. Monthly mortgage repayments average $1,300, giving a mortgage-to-income ratio of 23.0%, which is below the 30% stress threshold and well below typical urban markets. Stock is overwhelmingly detached houses at 92.7%, with 3-bedroom homes at 49.6% and 4-plus bedroom at 32.3%. Outright owners at 44.5% outnumber mortgage holders at 35.9%, suggesting the buyer pool is weighted toward established owner-occupiers rather than first-home buyers, which tends to moderate speculative price swings.

For Buyers

The median house price of $545,000 in April-June 2024 represents a rise from $482,000 just two quarters earlier, and the long-run CAGR of 6.3% over 14 years from $232,000 in 2013 shows sustained appreciation. Monthly mortgage repayments average $1,300, giving a mortgage-to-income ratio of 23.0%, which is below the 30% stress threshold and well below typical urban markets. Stock is overwhelmingly detached houses at 92.7%, with 3-bedroom homes at 49.6% and 4-plus bedroom at 32.3%. Outright owners at 44.5% outnumber mortgage holders at 35.9%, suggesting the buyer pool is weighted toward established owner-occupiers rather than first-home buyers, which tends to moderate speculative price swings.

For Investors

Weekly rent of $250 against a $545,000 median produces a gross yield around 2.4%, which is low even compared to other regional Victoria markets. The 11.3% vacancy rate is an investor caution flag, above the typical 3% threshold that signals balanced supply and demand. Only 19.7% of dwellings are rented, a thin tenant pool in a town with modest population growth of 0.66% annually. Rent growth of 38.9% over the decade shows real demand momentum, but from a low base. Net overseas migration of 14 per year and internal migration of 4 net arrivals provide limited demand support compared to growth corridors. Development activity sits at 10 applications in 12 months, indicating minimal new supply pressure.

Development Activity

Total DAs

19

Last 12 Months

11

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

+37.5%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

Subdivision
13
Other
6

Schools in Rutherglen iICSEA: school advantage index. 1000 = national avg, higher = more advantaged

Rutherglen Primary School

ICSEA 1007 Primary Government

Prep-6 · 177 students

St Mary's School

ICSEA 1004 Primary Catholic

Prep-6 · 104 students

Rutherglen High School

ICSEA 954 Secondary Government

7-12 · 306 students

Demographics

The median age of 48 sits 8.0 years above the national figure, and the trajectory is aging: the senior share rose 7.4 points over the decade while the working-age share fell 4.0 points. This pattern is consistent with younger residents leaving for education and employment in larger centres. Only 7.5% of residents were born overseas, which is 14.1 percentage points below the national average, and ancestry is strongly Anglo-Celtic, led by English (1,182), Irish (413) and Scottish (335) residents. University qualifications reach 23.6%, which is 6.5 points below national, reflecting the trade and agriculture focus of local employment. Average household size is 2.3, slightly below the national average of 2.5.

Age Distribution

0-14
16.7%
15-24
9.2%
25-44
20.2%
45-64
26.9%
65+
26.9%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
2.6%
2 bed
15.6%
3 bed
49.6%
4+ bed
32.3%

Dwelling Structure

92.7%

Houses

6.0%

Townhouse

N/A

Apartment

Tenure

Own 44.5% Mortgage 35.9% Rent 19.7%

Separate houses account for 92.7% of dwellings, one of the higher rates among Victorian regional towns, and that detached-dominant stock is the primary asset class for both buyers and investors. Tenure is stable: 44.5% own outright, 35.9% carry a mortgage, and just 19.7% rent, compared to a higher renter share nationally. The 3-bedroom configuration leads at 49.6%, and 4-plus bedroom homes at 32.3% are unusually high, reflecting the spacious rural-town block sizes. Prices rose from $232,000 in 2013 to $545,000 by mid-2024, a 134.9% gain over the period. Rent-to-income sits at 19.1%, below the 30% stress threshold, meaning tenants here face far less rental pressure than in capital cities.

Median House Price Trend

Source: State Valuer-General

Mortgage / mo

$1,300

Rent / wk

$250

HH Size

2.3

Personal Income / wk

$722

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

11.3%

Unoccupied

134

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

19.1%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

23.0%

Community Profile

Ancestry

English
1,182
Irish
413
Scottish
335
German
159
Ancestry NS
117
Other
80

Household Composition

34.0%

Couples, no children

1,937

Total families

Economy & Employment

Manufacturing is the largest employing industry at 20.4% of workers (155 people), reflecting the wine production and food processing operations in the region. Healthcare follows at 16.1% (122 workers) and Education at 10.9% (83 workers), giving the local economy a public-service anchor that stabilises income through cycles. Agriculture employs 7.0% (53 workers), a lower share than the regional identity might suggest, as most wine-industry employment is classified under manufacturing. The SEIFA IRSD decile of 4 and IRSAD decile of 4 place Rutherglen in the lower-middle range nationally for both relative disadvantage and advantage, meaning meaningful pockets of economic stress exist. Unemployment is 3.4% with a participation rate of 52.0%, below national norms because the large older cohort sits outside the labour force.

Unemployment

4.6%

Labour Force

2,095

Unemployed

96

Quarterly Trend

Mar-24 Dec-25

Source: SALM Dec-25

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Overall advantage
4
Disadvantage
4
Economic resources
5
Education & occupation
4

Full-time

63.8%

Part-time

32.8%

Participation

52.0%

Employed

1,075

Occupations

Labourers 194
Professionals 189
Managers 185
Community/Personal 133
Clerical/Admin 132
Machinery/Drivers 91
Sales 67

Top Industries

Manufacturing 20.4%
Healthcare 16.1%
Education 10.9%
Construction 8.4%
Agriculture 7.0%

University

23.6%

Postgraduate

4.9%

Born Overseas

7.5%

Dwellings

1,042

Transport to Work

Car dependence is high, with 89.0% of workers driving and 6.2% walking or cycling, consistent with a low-density regional town without meaningful public transit. No schools are recorded within the suburb boundary in the dataset, so families rely on institutions nearby. The crime rate of 52.7 incidents per 1,000 residents is a relevant consideration: property and deception offences account for 51 of 136 total recorded incidents, higher than suburban norms per capita. IRSAD decile 4 nationally indicates moderate disadvantage relative to the national distribution. On the positive side, volunteering runs at 24.2%, above the national average, and the rent-to-income ratio of 19.1% and mortgage-to-income of 23.0% are both below stress thresholds, giving residents meaningful financial breathing room.

Drive

89.0%

Public Transport

N/A

Walk / Cycle

6.2%

Work from Home

N/A

Population Forecast

+0.66%/yr

(+27 people/yr)

Established

Population is forecast to grow at 0.66% annually, adding roughly 27 people per year, to reach approximately 4,293 by 2031 from 4,120 in 2025. Over the past decade, population expanded 9.0%, below most metro growth corridors but steady for a regional centre of this size. The migration mix is balanced: 14 net overseas arrivals and 4 net internal migrants per year. The gentrification score of 34 registers early signs, driven by the 10% population rise since 2011, but the stage is not gentrifying in terms of income or education uplift. Affordability has been stable, with the mortgage-to-income ratio holding at 33.0% in 2011 versus 33.1% in 2021, indicating price growth tracked income growth over the decade.

Historical + Forecast

Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025

Age Cohort Forecast

Primary Driver

Balanced

Net Overseas / yr

+14

Net Internal / yr

+4

3

Gentrification Signal

Not gentrifying

Population +10% since 2011

Safety & Crime

Total Offences

136

Year ending June 2024

Rate per 1,000 People

52.7

Offence Categories

Property and deception offences
51
Justice procedures offences
46
Crimes against the person
27
Public order and security offences
10

Source: Crime Statistics Agency Victoria / SA Police

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Rutherglen compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 19%
Household Income
Bottom 31%
Rent Level
Bottom 44%
Renters
Bottom 48%
Uni Educated
Bottom 49%
Born Overseas
Bottom 17%
Density
Top 36%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Rutherglen a good suburb to live in?

Rutherglen suits owner-occupiers who value affordable housing and low financial stress. Mortgage-to-income sits at 23.0% and rent-to-income at 19.1%, both well below the 30% stress threshold. The main trade-offs are a SEIFA IRSAD decile 4 ranking nationally, limited public transport with 89% car dependence, and a crime rate of 52.7 per 1,000 residents.

What is the median house price in Rutherglen?

The median house price is $545,000, recorded in April-June 2024. This is up from $232,000 in 2013, a 134.9% rise over 14 years at a CAGR of 6.3%. Monthly mortgage repayments average $1,300. Weekly rent is $250.

What schools are in Rutherglen?

No schools are recorded inside the Rutherglen suburb boundary in this dataset. Families rely on schools in the surrounding region. The local population has a university qualification rate of 23.6%, which is 6.5 percentage points below the national average, consistent with a trade and agriculture-oriented local workforce.

Is Rutherglen safe?

Rutherglen recorded 136 total incidents at a rate of 52.7 per 1,000 residents. Property and deception offences account for 51 incidents and justice procedures offences for 46. By comparison, lower-crime regional towns typically sit below 40 per 1,000, so this rate warrants attention for prospective residents.

Is Rutherglen good for property investment?

The investment case is mixed. Rent of $250 per week against a $545,000 median gives a gross yield around 2.4%, low relative to higher-yielding regional markets. The 11.3% vacancy rate signals oversupply in the rental segment. Rent growth of 38.9% over the period shows demand momentum, and the 6.3% annual CAGR in prices over 14 years supports the capital growth argument.

How is Rutherglen's population changing?

Population is growing at 0.66% annually, adding about 27 people per year, and is forecast to reach around 4,293 by 2031. The 10-year growth rate is 9.0%. The profile is aging, with the senior share up 7.4 points and the working-age share down 4.0 points over the decade, driven by younger residents leaving for larger centres.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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