VIC 3179 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Scoresby

Detached houses make up 96.4% of dwellings in Scoresby, an unusually pure house market that shapes nearly every other number here. The median house price sits at $960,500, supported by household incomes in the 73.8th percentile nationally. Population has grown 27.4% since 2011, yet 41.7% of households still carry a mortgage and only 23.0% rent, a profile that reads as a settled mortgage belt rather than an investor zone. The suburb is also notably international, with 41.5% of residents born overseas, 19.9 points above the national figure, led by Chinese ancestry at 1,111 people behind English at 1,443.

Scoresby urban fabric map

Population

6,066

Median Age

40.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$1,965/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

18

Median House

$960K

Apr-Jun 2024

8.69 km²· 698 people/km²· Family income $2,167/wk

Buyers face an almost entirely detached market, with separate houses at 96.4% and apartments just 0.4%, so there is little entry-level stock to soften the $960,500 median. Three-bedroom homes account for 51.0% and four-plus-bedroom homes 43.8%, confirming this is family territory rather than a downsizer market. Prices have softened recently, down 3.0% from the $990,000 peak in late 2023, which gives buyers some negotiating room. The case for ownership is helped by affordability: monthly mortgage repayments average $2,023 and the mortgage-to-income ratio is 23.8%, comfortably below the 30% stress threshold because household incomes sit in the 73.8th percentile. That gap explains why 41.7% of households are buying with a mortgage.

For Buyers

Buyers face an almost entirely detached market, with separate houses at 96.4% and apartments just 0.4%, so there is little entry-level stock to soften the $960,500 median. Three-bedroom homes account for 51.0% and four-plus-bedroom homes 43.8%, confirming this is family territory rather than a downsizer market. Prices have softened recently, down 3.0% from the $990,000 peak in late 2023, which gives buyers some negotiating room. The case for ownership is helped by affordability: monthly mortgage repayments average $2,023 and the mortgage-to-income ratio is 23.8%, comfortably below the 30% stress threshold because household incomes sit in the 73.8th percentile. That gap explains why 41.7% of households are buying with a mortgage.

For Investors

Scoresby is a thin rental market by design, with only 23.0% of residents renting against 35.3% who own outright and 41.7% paying off a mortgage. Weekly rent averages $406, and against the $960,500 median that implies a gross yield near 2.2%, low for an outer suburb. The vacancy rate of 3.8% is slightly loose, so tenant demand is steady rather than tight. Rent has grown 30.8% over the period, which is the stronger part of the investment case. Demand drivers are split: overseas migration adds about 210 residents a year while internal migration removes 168, leaving net growth dependent on new arrivals. With development running at just 15 applications in 12 months, new supply is minimal, so the case rests on rent growth and the scarcity of detached stock rather than yield.

Development Activity

Total DAs

27

Last 12 Months

18

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

+350.0%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

Other
7
Renovation / Extension
7
Subdivision
4
Tree Removal
2
Multi-Dwelling / Townhouse
1
Commercial / Industrial
1

Schools in Scoresby iICSEA: school advantage index. 1000 = national avg, higher = more advantaged

St Jude the Apostle School

ICSEA 1083 Primary Catholic

Prep-6 · 271 students

Scoresby Primary School

ICSEA 1013 Primary Government

Prep-6 · 136 students

Scoresby Secondary College

ICSEA 1003 Secondary Government

7-12 · 244 students

Demographics

The median age of 40 matches the national figure exactly, but the trajectory is aging, with the senior share up 3.3 points and the working-age share down 2.4 points over the decade. Scoresby is markedly international: 41.5% of residents were born overseas, 19.9 points above national, and university qualifications reach 42.3%, which is 12.2 points higher than the national rate. Ancestry is led by English at 1,443 and Chinese at 1,111, and the most common non-English languages are Mandarin (265 speakers) and Cantonese (135). Average household size is 2.8, which is 0.3 above national, consistent with the family profile where couples with children (2,122 families) outnumber couples without (1,085). Buddhism (461) and Hinduism (377) follow Christianity (2,568) in religion, reflecting the migrant mix.

Age Distribution

0-14
17.4%
15-24
13.7%
25-44
26.5%
45-64
26.9%
65+
15.5%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
0.7%
2 bed
4.5%
3 bed
51.0%
4+ bed
43.8%

Dwelling Structure

96.4%

Houses

3.1%

Townhouse

0.4%

Apartment

Tenure

Own 35.3% Mortgage 41.7% Rent 23.0%

Tenure tilts toward buyers: 41.7% of households carry a mortgage, 35.3% own outright and only 23.0% rent, a structure that signals owner-occupier demand rather than investor churn. The stock is 96.4% separate houses with apartments at 0.4%, and bedrooms skew large, with 51.0% three-bedroom and 43.8% four-plus, so smaller dwellings are scarce. Prices rose 88.7% from $509,000 in 2013 to the latest $960,500, a 4.6% compound annual rate, though the market has eased 3.0% from its $990,000 peak. Affordability has held steady, moving only from 54.4% in 2011 to 53.7% in 2021. The mortgage-to-income ratio of 23.8% and rent-to-income of 20.7% both sit below stress levels, which is why a growing population can keep buying despite a near-$1M median.

Median House Price Trend

Source: State Valuer-General

Mortgage / mo

$2,023

Rent / wk

$406

HH Size

2.8

Personal Income / wk

$765

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

3.8%

Unoccupied

83

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

20.7%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

23.8%

Community Profile

Languages Spoken at Home

Mandarin
265
Canton
135
Sinhal
113
Greek
41
Persian ED
39
Hindi
37

Ancestry

English
1,443
Chinese
1,111
Other
988
Indian
430
Scottish
387
Irish
373

Household Composition

20.7%

Couples, no children

5,253

Total families

Economy & Employment

The local workforce leans on services, with Healthcare leading at 18.8% (396 workers), Professional/Tech at 10.7% (225) and Education at 10.2% (215), while Construction (9.2%) and Manufacturing (9.0%) keep a blue-collar base alive. By occupation, Professionals (728) outnumber Clerical/Admin (413) and Managers (386), which fits the 42.3% university qualification rate, 12.2 points above national. Unemployment is 5.2% and the full-time employment rate is 63.9%. SEIFA places the suburb in the upper-middle advantage tiers: IRSD decile 8 and IER decile 8, with IEO and IRSAD both at decile 7. The slightly lower IEO of decile 7 reflects the manufacturing and construction share holding the education-and-occupation index just under the wealth measures.

Unemployment

3.8%

Labour Force

9,735

Unemployed

373

Quarterly Trend

Mar-24 Dec-25

Source: SALM Dec-25

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Overall advantage
7
Disadvantage
8
Economic resources
8
Education & occupation
7

Full-time

63.9%

Part-time

30.9%

Participation

62.0%

Employed

2,943

Occupations

Professionals 728
Clerical/Admin 413
Managers 386
Community/Personal 338
Sales 302
Labourers 283
Machinery/Drivers 182

Top Industries

Healthcare 18.8%
Professional/Tech 10.7%
Education 10.2%
Construction 9.2%
Manufacturing 9.0%

University

42.3%

Postgraduate

11.0%

Born Overseas

41.5%

Dwellings

2,072

Transport to Work

Scoresby is built around the car, with 89.2% of commuters driving and only 2.6% using public transport and 1.6% walking or cycling, a pattern typical of an 8.69 km2 outer suburb at 698 residents per km2. Crime runs at 82.1 offences per 1,000 residents across 498 total incidents, with property and deception offences (288) the dominant category and crimes against the person a smaller 60. The suburb scores decile 8 on the IRSD index of relative disadvantage, an upper-middle tier that signals few residents face deprivation, and only 4.6% of people need daily assistance. No schools are recorded inside the boundary in this dataset, so families rely on institutions in neighbouring suburbs, a trade-off for the low-density, house-dominant setting.

Drive

89.2%

Public Transport

2.6%

Walk / Cycle

1.6%

Work from Home

N/A

Population Forecast

+1.21%/yr

(+209 people/yr)

Established

Scoresby is in steady expansion rather than a boom, with annual population growth of 1.21% adding about 209 people a year, and a 27.4% rise since 2011. Medium forecasts lift the wider area from 17,232 in 2025 toward 18,698 by 2031, a continuation of the trend. The single driver is overseas migration at roughly 210 a year, which more than offsets a net internal outflow of 168, so growth here depends on new arrivals settling rather than locals relocating in. The gentrification score reads 19, classified as not gentrifying, despite early-signal indicators elsewhere, because the established detached housing leaves little room for the stock turnover that drives gentrification. Real incomes grew 7.7% over the decade, a modest gain compared with the 30.8% rise in rents.

Historical + Forecast

Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025

Age Cohort Forecast

Primary Driver

Overseas Migration

Net Overseas / yr

+210

Net Internal / yr

-168

19

Gentrification Signal

Not gentrifying

Population +28% since 2011, Net internal outflow -168/yr, Strong overseas inflow +210/yr

Safety & Crime

Total Offences

498

Year ending June 2024

Rate per 1,000 People

82.1

Offence Categories

Property and deception offences
288
Drug offences
88
Crimes against the person
60
Justice procedures offences
44

Source: Crime Statistics Agency Victoria / SA Police

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Scoresby compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 9%
Household Income
Top 26%
Rent Level
Top 14%
Apartments
Bottom 7%
Renters
Top 43%
Uni Educated
Top 16%
Public Transport
Bottom 42%
Born Overseas
Top 5%
Density
Top 18%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Scoresby a good suburb to live in?

Scoresby scores decile 8 on the IRSD disadvantage index, an upper-middle tier, with household incomes in the 73.8th percentile nationally. It is family-oriented, with 96.4% detached houses and an aging trend as the senior share rose 3.3 points. The main trade-offs are heavy car reliance, with 89.2% driving, and a near-$1M median house price.

What is the median house price in Scoresby?

The median house price is $960,500 as of the Apr-Jun 2024 quarter, down 3.0% from the $990,000 peak in late 2023. Prices have risen 88.7% since 2013, a 4.6% compound annual rate. Weekly rent averages $406 and monthly mortgage repayments run about $2,023.

What schools are in Scoresby?

No schools are recorded inside the Scoresby boundary in this dataset, so families rely on schools in neighbouring suburbs. The local population is well educated, with university qualifications at 42.3%, which is 12.2 points above the national figure.

Is Scoresby safe?

Scoresby recorded 498 offences, a rate of 82.1 per 1,000 residents. Property and deception offences dominate at 288, while crimes against the person are lower at 60. The suburb scores decile 8 on the IRSD disadvantage index, an upper-middle tier consistent with a low-deprivation area.

Is Scoresby good for property investment?

Rent of $406 a week against a $960,500 median gives a gross yield near 2.2%, low for an outer suburb, and only 23.0% of residents rent. Rent has grown 30.8% over the period, and overseas migration of 210 a year supports demand, so returns lean on rent growth and scarcity over yield.

How is Scoresby's population changing?

Population has grown 27.4% since 2011 and is rising about 1.21% a year, adding roughly 209 people annually. Growth is driven by overseas migration of about 210 a year, which offsets a net internal outflow of 168. The profile is aging, with the senior share up 3.3 points over the decade.

What languages are spoken in Scoresby?

About 41.5% of residents were born overseas, 19.9 points above the national figure. English is dominant, but Mandarin (265 speakers) and Cantonese (135) are the most common non-English languages, with Sinhala (113) and Greek (41) also present, reflecting strong Chinese and South Asian communities.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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