VIC 3927 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Somers

A median house price of $1,345,000 combined with a 39.8% vacancy rate tells the Somers story clearly: this is a coastal holiday enclave on the Mornington Peninsula that most residents visit rather than occupy year-round. The population of 1,857 is small, the median age of 53 is 13 years above the national figure, and 59.6% of households own their home outright, suggesting established wealth rather than active buyer churn. House price data shows a compound annual growth of 5.2% since 2013, though prices remain 23.8% below the 2022 peak of $1,765,000.

Somers urban fabric map

Population

1,857

Median Age

53.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$1,906/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

11

Median House

$1.3M

Apr-Jun 2024

14.91 km²· 124.5 people/km²· Family income $2,284/wk

The current median house price is $1,345,000, down from a 2022 peak of $1,765,000, a 23.8% correction that has brought the market closer to pre-boom levels. Prices have more than doubled since 2013 when the median was $657,500, representing a 14-year CAGR of 5.2%. The stock is almost entirely separate houses at 94.8%, with 43.1% of dwellings having 4 or more bedrooms and 44.3% having 3 bedrooms, reflecting the holiday-home character. Monthly mortgage repayments average $2,167, translating to a mortgage-to-income ratio of 26.3%, below the 30% stress threshold. That said, household incomes sit at the 71.1st percentile nationally, so buyers are typically well-resourced.

For Buyers

The current median house price is $1,345,000, down from a 2022 peak of $1,765,000, a 23.8% correction that has brought the market closer to pre-boom levels. Prices have more than doubled since 2013 when the median was $657,500, representing a 14-year CAGR of 5.2%. The stock is almost entirely separate houses at 94.8%, with 43.1% of dwellings having 4 or more bedrooms and 44.3% having 3 bedrooms, reflecting the holiday-home character. Monthly mortgage repayments average $2,167, translating to a mortgage-to-income ratio of 26.3%, below the 30% stress threshold. That said, household incomes sit at the 71.1st percentile nationally, so buyers are typically well-resourced.

For Investors

Somers presents an unusual investor profile. The rental vacancy rate of 39.8% is exceptionally high compared to the national norm of around 1-3%, driven by the high proportion of holiday homes that are vacant most of the year. Only 12.1% of dwellings are rented at any given time, and weekly rent averages $391. With only 7 development applications lodged in the past 12 months, new supply is minimal. Net internal migration runs at negative 275 residents per year for the broader area, while overseas migration adds 94, so population growth is thin. Investors should expect holiday letting or short-stay returns rather than conventional long-term rental income, and capital growth has delivered a 5.2% CAGR over 14 years.

Development Activity

Total DAs

13

Last 12 Months

11

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

+1000.0%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

Renovation / Extension
4
Other
2
Tree Removal
2
New Dwelling
1
Fencing
1
Granny Flat / Secondary Dwelling
1
Deck / Pergola / Patio
1

Schools in Somers iICSEA: school advantage index. 1000 = national avg, higher = more advantaged

Somers Primary School

ICSEA 1045 Primary Government

Prep-6 · 209 students

Demographics

The median age of 53 sits 13 years above the national average, making Somers one of the older communities in Victoria. This aging profile has deepened over the decade, with the senior share rising 7.3 points and the working-age share falling 2.4 points. Overseas-born residents make up 16.7%, which is 4.9 percentage points below the national figure, reflecting an Anglo-Celtic dominant population: English ancestry leads at 846 residents, followed by Irish (285) and Scottish (276). University qualifications reach 41.6%, which is 11.5 percentage points above the national average, consistent with the professional-class holiday enclave character. Average household size is 2.4, close to the national figure, and 80.3% of residents have lived at the same address for 5 or more years.

Age Distribution

0-14
15.5%
15-24
8.9%
25-44
15.3%
45-64
29.3%
65+
30.5%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
0.6%
2 bed
12.0%
3 bed
44.3%
4+ bed
43.1%

Dwelling Structure

94.8%

Houses

2.3%

Townhouse

N/A

Apartment

Tenure

Own 59.6% Mortgage 28.3% Rent 12.1%

Somers is defined by outright ownership: 59.6% of households own their home without a mortgage, well above the national average, which points to the suburb functioning as a second-home or retirement asset base. Only 28.3% carry a mortgage and 12.1% rent. Separate houses account for 94.8% of all dwellings, with virtually no apartment stock. Bedroom distribution skews large: 43.1% of homes have 4 or more bedrooms and 44.3% have 3, suitable for visiting families. Prices have followed a pronounced cycle from $657,500 in 2013 to $1,765,000 at the 2022 peak, falling 23.8% to $1,345,000 by April-June 2024. The mortgage-to-income ratio of 26.3% remains below stress levels, and rent-to-income runs at 20.5%, comfortably affordable for tenants.

Median House Price Trend

Source: State Valuer-General

Mortgage / mo

$2,167

Rent / wk

$391

HH Size

2.4

Personal Income / wk

$874

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

39.8%

Unoccupied

456

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

20.5%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

26.3%

Community Profile

Ancestry

English
846
Irish
285
Scottish
276
Ancestry NS
130
Other
101
German
94

Household Composition

36.8%

Couples, no children

1,424

Total families

Economy & Employment

The local workforce of around 617 employed residents leans toward high-skill sectors. Healthcare leads at 16.2% of workers (100 people), followed by Education at 15.0% (93) and Professional/Technical services at 11.5% (71). Construction accounts for 11.0% (68), consistent with ongoing maintenance of holiday properties. By occupation, Professionals dominate (249 workers), followed by Managers (121) and Community/Personal service workers (105). The unemployment rate is very low at 1.7%, well below state and national levels. However, the participation rate of only 48.6% is low, because 609 residents are not in the labour force, reflecting the high proportion of retirees and semi-retirees in the 53-median-age population. Real incomes grew 13.3% over the past decade. SEIFA scores are mid-range: IRSD decile 5 and IRSAD decile 4.

Unemployment

4.7%

Labour Force

12,202

Unemployed

572

Quarterly Trend

Mar-24 Dec-25

Source: SALM Dec-25

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Overall advantage
4
Disadvantage
5
Economic resources
6
Education & occupation
5

Full-time

49.2%

Part-time

49.1%

Participation

48.6%

Employed

750

Occupations

Professionals 249
Managers 121
Community/Personal 105
Clerical/Admin 88
Sales 67
Labourers 54
Machinery/Drivers 18

Top Industries

Healthcare 16.2%
Education 15.0%
Professional/Tech 11.5%
Construction 11.0%
Manufacturing 6.0%

University

41.6%

Postgraduate

11.6%

Born Overseas

16.7%

Dwellings

692

Transport to Work

With 87.1% of residents commuting by car and only 8.4% walking or cycling, Somers is car-dependent, as expected for a low-density coastal suburb 90 kilometres from Melbourne. No schools are recorded within the suburb boundary, so families rely on nearby towns, a common trade-off for a holiday-oriented community. The crime rate is 46.3 incidents per 1,000 residents based on 86 total incidents, with property and deception offences accounting for 56 of those, typical for a high-vacancy area with unattended holiday homes. The volunteering rate of 29.1% is high, indicating a locally engaged permanent resident base. Only 3.1% of residents (54 people) need daily assistance, consistent with the active, established-wealth demographic, despite the older median age of 53.

Drive

87.1%

Public Transport

N/A

Walk / Cycle

8.4%

Work from Home

N/A

Population Forecast

+0.93%/yr

(+221 people/yr)

Established

Annual population growth for the broader area runs at 0.93%, adding about 221 residents per year, with medium forecasts projecting growth from roughly 24,700 in 2026 to 25,803 by 2031. Over the past decade, the population has grown 18.1%. However, net internal migration for the area averages negative 275 per year, offset partially by overseas migration of 94, meaning the main growth driver is organic rather than domestic relocation. The gentrification score of 32 signals early signs of change, though the suburb is not classified as actively gentrifying. Rent growth of 37.5% over the period is notable and above the income growth rate of 13.3%, creating affordability pressure for the small renter segment.

Historical + Forecast

Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025

Age Cohort Forecast

Primary Driver

Overseas Migration

Net Overseas / yr

+94

Net Internal / yr

-275

5

Gentrification Signal

Not gentrifying

Population +14% since 2011, Net internal outflow -275/yr

Safety & Crime

Total Offences

86

Year ending June 2024

Rate per 1,000 People

46.3

Offence Categories

Property and deception offences
56
Justice procedures offences
17
Crimes against the person
13

Source: Crime Statistics Agency Victoria / SA Police

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Somers compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 22%
Household Income
Top 29%
Rent Level
Top 18%
Renters
Bottom 23%
Uni Educated
Top 16%
Born Overseas
Top 40%
Density
Top 25%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Somers a good suburb to live in?

Somers suits buyers seeking a low-density coastal lifestyle rather than urban convenience. The median age is 53, the volunteering rate is 29.1%, and 80.3% of residents have stayed at the same address for 5 or more years, signalling a stable, established community. The trade-off is car dependency, no recorded schools within the suburb, and a 39.8% vacancy rate that reflects many homes being held as holiday properties.

What is the median house price in Somers?

The median house price is $1,345,000 as of April-June 2024, down 23.8% from the 2022 peak of $1,765,000. Prices have still more than doubled from $657,500 in 2013, a 5.2% compound annual growth rate over 14 years. Monthly mortgage repayments average $2,167, giving a mortgage-to-income ratio of 26.3%.

What schools are in Somers?

No schools are recorded within the Somers suburb boundary in this dataset. Families typically rely on schools in nearby Mornington Peninsula towns. The suburb's own population has 41.6% holding university qualifications, which is 11.5 percentage points above the national figure, but the small permanent population of 1,857 supports limited local educational infrastructure.

Is Somers safe?

Somers recorded 86 total crime incidents, giving a rate of 46.3 per 1,000 residents. Property and deception offences account for 56 of those 86 incidents, a pattern typical of high-vacancy holiday suburbs where unoccupied homes attract opportunistic crime. Crimes against the person numbered just 13, suggesting the area is low-risk for personal safety.

Is Somers good for property investment?

The investment case is primarily capital growth rather than rental yield. Weekly rent averages $391 against a $1,345,000 median, implying a gross yield below 1.5%. The 39.8% vacancy rate reflects holiday-home ownership patterns. House prices have compounded at 5.2% annually over 14 years, and only 7 development applications were lodged in 12 months, so supply is tightly constrained.

How is Somers's population changing?

The broader area is growing at 0.93% annually, adding around 221 residents per year, with the population up 18.1% over 10 years. Medium forecasts project growth from about 24,700 in 2026 to 25,803 by 2031. The resident profile is aging, with the senior share rising 7.3 points over the decade. Net internal migration runs negative 275 per year, partly offset by overseas migration of 94.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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