VIC 3585 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Swan Hill

Swan Hill reads first as an affordable regional service centre, with a $480,000 median house price, 83.1% separate houses and a population of 11,186 across a low 88.4 people per sq km. Compared with nearby Lake Boga and Nyah, it carries more of the district's retail, health and schooling role. The trade-off is that household income sits at the 39.6 percentile and crime is elevated at 118.1 offences per 1,000 people. Overseas-born residents are 14.1%, which is 7.5 points below the national share.

Swan Hill urban fabric map

Population

11,186

Median Age

38.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$1,390/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

11

Median House

$480K

Apr-Jun 2024

126.59 km²· 88.4 people/km²· Family income $1,802/wk

Homebuyers get a detached-house market rather than an apartment market: 83.1% of dwellings are separate houses, while apartments are only 7.8%. The median house price was $480,000 in Apr-Jun 2024, 3.4% below the $497,000 peak in Jan-Mar 2024, giving buyers some relief from the recent high. The layout suits families because 50.7% of homes have 3 bedrooms and 27.5% have 4 or more. Mortgage costs absorb 21.6% of income, so affordability is helped by low prices but constrained by household incomes below the national midpoint.

For Buyers

Homebuyers get a detached-house market rather than an apartment market: 83.1% of dwellings are separate houses, while apartments are only 7.8%. The median house price was $480,000 in Apr-Jun 2024, 3.4% below the $497,000 peak in Jan-Mar 2024, giving buyers some relief from the recent high. The layout suits families because 50.7% of homes have 3 bedrooms and 27.5% have 4 or more. Mortgage costs absorb 21.6% of income, so affordability is helped by low prices but constrained by household incomes below the national midpoint.

For Investors

Investors face a mixed rental picture. Renting is common at 32.8% of households and weekly rent is $235, but the 8.8% vacancy rate is higher than a tight-market setting, so tenant demand needs to be checked street by street. Rent growth has been stronger, with the forecast shift showing 34.3% rental growth, while only 8 development applications in 12 months point to limited new supply pressure. Compared with fast-growth metro fringes, Swan Hill's appeal is yield and entry price rather than population momentum.

Development Activity

Total DAs

33

Last 12 Months

11

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

+10.0%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

Subdivision
17
Other
4

Schools in Swan Hill iICSEA: school advantage index. 1000 = national avg, higher = more advantaged

St Mary's School

ICSEA 1036 Primary Catholic

Prep-6 · 603 students

St Mary MacKillop College

ICSEA 1023 Secondary Catholic

7-12 · 540 students

Swan Hill Christian School

ICSEA 1017 Primary Independent

Prep-6 · 29 students

Swan Hill College

ICSEA 944 Secondary Government

7-12 · 747 students

Swan Hill Primary School

ICSEA 942 Primary Government

Prep-6 · 516 students

Demographics

Swan Hill's median age is 38, which is 2.0 years lower than the national benchmark, but its education and migration profile is below big-city levels. University attainment is 21.4%, 8.7 percentage points below national, and overseas-born residents are 14.1%, 7.5 points lower. English ancestry is the largest reported group at 4,176 people, followed by Irish at 1,332 and Scottish at 1,094. Punjabi is the largest non-English language count at 102, so cultural change exists but from a modest base.

Age Distribution

0-14
19.2%
15-24
11.2%
25-44
26.6%
45-64
21.9%
65+
21.0%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
5.0%
2 bed
16.8%
3 bed
50.7%
4+ bed
27.5%

Dwelling Structure

83.1%

Houses

8.5%

Townhouse

7.8%

Apartment

Tenure

Own 36.1% Mortgage 31.0% Rent 32.8%

Housing is broad, low-rise and owner-heavy. Outright owners are 36.1%, mortgage holders 31.0% and renters 32.8%, giving a more balanced tenure mix than a purely investor-led market. The median house price has risen from $225,000 in 2013 to $480,000 in Apr-Jun 2024, a 113.3% gain and 5.6% CAGR over 14 years. Prices are 3.4% below the $497,000 peak, so the latest quarter looks like a mild pullback rather than a reset. Mortgage stress is muted at 21.6% of income because debt levels remain moderate.

Median House Price Trend

Source: State Valuer-General

Mortgage / mo

$1,300

Rent / wk

$235

HH Size

2.3

Personal Income / wk

$754

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

8.8%

Unoccupied

417

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

16.9%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

21.6%

Community Profile

Languages Spoken at Home

Punjabi
102
Italian
57
Mandarin
54
Malayalam
19
Urdu
18
Oth
13

Ancestry

English
4,176
Irish
1,332
Scottish
1,094
Other
854
Ancestry NS
796
Italian
667

Household Composition

30.3%

Couples, no children

8,238

Total families

Economy & Employment

The economy is anchored by services that support the wider district. Healthcare employs 676 people or 22.0%, followed by education at 418 or 13.6%, construction at 299 or 9.8%, agriculture at 219 or 7.1% and manufacturing at 205 or 6.7%. Professionals are the largest occupation group at 899, with labourers at 782 and managers at 718. Unemployment is low at 3.2%, yet participation is 56.0% and all 4 SEIFA measures sit in decile 3, indicating incomes and advantage remain below the national middle despite steady local jobs.

Unemployment

1.3%

Labour Force

5,590

Unemployed

73

Quarterly Trend

Mar-24 Dec-25

Source: SALM Dec-25

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Overall advantage
3
Disadvantage
3
Economic resources
3
Education & occupation
3

Full-time

64.2%

Part-time

32.6%

Participation

56.0%

Employed

4,898

Occupations

Professionals 899
Labourers 782
Managers 718
Community/Personal 673
Clerical/Admin 586
Sales 502
Machinery/Drivers 263

Top Industries

Healthcare 22.0%
Education 13.6%
Construction 9.8%
Agriculture 7.1%
Manufacturing 6.7%

University

21.4%

Postgraduate

3.6%

Born Overseas

14.1%

Dwellings

4,341

Transport to Work

Daily life is car-based, with 84.8% driving to work, only 0.2% using public transport and 7.1% walking or cycling. School choice is a strength for a regional centre: 6 local schools span Government, Catholic and Independent sectors, with ICSEA scores from 926 to 1036. St Mary's School leads at 1036, followed by St Mary MacKillop College at 1023 and Swan Hill Christian School at 1017. The main livability caution is safety, with 1,321 recorded offences and 118.1 per 1,000 people, while IRSAD decile 3 sits below the national midpoint.

Drive

84.8%

Public Transport

0.2%

Walk / Cycle

7.1%

Work from Home

N/A

Population Forecast

+0.13%/yr

(+14 people/yr)

Established

Growth is expected to stay slow. The trend forecast is only 0.13% a year, equal to about 14 people annually, with the medium path moving from 11,023 in 2026 to 11,091 in 2031. Migration explains the drag: overseas migration is the primary driver at +59 people a year, but average net internal migration is -200 a year. The gentrification score is 0 and the stage is Not gentrifying, compared with the earlier shift signal of 40 and Early signs. Rent growth of 34.3% shows pressure, but population momentum is weak.

Historical + Forecast

Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025

Age Cohort Forecast

Primary Driver

Overseas Migration

Net Overseas / yr

+59

Net Internal / yr

-200

0

Gentrification Signal

Not gentrifying

Net internal outflow -200/yr

Safety & Crime

Total Offences

1,321

Year ending June 2024

Rate per 1,000 People

118.1

Offence Categories

Property and deception offences
472
Crimes against the person
349
Justice procedures offences
322
Public order and security offences
116

Source: Crime Statistics Agency Victoria / SA Police

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Swan Hill compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 4%
Household Income
Bottom 40%
Rent Level
Bottom 42%
Apartments
Top 35%
Renters
Top 24%
Uni Educated
Bottom 42%
Public Transport
Bottom 0%
Born Overseas
Bottom 50%
Density
Top 27%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Swan Hill a good suburb to live in?

Swan Hill can suit buyers wanting a regional centre with services, schools and detached homes at a $480,000 median price. The trade-off is a car-dependent lifestyle, with 84.8% driving to work, and a crime rate of 118.1 offences per 1,000 people.

What is the median house price in Swan Hill?

The median house price in Swan Hill was $480,000 in Apr-Jun 2024. That is 3.4% below the $497,000 peak recorded in Jan-Mar 2024, but still 113.3% higher than the $225,000 level recorded in 2013.

What schools are in Swan Hill?

Swan Hill has 6 local schools across Government, Catholic and Independent sectors. The highest ICSEA scores are St Mary's School at 1036, St Mary MacKillop College at 1023 and Swan Hill Christian School at 1017.

Is Swan Hill safe?

Swan Hill recorded 1,321 offences, equal to 118.1 per 1,000 people. The largest category was property and deception offences with 472 incidents, followed by crimes against the person with 349, so safety checks should be local and street-specific.

Is Swan Hill good for property investment?

Swan Hill has a renter share of 32.8% and weekly rent of $235, but the 8.8% vacancy rate is a caution for investors. With forecast growth at only 0.13% a year, the case is more about affordable entry and yield than rapid capital growth.

How is Swan Hill's population changing?

Swan Hill's recent population moved from 10,905 in 2023 to 10,747 in 2025, before the medium forecast rises to 11,091 by 2031. The trend is slow at 0.13% a year, with +59 overseas migration offset by -200 net internal migration annually.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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