VIC 3585 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Swan Hill

Swan Hill stands out as an affordable regional service centre with 11,186 residents, a median age of 38 and a housing profile led by 83.1% separate houses. Compared with nearby Lake Boga and Nyah, its larger population and school, health and employment base make it the practical hub for the district. The trade-off is a crime rate of 118.1 incidents per 1,000 residents, so street selection matters. Growth is restrained at 0.13% annually because the area is established rather than a rapid expansion corridor.

Swan Hill urban fabric map

Population

11,186

Median Age

38.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$1,390/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

8

Median House

$470K

October to December 2025

126.59 km²· 88.4 people/km²· Family income $1,802/wk

That pullback can improve negotiating room, while the long-run median remains 108.9% above the 2013 trough. Buyers mostly encounter detached stock: 83.1% separate houses, with 50.7% having 3 bedrooms and 27.5% having 4 or more. A $1,300 monthly mortgage compares with $235 weekly rent, and mortgage costs equal 21.6% of household income without a mortgage stress flag. Compared with the recent peak, the lower entry point helps buyers, but car dependence and property condition still matter.

For Buyers

That pullback can improve negotiating room, while the long-run median remains 108.9% above the 2013 trough. Buyers mostly encounter detached stock: 83.1% separate houses, with 50.7% having 3 bedrooms and 27.5% having 4 or more. A $1,300 monthly mortgage compares with $235 weekly rent, and mortgage costs equal 21.6% of household income without a mortgage stress flag. Compared with the recent peak, the lower entry point helps buyers, but car dependence and property condition still matter.

For Investors

Investors get a low entry price and a rental market that is not especially tight. Weekly rent is $235, 32.3% of households rent, and vacancy is 8.8%, so tenant demand may be less urgent than in lower-vacancy markets. Rent growth is 34.3%, while rent stress is not flagged and rent equals 16.9% of household income. The latest 12-month development count is 8, limiting evidence of a major supply wave, but it also means property selection matters because new competition is modest. Annual growth is only 0.13%, so the case relies more on affordability and overseas migration than rapid capital appreciation. Compared with a high-growth market, Swan Hill suits a patient, cash-flow-aware strategy.

Development Activity

Total DAs

34

Last 12 Months

8

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

-33.3%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

Subdivision
18
Other
2

Schools in Swan Hill

Open-register school locations for education access. This is not a school-quality ranking.

St Mary's School

Primary Catholic

Swan Hill Christian School

Primary Independent

Swan Hill North Primary School

Primary Government

Swan Hill Primary School

Primary Government

St Mary MacKillop College

Secondary Catholic

Demographics

With a median age of 38, Swan Hill is 2 years younger than the national comparison, yet its age profile is edging older: the senior share has risen 2.7 percentage points while the young share fell 0.8 points. University attainment is 21.4%, 8.7 points below the national figure, and overseas-born residents make up 14.1%, 7.5 points below nationally. English ancestry is recorded by 4,176 people, followed by Irish at 1,332 and Scottish at 1,094; Christianity counts 5,216 and no religion 4,358. Compared with nearby Lake Boga and Nyah, Swan Hill has the scale to support more varied services, while 82.2% of residents staying at the same address reinforces stability.

Age Distribution

0-14
19.2%
15-24
11.2%
25-44
26.6%
45-64
21.9%
65+
21.0%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
5.0%
2 bed
16.8%
3 bed
50.7%
4+ bed
27.5%

Dwelling Structure

83.1%

Houses

8.5%

Townhouse

7.8%

Apartment

Tenure

Own 35.6% Mortgage 30.5% Rent 32.3% Other 1.5%

The housing market is detached and ownership-oriented, although renting remains significant. Separate houses account for 83.1% of dwellings versus 7.8% apartments and 8.5% semi-detached homes, so buyers generally shop for conventional family stock rather than units. Ownership outright is 35.6%, above the 30.5% with a mortgage, while 32.3% rent. The bedroom mix reinforces that pattern: 50.7% are three-bedroom homes and 27.5% have four or more, compared with 16.8% two-bedroom and 5.0% zero or one-bedroom dwellings. Compared with the peak, that lower entry point helps buyers, but the 8.8% vacancy rate may temper rental competition.

Mortgage / mo

$1,300

Rent / wkiMedian weekly rent for new bonds (year ending Sep 2025), Homes Victoria bond data (year-ending median). Census 2021 median: $235.

$430

Bond data year ending Sep 2025 · houses $475 · units $355

HH Size

2.3

Personal Income / wk

$754

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

8.8%

Unoccupied

417

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

16.9%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

21.6%

Community Profile

Languages Spoken at Home

Punjabi
102
Italian
57
Mandarin
54
Malayalam
19
Urdu
18
Oth
13

Ancestry

English
4,176
Irish
1,332
Scottish
1,094
Other
854
Ancestry NS
796
Italian
667

Household Composition

37.8%

Couples with children

43.1%

Couples, no children

17.2%

Single parent

2,904

Total families

Economy & Employment

Healthcare is the largest listed industry at 22.0%, followed by education at 13.6%, construction at 9.8%, agriculture at 7.1% and manufacturing at 6.7%. This service and production mix supports local jobs because health and education provide recurring demand while trades, farming and manufacturing broaden employment. Unemployment is 3.0% and participation 59.7%, but household income is at the 39.6th percentile, below the national midpoint. Professionals number 899, labourers 782, managers 718 and trades 715. All four SEIFA measures sit at decile 3, below the middle, despite low unemployment, indicating socioeconomic disadvantage. Compared with higher-income regional hubs, spending power may be constrained.

Unemployment

3.0%

Labour Force

5,397

Unemployed

161

Source: ABS Census 2021

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Overall advantage
3
Disadvantage
3
Economic resources
3
Education & occupation
3

Full-time

60.1%

Part-time

33.5%

Participation

59.7%

Employed

5,236

Full-time and part-time are shares of the employed. Source: ABS Census 2021

Occupations

Professionals 899
Labourers 782
Managers 718
Trades 715
Community/Personal 673
Clerical/Admin 586
Sales 502
Machinery/Drivers 263

Top Industries

Healthcare 22.0%
Education 13.6%
Construction 9.8%
Agriculture 7.1%
Manufacturing 6.7%

University

21.4%

Postgraduate

3.6%

Born Overseas

14.1%

Dwellings

4,341

Transport to Work

Daily life is car-oriented: 78.8% drive to work versus 0.2% using public transport, while 6.6% walk or cycle and 7.1% work from home. Access to shops, jobs and schools is therefore easier by car than transit, so vehicle costs matter. Seven local schools span government, Catholic and independent sectors, with primary, secondary and specialist options; check enrolment zones for the exact address. Safety is the main caution: 1,321 offences equal 118.1 per 1,000 residents, led by 472 property and deception offences, 349 crimes against the person and 322 justice procedures offences. IRSAD is decile 3, below the national middle. Compared with more transit-connected suburbs, Swan Hill suits residents comfortable with driving.

Drive

78.8%

Public Transport

0.2%

Walk / Cycle

6.6%

Work from Home

7.1%

Population Forecast

+0.13%/yr

(+14 people/yr)

Established

Growth is slow and established rather than expansion-led. The annual trend is 0.13%, and population change across the wider area is 7.3% over 10 years, so demand is more likely to build gradually than surge. Overseas migration is the primary driver, while the broader trajectory is Mixed because affordability is improving from 34.4 in 2011 to 31.2 in 2021 and the senior share has increased 2.7 points. Rental growth of 34.3% adds pressure for tenants, but it does not by itself signal a construction boom. Swan Hill is classed as Not gentrifying with a score of 0, while broader shift signals register 40 and Early signs. Compared with faster-growing corridors, the outlook favours incremental change and careful asset selection.

Historical + Forecast

Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025

Age Cohort Forecast

Primary Driver

Overseas Migration

Net Overseas / yr

+59

Net Internal / yr

-200

0

Gentrification Signal

Not gentrifying

Net internal outflow -200/yr

Safety & Crime

Total Offences

1,321

Year ending June 2024

Rate per 1,000 People

118.1

Offence Categories

Property and deception offences
472
Crimes against the person
349
Justice procedures offences
322
Public order and security offences
116

Source: Crime Statistics Agency Victoria / SA Police

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Swan Hill compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 4%
Household Income
Bottom 40%
Rent Level
Bottom 42%
Apartments
Top 9%
Renters
Top 18%
Uni Educated
Bottom 42%
Public Transport
Bottom 0%
Born Overseas
Bottom 50%
Density
Top 27%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Swan Hill a good suburb to live in?

Swan Hill can suit buyers seeking a regional lifestyle, detached housing and practical services. It has 11,186 residents, 83.1% separate houses and 7 local schools. The main compromises are car dependence, with 78.8% driving to work, and a crime rate of 118.1 per 1,000 residents.

What schools are in Swan Hill?

Swan Hill has 7 schools across government, Catholic and independent sectors. The mix includes primary, secondary and specialist education, including government and Catholic secondary options. Families should check the exact enrolment zone because school access can change across nearby streets.

Is Swan Hill safe?

Safety is a key consideration rather than a clear strength. The recorded crime rate is 118.1 offences per 1,000 residents, with 1,321 total offences; property and deception offences account for 472 and crimes against the person for 349. Review the exact street, lighting, parking and security before buying or renting.

How is Swan Hill's population changing?

Swan Hill has 11,186 residents today. The wider area's population change is 7.3% over 10 years, while the annual growth trend is 0.13%, indicating gradual rather than rapid change. Overseas migration is the primary driver, and the trajectory is Mixed. The senior share has risen 2.7 points while the young share has fallen 0.8 points.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), Valuer-General Victoria (house prices), state education open registers (school locations), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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