TAS 7315 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Turners Beach

A median house price of $903,000 alongside a weekly rent of just $280 marks Turners Beach as an unusual corner of Tasmania's north-west coast. The suburb sits in the 47th household income percentile nationally, yet property values have grown 622% since 1996, a compound annual rate of 6.8%. With 1,966 residents spread over 7.14 square kilometres, density is low at 275 per square kilometre. The median age of 46 is 6 years above the national figure, and 43.9% of dwellings are owned outright, well above typical Australian rates, pointing to a settled, long-tenure resident base rather than a transient one.

Turners Beach urban fabric map

Population

1,966

Median Age

46.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$1,513/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

0

Median House

$903K

YTD 2026

7.14 km²· 275.5 people/km²· Family income $1,818/wk

The median house price reached $903,000 in 2026, up from $675,000 in 2024, a 33.8% rise over two years. Separate houses dominate at 88.1% of dwellings, well above the national average, so buyers face a conventional detached market. Three-bedroom homes are most common at 54.2%, with 4-plus bedroom dwellings at 26.4%. Monthly mortgage repayments average $1,387 and the mortgage-to-income ratio is 21.2%, comfortably below the 30% stress threshold. Outright owners at 43.9% outnumber mortgage holders at 39.2%, indicating established, debt-free tenure rather than a market driven by new buyers.

For Buyers

The median house price reached $903,000 in 2026, up from $675,000 in 2024, a 33.8% rise over two years. Separate houses dominate at 88.1% of dwellings, well above the national average, so buyers face a conventional detached market. Three-bedroom homes are most common at 54.2%, with 4-plus bedroom dwellings at 26.4%. Monthly mortgage repayments average $1,387 and the mortgage-to-income ratio is 21.2%, comfortably below the 30% stress threshold. Outright owners at 43.9% outnumber mortgage holders at 39.2%, indicating established, debt-free tenure rather than a market driven by new buyers.

For Investors

Only 16.9% of households rent, well below the national average, and the vacancy rate at 6.6% signals oversupply relative to renter demand. Weekly rent of $280 against a $903,000 median implies a gross yield around 1.6%, low by any benchmark. Net overseas migration of 90 per year is the primary demand driver while internal migration is marginally negative. The investment case rests on long-term capital growth, which has compounded at 6.8% annually over 30 years from $125,000 to $903,000, rather than on yield.

Demographics

The median age of 46 is 6 years above the national figure, and the senior share grew 1.2 points over the decade while the working-age share fell 2.2 points, confirming an aging trajectory. Only 8.5% of residents were born overseas, which is 13.1 points below the national rate, one of the lowest overseas-born shares across comparable coastal suburbs. Ancestry is predominantly Anglo-Celtic: English leads at 930 residents, followed by Irish (208) and Scottish (164). University qualifications reach 26.8%, sitting 3.3 points below the national average. Average household size is 2.4, marginally below national norms, consistent with the high share of couples-without-children households at 33.8%.

Age Distribution

0-14
17.0%
15-24
8.7%
25-44
22.5%
45-64
30.3%
65+
21.3%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
3.8%
2 bed
15.6%
3 bed
54.2%
4+ bed
26.4%

Dwelling Structure

88.1%

Houses

7.1%

Townhouse

N/A

Apartment

Tenure

Own 43.9% Mortgage 39.2% Rent 16.9%

House prices climbed from $125,000 in 1996 to $903,000 in 2026, a 622% total gain at a 6.8% compound annual rate, reaching a new peak. Tenure skews toward ownership: 43.9% own outright and 39.2% hold mortgages, compared to the national renter share of around 31%, while only 16.9% rent. The stock is 88.1% separate houses with 7.1% semi-detached. Three-bedroom dwellings lead at 54.2%, and the 4-plus bedroom share of 26.4% is high, suggesting spacious floor plans. Rent-to-income at 18.5% is below stress levels, though the 6.6% vacancy rate indicates supply exceeds current renter demand.

Median House Price Trend

Source: State Valuer-General

Mortgage / mo

$1,387

Rent / wk

$280

HH Size

2.4

Personal Income / wk

$758

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

6.6%

Unoccupied

55

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

18.5%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

21.2%

Community Profile

Ancestry

English
930
Irish
208
Scottish
164
Ancestry NS
89
Dutch
67
Other
65

Household Composition

33.8%

Couples, no children

1,555

Total families

Economy & Employment

Education and Healthcare together employ 39.9% of local workers, Education at 20.9% (134) and Healthcare at 19.0% (122), a public-sector concentration typical of regional Tasmania. Construction at 11.5% reflects trade demand from a rising property market. Unemployment is 3.4% and full-time employment runs at 58.9%. The IRSD decile of 6 sits above the national median for relative advantage, while IRSAD at decile 5 is near the middle. The IER decile of 7 ranks higher than the other three scores because high outright ownership inflates economic resource measures beyond what personal income alone would suggest.

Unemployment

1.4%

Labour Force

2,047

Unemployed

29

Quarterly Trend

Mar-24 Dec-25

Source: SALM Dec-25

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Overall advantage
5
Disadvantage
6
Economic resources
7
Education & occupation
5

Full-time

58.9%

Part-time

37.7%

Participation

57.6%

Employed

908

Occupations

Professionals 211
Community/Personal 136
Managers 99
Labourers 99
Sales 95
Clerical/Admin 93
Machinery/Drivers 69

Top Industries

Education 20.9%
Healthcare 19.0%
Construction 11.5%
Public Admin 8.0%
Manufacturing 7.5%

University

26.8%

Postgraduate

4.0%

Born Overseas

8.5%

Dwellings

773

Transport to Work

Car dependency is very high: 92.7% drive to work, above the national average, and only 0.7% use public transport. Crime data is not available for this suburb. The IRSAD decile of 5 places Turners Beach near the national middle on combined advantage and disadvantage. Volunteering at 21.4% is above average, and housing stress is low for both renters at 18.5% of income and mortgage holders at 21.2%, both below the 30% stress threshold. No schools are recorded within the suburb boundary, so families rely on nearby towns.

Drive

92.7%

Public Transport

0.7%

Walk / Cycle

1.6%

Work from Home

N/A

Population Forecast

+1.96%/yr

(+96 people/yr)

Established

Population grew 24.2% over the decade to 1,966 residents, above the average for small Tasmanian coastal suburbs, at an annual rate of 1.96% or roughly 96 people per year. Overseas migration of 90 net arrivals annually is the primary driver, outpacing marginal internal outflow of 3. Medium forecasts for the broader SA2 project growth to 5,508 by 2031 from 4,888 in 2025. Early gentrification signals are flagged: population is up 31% since 2011 and turnover accelerated from 11% to 18%. Affordability improved from 36.9% in 2011 to 33.1% in 2021, though the 2026 price surge to $903,000 has compressed that gain.

Historical + Forecast

Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025

Age Cohort Forecast

Primary Driver

Overseas Migration

Net Overseas / yr

+90

Net Internal / yr

-3

25

Gentrification Signal

Early signs

Population +31% since 2011, Accelerating: 11% → 18%

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Turners Beach compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 22%
Household Income
Bottom 47%
Rent Level
Top 46%
Renters
Bottom 40%
Uni Educated
Top 42%
Public Transport
Bottom 8%
Born Overseas
Bottom 22%
Density
Top 22%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Turners Beach a good suburb to live in?

Turners Beach suits those seeking low housing stress and a settled community. Mortgage-to-income sits at 21.2% and rent-to-income at 18.5%, both below the 30% stress threshold. The suburb ranks at IRSAD decile 5, near the national middle, and volunteering reaches 21.4%. The main drawbacks are very limited public transport at 0.7% usage and no recorded schools within the suburb boundary.

What is the median house price in Turners Beach?

The median house price is $903,000 as of 2026, up from $675,000 in 2024, a 33.8% rise over two years. Monthly mortgage repayments average $1,387. Since 1996, prices have grown 622% at a compound annual rate of 6.8%, reaching the current peak.

What schools are in Turners Beach?

No schools are recorded within the Turners Beach suburb boundary in this dataset. Families rely on schools in neighbouring suburbs. University qualifications among residents reach 26.8%, which is 3.3 points below the national average, and 26.8% of the working population are employed as Professionals.

Is Turners Beach safe?

Specific crime statistics are not available for Turners Beach in this dataset. The suburb scores IRSD decile 6, above the national median for relative advantage, and the IRSAD decile is 5. Only 6.1% of residents (115 people) need daily assistance, and housing stress rates for both renters and mortgage holders sit well below the 30% threshold.

Is Turners Beach good for property investment?

The long-term capital growth record is strong at 6.8% compound annual growth over 30 years, but the current rental yield is low. Weekly rent of $280 against a $903,000 median implies a gross yield of around 1.6%, and the vacancy rate is 6.6%, above healthy levels. Only 16.9% of households rent, limiting the tenant pool compared to higher-renter suburbs.

How is Turners Beach's population changing?

The suburb's population of 1,966 has grown 24.2% over the decade, adding roughly 96 people per year at a 1.96% annual rate. Overseas migration of 90 net arrivals per year is the main driver, while internal migration is nearly flat at minus 3 per year. Medium forecasts for the wider area project continued growth to 2031.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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