VIC 3152 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Wantirna South

Wantirna South reads as one of Knox's more settled family-house markets, with 77.7% separate houses, a $1,255,800 median house price and household income in the 71.5th percentile. Beside Wantirna and Knoxfield, its point of difference is scale: 20,754 residents across 14.16 sq km, plus large dwellings rather than apartment density. The median age of 42 is 2.0 years above the national figure, while 47.2% born overseas and 51.0% university qualification rates sit well above national benchmarks.

Wantirna South urban fabric map

Population

20,754

Median Age

42.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$1,915/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

31

Median House

$1.3M

Apr-Jun 2024

14.16 km²· 1,465.6 people/km²· Family income $2,201/wk

Homebuyers are mainly paying for land, school access and larger dwellings: 51.1% of homes have 4 or more bedrooms and 77.7% are separate houses, while apartments are only 4.7%. The $1,255,800 median house price is below the Jul-Sep 2023 peak of $1,443,000 after a 13.0% pullback, so buyers have more leverage than at the top of the cycle. Mortgage pressure is contained at 26.1% of income because household income is relatively high, but entry costs still favour families with established equity.

For Buyers

Homebuyers are mainly paying for land, school access and larger dwellings: 51.1% of homes have 4 or more bedrooms and 77.7% are separate houses, while apartments are only 4.7%. The $1,255,800 median house price is below the Jul-Sep 2023 peak of $1,443,000 after a 13.0% pullback, so buyers have more leverage than at the top of the cycle. Mortgage pressure is contained at 26.1% of income because household income is relatively high, but entry costs still favour families with established equity.

For Investors

The investor case is income-stable rather than high-turnover: only 22.8% of homes are rented, below the 39.1% owned outright and 38.2% mortgaged shares, so listings can be thinner than renter-heavy suburbs. Median rent is $441 a week and rent growth in the forecast shift is 33.0%, but the 5.9% vacancy rate means tenant selection and presentation matter. With 10 development applications in 12 months, supply pressure is present but not at a major redevelopment level.

Development Activity

Total DAs

41

Last 12 Months

31

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

+675.0%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

Other
13
Renovation / Extension
6
Subdivision
6
Multi-Dwelling / Townhouse
3
Tree Removal
2
New Dwelling
2
Change of Use
1
Commercial / Industrial
1

Schools in Wantirna South iICSEA: school advantage index. 1000 = national avg, higher = more advantaged

St Andrews Christian College

ICSEA 1166 Combined Independent

Prep-12 · 719 students

The Knox School

ICSEA 1159 Combined Independent

Prep-12 · 764 students

Waverley Christian College

ICSEA 1141 Combined Independent

Prep-12 · 2370 students

Knox Gardens Primary School

ICSEA 1112 Primary Government

Prep-6 · 458 students

Holy Trinity School

ICSEA 1083 Primary Catholic

Prep-6 · 210 students

Demographics

Wantirna South is older, highly educated and strongly migrant-shaped. The median age is 42, which is 2.0 years above the national benchmark, and 7.0% need assistance, consistent with an aging trajectory. Overseas-born residents make up 47.2%, 25.6 percentage points above national, while university attainment of 51.0% is 20.9 points above national. Chinese ancestry leads at 5,952 people, followed by English at 4,593 and Indian at 1,324, with Mandarin spoken by 1,477 residents.

Age Distribution

0-14
15.8%
15-24
12.2%
25-44
25.1%
45-64
25.6%
65+
21.3%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
3.9%
2 bed
11.7%
3 bed
33.3%
4+ bed
51.1%

Dwelling Structure

77.7%

Houses

17.6%

Townhouse

4.7%

Apartment

Tenure

Own 39.1% Mortgage 38.2% Rent 22.8%

Housing is detached and asset-rich, with 77.7% separate houses, 17.6% semi-detached homes and only 4.7% apartments. Prices have risen from $579,000 in 2013 to a $1,255,800 median in Apr-Jun 2024, a 116.9% gain and 5.7% CAGR over 14 years, though the latest price is 13.0% below the $1,443,000 peak. Ownership depth is a stabiliser because 39.1% own outright and 38.2% have a mortgage, while the price-to-income ratio is about 12.6 times household income.

Median House Price Trend

Source: State Valuer-General

Mortgage / mo

$2,167

Rent / wk

$441

HH Size

2.7

Personal Income / wk

$751

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

5.9%

Unoccupied

456

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

23.0%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

26.1%

Community Profile

Languages Spoken at Home

Mandarin
1,477
Canton
718
Sinhal
247
Hindi
142
Greek
141
Korean
91

Ancestry

Chinese
5,952
English
4,593
Other
2,941
Indian
1,324
Irish
1,177
Scottish
1,151

Household Composition

23.0%

Couples, no children

17,620

Total families

Economy & Employment

The local workforce tilts above average in skills and income, reflected in IRSAD decile 8 and IEO decile 7. Healthcare is the largest industry at 17.0% and 1,254 workers, followed by Professional/Tech at 11.6%, Education at 11.1%, Retail at 8.2% and Construction at 7.7%. Professionals number 2,904, with Managers at 1,467, so household incomes are supported by higher-skill work. Unemployment is 5.1% and participation is 58.3%; the lower participation fits the 6,223 not in the labour force and older age profile.

Unemployment

3.8%

Labour Force

7,702

Unemployed

294

Quarterly Trend

Mar-24 Dec-25

Source: SALM Dec-25

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Overall advantage
8
Disadvantage
7
Economic resources
8
Education & occupation
7

Full-time

63.9%

Part-time

31.0%

Participation

58.3%

Employed

9,666

Occupations

Professionals 2,904
Clerical/Admin 1,524
Managers 1,467
Sales 988
Community/Personal 964
Labourers 676
Machinery/Drivers 416

Top Industries

Healthcare 17.0%
Professional/Tech 11.6%
Education 11.1%
Retail 8.2%
Construction 7.7%

University

51.0%

Postgraduate

15.1%

Born Overseas

47.2%

Dwellings

7,266

Transport to Work

Livability is built around schools, car access and established amenity, but not train-style commuting. Six local schools span an ICSEA range of 1074 to 1166, led by St Andrews Christian College at 1166, The Knox School at 1159 and Waverley Christian College at 1141, with Independent, Government and Catholic options. Car driving dominates at 89.3%, while public transport commuting is only 2.9% and walking or cycling is 1.7%. IRSAD decile 8 supports above average advantage, though crime sits at 79.7 per 1,000, led by 1,048 property and deception offences.

Drive

89.3%

Public Transport

2.9%

Walk / Cycle

1.7%

Work from Home

N/A

Population Forecast

+0.05%/yr

(+7 people/yr)

Established

Growth is modest compared with faster fringe markets: the forecast trend is only 0.05% a year, equal to about 7 people annually. The medium population path moves from 14,578 in 2026 to 14,614 in 2031, so demand is more replacement and migration-led than expansion-led. Migration is the key offset, with overseas inflow averaging +240 people a year against internal outflow of -169. Gentrification is labelled Early signs with a score of 20, while the broader shift remains aging, with seniors up 6.8 percentage points.

Historical + Forecast

Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025

Age Cohort Forecast

Primary Driver

Overseas Migration

Net Overseas / yr

+240

Net Internal / yr

-169

20

Gentrification Signal

Early signs

Net internal outflow -169/yr, Strong overseas inflow +240/yr, COVID recovered (-2% dip → full recovery)

Safety & Crime

Total Offences

1,654

Year ending June 2024

Rate per 1,000 People

79.7

Offence Categories

Property and deception offences
1,048
Crimes against the person
196
Drug offences
179
Justice procedures offences
152

Source: Crime Statistics Agency Victoria / SA Police

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Wantirna South compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 1%
Household Income
Top 28%
Rent Level
Top 10%
Apartments
Top 45%
Renters
Top 44%
Uni Educated
Top 8%
Public Transport
Bottom 46%
Born Overseas
Top 3%
Density
Top 12%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Wantirna South a good suburb to live in?

Yes, especially for households wanting larger homes and strong school choice. Separate houses make up 77.7% of stock, 6 schools operate locally and IRSAD decile 8 points to above average advantage.

What is the median house price in Wantirna South?

The median house price is $1,255,800 for Apr-Jun 2024. That is 13.0% below the Jul-Sep 2023 peak of $1,443,000, but still 116.9% above the 2013 level of $579,000.

What schools are in Wantirna South?

There are 6 local schools. The highest ICSEA schools are St Andrews Christian College at 1166, The Knox School at 1159 and Waverley Christian College at 1141, alongside Government and Catholic primary options.

Is Wantirna South safe?

Recorded crime is 79.7 offences per 1,000 residents, with 1,654 total offences. Property and deception offences are the largest category at 1,048, so home security and street-by-street checks remain important.

Is Wantirna South good for property investment?

It suits investors seeking established family housing more than rapid rental churn. Renting is 22.8%, median rent is $441 a week and vacancy is 5.9%, so returns depend on buying well and managing vacancy.

How is Wantirna South's population changing?

Population growth is very slow, with the forecast trend at 0.05% a year or about 7 people annually. Overseas migration adds about +240 people a year, partly offset by internal outflow of -169.

What languages are spoken in Wantirna South?

English is joined by several major community languages. Mandarin is spoken by 1,477 residents, Cantonese by 718, Sinhala by 247, Hindi by 142 and Greek by 141, reflecting 47.2% born overseas.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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