VIC 3978 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Clyde North

Few Australian suburbs are growing as fast as Clyde North. The population sits at 31,681 with a forecast trend of +6.32% per year (864 new residents annually), the engine for which is internal migration averaging +479 net residents a year compared with +119 from overseas. The median age of 30 is a full decade younger than the national 40, and 73.4% of dwellings have four-plus bedrooms, painting a clear picture: this is Casey's frontier greenfield estate, dominated by young migrant families upgrading from inner Melbourne. The household income sits in the 82nd percentile nationally at $2,163/week, yet the median house price of $740,500 remains roughly $250,000 below Berwick's mature middle-ring market just one suburb west, which explains the migration pull.

Clyde North urban fabric map

Population

31,681

Median Age

30.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$2,163/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

85

Median House

$740K

Apr-Jun 2024

29.28 km²· 1,081.9 people/km²· Family income $2,199/wk

Clyde North is unambiguously a buyer's market for first-home upgraders chasing land. Separate houses make up 97.2% of stock and four-plus bedroom homes 73.4%, with apartments effectively non-existent at 0.1%. The median of $740,500 in Apr-Jun 2024 is the suburb's all-time peak, up 81.1% from $409,000 in 2013 (CAGR 4.3% over 14 years), modest compared with Glen Waverley's premium trajectory but reasonable for a corridor still building its way out. Mortgage repayments average $2,167/month against a household income of $2,163/week, putting mortgage-to-income at 23.1% with no formal stress flag, comfortably below the 30% pressure line. The trade-off is car dependency: 91.6% drive to work and only 2.4% take public transport.

For Buyers

Clyde North is unambiguously a buyer's market for first-home upgraders chasing land. Separate houses make up 97.2% of stock and four-plus bedroom homes 73.4%, with apartments effectively non-existent at 0.1%. The median of $740,500 in Apr-Jun 2024 is the suburb's all-time peak, up 81.1% from $409,000 in 2013 (CAGR 4.3% over 14 years), modest compared with Glen Waverley's premium trajectory but reasonable for a corridor still building its way out. Mortgage repayments average $2,167/month against a household income of $2,163/week, putting mortgage-to-income at 23.1% with no formal stress flag, comfortably below the 30% pressure line. The trade-off is car dependency: 91.6% drive to work and only 2.4% take public transport.

For Investors

Investor signals are mixed. The rental pool is small at 23.5% (vs 67.2% mortgaged owner-occupiers), which constrains tenant supply but reflects an estate still being settled by purchasers rather than landlords. Median rent of $410/week against the $740,500 median produces a gross yield near 2.9%, well below Cranbourne or Pakenham where established stock rents 3.5%-4%. The vacancy rate of 3.0% is borderline (higher than the 2% Melbourne average) and the 29.7% mobility/turnover rate signals churn typical of new estates. The standout is supply-side momentum: 82 development applications in 12 months, including staged subdivisions of 34 lots, meaning capital growth could lag while volume floods the market. Long-hold investors backing the +6.32% population trend will likely outperform short-term flips.

Development Activity

Total DAs

157

Last 12 Months

85

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

+112.5%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

Other
83
Subdivision
38
Commercial
1
Commercial / Industrial
1
Renovation / Extension
1
New Dwelling
1

Schools in Clyde North iICSEA: school advantage index. 1000 = national avg, higher = more advantaged

Hillcrest Christian College

ICSEA 1106 Combined Independent

Prep-12 · 2231 students

St Josephine Bakhita Catholic Primary School

ICSEA 1101 Primary Catholic

Prep-5 · 121 students

Clyde Grammar

ICSEA 1088 Primary Independent

Prep-5 · 312 students

Turrun Primary School

ICSEA 1058 Primary Government

Prep-6 · 203 students

Wulerrp Secondary College

ICSEA 1053 Secondary Government

7 · 233 students

Demographics

The demographic profile is one of Casey's most distinctive. 52.4% of residents were born overseas (30.8 percentage points above the national rate), and 43.4% hold a university degree (13.3pp above national). Indian ancestry (5,822) is the largest non-English group, followed by Sri Lankan (1,579), with Punjabi (1,923 speakers), Sinhalese (1,232) and Malayalam (578) being the dominant non-English languages. The median age of 30 sits 10 years below the national median, and average household size of 3.3 persons is well above the 2.5 Australian average, reflecting multi-generational South Asian family households. Hinduism (3,870) is the second religion behind Christianity (11,251), unusual for outer-Melbourne suburbs and closer to Tarneit's profile than to traditionally Anglo-Celtic Berwick.

Age Distribution

0-14
29.0%
15-24
10.6%
25-44
40.7%
45-64
14.4%
65+
5.3%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
0.2%
2 bed
5.0%
3 bed
21.5%
4+ bed
73.4%

Dwelling Structure

97.2%

Houses

2.7%

Townhouse

0.1%

Apartment

Tenure

Own 9.3% Mortgage 67.2% Rent 23.5%

Housing tenure tells the mortgage-belt story bluntly: only 9.3% of homes are owned outright versus 67.2% with a mortgage and 23.5% rented, compared with the Australian split closer to 31% outright and 35% mortgaged. Dwellings are overwhelmingly four-plus bedroom houses (73.4%), with three-bedroom homes a smaller 21.5% and two-bedroom or smaller barely 5.2% combined. The price arc is striking: $409,000 median in 2013 to $740,500 in 2024 is +81.1% (CAGR 4.3%) and prices are at peak with no drawdown, contrasting sharply with established middle-ring suburbs that rolled over in 2022. With mortgage-to-income at 23.1% and rent-to-income at 19.0%, neither stress flag triggers, but the high mortgage share leaves the suburb interest-rate sensitive.

Median House Price Trend

Source: State Valuer-General (Apr-Jun 2024)

Mortgage / mo

$2,167

Rent / wkiABS Census 2021 median across all dwelling types. Current market rents are typically higher.

$410

Census 2021

HH Size

3.3

Personal Income / wk

$921

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

3.0%

Unoccupied

287

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

19.0%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

23.1%

Community Profile

Languages Spoken at Home

Punjabi
1,923
Sinhal
1,232
Malayalam
578
Hindi
426
Guj
378
Arabic
220

Ancestry

Other
11,049
Indian
5,822
English
5,091
Sri Lankan
1,579
Ancestry NS
1,512
Filipino
1,239

Household Composition

14.4%

Couples, no children

28,750

Total families

Economy & Employment

Employment is broad-based and skewed toward services. Healthcare leads at 23.4% of workers (2,692 jobs), followed by Manufacturing (9.4%), Construction (8.5%), Retail (8.4%) and Education (8.3%). Professionals are the largest occupational group (3,249), then Community/Personal services (2,068) and Clerical/Admin (2,043), reflecting how 43.4% university-educated residents commute toward Monash, Dandenong, and CBD employment hubs (91.6% drive). Unemployment sits at 4.9% with a participation rate of 69.3% and full-time employment at 67.0%, a healthy outcome for a young-family demographic. SEIFA decile readings reveal the layered story: economic resources rank 10th decile (top 10% nationally) and IRSAD 8th, but education-occupation drops to 8th decile, a typical pattern for high-income trade and healthcare workers without postgraduate credentials.

Unemployment

3.1%

Labour Force

7,669

Unemployed

237

Quarterly Trend

Jun-24 Dec-25

Source: SALM Dec-25

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Overall advantage
8
Disadvantage
8
Economic resources
10
Education & occupation
8

Full-time

67.0%

Part-time

28.1%

Participation

69.3%

Employed

14,825

Occupations

Professionals 3,249
Community/Personal 2,068
Clerical/Admin 2,043
Managers 1,646
Machinery/Drivers 1,588
Labourers 1,486
Sales 1,240

Top Industries

Healthcare 23.4%
Manufacturing 9.4%
Construction 8.5%
Retail 8.4%
Education 8.3%

University

43.4%

Postgraduate

13.1%

Born Overseas

52.4%

Dwellings

9,351

Transport to Work

Liveability is built around schools and roads, not transit. The suburb hosts 10 schools, an unusually deep set for a single SA2: Hillcrest Christian College anchors the top with ICSEA 1106 and 2,231 enrolments, while Ramlegh Park Primary (ICSEA 1038) and Wilandra Rise Primary (987) handle volume at 1,385 and 1,139 students. ICSEA scores cluster between 987 and 1106, in line with broader Casey but below Glen Waverley's 1150+ benchmarks. Crime sits at 54.7 per 1,000 (1,733 incidents), close to outer-suburban Melbourne norms but elevated against the metro average near 45/1,000, with 60.8% being property/deception offences typical of new estates and construction zones. Transport is car-locked (91.6% drive, 2.4% public transport) and the SEIFA IRSAD 8th decile and IER 10th decile signal economic comfort despite the limited transit alternatives.

Drive

91.6%

Public Transport

2.4%

Walk / Cycle

0.8%

Work from Home

N/A

Population Forecast

+6.32%/yr

(+864 people/yr)

High Growth

Clyde North is a Tier-1 growth engine. Trend forecast of +6.32% annual population growth (864 persons/year) is roughly six times the Australian average of ~1%, and historical actuals show population expanding from 12,490 (2023) to 13,667 (2025) before scaling toward 18,479 by 2031 under medium projection. Internal migration drives 80% of inflow (479 net per year vs 119 overseas), meaning movers are chiefly Melbourne households trading apartments and middle-ring units for greenfield houses, not new arrivals. The 82 development applications in the past 12 months and the absence of any COVID dip confirm the corridor's structural pull. The forecast type 'high_growth' with no shift category means the trajectory has not yet plateaued, unlike Berwick or Cranbourne which transitioned to mature-suburb forecasts a decade ago.

Historical + Forecast

Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025

Age Cohort Forecast

Primary Driver

Internal Migration

Net Overseas / yr

+119

Net Internal / yr

+479

Safety & Crime

Total Offences

1,733

Year ending June 2024

Rate per 1,000 People

54.7

Offence Categories

Property and deception offences
1,053
Crimes against the person
323
Justice procedures offences
276
Drug offences
56

Source: Crime Statistics Agency Victoria / SA Police

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Clyde North compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 0%
Household Income
Top 18%
Rent Level
Top 14%
Apartments
Bottom 0%
Renters
Top 42%
Uni Educated
Top 14%
Public Transport
Bottom 39%
Born Overseas
Top 2%
Density
Top 15%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Clyde North a good suburb to live in?

Clyde North suits young families prioritising new four-bedroom homes and value over commute time. SEIFA places it in the 8th IRSAD decile and 10th IER decile (top 10% nationally for economic resources), with 43.4% university-educated residents and median household income at the 82nd percentile. The trade-off is 91.6% car dependency and 54.7 crime incidents per 1,000 residents.

What is the median house price in Clyde North?

The median house price was $740,500 in Apr-Jun 2024, the all-time peak. Prices have climbed 81.1% from $409,000 in 2013 (CAGR 4.3% over 14 years). That sits roughly $250,000 below adjacent Berwick and well above Cranbourne, fitting Clyde North's positioning as the newest greenfield tier in Casey LGA's south-east growth corridor.

What schools are in Clyde North?

Clyde North has 10 schools, including Hillcrest Christian College (Combined, Independent, ICSEA 1106, 2,231 students), Clyde Grammar (Primary, Independent, ICSEA 1088), St Josephine Bakhita Catholic Primary (ICSEA 1101), and government schools like Ramlegh Park Primary (1,385 students), Wilandra Rise Primary (1,139), and Wulerrp Secondary College. ICSEA scores range 987 to 1106.

Is Clyde North safe?

Clyde North recorded 1,733 criminal incidents at a rate of 54.7 per 1,000 residents, slightly above the Melbourne metro average near 45 per 1,000. Property and deception offences make up 60.8% (1,053), typical of newly built estates with active construction sites. Crimes against the person were 323 and drug offences only 56, both in line with outer-suburban Melbourne norms.

Is Clyde North good for property investment?

Mixed. Gross rental yield of around 2.9% ($410/week rent on $740,500 median) is below Cranbourne or Pakenham at 3.5-4%. Vacancy of 3.0% is elevated and 82 development applications in 12 months signal heavy supply. The +6.32% population growth and 479 net internal migrants per year support long-term capital growth, but only 23.5% of homes are rentals.

How is Clyde North's population changing?

The population reached 31,681 and is forecast to grow at 6.32% per year (864 persons annually), about six times the national rate. Internal migration drives the majority at 479 net per year versus 119 from overseas. Medium-trend modelling projects 18,479 residents by 2031, a continuation of the 12,490 to 13,667 expansion seen between 2023 and 2025.

What languages are spoken in Clyde North?

52.4% of Clyde North residents were born overseas, 30.8 percentage points above the national rate. The largest non-English languages are Punjabi (1,923 speakers), Sinhalese (1,232), Malayalam (578), Hindi (426), and Gujarati (378). Indian (5,822) and Sri Lankan (1,579) are the largest non-English ancestries, with Hinduism counted at 3,870 followers, an unusual concentration for outer Melbourne.

How much development is happening in Clyde North?

Clyde North logged 82 planning applications in the past 12 months, very high for a single SA2. Recent activity includes staged subdivision permits such as PS842537H/S34 covering 34 lots and ongoing Section 22 plan certifications. With detached houses at 97.2% of stock and 73.4% being four-plus bedroom, new supply is overwhelmingly large family homes rather than apartments or townhouses.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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