WA 6169 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Warnbro

With 95.1% separate houses and just 0.2% apartments, Warnbro is one of Rockingham's clearest detached-home markets. Compared with newer Baldivis growth areas, it reads as a settled coastal suburb: 46.6% of homes carry a mortgage, population growth is forecast at only 0.05% a year, and the medium path adds about 6 people annually. Household income sits at the 47th percentile nationally, so the suburb is more affordable mortgage belt than prestige coastal market.

Warnbro urban fabric map

Population

10,828

Median Age

38.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$1,503/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

0

Median House

$395K

Estimated from rent (2025)

13.91 km²· 778.5 people/km²· Family income $1,784/wk

Warnbro suits buyers wanting land, family floorplans and predictable holding costs more than apartment choice. Separate houses make up 95.1% of dwellings, while 62.9% have 4 or more bedrooms and 32.7% have 3 bedrooms. The typical mortgage is $1,517 a month, taking 23.3% of household income, which is below common stress thresholds. A current median house price is not available, so buyers should compare recent sales closely, especially because mortgage ownership at 46.6% is higher than renting at 26.9%.

For Buyers

Warnbro suits buyers wanting land, family floorplans and predictable holding costs more than apartment choice. Separate houses make up 95.1% of dwellings, while 62.9% have 4 or more bedrooms and 32.7% have 3 bedrooms. The typical mortgage is $1,517 a month, taking 23.3% of household income, which is below common stress thresholds. A current median house price is not available, so buyers should compare recent sales closely, especially because mortgage ownership at 46.6% is higher than renting at 26.9%.

For Investors

The rental base is moderate rather than deep: 26.9% of homes are rented, with weekly rent at $320. The 7.8% vacancy rate is higher than a tight market, so investors need to allow for leasing risk and focus on well-presented family homes. There were 0 recorded developments in the past 12 months, which limits new supply pressure. Demand is more likely to come from overseas migration averaging 115 people a year, compared with 0 net internal migration, but slow population growth caps upside.

Schools in Warnbro iICSEA: school advantage index. 1000 = national avg, higher = more advantaged

Living Waters Lutheran College

ICSEA 1023 Combined Independent

PP-12 · 834 students

Warnbro Primary School

ICSEA 948 Primary Government

K-6 · 233 students

Koorana Primary School

ICSEA 936 Primary Government

K-6 · 377 students

Warnbro Community High School

ICSEA 933 Secondary Government

7-12 · 815 students

Demographics

Warnbro has 10,828 residents, a median age of 38, and an average household size of 2.6, which is 0.1 above the national figure. The age profile is 2.0 years below the national median, but the forecast points to ageing as the senior share rises. Overseas-born residents make up 28.6%, which is 7.0 percentage points above national, while university attainment is 15.9%, 14.2 points below national. English ancestry is the largest group at 5,244 people, followed by Scottish at 1,157 and Irish at 991.

Age Distribution

0-14
20.6%
15-24
12.5%
25-44
25.1%
45-64
27.2%
65+
14.6%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
1.5%
2 bed
2.9%
3 bed
32.7%
4+ bed
62.9%

Dwelling Structure

95.1%

Houses

4.6%

Townhouse

0.2%

Apartment

Tenure

Own 26.5% Mortgage 46.6% Rent 26.9%

Warnbro's housing stock is overwhelmingly low density, with 95.1% separate houses, 4.6% semi-detached dwellings and only 0.2% apartments. Ownership is broad but mortgage-led: 26.5% own outright, 46.6% are paying off a mortgage and 26.9% rent. Larger homes dominate, with 62.9% having 4 or more bedrooms, which is higher than the 32.7% share of 3-bedroom homes. A current median house price and price-to-income ratio are not stated, so sale-by-sale comparison is essential.

Mortgage / mo

$1,517

Rent / wk

$320

HH Size

2.6

Personal Income / wk

$684

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

7.8%

Unoccupied

331

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

21.3%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

23.3%

Community Profile

Languages Spoken at Home

Afrikaans
26
German
16
Portuguese
15
French
11
Italian
11

Ancestry

English
5,244
Scottish
1,157
Irish
991
Other
835
Ancestry NS
617
German
367

Household Composition

25.1%

Couples, no children

8,596

Total families

Economy & Employment

Warnbro's workforce is anchored in practical and service sectors. Healthcare accounts for 15.7% of workers, followed by education at 11.5%, construction at 10.6%, public admin at 9.0% and manufacturing at 8.3%. Occupations lean toward community and personal roles with 652 workers, labourers with 618, and professionals with 565. Unemployment is 8.7% and participation is 55.9%. SEIFA shows the key split: education and occupation sits in decile 1, while economic resources rank higher in decile 5, with disadvantage and advantage both in decile 2.

Unemployment

10.0%

Labour Force

6,192

Unemployed

620

Quarterly Trend

Mar-24 Dec-25

Source: SALM Dec-25

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Overall advantage
2
Disadvantage
2
Economic resources
5
Education & occupation
1

Full-time

65.3%

Part-time

26.0%

Participation

55.9%

Employed

4,388

Occupations

Community/Personal 652
Labourers 618
Professionals 565
Clerical/Admin 535
Machinery/Drivers 516
Sales 410
Managers 372

Top Industries

Healthcare 15.7%
Education 11.5%
Construction 10.6%
Public Admin 9.0%
Manufacturing 8.3%

University

15.9%

Postgraduate

2.7%

Born Overseas

28.6%

Dwellings

3,944

Transport to Work

Everyday life in Warnbro is car-oriented, with 85.7% driving to work compared with 5.2% using public transport and 1.8% walking or cycling. Education access is local, with 4 schools spanning Independent and Government sectors and an ICSEA range from 933 to 1023. Living Waters Lutheran College leads on ICSEA at 1023 with 834 enrolments, followed by Warnbro Primary at 948 and Koorana Primary at 936. Current suburb-level crime per 1,000 is not available, so safety checks should use recent WA Police updates.

Drive

85.7%

Public Transport

5.2%

Walk / Cycle

1.8%

Work from Home

N/A

Population Forecast

+0.05%/yr

(+6 people/yr)

Established

Warnbro is forecast to barely grow, with trend growth of 0.05% a year, equal to about 6 people annually. The medium population path moves from 11,449 in 2026 to 11,479 in 2031, far below the pace of a typical fringe expansion suburb. Migration is still important because overseas migration averages 115 people a year, compared with 0 net internal migration. The longer shift is ageing: seniors rose 5.2 points, young residents fell 2.4 points, and the gentrification score is 0, classed as Not gentrifying.

Historical + Forecast

Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025

Age Cohort Forecast

Primary Driver

Overseas Migration

Net Overseas / yr

+115

Net Internal / yr

0

0

Gentrification Signal

Not gentrifying

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Warnbro compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 4%
Household Income
Bottom 47%
Rent Level
Top 34%
Apartments
Bottom 1%
Renters
Top 34%
Uni Educated
Bottom 22%
Public Transport
Top 33%
Born Overseas
Top 15%
Density
Top 17%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Warnbro a good suburb to live in?

Warnbro can suit households wanting detached homes and coastal Rockingham access, with 95.1% separate houses and 62.9% of homes having 4 or more bedrooms. It is highly car-based, with 85.7% driving to work, so it works best for buyers comfortable relying on a car.

What is the median house price in Warnbro?

A current median house price is not available for Warnbro. Affordability can still be judged through costs: the typical mortgage is $1,517 a month, rent is $320 a week, and mortgage payments take 23.3% of household income.

What schools are in Warnbro?

Warnbro has 4 local schools. Living Waters Lutheran College is an Independent combined school with ICSEA 1023 and 834 enrolments, while Government options include Warnbro Primary, Koorana Primary and Warnbro Community High School.

Is Warnbro safe?

A current suburb-level crime rate per 1,000 residents is not available for Warnbro. Residents should check recent WA Police figures, but local context includes 10,828 residents, 4 schools and a mainly detached housing pattern with 95.1% separate houses.

Is Warnbro good for property investment?

Warnbro has an investable family-house base, but it is not a high-growth rental market. Renting sits at 26.9%, weekly rent is $320, and vacancy is 7.8%, which is higher than a tight market. There were 0 developments recorded in the past 12 months.

How is Warnbro's population changing?

Warnbro is changing slowly and ageing. Forecast trend growth is only 0.05% a year, or about 6 people annually, with the medium path rising from 11,449 in 2026 to 11,479 in 2031. Overseas migration averages 115 people a year.

What is housing like in Warnbro?

Housing in Warnbro is strongly detached and family-sized. Separate houses make up 95.1% of dwellings, apartments just 0.2%, and 62.9% of homes have 4 or more bedrooms. Mortgage holders are the largest tenure group at 46.6%.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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