SA 5159 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Aberfoyle Park

Detached housing defines Aberfoyle Park: 94.5% of dwellings are separate houses, with 49.9% of homes carrying a mortgage and 35.2% owned outright. Compared with nearby Happy Valley and Flagstaff Hill, it reads as a compact family service hub rather than a hills-edge acreage market. The suburb has 11,234 residents, a median age of 42 that is 2.0 years above national, and a low recorded crime rate of 20.7 per 1,000. Its appeal is steady rather than speculative because ownership is high and population growth is slow.

Aberfoyle Park urban fabric map

Population

11,234

Median Age

42.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$1,765/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

88

Median House

$942K

Median 1Q 2026

5.84 km²· 1,922.3 people/km²· Family income $2,052/wk

Homebuyers face a median house price of $941,688 in 1Q 2026, higher than the $780,000 recorded in 1Q 2025 after 20.7% annual growth. The housing stock suits families because 55.1% of homes have 3 bedrooms and 36.5% have 4 or more, while only 5.5% are semi-detached. Mortgage costs are contained relative to income, with monthly repayments of $1,517 and mortgage-to-income at 19.8%. Buyers wanting apartments will find little choice, as separate houses make up 94.5% of dwellings.

For Buyers

Homebuyers face a median house price of $941,688 in 1Q 2026, higher than the $780,000 recorded in 1Q 2025 after 20.7% annual growth. The housing stock suits families because 55.1% of homes have 3 bedrooms and 36.5% have 4 or more, while only 5.5% are semi-detached. Mortgage costs are contained relative to income, with monthly repayments of $1,517 and mortgage-to-income at 19.8%. Buyers wanting apartments will find little choice, as separate houses make up 94.5% of dwellings.

For Investors

Aberfoyle Park is more owner-occupier than renter market, so investor demand is selective rather than broad. Renting accounts for 14.9%, below the 35.2% owned outright and 49.9% mortgaged shares, which limits tenant depth but can support stable streets. Median rent is $340 per week and vacancy is 3.7%, so pricing power depends on quality and location. The 74 development applications over 12 months point to ongoing renewal, compared with a market that is not rapidly adding rental stock.

Development Activity

Total DAs

547

Last 12 Months

88

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

+7.3%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

Deck / Pergola / Patio
54
Garage / Carport / Shed
33
Tree Removal
20
Renovation / Extension
17
New Dwelling
10
Landscaping / Retaining Wall
8
Swimming Pool / Spa
8
Subdivision
7

Schools in Aberfoyle Park iICSEA: school advantage index. 1000 = national avg, higher = more advantaged

Pilgrim School

ICSEA 1109 Primary Independent

R-6 · 161 students

School of the Nativity

ICSEA 1086 Primary Catholic

R-6 · 159 students

Our Saviour Lutheran School Happy Valley Incorporated

ICSEA 1065 Primary Independent

R-6 · 98 students

Aberfoyle Park High School

ICSEA 1039 Secondary Government

7-12 · 906 students

Aberfoyle Hub Primary School

ICSEA 1030 Primary Government

U, R-6 · 241 students

Demographics

The population of 11,234 is older and slightly more educated than national norms. Median age is 42, which is 2.0 years above national, while 33.5% hold a university qualification, 3.4 percentage points above national. Overseas-born residents are 22.5%, just 0.9 points above national, so the suburb leans locally rooted. English ancestry is the largest group at 5,343 people, followed by Scottish at 1,147 and German at 991, because long-term family settlement still shapes the area.

Age Distribution

0-14
17.2%
15-24
11.6%
25-44
24.1%
45-64
27.1%
65+
20.1%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
0.3%
2 bed
8.1%
3 bed
55.1%
4+ bed
36.5%

Dwelling Structure

94.5%

Houses

5.5%

Townhouse

N/A

Apartment

Tenure

Own 35.2% Mortgage 49.9% Rent 14.9%

Housing is strongly detached and ownership-led. The median house price reached $941,688 in 1Q 2026, matching the peak and sitting 20.7% higher than the $780,000 trough in 1Q 2025. Owners with a mortgage make up 49.9%, outright owners 35.2%, and renters 14.9%, so turnover pressure is lower than in renter-heavy suburbs. Affordability is helped by mortgage-to-income at 19.8% and rent-to-income at 19.3%, while 91.6% of homes have 3 or more bedrooms.

Median House Price Trend

Source: State Valuer-General

Mortgage / mo

$1,517

Rent / wk

$340

HH Size

2.6

Personal Income / wk

$783

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

3.7%

Unoccupied

159

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

19.3%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

19.8%

Community Profile

Languages Spoken at Home

Polish
56
Mandarin
38
Punjabi
30
Greek
26
Persian ED
19
German
18

Ancestry

English
5,343
Scottish
1,147
German
991
Irish
935
Other
885
Italian
355

Household Composition

27.6%

Couples, no children

9,456

Total families

Economy & Employment

Aberfoyle Park has a service-sector workforce with above-average stability indicators. Healthcare is the largest industry at 23.4% and 924 workers, followed by education at 14.0% and 552 workers, then construction at 8.6%. Professionals lead occupations with 1,331 people, ahead of clerical/admin at 861. Unemployment is 4.8% and participation is 60.9%. SEIFA is mixed: resources and disadvantage both sit in decile 8, while education/occupation and advantage sit in decile 6, suggesting solid household resilience rather than top-tier affluence.

Unemployment

2.4%

Labour Force

6,889

Unemployed

165

Quarterly Trend

Mar-24 Dec-25

Source: SALM Dec-25

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Overall advantage
6
Disadvantage
8
Economic resources
8
Education & occupation
6

Full-time

59.5%

Part-time

35.7%

Participation

60.9%

Employed

5,393

Occupations

Professionals 1,331
Clerical/Admin 861
Community/Personal 772
Managers 656
Sales 490
Labourers 451
Machinery/Drivers 242

Top Industries

Healthcare 23.4%
Education 14.0%
Construction 8.6%
Public Admin 8.0%
Professional/Tech 7.8%

University

33.5%

Postgraduate

6.9%

Born Overseas

22.5%

Dwellings

4,158

Transport to Work

Daily life is car-oriented, with 90.3% driving to work compared with 4.0% using public transport and 1.2% walking or cycling. School choice is a major strength: 7 local schools span Independent, Catholic and Government sectors, with ICSEA scores from 983 to 1109. Pilgrim School leads at 1109 with 161 enrolments, followed by School of the Nativity at 1086 and Our Saviour Lutheran at 1065. Safety is also a draw, with 232 recorded offences and 20.7 crimes per 1,000, while IRSAD sits in decile 6.

Drive

90.3%

Public Transport

4.0%

Walk / Cycle

1.2%

Work from Home

N/A

Population Forecast

-0.19%/yr

(-22 people/yr)

Established

Growth is expected to be subdued because household ageing and internal outflow outweigh modest overseas inflow. The annual trend is -0.19%, equal to about -22 people per year, and the medium forecast moves from 11,808 in 2026 to 11,698 in 2031. Migration is led by overseas migration at +66 people annually, but net internal migration is -102. The shift is labelled Aging, with senior share up 8.9 and young share down -2.6. Gentrification is score 0 and stage Not gentrifying, below growth-market settings.

Historical + Forecast

Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025

Age Cohort Forecast

Primary Driver

Overseas Migration

Net Overseas / yr

+66

Net Internal / yr

-102

0

Gentrification Signal

Not gentrifying

Net internal outflow -102/yr

Safety & Crime

Total Offences

232

Year ending June 2024

Rate per 1,000 People

20.7

Source: Crime Statistics Agency Victoria / SA Police

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Aberfoyle Park compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 4%
Household Income
Top 38%
Rent Level
Top 30%
Renters
Bottom 33%
Uni Educated
Top 27%
Public Transport
Top 43%
Born Overseas
Top 24%
Density
Top 9%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Aberfoyle Park a good suburb to live in?

Yes, especially for households wanting detached homes, schools and lower crime. Separate houses make up 94.5% of dwellings, there are 7 local schools, and the crime rate is 20.7 per 1,000 residents.

What is the median house price in Aberfoyle Park?

The median house price is $941,688 for 1Q 2026. That is up from $780,000 in 1Q 2025, a 20.7% increase over the recorded year, with the latest price also the current peak.

What schools are in Aberfoyle Park?

Aberfoyle Park has 7 schools across Independent, Catholic and Government sectors. Notable options include Pilgrim School with ICSEA 1109, School of the Nativity at 1086, and Aberfoyle Park High School with 906 enrolments.

Is Aberfoyle Park safe?

Aberfoyle Park records 232 offences, equal to 20.7 crimes per 1,000 residents. That low rate, alongside an IRSD decile of 8, supports its reputation as a relatively secure family suburb.

Is Aberfoyle Park good for property investment?

It can suit investors seeking stable family tenants rather than high churn. Rent is $340 per week, vacancy is 3.7%, renters are 14.9% of households, and 74 development applications show ongoing local renewal.

How is Aberfoyle Park's population changing?

The population outlook is mildly declining. The annual trend is -0.19%, or about -22 people per year, with the medium forecast easing from 11,808 in 2026 to 11,698 in 2031.

Is there much development in Aberfoyle Park?

Yes, there were 74 development applications over the past 12 months. Recent examples include a single-storey detached dwelling and outbuilding work, suggesting renewal is mostly incremental rather than high-density change.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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