NSW 2527 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Albion Park Rail

Three facts define this Illawarra suburb, and they pull in different directions. The population grew 68.9% over the decade, one of the steepest expansions on the coast, yet the median house price holds at $799,000, well below Sydney levels. Household income sits in the 40.9th percentile nationally, and the suburb scores in decile 2 on both the IRSAD and IRSD disadvantage indexes, near the bottom of the national distribution. University qualifications reach just 13.4%, which is 16.7 points below the national figure, while detached houses make up 78.1% of dwellings. The median age of 41 runs only 1 year above national, but the young-adult share fell 2.6 points over the decade.

Albion Park Rail urban fabric map

Population

6,920

Median Age

41.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$1,411/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

51

Median House

$799K

2024-2025 (PSI derived)

7.16 km²· 966 people/km²· Family income $1,645/wk

The $799,000 median is affordable by NSW coastal standards, and prices rose 3.2% from $780,000 in 2024 to $805,000 in 2025, a steady rather than runaway pace. The stock suits families: 78.1% are separate houses and apartments are almost absent at 0.9%, so buyers compete for detached homes rather than units. Three-bedroom dwellings dominate at 57.9% and 4-plus bedroom homes add 25.6%, leaving little small stock. Monthly mortgage repayments average $1,820, producing a mortgage-to-income ratio of 29.8%, just below the 30% stress threshold despite household incomes only in the 40.9th percentile. Owners with a mortgage (37.8%) outnumber outright owners (34.9%), a sign of recent buyers still paying down debt rather than long-settled wealth.

For Buyers

The $799,000 median is affordable by NSW coastal standards, and prices rose 3.2% from $780,000 in 2024 to $805,000 in 2025, a steady rather than runaway pace. The stock suits families: 78.1% are separate houses and apartments are almost absent at 0.9%, so buyers compete for detached homes rather than units. Three-bedroom dwellings dominate at 57.9% and 4-plus bedroom homes add 25.6%, leaving little small stock. Monthly mortgage repayments average $1,820, producing a mortgage-to-income ratio of 29.8%, just below the 30% stress threshold despite household incomes only in the 40.9th percentile. Owners with a mortgage (37.8%) outnumber outright owners (34.9%), a sign of recent buyers still paying down debt rather than long-settled wealth.

For Investors

A 27.3% renter share and weekly rent of $390 give landlords a moderate tenant pool, and against the $799,000 median that rent implies a gross yield near 2.5%, higher than premium Sydney suburbs though modest in absolute terms. The 4.8% vacancy rate is slightly elevated, pointing to adequate supply rather than scarcity. Demand support is real: the population is forecast to grow 3.04% a year, adding about 153 residents annually, with overseas migration the primary driver at roughly 100 net arrivals a year and internal migration adding another 44. Development activity is healthy at 46 applications in 12 months, including subdivisions and multi-dwelling housing that signal new supply ahead. Rent climbed 18.8% over the period, so the case rests on growth and yield more than capital scarcity.

Development Activity

Total DAs

333

Last 12 Months

51

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

+15.9%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

Renovation / Extension
24
Demolition
21
Subdivision
13
Commercial / Industrial
11
Garage / Carport / Shed
8
Granny Flat / Secondary Dwelling
4
Signage / Advertising
3
Change of Use
3

Demographics

The median age of 41 is just 1.0 year above the national figure, but the make-up is shifting: the working-age share rose 4.1 points while the young-adult share fell 2.6 points over the decade. Overseas-born residents reach 15.7%, which is 5.9 points below national, marking this as a predominantly Australian-born area. Ancestry is heavily Anglo-Celtic, led by English (2,934), Scottish (725) and Irish (621), and the largest non-English languages are Macedonian (18 speakers) and Greek (12). University qualifications at 13.4% run 16.7 points below national, consistent with a workforce weighted toward trades and service roles. Average household size is 2.5, identical to the national average, and couples with children (1,788 families) outnumber couples without children (1,553), a younger family profile than wealthier suburbs.

Age Distribution

0-14
17.5%
15-24
12.1%
25-44
24.2%
45-64
24.7%
65+
21.3%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
1.5%
2 bed
15.0%
3 bed
57.9%
4+ bed
25.6%

Dwelling Structure

78.1%

Houses

20.9%

Townhouse

0.9%

Apartment

Tenure

Own 34.9% Mortgage 37.8% Rent 27.3%

Tenure tilts toward recent buyers: 37.8% carry a mortgage, 34.9% own outright and 27.3% rent. Mortgage holders outnumbering outright owners points to a churn of newer households rather than long-held, debt-free wealth. The stock is overwhelmingly detached at 78.1% separate houses, with semi-detached at 20.9% and apartments at just 0.9%, so the market offers family homes and little else. Three-bedroom dwellings account for 57.9% and 4-plus bedroom homes 25.6%, while small one and two-bedroom stock is scarce at 16.5% combined. The median house price rose from $780,000 to $805,000 across 2024-2025, a 3.2% one-year move. Mortgage-to-income at 29.8% sits just under the stress line, and rent-to-income at 27.6% stays manageable, both reflecting affordability relative to Sydney despite below-median local incomes.

Median House Price Trend

Source: State Valuer-General

Mortgage / mo

$1,820

Rent / wk

$390

HH Size

2.5

Personal Income / wk

$636

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

4.8%

Unoccupied

130

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

27.6%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

29.8%

Community Profile

Languages Spoken at Home

Macedon
18
Greek
12

Ancestry

English
2,934
Scottish
725
Irish
621
Other
459
Ancestry NS
367
German
303

Household Composition

28.6%

Couples, no children

5,435

Total families

Economy & Employment

The workforce concentrates in service and trade sectors rather than knowledge industries: Healthcare leads at 24.9% (457 workers), Construction follows at 11.9% (219) and Education at 9.9% (181), with Public Admin at 8.0% and Retail at 7.9%. By occupation, Community and Personal Service workers (506) and Clerical and Admin staff (359) top the list, ahead of Professionals (340), which aligns with the decile 1 IEO score for education and occupation, the lowest tier nationally. Unemployment sits at 5.9% and the full-time employment rate is 61.2%, while participation reads 47.6%, held down by 2,339 residents not in the labour force. The IER economic-resources score reaches decile 4, higher than the decile 2 disadvantage indexes, because affordable housing leaves households with relatively more disposable resources.

Unemployment

10.1%

Labour Force

3,365

Unemployed

341

Quarterly Trend

Mar-24 Dec-25

Source: SALM Dec-25

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Overall advantage
2
Disadvantage
2
Economic resources
4
Education & occupation
1

Full-time

61.2%

Part-time

32.9%

Participation

47.6%

Employed

2,556

Occupations

Community/Personal 506
Clerical/Admin 359
Professionals 340
Labourers 337
Machinery/Drivers 326
Sales 272
Managers 256

Top Industries

Healthcare 24.9%
Construction 11.9%
Education 9.9%
Public Admin 8.0%
Retail 7.9%

University

13.4%

Postgraduate

2.4%

Born Overseas

15.7%

Dwellings

2,565

Transport to Work

Car dependence is high: 91.9% drive to work while just 2.3% use public transport and 1.5% walk or cycle, well above the national reliance on cars and a function of the suburb's outer-Illawarra position. No schools are recorded inside the 7.16 km2 boundary in this dataset, so families rely on institutions in neighbouring suburbs, a practical trade-off for the low density of 966 residents per km2. With no crime statistics available, the SEIFA indexes serve as an indirect read: the suburb scores decile 2 on IRSAD and IRSD, near the lower end nationally, and 11.3% of residents (742 people) need daily assistance, above what the median age of 41 alone would suggest. Volunteering runs at 9.9%, and rent-to-income at 27.6% keeps housing costs manageable.

Drive

91.9%

Public Transport

2.3%

Walk / Cycle

1.5%

Work from Home

N/A

Population Forecast

+3.04%/yr

(+153 people/yr)

High Growth

This is a fast-expanding suburb: the population grew 68.9% over the decade and is forecast to keep rising 3.04% a year, adding about 153 residents annually toward a medium projection of 5,822 by 2031. Overseas migration is the primary driver at roughly 100 net arrivals a year, supported by 44 from internal migration, so growth is fuelled by genuine inflow rather than churn. Affordability improved from 42.5% in 2011 to 35.3% in 2021, an unusual gain for a high-growth area and a reason buyers keep arriving. The gentrification stage reads early signs with a score of 34, reflecting a 16.2% real income gain over the decade, though the suburb remains in decile 2 for advantage and has room to climb rather than peaking.

Historical + Forecast

Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025

Age Cohort Forecast

Primary Driver

Overseas Migration

Net Overseas / yr

+100

Net Internal / yr

+44

15

Gentrification Signal

Not gentrifying

Accelerating: 10% → 69%

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Albion Park Rail compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 8%
Household Income
Bottom 41%
Rent Level
Top 19%
Apartments
Bottom 19%
Renters
Top 33%
Uni Educated
Bottom 14%
Public Transport
Bottom 38%
Born Overseas
Top 44%
Density
Top 16%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Albion Park Rail a good suburb to live in?

Albion Park Rail suits families seeking affordable detached housing, with 78.1% separate houses and a $799,000 median, well below Sydney levels. The population grew 68.9% over the decade. The trade-offs are a decile 2 IRSAD score, near the bottom nationally, and high car dependence with 91.9% driving to work.

What is the median house price in Albion Park Rail?

The median house price is $799,000, affordable by NSW coastal standards. Prices rose 3.2% from $780,000 in 2024 to $805,000 in 2025. Weekly rent averages $390 and monthly mortgage repayments run about $1,820, giving a mortgage-to-income ratio of 29.8%, just below the stress threshold.

What schools are in Albion Park Rail?

No schools are recorded inside the 7.16 km2 Albion Park Rail boundary in this dataset, so families rely on schools in neighbouring suburbs. Education is the third-largest employer locally at 9.9% of the workforce, though university qualifications sit at 13.4%, which is 16.7 points below national.

Is Albion Park Rail safe?

Detailed crime statistics are not available for Albion Park Rail in this dataset. As an indirect indicator, the suburb scores decile 2 on the IRSD index of relative disadvantage, a lower tier nationally, and 11.3% of its residents need daily assistance, both pointing to a higher-need rather than affluent area.

Is Albion Park Rail good for property investment?

Rent of $390 a week against a $799,000 median gives a gross yield near 2.5%, higher than premium Sydney suburbs. The 4.8% vacancy rate is mildly elevated, but forecast population growth of 3.04% a year and 18.8% rent growth over the period support demand-led returns.

How is Albion Park Rail's population changing?

The population grew 68.9% over the decade and is forecast to keep rising 3.04% a year, about 153 residents annually, toward 5,822 by 2031. Overseas migration drives growth at roughly 100 net arrivals a year, while the young-adult share fell 2.6 points over the decade.

How much development is happening in Albion Park Rail?

There were 46 development applications lodged in the past 12 months, including subdivisions and multi-dwelling housing that signal new supply. This activity fits a high-growth suburb expanding 3.04% a year, where detached houses make up 78.1% of existing stock.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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