SA 5043 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Ascot Park

A median house price above $1 million in a suburb where household income sits at only the 39.2nd percentile nationally is the central tension of Ascot Park. The suburb scores decile 9 on IRSAD and IEO, two of the top advantage tiers nationally, yet weekly household income of $1,381 is below the national midpoint, a gap explained by the student and early-career renters who make up 44.9% of households. The overseas-born share reaches 38.9%, which is 17.3 percentage points above national, and university qualifications sit 16 points above the national figure at 46.1%. Population grew 11.6% over the decade, driven almost entirely by overseas migration averaging 94 net arrivals a year.

Ascot Park urban fabric map

Population

3,588

Median Age

34.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$1,381/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

24

Median House

$1.1M

Median 1Q 2026

1.0 km²· 3,573.7 people/km²· Family income $1,894/wk

The median house price reached $1,050,833 in 1Q 2026, up 2.5% from $1,025,000 in 1Q 2025. Monthly mortgage repayments average $1,500, and the mortgage-to-income ratio is 25.1%, below the 30% stress threshold despite a median price above $1 million, because this suburb draws buyers with higher incomes than household averages suggest. Separate houses make up only 42.4% of the stock, with apartments at 34.4% and semi-detached dwellings at 23.2%, so detached-house buyers are competing for a minority share of supply. Three-bedroom dwellings account for 45.9% of homes and two-bedroom for 41.4%, making four-plus bedroom properties genuinely scarce at 9.3%. Outright owners at 23.8% are fewer than renters at 44.9%, which is unusual for a suburb with prices at this level compared to SA state norms.

For Buyers

The median house price reached $1,050,833 in 1Q 2026, up 2.5% from $1,025,000 in 1Q 2025. Monthly mortgage repayments average $1,500, and the mortgage-to-income ratio is 25.1%, below the 30% stress threshold despite a median price above $1 million, because this suburb draws buyers with higher incomes than household averages suggest. Separate houses make up only 42.4% of the stock, with apartments at 34.4% and semi-detached dwellings at 23.2%, so detached-house buyers are competing for a minority share of supply. Three-bedroom dwellings account for 45.9% of homes and two-bedroom for 41.4%, making four-plus bedroom properties genuinely scarce at 9.3%. Outright owners at 23.8% are fewer than renters at 44.9%, which is unusual for a suburb with prices at this level compared to SA state norms.

For Investors

A 44.9% renter share is the headline figure for investors, above average compared to SA broadly, and the demand base is strengthened by 94 net overseas arrivals per year. Weekly rent is $320 against a $1,050,833 median, implying a gross yield near 1.6%, low on absolute terms but consistent with other inner-Adelaide suburbs at this price point. The vacancy rate of 6.6% warrants monitoring, as it sits above the 3% equilibrium threshold and could soften rent growth. Development activity ran at 23 applications in the past 12 months, including a five-dwelling residential flat building and a land division creating nine allotments, signalling infill intensification rather than a supply surge. The gentrification score of 22 places the suburb at early signs stage, and population grew 11.6% over 10 years, both supportive of long-term capital growth.

Development Activity

Total DAs

139

Last 12 Months

24

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

+71.4%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

Deck / Pergola / Patio
7
New Dwelling
6
Renovation / Extension
5
Tree Removal
5
Subdivision
4
Swimming Pool / Spa
4
Commercial / Industrial
3
Garage / Carport / Shed
3

Demographics

The median age of 34 is 6.0 years below the national figure, making Ascot Park one of the younger suburbs at this price tier. Overseas-born residents reach 38.9%, which is 17.3 percentage points above national, and the top ancestry groups are English (1,053), Chinese (248), Scottish (241) and Irish (240). The top spoken languages beyond English are Nepali (110 speakers), Mandarin (77), Arabic (66), Punjabi (38) and Urdu (28), reflecting a South Asian and Middle Eastern migration flow. University qualifications at 46.1% sit 16 points above national, consistent with the proximity to educational and healthcare institutions. Average household size is 2.2, compared to 2.5 nationally, driven by the high single-person and couple-without-children household composition, with couples having no children at 31.7% of families.

Age Distribution

0-14
14.3%
15-24
13.7%
25-44
37.5%
45-64
19.9%
65+
14.8%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
3.4%
2 bed
41.4%
3 bed
45.9%
4+ bed
9.3%

Dwelling Structure

42.4%

Houses

23.2%

Townhouse

34.4%

Apartment

Tenure

Own 23.8% Mortgage 31.3% Rent 44.9%

Tenure is heavily skewed toward renting: 44.9% rent, 31.3% carry a mortgage and only 23.8% own outright, compared to national norms where ownership is higher. The stock leans toward medium-density, with separate houses at just 42.4%, apartments at 34.4% and semi-detached at 23.2%, reflecting the suburb's 3,574 persons per km2 density. Three-bedroom homes are the plurality at 45.9% and two-bedroom at 41.4%, while four-plus bedroom homes are rare at 9.3%. The median house price grew from $1,025,000 in 1Q 2025 to $1,050,833 in 1Q 2026, a 2.5% annual rise. Rent-to-income at 23.2% and mortgage-to-income at 25.1% are both below stress thresholds, meaning neither owners nor renters face acute affordability pressure relative to local incomes despite the price level.

Median House Price Trend

Source: State Valuer-General

Mortgage / mo

$1,500

Rent / wk

$320

HH Size

2.2

Personal Income / wk

$783

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

6.6%

Unoccupied

112

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

23.2%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

25.1%

Community Profile

Languages Spoken at Home

Nepali
110
Mandarin
77
Arabic
66
Punjabi
38
Urdu
28
Hindi
27

Ancestry

English
1,053
Other
809
Chinese
248
Scottish
241
Irish
240
German
224

Household Composition

31.7%

Couples, no children

2,453

Total families

Economy & Employment

Healthcare dominates the local employment mix at 29.6% of workers (417 residents), nearly three times the share of the second-largest sector, Education at 9.7% (137). Retail (7.3%), Public Admin (7.2%) and Professional/Tech (7.0%) follow at similar scales. By occupation, Professionals lead at 461 workers, Community and Personal Services at 345, and Clerical/Admin at 239. The unemployment rate is 6.1%, above the national average, and the participation rate is 62.1%, with 922 residents not in the labour force. Personal weekly income averages $783, and the full-time employment rate is 60.0% of employed workers. The SEIFA IRSD and IRSAD deciles are both 9, indicating low relative disadvantage nationally, but the household income at the 39.2nd percentile points to a workforce that skews toward service and healthcare roles rather than high-income professions.

Unemployment

3.6%

Labour Force

4,017

Unemployed

143

Quarterly Trend

Mar-24 Dec-25

Source: SALM Dec-25

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Overall advantage
9
Disadvantage
9
Economic resources
7
Education & occupation
9

Full-time

60.0%

Part-time

33.9%

Participation

62.1%

Employed

1,796

Occupations

Professionals 461
Community/Personal 345
Clerical/Admin 239
Labourers 186
Sales 163
Managers 147
Machinery/Drivers 97

Top Industries

Healthcare 29.6%
Education 9.7%
Retail 7.3%
Public Admin 7.2%
Professional/Tech 7.0%

University

46.1%

Postgraduate

12.7%

Born Overseas

38.9%

Dwellings

1,588

Transport to Work

Transport reliance on cars is high at 79.3% of commuters, above the national average, while 10.2% use public transport and 3.2% walk or cycle. The suburb sits at IRSAD decile 9 nationally, indicating low disadvantage compared to most Australian suburbs. The crime rate is 70.5 incidents per 1,000 residents, which is a figure to benchmark against SA norms rather than treat in isolation. About 6.1% of residents (209 people) need daily assistance, and volunteering runs at 14.0%. No schools are recorded inside the Ascot Park boundary, so families draw on institutions in neighbouring suburbs. Housing stress is absent at current income levels, with rent-to-income at 23.2% and mortgage-to-income at 25.1%, both below the 30% threshold. At 14.0% volunteering rate, community participation is comparable to state averages.

Drive

79.3%

Public Transport

10.2%

Walk / Cycle

3.2%

Work from Home

N/A

Population Forecast

+1.19%/yr

(+77 people/yr)

Established

Ascot Park is growing at 1.19% annually, adding roughly 77 residents per year. Over 10 years, population rose 11.6%, above the national rate for established suburbs. Medium-scenario forecasts project the broader SA5 population rising from 6,454 in 2025 to 6,745 by 2031. Overseas migration is the primary driver, contributing a net 94 arrivals per year compared to 34 from internal migration. The gentrification score sits at 22 with signals including population up 20% since 2011 and an accelerating proportion of residents from 0% to 19%. Affordability improved from 37.3% in 2011 to 33.1% in 2021, a trend going in the right direction compared to most capital city suburbs where affordability deteriorated. Rent grew 14.7% over the period, and the trajectory is classified as Aging, with the senior share rising 3.3 points.

Historical + Forecast

Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025

Age Cohort Forecast

Primary Driver

Overseas Migration

Net Overseas / yr

+94

Net Internal / yr

+34

22

Gentrification Signal

Early signs

Population +20% since 2011, Accelerating: 0% → 19%

Safety & Crime

Total Offences

253

Year ending June 2024

Rate per 1,000 People

70.5

Source: Crime Statistics Agency Victoria / SA Police

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Ascot Park compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 15%
Household Income
Bottom 39%
Rent Level
Top 34%
Apartments
Top 11%
Renters
Top 12%
Uni Educated
Top 12%
Public Transport
Top 12%
Born Overseas
Top 7%
Density
Top 2%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Ascot Park a good suburb to live in?

Ascot Park scores decile 9 on IRSAD and IEO, placing it among the top nationally for low disadvantage and educational advantage. Household income sits at the 39.2nd percentile, but housing stress is absent, with rent-to-income at 23.2% and mortgage-to-income at 25.1%. The suburb suits professionals and renters drawn to healthcare and education employment nearby.

What is the median house price in Ascot Park?

The median house price is $1,050,833 as of 1Q 2026, up 2.5% from $1,025,000 in 1Q 2025. Weekly rent averages $320 and monthly mortgage repayments run about $1,500, giving a mortgage-to-income ratio of 25.1%, below the stress threshold.

What schools are in Ascot Park?

No schools are recorded inside the Ascot Park boundary in this dataset. Families draw on schools in neighbouring suburbs. The local population is well-educated, with university qualifications at 46.1%, which is 16 percentage points above the national figure, consistent with proximity to Adelaide's healthcare and education precincts.

Is Ascot Park safe?

The recorded crime rate is 70.5 incidents per 1,000 residents across 253 total incidents in the data period. As a supplementary indicator, Ascot Park scores decile 9 on the IRSD index of relative disadvantage nationally, placing it in the lower-disadvantage tier where crime rates tend to be lower than average.

Is Ascot Park good for property investment?

Ascot Park has a 44.9% renter share, well above average, and net overseas migration of 94 arrivals annually supporting demand. Weekly rent of $320 against a $1,050,833 median gives a gross yield near 1.6%. The vacancy rate of 6.6% is a watch point. The gentrification score of 22 with a 2.5% price rise in 12 months suggests early-stage capital growth potential.

How is Ascot Park's population changing?

Population grew 11.6% over 10 years, adding about 77 residents per year at 1.19% annual growth. Overseas migration is the primary driver at 94 net arrivals per year, compared to 34 from internal migration. Forecasts project continued growth through 2031. The age trajectory is classified as Aging, with the senior share rising 3.3 points over the decade.

What languages are spoken in Ascot Park?

About 38.9% of residents were born overseas, which is 17.3 percentage points above the national figure. The top non-English languages are Nepali (110 speakers), Mandarin (77), Arabic (66), Punjabi (38) and Urdu (28), reflecting strong South Asian and Middle Eastern migration flows alongside the dominant English-speaking community.

How much development is happening in Ascot Park?

There were 23 development applications lodged in the past 12 months. Recent examples include a double-storey residential flat building with 5 dwellings lodged in April 2026 and a land division creating 9 allotments in March 2026. This infill pattern, rather than greenfield growth, reflects the suburb's established 1.0 km2 footprint at 3,574 persons per km2.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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