NSW 2197 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Bass Hill

Lebanese ancestry (2,488 residents) outranks English (1,199) as the largest heritage group, and Arabic is spoken by 1,515 residents, making Bass Hill one of the most culturally distinctive suburbs in Sydney's south-west. Despite household income at just the 40.9 percentile nationally ($1,411 weekly), the median house price sits at $1,287,000, producing extreme affordability pressure: mortgage-to-income at 39.0% and rent-to-income at 31.9%, both above the stress thresholds. SEIFA confirms deep disadvantage with IRSD decile 1 and IRSAD decile 3, while the 10.6% unemployment rate is more than double the national average. Prices surged 12.5% in a single year, from $1,200,000 to $1,350,000, the fastest growth in the Canterbury-Bankstown corridor, driven by land scarcity rather than income improvement.

Bass Hill urban fabric map

Population

10,230

Median Age

34.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$1,411/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

81

Median House

$1.3M

2024-2025 (PSI derived)

2.96 km²· 3,457.7 people/km²· Family income $1,576/wk

The $1,287,000 median house price grew 12.5% year-on-year, from $1,200,000 to $1,350,000, outpacing most Sydney suburbs. Monthly mortgage repayments of $2,383 generate a mortgage-to-income ratio of 39.0%, well above the 30% stress threshold, making Bass Hill one of the most mortgage-stressed suburbs in the Canterbury-Bankstown LGA. Detached houses account for 72.2% of stock, with semi-detached at 20.3% and apartments at 7.3%. Three-bedroom and four-plus bedroom homes are virtually tied at 41.9% and 42.1% respectively. The average household size of 3.3, well above the national 2.5, reflects multigenerational living arrangements common in Lebanese and Vietnamese communities. The 34.3% mortgage share and 31.3% outright ownership indicate a mature suburb where legacy homeowners coexist with newly leveraged buyers facing severe affordability constraints.

For Buyers

The $1,287,000 median house price grew 12.5% year-on-year, from $1,200,000 to $1,350,000, outpacing most Sydney suburbs. Monthly mortgage repayments of $2,383 generate a mortgage-to-income ratio of 39.0%, well above the 30% stress threshold, making Bass Hill one of the most mortgage-stressed suburbs in the Canterbury-Bankstown LGA. Detached houses account for 72.2% of stock, with semi-detached at 20.3% and apartments at 7.3%. Three-bedroom and four-plus bedroom homes are virtually tied at 41.9% and 42.1% respectively. The average household size of 3.3, well above the national 2.5, reflects multigenerational living arrangements common in Lebanese and Vietnamese communities. The 34.3% mortgage share and 31.3% outright ownership indicate a mature suburb where legacy homeowners coexist with newly leveraged buyers facing severe affordability constraints.

For Investors

Renters make up 34.4% of households, above the national average, providing a substantial tenant base. Median weekly rent of $450 against the $1,287,000 median delivers a gross yield of roughly 1.8%, below the Sydney metro average. The 6.7% vacancy rate is elevated above the 3% equilibrium. Development activity is moderate at 72 applications in 12 months, including secondary dwellings and subdivision, reflecting the granny flat trend driven by cultural norms of multigenerational housing. Rent-to-income at 31.9% already exceeds the stress threshold, meaning tenants have limited capacity to absorb further rent increases. Population grows at 0.95% per year (234 persons), driven by overseas migration at +205 net per year against internal outflow of -118. The gentrification score of 50 (active) suggests ongoing demographic change, though it is income-driven (8.2% real growth) rather than credential-driven.

Development Activity

Total DAs

393

Last 12 Months

81

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

-3.6%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

Demolition
32
Renovation / Extension
32
Granny Flat / Secondary Dwelling
30
Swimming Pool / Spa
18
Subdivision
14
New Dwelling
13
Multi-Dwelling / Townhouse
8
Change of Use
8

Schools in Bass Hill iICSEA: school advantage index. 1000 = national avg, higher = more advantaged

Bass Hill Public School

ICSEA 929 Primary Government

P-6 · 346 students

Bass High School

ICSEA 927 Secondary Government

7-12 · 874 students

Demographics

The demographic profile is distinctly non-Anglo: Lebanese (2,488) leads ancestry, followed by unspecified (2,267), English (1,199) and Vietnamese (1,004). Arabic dominates non-English languages at 1,515 speakers, far ahead of Greek (96), Cantonese (88), Italian (75) and Macedonian (51). The 38.4% overseas-born share sits 16.8 percentage points above the national average. University qualifications at 26.8%, 3.3 percentage points below national, and the SEIFA IEO decile 4 confirm below-average education attainment. The median age of 34 is 6 years below the national figure, and the large 3.3 average household size reflects extended family structures. Islam (3,429) and Christianity (4,060) coexist as major religions, with Buddhism (652) reflecting the Vietnamese community. The 34.0% participation rate is extremely low, driven partly by cultural factors in female workforce engagement.

Age Distribution

0-14
23.8%
15-24
13.8%
25-44
25.3%
45-64
22.3%
65+
15.1%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
5.5%
2 bed
10.6%
3 bed
41.9%
4+ bed
42.1%

Dwelling Structure

72.2%

Houses

20.3%

Townhouse

7.3%

Apartment

Tenure

Own 31.3% Mortgage 34.3% Rent 34.4%

Tenure splits roughly into thirds: 31.3% own outright, 34.3% hold mortgages, and 34.4% rent. The near-even distribution is unusual and reflects a suburb transitioning from legacy outright owners (older Lebanese and Greek families) to newer, more leveraged buyers. Three-bedroom homes account for 41.9% and four-plus bedrooms for 42.1%, with semi-detached stock at 20.3% growing through secondary dwelling and granny flat construction. Prices surged from $1,200,000 to $1,350,000, a 12.5% jump in one year, the fastest in the Canterbury-Bankstown corridor. Both rent stress (31.9%) and mortgage stress (39.0%) exceed their respective thresholds, a rare double-stress scenario that indicates systemic affordability failure relative to local incomes. The IRSAD decile 3 reading confirms Bass Hill sits in the bottom 30% of Australian suburbs on overall advantage.

Median House Price Trend

Source: State Valuer-General

Mortgage / mo

$2,383

Rent / wk

$450

HH Size

3.3

Personal Income / wk

$534

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

6.7%

Unoccupied

201

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

31.9% stressed

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

39.0% stressed

Community Profile

Languages Spoken at Home

Arabic
1,515
Greek
96
Canton
88
Italian
75
Macedon
51
Mandarin
43

Ancestry

Lebanese
2,488
Other
2,267
Ancestry NS
1,236
English
1,199
Vietnamese
1,004
Chinese
455

Household Composition

13.1%

Couples, no children

8,446

Total families

Economy & Employment

Healthcare leads employment at 16.8% (294 workers), followed by Education at 13.3% (233), Construction at 10.0% (175), Professional/Technical at 9.2% (160) and Retail at 8.0% (139). The low absolute worker counts reflect the 34.0% participation rate, one of the lowest in Sydney, driven by a large population outside the labour force (3,749 persons). The 10.6% unemployment rate is more than double the national average, and combined with the low participation, it paints a picture of significant economic exclusion. SEIFA scores are uniformly low: IRSD decile 1 (extreme relative disadvantage), IER decile 3 (low economic resources), IEO decile 4 and IRSAD decile 3. Despite this, real income grew 8.2% over the decade and affordability worsened from 49.4% to 74.2% mortgage-to-income, driven entirely by price growth outpacing modest income gains.

Unemployment

10.8%

Labour Force

10,781

Unemployed

1,162

Quarterly Trend

Mar-24 Dec-25

Source: SALM Dec-25

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Overall advantage
3
Disadvantage
1
Economic resources
3
Education & occupation
4

Full-time

61.1%

Part-time

28.3%

Participation

34.0%

Employed

2,370

Occupations

Professionals 594
Clerical/Admin 464
Managers 318
Community/Personal 306
Machinery/Drivers 290
Sales 281
Labourers 279

Top Industries

Healthcare 16.8%
Education 13.3%
Construction 10.0%
Professional/Tech 9.2%
Retail 8.0%

University

26.8%

Postgraduate

5.6%

Born Overseas

38.4%

Dwellings

2,784

Transport to Work

Two schools serve the suburb, both below the ICSEA 1,000 national benchmark: Bass Hill Public School (929, Government, 346 students) and Bass High School (927, Government, 874 students). The below-average ICSEA scores are consistent with the IRSD decile 1 and IEO decile 4 readings. Public transport accounts for just 3.5% of commutes, with 87.4% driving and 2.4% walking/cycling. The low transit share reflects limited rail access in the Canterbury-Bankstown area. Crime data is not available, but the IRSD decile 1 (most disadvantaged nationally) is a strong predictor of elevated property crime. Need-for-assistance at 8.5% (792 persons) is above the national average. The 7.2% volunteering rate is well below the national average, the inverse of what affluent suburbs show.

Drive

87.4%

Public Transport

3.5%

Walk / Cycle

2.4%

Work from Home

N/A

Population Forecast

+0.95%/yr

(+234 people/yr)

Established

Population grows at 0.95% per year (234 persons), with medium projections reaching 26,226 by 2031. Overseas migration at +205 net per year is the primary driver, while internal migration runs negative at -118, indicating domestic residents are leaving for more affordable areas while new arrivals from overseas replace them. The population grew 18.8% over the past decade, above the Sydney average. The gentrification score of 50 (active) with rent growth of 100% over the decade signals significant affordability pressure rather than traditional credential-based gentrification. The young share grew 2.1 percentage points while the senior share barely moved (+0.2), confirming ongoing family formation. Affordability deteriorated dramatically from 49.4% to 74.2% mortgage-to-income between 2011 and 2021, one of the steepest declines in Sydney.

Historical + Forecast

Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025

Age Cohort Forecast

Primary Driver

Overseas Migration

Net Overseas / yr

+205

Net Internal / yr

-118

16

Gentrification Signal

Not gentrifying

Population +17% since 2011, Net internal outflow -118/yr, Strong overseas inflow +205/yr

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Bass Hill compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 4%
Household Income
Bottom 41%
Rent Level
Top 10%
Apartments
Top 36%
Renters
Top 22%
Uni Educated
Top 42%
Public Transport
Top 48%
Born Overseas
Top 7%
Density
Top 2%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Bass Hill a good suburb to live in?

Bass Hill suits buyers with cultural ties to the Lebanese and Vietnamese communities, offering detached housing at $1,287,000 median. Both mortgage stress (39.0%) and rent stress (31.9%) exceed thresholds. IRSAD decile 3 and IRSD decile 1 indicate significant disadvantage. Schools are below the ICSEA 1,000 benchmark. The 3.3 average household size accommodates multigenerational families.

What is the median house price in Bass Hill?

The median house price is $1,287,000 (PSI derived 2024-2025), with prices surging 12.5% from $1,200,000 to $1,350,000 over the year. Monthly mortgage of $2,383 at household income of $1,411/week produces 39.0% mortgage-to-income, well above the 30% stress threshold. Median weekly rent is $450 with 6.7% vacancy.

What schools are in Bass Hill?

Bass Hill has 2 schools, both below the national ICSEA 1,000 benchmark: Bass Hill Public School (929, Government, 346 students) and Bass High School (927, Government, 874 students). The below-average scores are consistent with the IEO decile 4 and the suburb's 26.8% university qualification rate, 3.3 percentage points below national.

Is Bass Hill safe?

Crime data is not available. IRSD decile 1, the lowest nationally, indicates extreme relative disadvantage, which correlates with higher crime rates in comparable suburbs. Unemployment at 10.6% is more than double the national average. Need-for-assistance at 8.5% is above national. The 7.2% volunteering rate is below average. These proxy indicators suggest residents should research crime statistics from NSW BOCSAR.

Is Bass Hill good for property investment?

The 34.4% renter share provides a reasonable tenant pool, but both rent stress (31.9%) and mortgage stress (39.0%) are above thresholds, limiting tenants' ability to absorb increases. Gross yield is roughly 1.8% ($450 rent on $1,287,000). Price growth of 12.5% was strong, but driven by scarcity not income (40.9 percentile). The 72 DAs and granny flat activity signal densification potential. Vacancy at 6.7% needs monitoring.

How is Bass Hill's population changing?

Population grows at 0.95% per year (234 persons), driven by overseas migration (+205 net/year) against internal outflow of -118/year. The 38.4% overseas-born share is 16.8 points above national. Median age of 34, which is 6 years below national, reflects ongoing family formation. Affordability collapsed from 49.4% to 74.2% mortgage-to-income between 2011-2021. Medium projection: 26,226 by 2031.

What languages are spoken in Bass Hill?

Arabic dominates at 1,515 speakers, reflecting the Lebanese community (2,488 ancestry). Greek (96), Cantonese (88), Italian (75) and Macedonian (51) follow. With 38.4% born overseas, 16.8 percentage points above the national average, Bass Hill is one of Sydney's most linguistically concentrated suburbs, unusual because a single language (Arabic) accounts for the majority of non-English speakers.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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