NSW 2506 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Berkeley

SEIFA decile 1 across all four indices makes Berkeley one of the most disadvantaged suburbs in NSW, yet rent has grown 84.2% over the past decade, faster than suburbs in far wealthier brackets. This tension between low socio-economic status and strong rent growth defines the investment case. Labourers are the largest occupation group (434), ahead of professionals (389), which is the inverse of most metropolitan suburbs. Gentrification is scored at 64 (Active stage), but with only 0.22% annual population growth and net internal outflows of -120/year, the gentrification effect is being driven by rising costs pushing out existing residents rather than incoming wealth.

Berkeley urban fabric map

Population

7,798

Median Age

40.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$1,217/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

55

Median House

$790K

2024-2025 (PSI derived)

7.32 km²· 1,065.2 people/km²· Family income $1,541/wk

The median house price of $790,000 (PSI-derived 2024-25) grew modestly from $785,000 to $795,000 between 2024 and 2025. The housing is overwhelmingly detached (88.8%) with 53.3% being 3-bedroom homes. Mortgage stress is a concern at 32.9% of income, above the 30% warning threshold, because household incomes sit in just the 26th percentile nationally. Illawarra Sports High School (ICSEA 937, 926 enrolled) anchors secondary education, but ICSEA scores across all 3 schools are below the national median of 1000, ranging from 868 to 937.

For Buyers

The median house price of $790,000 (PSI-derived 2024-25) grew modestly from $785,000 to $795,000 between 2024 and 2025. The housing is overwhelmingly detached (88.8%) with 53.3% being 3-bedroom homes. Mortgage stress is a concern at 32.9% of income, above the 30% warning threshold, because household incomes sit in just the 26th percentile nationally. Illawarra Sports High School (ICSEA 937, 926 enrolled) anchors secondary education, but ICSEA scores across all 3 schools are below the national median of 1000, ranging from 868 to 937.

For Investors

The 39.2% renting rate and 4.1% vacancy rate form a solid demand-supply balance. Weekly rent of $290 against a $790,000 median gives a modest 1.9% gross yield. However, rent growth of 84.2% over the decade is exceptional and the gentrification score of 64 (Active) suggests continued upward pressure on rents. The 55 development applications in 12 months, including dual occupancies, indicate new housing supply entering the market. Affordability worsened from 50.3% to 62.5% mortgage-to-income over the decade, meaning buyers are increasingly stretching to enter.

Development Activity

Total DAs

294

Last 12 Months

55

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

+22.2%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

Granny Flat / Secondary Dwelling
22
Demolition
17
Renovation / Extension
16
Subdivision
8
Multi-Dwelling / Townhouse
7
Garage / Carport / Shed
7
Swimming Pool / Spa
7
Commercial / Industrial
6

Schools in Berkeley iICSEA: school advantage index. 1000 = national avg, higher = more advantaged

Illawarra Sports High School

ICSEA 937 Secondary Government

7-12 · 926 students

Berkeley Public School

ICSEA 926 Primary Government

K-6 · 259 students

Berkeley West Public School

ICSEA 868 Primary Government

K-6 · 157 students

Demographics

The median age of 40 matches the national figure. University attainment at 19.0% is 11.1 percentage points below the national average, and the occupation profile (labourers 434, community/personal 396, professionals 389) reflects a working-class economy. Macedonian ancestry (503) is notable, making up the 5th largest ancestry group, and Macedonian (170 speakers) is the most common non-English language. Only 22.9% of residents were born overseas, close to the national 21.6%. Population stability is high with 83.7% staying in the same address, above the national retention rate.

Age Distribution

0-14
19.0%
15-24
12.1%
25-44
24.3%
45-64
26.4%
65+
18.2%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
4.2%
2 bed
15.6%
3 bed
53.3%
4+ bed
26.9%

Dwelling Structure

88.8%

Houses

2.7%

Townhouse

8.5%

Apartment

Tenure

Own 32.6% Mortgage 28.2% Rent 39.2%

Detached houses dominate at 88.8%, with a small apartment segment (8.5%) and minimal semi-detached stock (2.7%). Three-bedroom homes are the majority at 53.3%. The price grew from $785,000 to $795,000 between 2024 and 2025, a 1.3% increase. Ownership is split between outright (32.6%), mortgaged (28.2%), and renting (39.2%). Mortgage stress at 32.9% exceeds the 30% threshold, placing Berkeley above the risk line for mortgage holders. The low income percentile (26th) combined with $790,000 prices creates a stretched affordability profile compared to suburbs at similar income levels.

Median House Price Trend

Source: State Valuer-General

Mortgage / mo

$1,733

Rent / wk

$290

HH Size

2.5

Personal Income / wk

$568

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

4.1%

Unoccupied

124

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

23.8%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

32.9% stressed

Community Profile

Languages Spoken at Home

Macedon
170
Arabic
135
Portuguese
62
Serbian
33
Italian
29
Croatian
17

Ancestry

English
2,329
Other
1,097
Scottish
558
Ancestry NS
545
Macedonian
503
Irish
487

Household Composition

23.5%

Couples, no children

6,136

Total families

Economy & Employment

Healthcare dominates at 20.6% of employment, followed by construction (12.2%) and education (10.4%). Manufacturing at 8.3% is higher than the national average, reflecting the Illawarra industrial base. Labourers (434) outnumber professionals (389), and machinery/drivers (293) form the 5th largest group, indicating a blue-collar employment structure. Unemployment at 7.1% is above the national average. The participation rate of just 43.0% is notably low, meaning over half of adults are not in the labour force. SEIFA IRSAD decile 1 confirms Berkeley sits in the bottom 10% nationally for socio-economic advantage.

Unemployment

14.5%

Labour Force

6,330

Unemployed

920

Quarterly Trend

Mar-24 Dec-25

Source: SALM Dec-25

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Overall advantage
1
Disadvantage
1
Economic resources
2
Education & occupation
1

Full-time

61.2%

Part-time

31.7%

Participation

43.0%

Employed

2,520

Occupations

Labourers 434
Community/Personal 396
Professionals 389
Clerical/Admin 345
Machinery/Drivers 293
Sales 278
Managers 201

Top Industries

Healthcare 20.6%
Construction 12.2%
Education 10.4%
Retail 8.5%
Manufacturing 8.3%

University

19.0%

Postgraduate

4.9%

Born Overseas

22.9%

Dwellings

2,875

Transport to Work

Three schools serve Berkeley: Illawarra Sports High School (Government, Secondary, ICSEA 937, 926 enrolled), Berkeley Public School (ICSEA 926, 259 enrolled), and Berkeley West Public School (ICSEA 868, 157 enrolled). All score below the national median of 1000. Public transport usage is minimal at 2.3%, with 89.6% driving. Need for assistance at 10.1% (740 people) is among the highest rates in the region. The low volunteering rate of 9.3% is consistent with the SEIFA decile 1 profile, where community participation tends to be lower than advantaged areas.

Drive

89.6%

Public Transport

2.3%

Walk / Cycle

1.2%

Work from Home

N/A

Population Forecast

+0.22%/yr

(+32 people/yr)

Established

Population growth is minimal at 0.22% annually (32 people/year), well below the national average, projected to reach 14,513 by 2031 from 14,288 in 2025. The suburb grew only 10.7% over the past decade. Internal migration runs at -120/year (net outflow), while overseas migration adds +89/year. The population trajectory is classified as Stable, with age cohort shares barely shifting. Real income grew 20.4% over the decade, which is positive, but affordability still worsened from 50.3% to 62.5% because house prices outpaced income gains.

Historical + Forecast

Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025

Age Cohort Forecast

Primary Driver

Overseas Migration

Net Overseas / yr

+89

Net Internal / yr

-120

0

Gentrification Signal

Not gentrifying

Net internal outflow -120/yr

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Berkeley compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 7%
Household Income
Bottom 26%
Rent Level
Top 43%
Apartments
Top 33%
Renters
Top 17%
Uni Educated
Bottom 34%
Public Transport
Bottom 38%
Born Overseas
Top 24%
Density
Top 15%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Berkeley a good suburb to live in?

Berkeley suits buyers seeking detached housing in the Illawarra region at $790,000. The 88.8% house stock and stable population (83.7% retention) provide a settled suburban environment. However, SEIFA decile 1, school ICSEA scores all below 1000 (range 868-937), and 7.1% unemployment are factors that prospective residents should weigh.

What is the median house price in Berkeley?

The PSI-derived median is $790,000 for 2024-2025, with the most recent annual data showing $795,000 in 2025, up 1.3% from $785,000 in 2024. Growth has been modest compared to Sydney metropolitan averages.

What schools are in Berkeley?

Berkeley has 3 government schools: Illawarra Sports High School (Secondary, ICSEA 937, 926 enrolled), Berkeley Public School (Primary, ICSEA 926, 259 enrolled), and Berkeley West Public School (Primary, ICSEA 868, 157 enrolled). All ICSEA scores fall below the national median of 1000.

Is Berkeley safe?

Suburb-level crime data is not available for Berkeley in the current dataset. The SEIFA IRSD decile of 1, the lowest bracket nationally, statistically correlates with higher crime rates than average. The need-for-assistance rate of 10.1% also indicates socio-economic challenges.

Is Berkeley good for property investment?

Rent growth of 84.2% over the past decade is strong, and the 4.1% vacancy rate is healthy. Gross yield is modest at 1.9% ($290/week on $790,000). The 55 DAs in 12 months show active development. The gentrification score of 64 (Active) suggests ongoing demographic transition, but the net internal outflow of -120/year is a risk factor.

How is Berkeley's population changing?

Growth is near-flat at 0.22% annually (32 people/year), with population forecast to barely shift from 14,288 in 2025 to 14,513 by 2031. Domestic residents leave at -120/year while overseas arrivals add +89/year. The suburb grew only 10.7% over the entire past decade, well below state averages.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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