NSW 2445 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Bonny Hills

A median age of 51 tells the sharpest story about Bonny Hills, sitting 11 years above the national figure, making it one of the oldest resident profiles in coastal NSW. With 98.8% separate houses, the suburb is almost entirely detached stock spread across 20.75 sq km of hinterland behind Port Macquarie. Owner-occupier tenure dominates: 51.6% own outright, a rate that reflects long-held, debt-free households rather than active churn. Household income sits at the 41.8th percentile nationally, below median, yet median house prices reached $930,000 in 2024 and ticked to $935,000 in 2025, a premium anchored by coastal proximity and low supply of detached homes.

Bonny Hills urban fabric map

Population

3,045

Median Age

51.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$1,421/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

25

Median House

$930K

2024-2025 (PSI derived)

20.75 km²· 146.8 people/km²· Family income $1,784/wk

The median house price moved from $930,000 in 2024 to $935,000 in 2025, a 0.5% gain that reflects an established, low-turnover market rather than speculative momentum. At 98.8%, separate houses dominate stock completely, with semi-detached at just 1.2% and no recorded apartments. Bedrooms skew large: 49.9% of dwellings have four or more bedrooms and 39.0% have three, so buyers targeting spacious family homes will find the best selection here. Monthly mortgage repayments average $1,820, giving a mortgage-to-income ratio of 29.6%, just below the 30% stress threshold. With 51.6% of residents owning outright, competition for listings is moderate rather than intense, but turnover at 20.2% annually means fewer properties change hands compared to higher-churn suburbs.

For Buyers

The median house price moved from $930,000 in 2024 to $935,000 in 2025, a 0.5% gain that reflects an established, low-turnover market rather than speculative momentum. At 98.8%, separate houses dominate stock completely, with semi-detached at just 1.2% and no recorded apartments. Bedrooms skew large: 49.9% of dwellings have four or more bedrooms and 39.0% have three, so buyers targeting spacious family homes will find the best selection here. Monthly mortgage repayments average $1,820, giving a mortgage-to-income ratio of 29.6%, just below the 30% stress threshold. With 51.6% of residents owning outright, competition for listings is moderate rather than intense, but turnover at 20.2% annually means fewer properties change hands compared to higher-churn suburbs.

For Investors

Bonny Hills carries a rental yield challenge: weekly rent of $445 against a $935,000 median implies a gross yield of around 2.5%, below coastal NSW averages. The vacancy rate of 8.0% is elevated, signalling more supply than sustained rental demand can absorb. Only 17.2% of households rent, one of the lower renter shares in the region, so the tenant pool is thin. On the development side, 25 applications were lodged in the past 12 months, with recent activity including new house erections and dwelling modifications. Net internal migration drives the broader Port Macquarie LGA at 470 residents per year, and Bonny Hills sits within that catchment. The long-term growth case leans on lifestyle demand from sea-changers rather than yield, with the 10-year population change of 17.4% providing a reasonable historical demand signal.

Development Activity

Total DAs

193

Last 12 Months

25

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

-19.4%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

Renovation / Extension
29
Swimming Pool / Spa
6
Garage / Carport / Shed
6
New Dwelling
5
Subdivision
2
Landscaping / Retaining Wall
2
Granny Flat / Secondary Dwelling
2
Deck / Pergola / Patio
1

Demographics

Bonny Hills skews strongly toward the older end of the national spectrum: median age is 51, which is 11 years above the national figure. The aging trajectory is confirmed by a senior share that rose 9.1 points over the decade while the working-age share fell 5.0 points. The overseas-born population is just 10.0%, which is 11.6 percentage points below the national average, and ancestry concentrates in Anglo-Celtic groups: English (1,372), Irish (388) and Scottish (385) lead by a wide margin. University qualifications reach 26.4%, sitting 3.7 points below national. The participation rate of 51.1% is moderate, consistent with a large retired cohort: 1,110 residents are not in the labour force. Couples without children make up 38.1% of families, the dominant household type, and average household size at 2.5 matches the national figure exactly.

Age Distribution

0-14
14.7%
15-24
10.9%
25-44
15.5%
45-64
30.5%
65+
28.6%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
2.1%
2 bed
9.0%
3 bed
39.0%
4+ bed
49.9%

Dwelling Structure

98.8%

Houses

1.2%

Townhouse

N/A

Apartment

Tenure

Own 51.6% Mortgage 31.2% Rent 17.2%

Ownership depth is the defining housing characteristic: 51.6% own outright, more than double the 31.2% carrying a mortgage, and only 17.2% rent. This compares to the national ownership profile where outright owners are a far smaller proportion of all households. The stock is almost exclusively separate houses at 98.8%, with the remaining 1.2% semi-detached, meaning buyers seeking apartments or townhouses will not find them here. Four-plus bedroom dwellings account for 49.9% of the total, the dominant configuration, followed by three-bedroom at 39.0%. Prices have held narrow range: the earliest recorded price was $930,000 in 2024, the latest $935,000 in 2025, with a CAGR of 0.5% over one year. Rent stress applies: rent-to-income is 31.3%, above the 30% threshold, while mortgage-to-income at 29.6% sits just below it.

Median House Price Trend

Source: State Valuer-General

Mortgage / mo

$1,820

Rent / wk

$445

HH Size

2.5

Personal Income / wk

$677

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

8.0%

Unoccupied

102

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

31.3% stressed

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

29.6%

Community Profile

Ancestry

English
1,372
Irish
388
Scottish
385
Other
144
German
116
Ancestry NS
84

Household Composition

38.1%

Couples, no children

2,477

Total families

Economy & Employment

Healthcare leads local employment at 21.5% (205 workers), followed by Education at 18.6% (178 workers), together accounting for two-fifths of the workforce. Construction takes third at 10.7% (102 workers), consistent with the coastal-growth belt context. By occupation, Professionals number 293 and Community/Personal workers 229, reflecting the service-heavy industrial mix. Unemployment is low at 3.5%, below most regional benchmarks, and the full-time employment rate is 57.6%. Real incomes grew 16.8% over the decade, a genuine gain, though household income still lands at the 41.8th percentile nationally. The SEIFA picture is nuanced: IRSD decile 4 (relative disadvantage) and IRSAD decile 3 (advantage/disadvantage composite) indicate moderate disadvantage by national standards, which partly explains the gap between high house prices and below-median household incomes.

Unemployment

2.9%

Labour Force

7,845

Unemployed

227

Quarterly Trend

Mar-24 Dec-25

Source: SALM Dec-25

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Overall advantage
3
Disadvantage
4
Economic resources
5
Education & occupation
3

Full-time

57.6%

Part-time

38.9%

Participation

51.1%

Employed

1,284

Occupations

Professionals 293
Community/Personal 229
Clerical/Admin 159
Managers 158
Labourers 126
Sales 120
Machinery/Drivers 67

Top Industries

Healthcare 21.5%
Education 18.6%
Construction 10.7%
Retail 7.4%
Professional/Tech 6.4%

University

26.4%

Postgraduate

5.7%

Born Overseas

10.0%

Dwellings

1,160

Transport to Work

Car dependence is near-total: 91.6% of residents drive to work, compared to a much lower national share that uses public transport, and only 0.7% take public transport here, reflecting the absence of rail and limited bus frequency in a low-density coastal hinterland. Walking and cycling account for 2.6%, consistent with leisure rather than commute use. Detailed crime statistics are not available for Bonny Hills, though the IRSD decile 4 ranking indicates moderate relative disadvantage by national standards. Volunteering is high at 22.6%, well above national averages, pointing to a strong community participation culture among the largely older, settled resident base. No schools are recorded inside the Bonny Hills boundary in this dataset, so families depend on facilities in neighbouring Port Macquarie suburbs. The rent-to-income ratio of 31.3% flags mild affordability pressure for renters relative to the national benchmark.

Drive

91.6%

Public Transport

0.7%

Walk / Cycle

2.6%

Work from Home

N/A

Population Forecast

+1.29%/yr

(+257 people/yr)

Established

Population grew 17.4% over the decade and the suburb is classified as established with an aging trajectory. Annual growth is modest at 1.29%, adding around 257 persons per year, and medium forecasts for the broader Port Macquarie SA2 project the population rising from about 19,995 in 2025 to 21,174 by 2031. Internal migration is the dominant driver, with net inflows of 470 per year, reflecting sea-change and lifestyle demand from metro areas. Overseas migration contributes a smaller 59 net arrivals annually. The gentrification score of 48 places the suburb in an active gentrification stage, with signals including 23% population growth since 2011 and accelerating price activity. Affordability has remained broadly stable, moving from 63.7% in 2011 to 61.8% in 2021, suggesting prices have risen roughly in line with incomes over the long run rather than diverging sharply.

Historical + Forecast

Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025

Age Cohort Forecast

Primary Driver

Internal Migration

Net Overseas / yr

+59

Net Internal / yr

+470

48

Gentrification Signal

Active

Population +23% since 2011, Net internal migration +470/yr, Accelerating: 5% → 18%

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Bonny Hills compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 17%
Household Income
Bottom 42%
Rent Level
Top 10%
Renters
Bottom 41%
Uni Educated
Top 43%
Public Transport
Bottom 8%
Born Overseas
Bottom 30%
Density
Top 25%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Bonny Hills a good suburb to live in?

Bonny Hills suits retirees and older owner-occupiers well: 51.6% own their home outright and the median age of 51 is 11 years above national. The suburb has low unemployment at 3.5% and high volunteering at 22.6%, but SEIFA IRSAD decile 3 indicates moderate disadvantage by national standards and car dependence is near-total at 91.6%.

What is the median house price in Bonny Hills?

The median house price is $935,000 as of 2025, up from $930,000 in 2024, a 0.5% gain. Weekly rent averages $445 and monthly mortgage repayments run about $1,820, giving a mortgage-to-income ratio of 29.6%, just below the 30% stress level.

What schools are in Bonny Hills?

No schools are recorded inside the Bonny Hills boundary in this dataset. Families rely on schools in neighbouring Port Macquarie suburbs. The local university qualification rate is 26.4%, which is 3.7 percentage points below the national figure.

Is Bonny Hills safe?

Detailed crime statistics are not available for Bonny Hills in this dataset. As an indirect indicator, the suburb scores SEIFA IRSD decile 4 for relative disadvantage and only 6.4% of residents (189 people) need daily assistance, both moderate by national standards. The volunteering rate of 22.6% reflects a stable, engaged community.

Is Bonny Hills good for property investment?

Yield is constrained: $445 weekly rent against a $935,000 median gives a gross yield near 2.5%, and an 8.0% vacancy rate signals excess rental supply. The 17.2% renter share is thin. The investment case depends more on capital growth from internal migration of 470 net arrivals per year into the broader Port Macquarie area than on rental returns.

How is Bonny Hills's population changing?

Population grew 17.4% over the decade and is forecast to continue at roughly 1.29% annually. The medium scenario for the broader SA2 puts the population at around 21,174 by 2031, up from about 19,995 in 2025. The dominant driver is net internal migration of 470 per year, mainly sea-changers from metropolitan areas.

How much development is happening in Bonny Hills?

There were 25 development applications lodged in the past 12 months, including new house erections and dwelling modifications. Given the suburb is 98.8% separate houses with limited vacant land, most activity involves alterations and additions rather than net new supply, consistent with the low-turnover, established housing market.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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